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Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR)
NASDAQ:NKTR
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Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR) AI Stock Analysis

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Nektar Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:NKTR)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(4.99%Upside)
Nektar Therapeutics' stock is currently weighed down by poor financial performance, highlighted by declining revenues and high leverage. However, strong technical indicators and positive corporate events, such as the Phase 2b trial results, provide some optimism for future performance.
Positive Factors
Market Opportunity
A large attractive opportunity is seen for REZPEG to emerge as a valuable addition to the treatment landscape as a novel, broader and importantly, safe mechanism.
Phase 2b Trial Results
The robust Phase 2b REZOLVE-AD trial confirmed REZPEG as a novel MOA with strong induction efficacy and clean safety on par with (if not better than) current market leaders in atopic dermatitis.
Negative Factors
Efficacy Comparison
NKTR’s phase IIb rezpeg data in atopic dermatitis shows efficacy below what Dupixent showed at the approved dose.
Financial Performance
The company reported revenue of $10.5M and a net loss of $0.24 per share, which was below consensus estimates.
Lawsuit
The lawsuit initiated in 2023 by NKTR against LLY makes a compelling case that LLY misrepresented REZPEG's activity in atopic dermatitis and psoriasis, while contriving ISRs as a significant tolerability issue.

Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nektar Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNektar Therapeutics is a biopharmaceutical company based in San Francisco, California, specializing in the development of innovative drug candidates for the treatment of cancer, autoimmune disease, and chronic pain. The company leverages its proprietary PEGylation and polymer conjugate technology platforms to develop new therapeutics that aim to improve the efficacy and safety profile of existing drugs. Nektar's pipeline includes a range of investigational medicines, with a focus on oncology and immunology.
How the Company Makes MoneyNektar Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through collaborative development and licensing agreements with major pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships often involve upfront payments, milestone payments based on specific drug development achievements, and royalties on future sales of successfully commercialized products. The company's revenue streams are significantly influenced by the progress and success of its drug candidates in clinical trials and subsequent approval by regulatory bodies. Additionally, Nektar may earn revenue from the sale of products that are commercialized independently or in collaboration with partners. Licensing its proprietary technology for use by other biopharmaceutical companies also contributes to its income.

Nektar Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 187.39%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Nektar Therapeutics presented a quarter with significant advancements in their REZPEG studies and a strong financial position. However, the ongoing litigation with Lilly and non-cash losses from an equity investment present challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Advancement of REZPEG in Phase 2 Studies
Nektar is advancing rezpegaldesleukin (REZPEG) in three separate Phase 2 studies, including atopic dermatitis, alopecia areata, and Type 1 diabetes. The REZOLVE-AD study for atopic dermatitis has enrolled 400 patients, and top-line results are expected in June 2025.
Strong Financial Position
Nektar ended Q1 2025 with $220.7 million in cash and investments and no debt, projecting a runway into Q4 2026.
Progress in Early-Stage Immunology Pipeline
The IND-enabling studies for NKTR-0165, a TNFR2 agonist antibody, are on track for completion in 2025, with plans to submit an IND filing.
Upcoming Data Presentations
Data from the NKTR-255 oncology program will be presented at the European Hematology Association Congress.
Negative Updates
Ongoing Litigation with Lilly
Nektar is engaged in litigation with Lilly, which they believe has caused them significant damage. The outcome and potential impact of the litigation are not yet clear.
Non-Cash Loss from Equity Method Investment
In Q1 2025, Nektar recorded a non-cash loss of $4.5 million from its equity method investment in Gannet Biochem, expecting a total loss of approximately $10 million for the year.
Company Guidance
During Nektar Therapeutics' Q1 2025 financial results call, the company provided guidance regarding multiple metrics related to their pipeline and financial health. They highlighted the progress of their immunology pipeline, focusing on the advancement of rezpegaldesleukin (REZPEG) in three Phase 2 studies. The REZOLVE-AD Phase 2b study, with 400 patients, aims to establish safety and efficacy in atopic dermatitis, with results from the 16-week induction period expected in June 2025. They also discussed the REZPEG-AA Phase 2b study in alopecia areata, targeting a December 2025 data release. Financially, the company maintains a strong position with $220.7 million in cash and no debt, projecting a cash runway into Q4 2026. They expect 2025 revenue to be around $40 million, with R&D expenses between $110 million and $120 million. The company is preparing for a quiet period in June ahead of the REZPEG data release.

Nektar Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nektar Therapeutics is experiencing significant financial challenges with persistent net losses, declining revenues, and a strained balance sheet indicated by high leverage and negative cash flow. Despite a strong gross profit margin, the company's financial stability is weakened by ongoing operational deficits and a need for restructuring.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Nektar Therapeutics' income statement shows declining revenues in recent years with a significant net loss. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is 74.58%, showing efficient cost management, but the net profit margin is deeply negative at -152.52%, indicating ongoing operational challenges. Revenue has decreased over the years, and the EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting sustained operating losses.
Balance Sheet
25
Negative
The balance sheet reveals financial stress with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 7.30 in the TTM period, indicating high leverage. The equity ratio has significantly dropped to 5.36%, highlighting a decrease in stockholders' equity relative to total assets. Return on equity is negative at -968.24%, underscoring significant losses relative to shareholders' investment. The company needs to address its capital structure to improve financial stability.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows Nektar Therapeutics has had negative free cash flow, with a slight increase in operating cash flow to net income ratio to 1.33 in TTM, suggesting some improvement in cash efficiency. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative at -1.34, indicating cash outflows exceed the losses. The company should focus on improving its cash flow management to sustain operations.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue98.43M90.12M92.06M101.91M152.91M
Gross Profit67.74M56.35M70.42M77.01M133.44M
EBITDA-86.70M-243.11M-323.87M-462.97M-394.33M
Net Income-118.96M-276.06M-368.20M-523.84M-444.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets303.85M398.03M710.60M1.12B1.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments255.23M303.62M504.98M733.96M1.06B
Total Debt102.56M117.78M131.50M143.18M150.29M
Total Liabilities243.11M267.05M343.96M437.68M461.47M
Stockholders Equity60.74M130.99M366.64M679.51M1.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-177.18M-193.47M-309.68M-427.65M-320.55M
Operating Cash Flow-175.71M-192.61M-304.01M-412.66M-313.29M
Investing Cash Flow142.57M139.56M365.83M202.78M496.21M
Financing Cash Flow42.12M30.00K1.51M36.24M-80.35M

Nektar Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.67
Price Trends
50DMA
15.13
Positive
100DMA
13.14
Positive
200DMA
14.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.09
Positive
RSI
67.57
Neutral
STOCH
62.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NKTR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.75, above the 50-day MA of 15.13, and above the 200-day MA of 14.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 67.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NKTR.

Nektar Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Nektar Therapeutics disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nektar Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nektar Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$417.63M-189.46%-3.24%31.00%
52
Neutral
kr5.61B11.26-62.48%1.93%26.20%22.87%
46
Neutral
$197.34M-32.97%
39
Underperform
$129.14M-26.10%30.76%
39
Underperform
$173.96M-75.60%-2.29%
37
Underperform
$309.06M-65.19%-47.28%
KOKOD
35
Underperform
$249.84M-108.92%32.58%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NKTR
Nektar Therapeutics
26.67
5.82
27.91%
ALDX
Aldeyra Therapeutics
5.03
1.21
31.68%
KOD
Kodiak Sciences
5.19
2.32
80.84%
RAPT
RAPT Therapeutics
10.23
-16.09
-61.13%
NKTX
Nkarta
2.00
-4.21
-67.79%
FDMT
4D Molecular Therapeutics
4.36
-10.04
-69.72%

Nektar Therapeutics Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Nektar Therapeutics Announces Public Offering of Shares
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

On June 30, 2025, Nektar Therapeutics announced an underwritten public offering of 4,255,320 shares of its common stock, priced at $23.50 per share, expected to close on July 2, 2025. The offering, managed by Jefferies LLC and other underwriters, is projected to yield approximately $93.7 million in net proceeds, with potential to increase to $107.8 million if additional shares are purchased. The funds are intended for general corporate purposes, including research and development and clinical advancement of drug candidates, potentially impacting the company’s financial standing and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (NKTR) stock is a Buy with a $90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nektar Therapeutics stock, see the NKTR Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Nektar Therapeutics Regains Nasdaq Compliance by June 2025
Positive
Jun 27, 2025

On April 3, 2025, Nektar Therapeutics was notified by Nasdaq that it was not in compliance with the Minimum Bid Price Rule, as its stock price had fallen below $1.00 for 30 consecutive trading days. However, by June 23, 2025, the company regained compliance by maintaining a stock price of at least $1.00 for 10 consecutive business days, ensuring its continued listing on The Nasdaq Capital Market.

The most recent analyst rating on (NKTR) stock is a Buy with a $90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nektar Therapeutics stock, see the NKTR Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related Announcements
Nektar Therapeutics Announces Positive Phase 2b Trial Results
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Nektar Therapeutics announced the successful results of its Phase 2b REZOLVE-AD clinical trial for rezpegaldesleukin, a treatment for moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis. The trial, involving 393 patients, showed statistically significant improvements in the primary and key secondary endpoints, including Eczema Area and Severity Score (EASI) and Itch Numerical Rating Score (NRS), across all dosage arms compared to placebo. The treatment demonstrated a robust dose-dependent reduction in inflammatory biomarkers and maintained a consistent safety profile with no increased risk of serious adverse events. These results highlight the potential of rezpegaldesleukin as a first-in-class immune-modulator for dermatological diseases, with further data expected in early 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (NKTR) stock is a Buy with a $105.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nektar Therapeutics stock, see the NKTR Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsStock Split
Nektar Therapeutics Approves Reverse Stock Split
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

On May 23, 2025, Nektar Therapeutics‘ stockholders approved a reverse stock split, which was later confirmed by the Board to be a one-for-fifteen split. This adjustment will take effect on June 8, 2025, with trading on a split-adjusted basis commencing on June 9, 2025, under the existing symbol ‘NKTR’. The reverse stock split aims to consolidate shares, potentially impacting the company’s stock market performance and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (NKTR) stock is a Buy with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nektar Therapeutics stock, see the NKTR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Nektar Therapeutics Elects New Board, Approves Key Proposals
Neutral
May 28, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 23, 2025, Nektar Therapeutics announced the election of new board members and approved several key proposals. These included amendments to increase authorized shares and implement a reverse stock split, as well as the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025. These decisions are expected to impact the company’s strategic direction and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (NKTR) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nektar Therapeutics stock, see the NKTR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 18, 2025