Genesis Energy (GEL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $2.13B
• Dividend Yield: 3.79%
• Average Volume (3M): 542.61K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.62
• Revenue Growth: -17.81%
• EPS Growth: -590.48%
• Country: US
• Employees: 2,055
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 55
• Industry: Oil & Gas Midstream
• EPS (TTM): -0.60
• Shares Outstanding: 122,424,324
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 315,782
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 542,609
• PEG Ratio: 0.03
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.12
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -6.34
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.62
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.48
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 19.08
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 2.51
• 1Y Price Target: $16.00
• Price Target Upside: -6.32% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 55 Neutral
• Price Target: $17.50 ▲(2.46%Upside)

The overall stock score for Genesis Energy is impacted by significant financial challenges and a concerning valuation. However, strong technical indicators and a positive earnings call outlook, including strategic exits and promising projects, provide some optimism.

Positive Factors

Debt Reduction

The company is expected to have significant financial flexibility with substantial debt reduction and preferred repurchases projected in the coming years.

De-leveraging Path

Genesis Energy has undertaken a clear path to de-leveraging, using cash proceeds to pay down significant portions of debt and reducing annual expense.

EBITDA Growth

Genesis Energy has visible EBITDA growth tied to Gulf of Mexico volume ramp with modest capital expenditure and a robust free cash flow yield.

Financial Flexibility

The company has significant financial flexibility, with forecasts indicating substantial free cash flow generation and planned reduction in leverage over the coming years.

Negative Factors

Free Cash Flow

The free cash flow yield is believed to be unsustainable and is expected to compress more in line with peers.

Free Cash Flow Sustainability

The current free cash flow yield is seen as unsustainable and expected to compress to align with industry peers.

Genesis Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Genesis Energy, L.P. operates in the midstream segment of the crude oil and natural gas industry. The company's Offshore Pipeline Transportation segment engages in offshore crude oil and natural gas pipeline transportation and handling operations; and in the deepwater pipeline servicing in the southern Keathley Canyon area of the Gulf of Mexico. This segment owns interests in approximately 1,422 miles of crude oil pipelines located offshore in the Gulf of Mexico. Its Sodium Minerals and Sulfur Services segment offers sulfur-extraction services to refining operations; and operates storage and transportation assets. This segment provides services to ten refining operations; and sells sodium hydrosulfide and caustic soda to industrial and commercial companies involved in the mining of base metals. Its Onshore Facilities and Transportation segment offers onshore facilities and transportation services to Gulf Coast crude oil refineries and producers by purchasing, transporting, storing, blending, and marketing crude oil and refined products. It operates trucks, trailers, railcars, and terminals and tankage with 4.2 million barrels of storage capacity in various locations along the Gulf Coast. This segment also transports crude oil. It owns four onshore crude oil pipeline systems with approximately 450 miles of pipe in Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas; and four operational crude oil rail unloading facilities in Baton Rouge, Raceland, and Louisiana, as well as Walnut Hill, Florida and Natchez, Mississippi. Its Marine Transportation segment offers waterborne transportation of petroleum and crude oil in North America. This segment owns a fleet of 91 barges with a combined transportation capacity of 3.2 million barrels; and 42 push/tow boats. In addition, the company produces natural soda ash. Genesis Energy, LLC serves as a general partner of the company. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

Genesis Energy generates revenue through a variety of midstream energy services. The company earns money from its offshore pipeline transportation segment by transporting crude oil and other hydrocarbons from offshore production facilities to onshore terminals and refineries. In its sodium minerals and sulfur services segment, Genesis Energy produces and markets sodium hydrosulfide and other related products, which are used in industries like mining and pulp and paper. The onshore facilities and transportation segment includes the company's oil and gas storage and terminaling services, as well as trucking and logistics services for the transportation of energy products. Additionally, Genesis Energy's marine transportation segment provides transportation of crude oil, refined products, and other liquid commodities via its fleet of barges and vessels. The company's revenue model is further supported by strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with major energy producers and refiners, which provide stable cash flows and mitigate exposure to market volatility.

Genesis Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Genesis Energy faces significant financial challenges with negative profitability, high leverage, and cash flow difficulties. Despite some operational improvements, such as better EBITDA margins, the company's high debt levels and cash flow management issues need addressing to stabilize its financial position.

Income Statement

Genesis Energy's income statement reveals a challenging financial position. The TTM data shows a negative net income, indicating losses, and a declining gross profit margin from previous periods. Revenue has been decreasing with a negative growth rate compared to the prior year. Furthermore, negative EBIT and EBITDA margins in previous years highlight operational inefficiencies, but there has been some improvement in the TTM period.

Balance Sheet

Genesis Energy's balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting significant leverage and financial risk. The equity ratio indicates a low proportion of equity financing, which can be risky. The consistent reduction in stockholders' equity further emphasizes financial instability, though there is a slight improvement in the recent TTM data.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement indicates a negative free cash flow in the TTM period, with fluctuations in capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash from operations despite net losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, highlighting ongoing cash flow challenges.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.59B	2.97B	3.18B	2.79B	2.13B	1.82B
Gross Profit	292.53M	318.48M	395.20M	341.61M	136.88M	113.83M
EBITDA	507.49M	580.28M	661.64M	571.22M	385.44M	115.25M
Net Income	-544.38M	-63.95M	117.72M	129.13M	-138.03M	-400.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.93B	7.04B	7.02B	6.37B	5.91B	5.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	27.02M	10.75M	9.23M	26.57M	24.99M	27.02M
Total Debt	3.39B	4.35B	4.00B	3.46B	2.98B	3.39B
Total Liabilities	4.18B	5.52B	5.31B	4.59B	3.93B	4.18B
Stockholders Equity	1.75B	1.10B	1.34B	6.11M	-5.61M	-9.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-118.01M	-195.21M	-98.89M	-89.80M	36.56M	152.61M
Operating Cash Flow	294.96M	391.93M	521.13M	334.39M	337.95M	296.75M
Investing Cash Flow	538.95M	-552.16M	-593.65M	-374.52M	-274.12M	-103.76M
Financing Cash Flow	-491.40M	161.74M	73.99M	41.70M	-65.86M	-222.38M

Genesis Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 17.08
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GEL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.01, above the 50-day MA of 16.00, and above the 200-day MA of 13.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GEL.

Genesis Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
INSW	81 Outperform	$1.98B	6.19	17.57%	5.99%	-18.74%	-39.64%
TNK	79 Outperform	$1.54B	4.72	18.57%	11.34%	-21.27%	-34.25%
DHT	76 Outperform	$1.80B	10.11	17.04%	5.35%	-5.32%	5.51%
DKL	72 Outperform	$2.37B	14.86	542.39%	10.00%	-8.79%	7.75%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$15.42B	10.07	6.34%	5.16%	4.06%	-67.04%
GLP	67 Neutral	$1.79B	16.67	16.23%	5.76%	6.04%	18.28%
GEL	55 Neutral	$2.13B	―	-14.83%	3.79%	-17.81%	-590.48%

Genesis Energy Corporate Events

Genesis Energy Sells Alkali Business for $1.425 Billion

On February 28, 2025, Genesis Energy completed the sale of its soda ash operations, known as the Alkali Business, to an affiliate of WE Soda Ltd for approximately $1.425 billion. This transaction allows Genesis to focus on its core midstream energy operations and provides financial flexibility to simplify its capital structure, pay down debt, and potentially increase distributions to unitholders.