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Global Partners Lp (GLP)
NYSE:GLP
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Global Partners (GLP) AI Stock Analysis

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GLP

Global Partners

(NYSE:GLP)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$43.00
▼(-2.23% Downside)
The overall stock score of 57 reflects significant challenges in financial performance, particularly in cash flow management and profitability. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, while valuation remains a relative strength due to a high dividend yield. The earnings call highlighted both strategic expansions and operational challenges, contributing to a mixed outlook.
Positive Factors
Wholesale Segment Performance
The strong performance in the Wholesale segment indicates robust market demand and effective operational strategies, which can drive long-term revenue growth and stability.
Marine Fuel Supply Expansion
Expanding marine fuel supply operations into new regions enhances market reach and diversifies revenue streams, supporting long-term growth and competitive positioning.
Loyalty Platform and Retail Innovations
Innovations in retail and loyalty programs can increase customer retention and sales, strengthening the company's market position and revenue potential over time.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns.
Decline in Net Income and EBITDA
Declining net income and EBITDA suggest challenges in maintaining profitability, which could affect long-term financial health and investment capacity.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative free cash flow growth indicates difficulties in generating cash from operations, potentially constraining the company's ability to fund expansions and pay down debt.

Global Partners (GLP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Global Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGlobal Partners LP engages in the purchasing, selling, gathering, blending, storing, and logistics of transporting gasoline and gasoline blendstocks, distillates, residual oil, renewable fuels, crude oil, and propane to wholesalers, retailers, and commercial customers in the New England states, Mid-Atlantic region, and New York. The company is also involved in the transportation of petroleum products and renewable fuels through rail from the mid-continent region of the United States and Canada. Its Wholesale segment sells home heating oil, branded and unbranded gasoline and gasoline blendstocks, diesel, kerosene, residual oil, and propane to home heating oil retailers and wholesale distributors. It also aggregates crude oil through truck or pipeline in the mid-continent region of the United States and Canada, as well as transports it through rail and ships it through barge to refiners. The company's Gasoline Distribution and Station Operations segment sells branded and unbranded gasoline to gasoline station operators and sub-jobbers; operates gasoline stations and convenience stores; and provides car wash, lottery, and ATM services, as well as leases gasoline stations. Its Commercial segment sells and delivers unbranded gasoline, home heating oil, diesel, kerosene, residual oil, and bunker fuel to customers in the public sector, as well as to commercial and industrial end-users; and sells custom blended fuels. As of December 31, 2021, the company had a portfolio of 1,595 owned, leased, and supplied gasoline stations, which included 295 directly operated convenience stores; and owned, leased, or maintained storage facilities at 26 bulk terminals with a collective storage capacity of 11.9 million barrels. Global GP LLC serves as the general partner of the company. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Waltham, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobal Partners generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the wholesale and retail sale of fuel products. The company purchases fuel at wholesale prices and sells it to retailers and directly to consumers at marked-up prices. Another significant revenue stream comes from the operation of its convenience stores, where it sells food, beverages, and other retail items. Additionally, GLP benefits from storage and transportation services, charging fees for the logistics of moving fuel. The company has established partnerships with various fuel suppliers and retailers, enhancing its distribution network and market reach, which contributes to its overall profitability.

Global Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong performance in the Wholesale segment and strategic expansions. However, there were notable declines in net income, distributable cash flow, and GDSO product margins, alongside increased SG&A expenses and a decrease in retail site count.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance in Wholesale Segment
The Wholesale segment experienced strong performance driven by favorable market conditions in gasoline and the optimization of the liquid energy terminal network. Product margin increased $6.9 million to $78 million.
Expansion of Marine Fuel Supply Operations
Expanded marine fuel supply operations into the port of Houston, extending the bunkering business into the Gulf Coast.
Loyalty Platform and Retail Innovations
Introduced a new loyalty platform and redefined the convenience store experience through the Fresh and Honey Farms Market brands, aiming to enhance customer loyalty and engagement.
Quarterly Cash Distribution Increase
Declared a quarterly cash distribution of $75.50 per common unit, marking the 16th consecutive quarterly distribution increase.
Decrease in Operating Expenses
Operating expenses decreased by $4.6 million to $132.5 million, primarily due to lower maintenance and repair expenses.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Income and EBITDA
Net income for the third quarter was $29 million compared to $45.9 million in the previous year. EBITDA decreased to $97.1 million from $119.1 million.
Decrease in Distributable Cash Flow
Distributable cash flow decreased to $53 million from $71.1 million in the previous year.
Decrease in GDSO Product Margin
GDSO product margin decreased by $18.8 million to $218.9 million, primarily due to lower fuel margins.
Increase in SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses increased by $5.8 million to $76.3 million, reflecting increases in wages and benefits.
Retail Segment Site Count Decrease
Retail site count decreased by 49 compared to the same period last year, with ongoing site optimization and divestitures.
Company Guidance
During the Global Partners Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. The Board declared a quarterly cash distribution of $75.50 per common unit, marking the 16th consecutive quarterly distribution increase. Net income for the third quarter was reported at $29 million, a decrease from $45.9 million in the previous year, which included a $7.8 million one-time gain. EBITDA stood at $97.1 million, down from $119.1 million, while adjusted EBITDA was $98.8 million compared to $114 million. Distributable cash flow was $53 million versus $71.1 million last year, and adjusted distributable cash flow was $53.3 million compared to $71.6 million. The fuel margin was reported at $0.37 per gallon, down 7% from the previous year. The company anticipates maintenance capital expenditures between $45 million and $55 million and expansion capital expenditures between $40 million and $50 million for the full year.

Global Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Global Partners faces challenges in profitability and cash flow management, with declining margins and negative free cash flow growth. The high leverage poses financial risks, although there is some improvement in return on equity.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Global Partners shows moderate revenue growth in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with a 1.53% increase. However, the gross profit margin has decreased to 4.29% from 6.16% in 2024, indicating pressure on profitability. The net profit margin has also declined to 0.50%, reflecting challenges in maintaining net income levels. Despite these challenges, the company has managed to maintain a stable EBIT margin of 1.17%.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.94, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. Return on equity has slightly improved to 15.53% in the TTM, showing some efficiency in generating returns from equity. However, the equity ratio remains low, suggesting limited equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
The cash flow situation is concerning, with a significant negative free cash flow growth rate of -306.06% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.35, indicating challenges in converting net income into cash. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.71, suggesting limited free cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.10B17.16B16.49B18.88B13.25B8.32B
Gross Profit927.16M1.06B973.64M1.10B719.26M721.14M
EBITDA379.34M389.39M356.36M565.08M244.46M285.24M
Net Income87.36M107.69M152.51M362.21M60.80M102.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.70B3.79B3.53B3.16B2.83B2.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.93M8.21M19.64M4.04M10.85M9.71M
Total Debt2.06B2.03B1.54B1.43B1.57B1.49B
Total Liabilities3.02B3.07B2.73B2.37B2.30B2.12B
Stockholders Equity682.48M713.52M798.83M788.44M-1.90M497.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-63.79M-286.78M110.42M373.20M-51.50M236.19M
Operating Cash Flow250.75M31.60M512.44M480.00M50.22M312.53M
Investing Cash Flow-111.31M-276.87M-492.38M-236.19M-115.05M-69.73M
Financing Cash Flow-142.33M233.84M-4.46M-250.61M65.97M-245.13M

Global Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price43.98
Price Trends
50DMA
44.59
Negative
100DMA
47.40
Negative
200DMA
49.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.41
Negative
RSI
53.21
Neutral
STOCH
70.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GLP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 43.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.83, below the 50-day MA of 44.59, and below the 200-day MA of 49.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GLP.

Global Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.99B6.4017.02%3.47%-20.11%-26.44%
76
Outperform
$2.62B12.0611.43%6.24%-23.59%-57.70%
73
Outperform
$2.45B14.849.71%-1.78%9.32%
72
Outperform
$2.09B10.4818.81%5.68%-16.45%23.94%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
57
Neutral
$1.50B21.0311.24%6.80%4.10%-36.72%
49
Neutral
$1.91B-11.88%4.23%-36.47%-75.37%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GLP
Global Partners
43.98
-8.61
-16.37%
DHT
DHT Holdings
13.03
4.23
48.07%
GEL
Genesis Energy
15.59
4.23
37.24%
TNK
Teekay Tankers
57.67
19.49
51.05%
DKL
Delek Logistics
45.84
9.84
27.33%
INSW
International Seaways
52.97
17.93
51.17%

Global Partners Corporate Events

Global Partners’ Earnings Call: Mixed Results and Strategic Moves
Nov 9, 2025

Global Partners’ recent earnings call painted a mixed picture for investors, with notable strengths and weaknesses. The company showcased strong performance in its Wholesale segment and strategic expansions, yet faced challenges with declining net income, distributable cash flow, and GDSO product margins. Additionally, there was an increase in SG&A expenses and a decrease in retail site count, reflecting a complex financial landscape.

Global Partners LP Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 8, 2025

Global Partners LP, a Fortune 500 company, is a leading integrated owner, supplier, and operator of liquid energy terminals, fueling locations, and retail experiences across the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Texas. The company is recognized for its extensive terminal network and focus on energy distribution, including gasoline, distillates, and renewable fuels.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Global Partners Reports Strong Q3 2025 Wholesale Performance
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

Global Partners reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting strong performance in its Wholesale segment due to the expansion of its terminal network. Despite a decrease in net income and EBITDA compared to the same period in 2024, the company remains focused on disciplined operations and asset optimization to drive sustainable growth. The Gasoline Distribution and Station Operations segment experienced lower fuel margins, but total sales increased to $4.7 billion, with a notable rise in wholesale segment sales and volume.

The most recent analyst rating on (GLP) stock is a Hold with a $53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Partners stock, see the GLP Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Global Partners Announces Quarterly Cash Distribution
Neutral
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Global Partners LP announced a quarterly cash distribution of $0.7550 per unit for the period from July 1, 2025, through September 30, 2025. The distribution will be paid on November 14, 2025, to unitholders of record as of November 10, 2025. This announcement includes a notice for brokers and nominees handling units for non-U.S. investors, indicating that distributions are subject to federal income tax withholding.

The most recent analyst rating on (GLP) stock is a Hold with a $53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Partners stock, see the GLP Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Global Partners Announces Quarterly Cash Distribution
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Global Partners LP announced a quarterly cash distribution of $0.59375 per unit on its 9.50% fixed-rate Series B preferred units for the period from August 15 to November 14, 2025. The distribution will be paid on November 17, 2025, to unitholders of record as of November 3, 2025. This announcement underscores Global Partners’ commitment to providing returns to its investors and reflects its stable financial performance. Additionally, the company provided withholding information for non-U.S. investors, indicating the distributions are subject to federal income tax withholding.

The most recent analyst rating on (GLP) stock is a Hold with a $53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Partners stock, see the GLP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025