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Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR)
NASDAQ:NKTR
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Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR) AI Stock Analysis

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NKTR

Nektar Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:NKTR)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$59.00
▲(7.06% Upside)
Nektar Therapeutics' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by declining revenue, high leverage, and negative profitability. However, the positive sentiment from the earnings call, highlighting strong cash reserves and promising clinical trial progress, provides some optimism. The technical analysis suggests potential upward momentum, but the high volatility and poor valuation metrics weigh down the score.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Position
A strong cash position with no debt provides financial stability and flexibility, allowing Nektar to invest in R&D and withstand market fluctuations.
Pipeline Advancements
Advancing pipeline projects like REZPEG into late-stage trials enhances Nektar's potential for future revenue streams and strengthens its market position.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships provide financial stability and funding for R&D, supporting long-term growth and innovation in Nektar's therapeutic areas.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue indicates challenges in product sales and market penetration, potentially impacting long-term financial health and operational sustainability.
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial resources, limit strategic options, and increase risk, especially if revenue growth does not improve.
Negative Profitability
Negative profitability reflects operational inefficiencies and challenges in cost management, which could hinder long-term growth and shareholder value.

Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nektar Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNektar Therapeutics, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering and developing medicines in areas of unmet medical need in the United States and internationally. The company's products include Bempegaldesleukin, a CD122-preferential interleukin-2 (IL-2) pathway agonist, which is in phase 3 clinical trial to treat metastatic melanoma, renal cell carcinoma, muscle-invasive bladder cancer, squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck, and adjuvant melanoma; phase 2 clinical trial for the treatment of renal cell carcinoma, non-small cell lung cancer, and urothelial cancer; phase 1/2A clinical trial to treat squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck; phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of solid tumors; and phase 1B clinical trial to treat COVID-19. It is also developing NKTR-358, a cytokine Treg stimulant that is in phase 2 clinical trial for the treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus and ulcerative colitis, as well as phase 1B clinical trial to treat atopic dermatitis and psoriasis; NKTR-255, an IL-15 receptor agonist, which is in phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma and multiple myeloma, and head and neck cancer and colorectal cancer; and NKTR-262, a toll-like receptor agonist that is in phase 1/2 clinical trial to treat solid tumors, as well as various other drug candidates. The company has collaboration agreements with Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Ltd.; AstraZeneca AB; UCB Pharma S.A.; F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd; Bausch Health Companies Inc.; Pfizer Inc.; Amgen Inc.; UCB Pharma (Biogen); Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Baxalta Incorporated; Eli Lilly and Company; Merck KGaA; and SFJ Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Nektar Therapeutics was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyNektar Therapeutics generates revenue through a combination of product sales, collaboration agreements, and royalties. The company's revenue model is primarily driven by its lead product candidates, which, upon receiving regulatory approval, contribute to sales revenue. Additionally, Nektar engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which typically involve upfront payments, milestone payments upon achieving specific development goals, and royalties on future sales of products developed under these collaborations. These partnerships enhance Nektar's financial stability and provide funding for its research and development efforts, thereby serving as significant revenue streams.

Nektar Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented strong financial health, significant progress in clinical trials, and recognition for their scientific contributions. The challenges with existing treatments in alopecia areata were acknowledged but present an opportunity for REZPEG to fill a critical need.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Recognition for REZPEG
The Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine acknowledged the Phase Ib data for REZPEG in atopic dermatitis and psoriasis as part of the background documents for the award, highlighting the significance of Nektar's research.
Strong Financial Position
Nektar ended the third quarter of 2025 with $270.2 million in cash and investments, and no debt. The year-end cash guidance was increased to approximately $240 million, extending the cash runway into the second quarter of 2027.
Promising Phase IIb Results for REZPEG in Atopic Dermatitis
The RESOLVE-AD Phase IIb study showed statistical significance in all REZPEG arms versus placebo in reducing EASI scores. There is also an upcoming presentation of asthma-related data at the ACAAI meeting.
Advancement in Alopecia Areata
The Phase IIb RESOLVE-AA study in alopecia areata is on track, with results expected in December 2025. Positive results could position REZPEG as the first biologic treatment in this indication.
Pipeline Progress
Nektar's pipeline includes additional studies like the Phase II study of REZPEG in type 1 diabetes and the TNFR2 agonist program, with the potential for clinical advancement in 2026.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Existing Alopecia Areata Treatments
Current FDA-approved treatments for alopecia areata, primarily JAK inhibitors, have significant safety concerns, including black box warnings, and high relapse rates upon discontinuation.
Company Guidance
During the Nektar Therapeutics Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the management provided detailed guidance on the company's pipeline and future plans. The lead program, rezpegaldesleukin (REZPEG), is advancing into Phase III development for atopic dermatitis after showing strong data in the Phase IIb RESOLVE-AD study, where it achieved statistical significance in primary and key secondary endpoints. Upcoming milestones include presenting 52-week maintenance and escape arm data from the RESOLVE-AD study in Q1 2026 and top-line results from the Phase IIb RESOLVE-AA study in alopecia areata in December 2025. The company expects the Phase II study in type 1 diabetes, funded by TrialNet, to evaluate REZPEG in new-onset Stage III patients. Financially, Nektar ended the third quarter with $270.2 million in cash, extending its cash runway into Q2 2027, and expects to end the year with approximately $240 million in cash and investments. The company has emphasized the differentiation of REZPEG, especially in treating comorbid conditions like asthma in atopic dermatitis patients, and aims to harness this potential in future developments.

Nektar Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nektar Therapeutics faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue, high leverage, and negative profitability metrics. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and manage its debt levels to improve financial health. Cash flow issues further exacerbate the situation, requiring strategic adjustments to stabilize and grow the business.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Nektar Therapeutics has experienced declining revenue with a negative growth rate of -16.46% in the TTM period. The company shows weak profitability with negative net profit margins and EBIT margins, indicating operational challenges. The gross profit margin remains relatively stable, but the overall financial health is impacted by consistent losses.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08 in the TTM, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's financial stability is under pressure due to high leverage and negative equity returns.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, with a slight improvement in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting some alignment between cash flow and reported earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue62.60M98.43M90.12M92.06M101.91M152.91M
Gross Profit54.62M67.74M53.48M70.42M77.01M133.44M
EBITDA-86.58M-86.70M-243.11M-323.87M-461.82M-394.33M
Net Income-120.74M-118.96M-276.06M-368.20M-523.84M-444.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets301.35M303.85M398.03M710.60M1.12B1.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments270.21M255.23M303.62M504.98M733.96M1.06B
Total Debt91.92M102.56M117.78M131.50M143.18M150.29M
Total Liabilities216.26M243.11M267.05M343.96M437.68M461.47M
Stockholders Equity85.09M60.74M130.99M366.64M679.51M1.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-190.35M-177.18M-193.47M-309.68M-427.65M-320.55M
Operating Cash Flow-189.74M-175.71M-192.61M-304.01M-412.66M-313.29M
Investing Cash Flow58.65M142.57M139.56M365.83M202.78M496.21M
Financing Cash Flow141.98M42.12M30.00K1.51M36.24M-80.35M

Nektar Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price55.11
Price Trends
50DMA
57.79
Negative
100DMA
42.62
Positive
200DMA
27.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Positive
RSI
45.93
Neutral
STOCH
64.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NKTR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 55.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 58.60, below the 50-day MA of 57.79, and above the 200-day MA of 27.23, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NKTR.

Nektar Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Nektar Therapeutics disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nektar Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nektar Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
57
Neutral
$4.73B-12.72-75.20%364.98%-25.33%
55
Neutral
$1.32B-25.81-36.87%15.84%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$1.23B-180.24%-32.79%36.87%
47
Neutral
$1.15B-86.51%103.75%33.84%
45
Neutral
$1.61B-52.49%1137.19%70.51%
43
Neutral
$1.17B-39.73%4.29%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NKTR
Nektar Therapeutics
55.11
39.96
263.76%
WVE
Wave Life Sciences
6.76
-7.60
-52.93%
TRVI
Trevi Therapeutics
10.65
7.92
290.11%
ORIC
Oric Pharmaceuticals
11.48
2.36
25.88%
NUVB
Nuvation Bio
7.01
4.31
159.63%
PRAX
Praxis Precision Medicines
164.09
91.03
124.60%

Nektar Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Nektar Therapeutics Reveals Promising Phase 2b Trial Results
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 8, 2025, Nektar Therapeutics presented new data from their Phase 2b REZOLVE-AD trial at the ACAAI Annual Scientific Meeting, showing that rezpegaldesleukin significantly improved asthma symptoms in patients with atopic dermatitis and a history of asthma. The trial results demonstrated statistically significant improvements in asthma control and atopic dermatitis disease control, supporting the potential of rezpegaldesleukin as a unique treatment option in these conditions. The findings indicate a promising future for rezpegaldesleukin in treating T-cell mediated inflammatory diseases, with plans to advance into Phase 3 studies.

The most recent analyst rating on (NKTR) stock is a Sell with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nektar Therapeutics stock, see the NKTR Stock Forecast page.

Nektar Therapeutics’ Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth and Innovation
Nov 9, 2025

Nektar Therapeutics’ recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health and significant scientific achievements. The company highlighted its progress in clinical trials and received notable recognition for its contributions to medical research. While challenges remain with existing treatments for alopecia areata, Nektar sees a promising opportunity for its REZPEG treatment to address these needs.

Nektar Therapeutics Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 7, 2025

Nektar Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company based in San Francisco, focusing on developing treatments for autoimmune and chronic inflammatory diseases. Its lead product candidate, rezpegaldesleukin, is a novel regulatory T cell stimulator being evaluated in multiple clinical trials.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Nektar Therapeutics Reveals Promising Phase 2b Study Results
Positive
Sep 18, 2025

On September 18, 2025, Nektar Therapeutics announced new data from its ongoing REZOLVE-AD Phase 2b study of rezpegaldesleukin, a potential first-in-class therapy for atopic dermatitis. The study’s results highlight rezpegaldesleukin’s efficacy in restoring immune balance by inducing regulatory T cells, offering potential long-term control for patients with moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis who have not responded to traditional therapies.

The most recent analyst rating on (NKTR) stock is a Buy with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nektar Therapeutics stock, see the NKTR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025