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NGL Energy Partners (NGL)
:NGL
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NGL Energy Partners (NGL) AI Stock Analysis

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NGL

NGL Energy Partners

(NYSE:NGL)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(51.03% Upside)
NGL Energy Partners' strong earnings call performance and bullish technical indicators are offset by concerns over high leverage and declining revenue. The negative P/E ratio further impacts the valuation score, leading to a moderate overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Water Solutions Growth
The strong growth in the Water Solutions segment highlights NGL's ability to capitalize on increasing demand for water management services, a critical area in the energy sector, ensuring long-term revenue stability and expansion opportunities.
Strategic Financial Management
Effective financial management through interest rate reduction demonstrates NGL's commitment to optimizing its capital structure, enhancing cash flow, and reducing financial costs, which supports long-term financial health.
Increased EBITDA Guidance
Raising EBITDA guidance reflects confidence in operational performance and growth prospects, particularly in water solutions, suggesting sustained profitability and business expansion.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The significant revenue decline indicates potential challenges in maintaining market share or pricing power, which could impact long-term growth and competitiveness in the energy sector.
High Leverage
High leverage remains a concern as it can limit financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to economic downturns, potentially affecting NGL's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Increased Capital Expenditure
The need for increased capital expenditure could strain financial resources and impact cash flow, posing a risk if expected returns on these investments do not materialize as planned.

NGL Energy Partners (NGL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NGL Energy Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNGL Energy Partners is a publicly traded master limited partnership that provides a diverse range of services primarily in the energy and water sectors. The company operates through several segments, including crude oil logistics, water solutions, and liquid hydrocarbons. NGL specializes in the transportation, storage, and disposal of crude oil, as well as the management of produced water and other fluids associated with oil and gas production. With a focus on operational excellence and strategic asset acquisitions, NGL aims to deliver value to its partners and customers in the energy industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyNGL Energy Partners generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from its logistics and water solutions segments. The crude oil logistics segment earns income by offering transportation and storage services for crude oil, charging fees based on the volume of oil handled and the distance transported. In the water solutions segment, the company provides services related to the disposal and treatment of produced water, which includes charging customers for the handling and processing of wastewater from oil and gas operations. Additionally, NGL earns revenue from liquid hydrocarbons by selling refined products and by-products. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with major oil and gas companies, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its customer base, which contributes significantly to its earnings.

NGL Energy Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance for NGL Energy Partners, with record growth in key segments and increased financial guidance. The strategic financial and operational moves, particularly in the Water Solutions segment, highlight a positive trajectory. However, increased capital expenditures for growth signal a need for careful financial management.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Water Volumes and Grand Mesa Growth
NGL Energy Partners reported a record in water volumes and a 30% growth in Grand Mesa volumes. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations was $167.3 million, up 12% from the previous year, driven by the Water Solutions segment.
Increased Full Year Adjusted EBITDA Guidance
NGL increased its full year adjusted EBITDA guidance to $650 million to $660 million, up from the previous range of $615 million to $625 million, reflecting strong performance and growth opportunities in the Water Solutions segment.
Reduction in Term Loan B Interest Rates
NGL repriced its Term Loan B to reduce the SOFR margin from 375 basis points to 350 basis points, with annual interest savings of $15 million, showing effective financial management.
Strong Water Solutions Performance
Water Solutions adjusted EBITDA was $151.9 million, an 18% increase from the previous year, driven by higher disposal revenues and increased skim oil revenue.
Strategic Capital Allocation
NGL purchased 88,506 Class D preferred units, saving $10.4 million in annual distributions, and repurchased 6.8 million common units, reflecting strategic capital allocation.
Significant Delaware Basin Capacity
NGL has over 5 million barrels per day of permitted injection capacity in the Delaware Basin and is pioneering the first large-scale produced water treatment plant in the area.
Negative Updates
Increased Growth Capital Expenditure
The increase in contract volume commitments required an additional $100 million of growth CapEx, up from initial expectations, indicating a significant expenditure.
Company Guidance
In the NGL Energy Partners' 2Q '26 earnings call, CFO Brad Cooper outlined several key financial and operational metrics. The company achieved record water volumes and a 30% increase in Grand Mesa volumes, leading to a consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $167.3 million, up 12% from the prior year. The Water Solutions segment was a significant contributor, with a second-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $151.9 million, an 18% increase from the previous year. NGL revised its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance upwards to a range of $650 million to $660 million. The company also highlighted efforts to optimize its capital structure, including a reduction in its Term Loan B SOFR margin and the repurchase of 88,506 Class D preferred units, resulting in $10.4 million in annual distribution savings. Additionally, the Delaware Basin operations reported 3 million barrels per day of water disposal volumes and substantial growth in committed volumes, supported by 800 miles of pipeline infrastructure. The strategic focus on water solutions is expected to drive further growth, with an initial fiscal 2027 adjusted EBITDA guidance of at least $700 million.

NGL Energy Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NGL Energy Partners shows decent profitability margins with a strong cash flow position. However, the declining revenue trend and high leverage pose risks to financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
NGL Energy Partners shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of approximately 39.9%, which is strong, but the net profit margin is relatively low at 3.3%. The company has experienced a significant revenue decline of 15.1% in the TTM period, which is a concern. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are reasonable at 7.2% and 13.5%, respectively, indicating operational efficiency. Overall, while profitability margins are decent, the declining revenue trend poses a risk.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 0.99 in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage, though it has improved from previous periods. The return on equity is strong at 17.3%, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is low, reflecting a higher reliance on debt financing. The company's financial stability is moderate, with potential risks due to high leverage.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trajectory with a 61.7% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.64, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.55, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. These metrics suggest strong cash flow management, providing a buffer against revenue declines.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.46B3.47B4.15B5.68B7.95B5.23B
Gross Profit771.99M707.38M701.76M716.50M519.88M415.97M
EBITDA651.20M594.99M380.41M558.06M377.76M-124.48M
Net Income54.46M39.37M-143.75M51.39M-184.76M-637.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.30B4.61B5.02B5.46B6.07B5.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.66M13.55M38.91M5.43M3.82M4.83M
Total Debt3.03B3.08B2.95B2.95B3.47B3.47B
Total Liabilities3.69B3.91B4.02B4.14B4.80B4.45B
Stockholders Equity644.32M676.70M1.03B1.35B1.30B1.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow340.77M51.65M51.65M297.42M63.49M117.19M
Operating Cash Flow497.02M297.46M297.46M445.19M205.85M303.99M
Investing Cash Flow120.21M-122.81M-122.81M64.19M-212.41M-221.49M
Financing Cash Flow-616.32M-207.91M-207.91M-507.76M5.55M-100.38M

NGL Energy Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.29
Price Trends
50DMA
6.35
Positive
100DMA
5.41
Positive
200DMA
4.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.64
Negative
RSI
89.93
Negative
STOCH
98.24
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NGL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.78, below the 50-day MA of 6.35, and above the 200-day MA of 4.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 89.93 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 98.24 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NGL.

NGL Energy Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$1.16B12.40%-38.82%92.56%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
60
Neutral
$1.51B17.0913.89%6.50%4.10%-36.72%
49
Neutral
$1.99B-11.88%4.09%-36.47%-75.37%
46
Neutral
$397.85M-0.94-25.85%2.91%-432.03%
42
Neutral
$103.11M0.77%-0.58%-587.83%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NGL
NGL Energy Partners
9.52
5.12
116.36%
GEL
Genesis Energy
16.13
5.41
50.45%
GLP
Global Partners
42.17
-5.00
-10.61%
MMLP
Martin Midstream
2.61
-1.35
-34.14%
SMC
Summit Midstream
21.20
-14.80
-41.11%
PBT
Permian Basin
19.39
7.48
62.80%

NGL Energy Partners Corporate Events

NGL Energy Partners Reports Strong Earnings and Growth
Nov 6, 2025

NGL Energy Partners’ recent earnings call showcased a robust performance with record growth in key segments and an optimistic financial outlook. The call highlighted strategic financial and operational moves, particularly in the Water Solutions segment, which point to a positive trajectory for the company. However, the increased capital expenditures for growth signal a need for careful financial management moving forward.

NGL Energy Partners Reports Q3 2025 Earnings Highlights
Nov 5, 2025

NGL Energy Partners LP is a Delaware-based master limited partnership operating in the energy sector, primarily focusing on water solutions, crude oil logistics, and liquids logistics. The company provides services such as water transportation, treatment, and disposal, crude oil purchasing and transportation, and natural gas liquids supply operations across the United States and Canada.

NGL Energy Partners’ Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Gains
Aug 12, 2025

NGL Energy Partners’ recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, primarily driven by strong performance in the Water Solutions segment and strategic debt reduction efforts. Despite challenges in the Crude Oil and Liquids Logistics segments, the company’s focus on capital allocation and cost management supports a favorable outlook.

NGL Energy Partners Reports Strategic Shift and Earnings Growth
Aug 8, 2025

NGL Energy Partners LP is a Delaware-based master limited partnership operating in the energy sector, primarily focusing on water solutions, crude oil logistics, and liquids logistics. The company provides services such as water transportation, treatment, and disposal, crude oil purchase and transportation, and natural gas liquids supply operations across the United States and Canada.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025