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Global Partners Lp (GLP)
NYSE:GLP
US Market

Global Partners (GLP) AI Stock Analysis

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Global Partners

(NYSE:GLP)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$57.00
▲(10.38%Upside)
Global Partners LP's stock is evaluated at a score of 66.9, reflecting a combination of mixed financial performance and positive strategic initiatives. The company's strong earnings call results and effective debt restructuring efforts are key strengths. However, leverage risks and inconsistent cash flow growth warrant cautious optimism.
Positive Factors
Infrastructure Flexibility
Global's infrastructure system is flexible and can source crude from numerous supply points, such as the US, Canada, Europe, and the Caribbean.
Market Performance
GLP units have increased 23% compared to the AMZ's 10% increase.
Mergers and Acquisitions
Management believes the M&A market continues to be busy and will continue to look at deals that provide value to the partnership.
Negative Factors
Canadian Tariffs
GLP is currently evaluating potential scenarios around Canadian tariffs, as increased costs are likely.
Financial Performance
GLP posted 4Q24 results below expectations, driven by lower fuel margins in GDSO.
Valuation
GLP is considered fairly valued, leading to a downgrade from Buy to Hold.

Global Partners (GLP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Global Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGlobal Partners LP (GLP) is a leading energy supply company that operates across various sectors, including petroleum product distribution, logistics, and convenience retail. The company specializes in the wholesale distribution of gasoline, diesel, and other refined petroleum products. Additionally, GLP engages in the ownership and operation of gasoline stations with convenience stores, providing essential services to consumers across the United States.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobal Partners LP generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily focusing on the wholesale distribution and retail sale of petroleum products. The company earns income by purchasing gasoline and other refined products at lower prices and selling them at a markup to retail outlets, including the convenience stores it owns and operates. GLP also profits from logistic services, such as transporting and storing fuel products. Strategic partnerships with oil producers and retailers, along with a vast network of storage and distribution facilities, significantly contribute to GLP's earnings by ensuring a steady supply and efficient delivery of energy products.

Global Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.53%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reveals a strong first quarter with significant improvements in net income and EBITDA. The wholesale segment and gasoline distribution business performed well, contributing to overall growth. However, there were challenges with decreased station operations product margin and increased expenses. Overall, the highlights notably outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Net income for Q1 2025 was $18.7 million, a significant improvement from a net loss of $5.6 million in Q1 2024. EBITDA increased to $91.9 million from $56.9 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased to $91.1 million from $56 million.
Increased Cash Distribution
The Board increased the quarterly cash distribution on common units to $0.7450 per unit, equating to $2.98 on an annualized basis. The distribution will be paid on May 15th to unitholders as of May 9th.
Wholesale Segment Growth
First quarter 2025 product margin in the wholesale segment increased by $44.2 million to $93.6 million, driven by more favorable market conditions and strategic acquisitions of terminals.
Gasoline Distribution Success
Product margin from gasoline distribution increased by $4.2 million to $125.8 million, with fuel margins increasing $0.02 per gallon to $0.35 in Q1 2025 from $0.33 in Q1 2024.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Station Operations Product Margin
Station operations product margin decreased by $4 million to $62.1 million in Q1 2025 due to the sales and conversions of certain company-operated sites.
Increased Operating and Interest Expenses
Operating expenses increased by $6.6 million to $126.7 million, and interest expense was $36 million, up $6.3 million from last year, primarily due to higher average balances on credit facilities.
Company Guidance
During the Global Partners First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics demonstrating significant growth. Net income for the quarter was $18.7 million, a notable recovery from a net loss of $5.6 million in the previous year. EBITDA rose to $91.9 million from $56.9 million, while adjusted EBITDA increased to $91.1 million from $56 million. Distributable cash flow was $45.7 million, up from $15.8 million, and adjusted ECF reached $46.4 million compared to $16 million last year. The wholesale segment was highlighted as the primary growth driver, with product margin increasing by $44.2 million to $93.6 million. The gasoline distribution product margin rose by $4.2 million to $125.8 million, largely due to improved fuel margins, which increased by $0.02 to $0.35 per gallon. Despite a $4 million decrease in station operations product margin to $62.1 million, the company remained focused on portfolio optimization, including a reduction of 40 company-operated sites. The company also announced an increased quarterly cash distribution on common units to $0.7450 per unit, equating to $2.98 on an annualized basis, reflecting its commitment to returning cash to unitholders.

Global Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Global Partners exhibits a mixed financial landscape. While revenue growth is strong at 26.71%, profitability margins are under pressure and the high debt-to-equity ratio poses leverage risks. Cash flow volatility could impact future investments.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Global Partners shows a mixed performance in their income statement. Gross profit margin and EBIT margin have experienced fluctuations over the years, with the TTM figures indicating some recovery. However, net profit margin has decreased significantly compared to previous years. Revenue growth from the previous year to TTM is strong at 26.71%, indicating a positive trajectory in revenue generation.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a stable yet concerning position with a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage risk. The equity ratio is relatively low, showing limited equity relative to total assets. Return on equity has been declining, suggesting challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates volatility with free cash flow showing significant fluctuations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting effective cash generation from operations relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, which could pose challenges for future investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.75B17.16B16.49B18.88B13.25B8.32B
Gross Profit965.14M1.06B513.83M1.10B719.26M721.14M
EBITDA424.31M389.39M356.36M565.08M244.46M285.24M
Net Income131.98M107.69M152.51M362.21M60.80M102.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.47B3.79B3.45B3.16B2.83B2.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments72.82M8.21M19.64M4.04M10.85M9.71M
Total Debt1.80B2.03B1.54B1.43B1.57B1.49B
Total Liabilities2.70B3.07B2.65B2.37B2.30B2.05B
Stockholders Equity762.08M713.52M798.83M788.44M-1.90M1.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow65.87M-286.78M110.42M373.20M-51.50M236.19M
Operating Cash Flow170.52M31.60M512.44M480.00M50.22M312.53M
Investing Cash Flow-303.86M-276.87M-492.38M-236.19M-115.05M-69.73M
Financing Cash Flow75.80M233.84M-4.46M-250.61M65.97M-245.13M

Global Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price51.64
Price Trends
50DMA
51.68
Positive
100DMA
52.45
Negative
200DMA
50.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Positive
RSI
48.28
Neutral
STOCH
22.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GLP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 51.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.66, below the 50-day MA of 51.68, and above the 200-day MA of 50.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GLP.

Global Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DKDKL
72
Outperform
$2.29B14.31542.39%10.38%-8.79%7.75%
67
Neutral
$14.88B9.776.38%5.30%4.12%-66.77%
GLGLP
67
Neutral
$1.76B16.3916.23%5.77%6.04%18.28%
GEGEL
55
Neutral
$2.05B-14.83%3.94%-17.81%-590.48%
50
Neutral
$118.34M33.55-6.93%0.66%-2.03%-348.43%
NGNGL
44
Neutral
$559.73M4.63%-19.76%-323.41%
SMSMC
41
Neutral
$443.99M5.86-28.13%-4.69%-418.50%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GLP
Global Partners
52.41
9.97
23.49%
GEL
Genesis Energy
17.32
3.63
26.52%
MMLP
Martin Midstream
3.04
-0.19
-5.88%
NGL
NGL Energy Partners
4.33
-0.43
-9.03%
SMC
Summit Midstream
25.27
-9.27
-26.84%
DKL
Delek Logistics
43.76
7.86
21.89%

Global Partners Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Partners Completes $450M Senior Notes Placement
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

On June 23, 2025, Global Partners LP and GLP Finance Corp. completed a private placement of $450 million in senior notes due 2033, with an interest rate of 7.125% per annum. The proceeds from this issuance were used to fund a cash tender offer for the company’s outstanding 7.00% senior notes due 2027 and to repay part of the borrowings under the company’s credit agreement. This strategic financial maneuver is expected to optimize the company’s debt structure and potentially improve its financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (GLP) stock is a Hold with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Partners stock, see the GLP Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Partners Announces Tender Offer Results
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Global Partners LP announced the expiration and results of its cash tender offer to purchase outstanding 7.00% senior notes due 2027, which expired on June 16, 2025. The company received valid tenders for 90.08% of the principal amount, amounting to $360.316 million. Global Partners plans to use proceeds from the issuance of new 7.125% senior unsecured notes due 2033 to finance the purchase of the tendered notes, with the transaction expected to close on June 23, 2025. This move is part of Global’s strategic financial management to optimize its debt structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GLP) stock is a Hold with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Partners stock, see the GLP Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Partners Announces Cash Tender Offer Pricing
Neutral
Jun 16, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Global Partners LP announced the pricing terms of a cash tender offer to purchase all outstanding 7.00% senior notes due 2027. The offer, which was scheduled to expire on the same day, is part of a strategic move to manage the company’s debt, with potential implications for its financial stability and market positioning. The company plans to fund the purchase with proceeds from a contemporaneous senior notes offering, and if not all notes are purchased, intends to redeem any remaining notes by August 1, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (GLP) stock is a Hold with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Partners stock, see the GLP Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Partners Announces $450M Senior Notes Sale
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Global Partners LP announced a purchase agreement to sell $450 million in senior notes due 2033, with the proceeds aimed at funding a tender offer for its existing $400 million senior notes due 2027 and repaying part of its credit agreement borrowings. This strategic financial maneuver is expected to optimize the company’s debt profile and potentially enhance its market positioning by addressing its outstanding obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GLP) stock is a Hold with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Partners stock, see the GLP Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Partners Announces $400M Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Global Partners LP announced its intention to initiate a private offering of $400 million in senior unsecured notes due 2033. The proceeds from this offering, along with cash on hand, are intended to fund a cash tender offer to purchase all outstanding $400 million of its 7.00% senior notes due 2027. If the tender offer is not fully completed, Global plans to use the remaining proceeds to redeem any outstanding 2027 notes by August 1, 2025. This strategic financial move is aimed at optimizing the company’s debt structure and potentially improving its financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (GLP) stock is a Hold with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Partners stock, see the GLP Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Global Partners Appoints New Vice Chairman
Neutral
May 30, 2025

On May 25, 2025, Global Partners LP, a company involved in the energy industry, announced the appointment of Thomas P. Jalkut to its Board following the passing of Richard Slifka. Mr. Jalkut, a partner at Nutter McClennen and Fish LLP, brings extensive experience in estate planning and trust administration. Eric Slifka has been appointed as the new Chairman, while Mr. Jalkut will serve as Vice Chairman, potentially impacting the company’s governance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GLP) stock is a Hold with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Partners stock, see the GLP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Global Partners Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Global Partners LP reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with a net income of $18.7 million compared to a net loss in the same period of 2024. The company’s diversified portfolio, particularly its Wholesale segment, showed robust performance due to favorable market conditions and strategic asset integration. The results highlight Global Partners’ ability to leverage its integrated model and scale to capitalize on market opportunities, positioning it for continued growth and resilience amidst market volatility.

Dividends
Global Partners Announces Q1 2025 Cash Distribution
Positive
Apr 25, 2025

On April 25, 2025, Global Partners LP announced a quarterly cash distribution of $0.7450 per unit for the first quarter of 2025. The distribution, amounting to $2.98 on an annualized basis, will be paid on May 15, 2025, to unitholders of record as of May 9, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its stakeholders and maintaining its position as a key player in the energy sector.

DividendsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Global Partners Announces Quarterly Cash Distribution
Positive
Apr 14, 2025

On April 14, 2025, Global Partners LP announced a quarterly cash distribution of $0.59375 per unit for its 9.50% fixed-rate Series B preferred units, covering the period from February 15, 2025, to May 14, 2025. This distribution will be paid on May 15, 2025, to unitholders of record as of May 1, 2025. This announcement highlights the company’s commitment to returning value to its investors, while also providing important tax withholding information for non-U.S. investors, indicating the company’s proactive approach to compliance and investor relations.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Partners Announces New Senior VP of Legal
Neutral
Apr 11, 2025

On April 9, 2025, Global Partners LP announced that Sean T. Geary will resign as Chief Legal Officer effective January 1, 2026, but will remain as a Senior Legal Advisor. Kristin Seabrook will join as Senior Vice President of Legal Transformation on April 14, 2025, and will succeed Geary as Chief Legal Officer on January 1, 2026. Seabrook’s expertise in mergers and acquisitions, compliance, and corporate governance is expected to drive Global’s growth and transformation, supporting its strategy of acquiring, investing, and optimizing to deliver long-term value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025