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National Energy Services Reunited (NESR)
NASDAQ:NESR
US Market

National Energy Services Reunited (NESR) AI Stock Analysis

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NESR

National Energy Services Reunited

(NASDAQ:NESR)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$23.50
▲(13.20% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial strength (lower leverage, positive and improving free cash flow) and strong technical uptrend signals. Earnings call guidance supports continued growth into 2026 with solid cash generation, while a higher P/E and recent margin/cash-conversion softness temper the overall rating.
Positive Factors
Strengthened balance sheet
Material deleveraging and equity growth have reduced financial risk and increased flexibility. Lower leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.29) and management's net-debt target support capacity for disciplined M&A, fleet investment, or tender-backed mobilizations without stressing liquidity over the medium term.
Robust cash generation
Sustained operating cash flow and positive free cash flow signal durable cash-generation capacity to fund capital expenditure, deleveraging and working-capital needs. Management guidance targeting 35–40% free-cash conversion of adjusted EBITDA in 2026 reinforces an enduring focus on cash conversion and capital discipline.
Strategic scale via Jafurah mobilization
On-time mobilization of the sector's largest unconventional frac program gives NESR scale advantages, deeper client ties and long-term revenue visibility. Achieving steady-state operations and incremental fleet additions can lower unit costs, improve margins over time, and strengthen competitive positioning across MENA.
Negative Factors
Margin compression
Sustaining profitability is challenged by mix shifts, country-specific pricing and contract transitions that compressed margins. If pricing or contract mix pressures persist, margin recovery targets may be harder to achieve, limiting durable improvements in return on capital absent sustained operational efficiencies.
Cash-conversion volatility
Working-capital swings and episodic negative FCF historically undermine earnings quality. Inconsistent cash conversion raises the risk that reported profits won’t reliably translate to distributable cash, complicating reinvestment planning and making leverage targets and capital returns more sensitive to operational timing.
Regional execution & timing risk
Concentration in MENA exposes NESR to country-specific mobilization, receivable and vendor risks that have produced one-time charges. Combined with multi-winner tender dynamics and stretched award timing, execution and cash-collection uncertainty can delay revenue realization and compress near-to-medium-term margins.

National Energy Services Reunited (NESR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

National Energy Services Reunited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNational Energy Services Reunited Corp. provides oilfield services to oil and gas companies in the Middle East, North Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. It operates through two segments, Production Services; and Drilling and Evaluation Services. The Production Services segment offers hydraulic fracturing services; coiled tubing services, including nitrogen lifting, fishing, milling, clean-out, scale removal, and other well applications; stimulation and pumping services; primary and remedial cementing services; nitrogen services; filtration services, as well as frac tanks and pumping units; and pipeline services, such as water filling and hydro testing, nitrogen purging, and de-gassing and pressure testing, as well as cutting/welding and cooling down piping/vessels systems. It also provides production assurance chemicals; laboratory services; artificial lift services; and surface and subsurface safety systems, high-pressure packer systems, flow controls, service tools, expandable liner technology, vacuum insulated tubing technology, and engineering capabilities with manufacturing capacity and testing facilities, as well as sources, treats, and disposes water for oil and gas, municipal, and industrial use. The Drilling and Evaluation Services segment offers drilling and workover rigs; rig services; fishing and remedial solutions; directional and turbines drilling services; drilling fluid systems and related technologies; wireline logging services; slickline services for removal of scale, wax and sand build-up, setting plugs, changing out gas lift valves, and fishing and other well applications; and well testing services to measure solids, gas, and oil and water produced from a well, as well as rents drilling tools. It also provides oilfield solutions for thru-tubing intervention; tubular running services; and a range of wellhead products, flow control equipment, and frac equipment. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyNESR makes money by selling oilfield services and related products to oil and gas exploration and production companies under service contracts. Its revenue model is primarily project- and contract-based, with fees earned for executing specific well and field activities (e.g., drilling-related services, well construction and completion work, and production/stimulation operations), as well as charges for associated equipment usage and consumables where applicable. Key revenue streams therefore consist of (1) service fees tied to wellsite execution (often priced per job, per day, per stage, per run, or per unit of work depending on the service line), and (2) product/consumable sales and equipment-related charges bundled into, or billed alongside, those service engagements. Earnings are influenced by customer capital spending and activity levels (rig count, well count, and completion intensity), contract scope and duration, pricing/margins by service line, and utilization of personnel and equipment. Information on any significant partnerships that directly drive NESR’s earnings: null.

National Energy Services Reunited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 17, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong operational and financial progress: record Q4 revenue, robust cash flow conversion, low leverage, successful on‑time mobilization of the strategically important Jafurah frac program, and a sizable regional tender pipeline that supports a higher revenue run-rate and a multi-year growth thesis. Headwinds discussed were largely one-time charges, some country-specific mobilization issues (notably Oman and a vendor bankruptcy provision in Saudi), margin compression in 2025 due to mix, and near-term seasonality (Q1) that will pressure margins before expected sequential improvement. Overall, the positives (record results, cash generation, balance sheet strength, large multi-year market opportunities and Jafurah scale) outweigh the transitory negatives, underpinning a constructive outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Fourth Quarter Revenue
Q4 2025 revenue of $398.3 million — an all-time high — up 34.9% sequentially and 15.9% year-over-year, driven by Jafurah mobilization and strong North Africa activity.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA and Margins in Q4
Q4 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $84.4 million with a margin of 21.2%, broadly in line with Q3 despite higher revenue and competitively priced contract wins.
Solid Full Year Financials and EPS
Full year 2025 revenue of $1.324 billion (+1.7% YoY). Full year adjusted EBITDA $281.4 million with 21.3% margin. Adjusted diluted EPS: $0.32 in Q4 and $0.81 for full year 2025.
Exceptional Cash Flow and Working Capital
Full year 2025 cash flow from operations $264.2 million and free cash flow $120.8 million (≈43% conversion from adjusted EBITDA). Q4 featured record collections and the lowest year-end DSO on record.
Strengthened Balance Sheet and Low Leverage
As of Dec 31, 2025 gross debt $310 million, net debt $185.3 million; net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA 0.66 (well below 1x target). Interest expense fell to $32.5 million for the year (down $7.4 million YoY).
Jafurah Project Mobilized on Schedule with Scale Potential
Largest unconventional frac program in sector history was started on Nov 1, 2025; on plan for safe ramp and operational execution. Management expects a steady state by Q2 and potential to add fleets in Q3–Q4, with long-term optimization estimated to yield up to ~20% incremental efficiency.
Robust Regional Market Backdrop and Tender Pipeline
MENA activity described as steady-to-growing: Kuwait committed $8–10 billion/year upstream through 2030, ADNOC approved $150 billion for 2026–2030, Libya attracted ~$20 billion over 25 years. Company cited $2–3 billion of tenders submitted that could drive growth beyond the original $2 billion revenue target and a path to double the company in a couple of years.
Planned Investment Discipline and 2026 Guidance
2025 CapEx $150.9 million; 2026 expected CapEx ≈ $165 million. Full year 2026 revenue run-rate path toward ~$2 billion and projected free cash flow conversion of ~35%–40% from adjusted EBITDA; margins expected broadly consistent with 2025 with sequential improvement through the year.
Negative Updates
Full-Year Margin Compression
Full year 2025 adjusted EBITDA margins declined by ~250 basis points YoY to 21.3%, attributed to country and segment mix and certain contract transitions (notably in Saudi Arabia).
One-Time Charges Impacting Adjusted EBITDA in Q4
Q4 adjusted EBITDA included $24.1 million of charges and credits: $7.1 million CECL provisions (primarily Oman), $8.1 million impairments on two legacy tech investments, $4.7 million contract mobilization-related restructuring costs (Oman), and $3.7 million in other write-offs (including $3.1 million PPE provision tied to a vendor bankruptcy in Saudi). Management characterized these as predominantly one-time.
Seasonality and Near-Term Margin Pressure
Q1 2026 seasonality (including Ramadan) expected to be the weakest quarter for margins with a muted seasonal revenue drop; margins expected to improve sequentially but Q1 represents a trough.
Saudi Contract Transitions and Rig Count Effects
Full-year growth was partially offset by lower rig counts and contract transition in Saudi Arabia, limiting upside within the region's largest market in 2025.
Operational/Contract Mobilization Risks in Select Markets
Oman mobilization and legacy contract items led to write-offs and CECL provisions, highlighting country-specific execution and receivable risk despite company confidence in collections.
Competitive Tendering and Timing Uncertainty
While $2–3 billion of tenders were submitted, awards are multi-winner and timing stretches across Q1–Q3 2026; some contract start dates may not materially impact 2026 revenue until second half or into 2027, creating execution and timing risk for the growth outlook.
Company Guidance
Management guided that 2026 should be its strongest growth year yet, aiming to exit 2026 at an annualized revenue run‑rate of approximately $2.0 billion; full‑year 2026 EBITDA margins are expected to be broadly consistent with 2025 (~21.3%) with Q1 as the seasonal low and margins improving sequentially through the year (Q1 seasonality to be more muted than prior years). They forecast Q1 interest expense of about $7.5 million and full‑year interest expense of roughly $22 million, an effective tax rate near 22.5%, capital expenditures of ≈$165 million (vs $150.9 million in 2025) with CapEx as a percent of revenue down year‑over‑year, and strong operating cash flow driving free cash‑flow conversion of ~35–40% of adjusted EBITDA in 2026 (versus ~43% in 2025); the company reiterated a leverage target of ≤1.0x net‑debt/adjusted‑EBITDA (net debt $185.3M, gross debt $310M at 12/31/25) and noted trailing ROCE of 10.2%.

National Energy Services Reunited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a multi-year turnaround with sustained profitability, improving leverage (debt-to-equity down to ~0.29 TTM), and solid operating cash flow/free cash flow. The main offsets are margin compression in TTM versus 2024 and weaker cash conversion versus earnings, which reduces earnings-quality confidence.
Income Statement
72
Positive
NESR shows a clear profitability recovery versus 2021–2022 losses, with positive earnings sustained through 2023–TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Revenue has grown meaningfully since 2022, though growth slowed to ~4.3% in TTM. The main soft spot is margin compression: TTM gross margin (~12.4%) and operating profitability (EBIT margin ~5.3%) are notably below 2024 levels, and TTM net margin (~4.9%) also eased, suggesting either pricing, mix, or cost pressure.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Leverage has improved steadily: debt-to-equity fell from ~0.73 (2021) to ~0.29 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), and total debt is down materially versus 2022–2023. Equity has grown and the business is generating positive returns for shareholders again (TTM return on equity ~6.9%), though still moderate and below 2024. Overall, the balance sheet looks healthier with reduced financial risk, but profitability levels need to stay consistent to keep strengthening returns.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is a strength: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is solid (~$264M) and free cash flow is strongly positive (~$121M), with a sharp TTM improvement versus the prior year. However, cash conversion versus reported earnings looks weaker in TTM (free cash flow is only ~27% of net income, down from ~54% in 2024), pointing to working-capital swings or higher cash needs. The company has also shown volatility historically (negative free cash flow in 2022), so consistency remains the key watch item.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Mar 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.32B1.30B1.15B909.52M876.73M
Gross Profit145.96M208.67M129.88M46.61M-15.26M
EBITDA240.05M278.16M217.90M120.17M76.72M
Net Income51.13M76.31M12.58M-36.42M-64.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.85B1.77B1.80B1.83B1.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments124.80M107.96M67.82M78.85M205.77M
Total Debt349.97M409.13M484.75M566.41M595.84M
Total Liabilities883.60M865.45M976.25M1.03B1.01B
Stockholders Equity967.92M908.23M821.49M802.35M821.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow120.79M124.22M108.77M-29.84M20.67M
Operating Cash Flow264.24M229.33M176.96M92.58M127.74M
Investing Cash Flow-152.24M-111.13M-83.46M-146.71M-164.54M
Financing Cash Flow-87.26M-78.06M-104.53M-72.80M167.54M

National Energy Services Reunited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.76
Price Trends
50DMA
20.82
Negative
100DMA
17.39
Positive
200DMA
12.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Positive
RSI
45.49
Neutral
STOCH
34.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NESR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.86, below the 50-day MA of 20.82, and above the 200-day MA of 12.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NESR.

National Energy Services Reunited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$2.09B30.155.41%0.31%33.08%
67
Neutral
$1.40B30.171.97%-1.95%530.91%
66
Neutral
$738.13M-3.63-16.46%-11.02%
66
Neutral
$1.09B-19.011.05%0.17%7307.20%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
$1.52B-94.304.31%2.94%4.20%-59.96%
47
Neutral
$166.51M-5.56-21.91%-18.29%-43.05%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NESR
National Energy Services Reunited
20.76
13.04
168.91%
HLX
Helix Energy
9.48
1.15
13.81%
OIS
Oil States International
12.26
7.00
133.08%
GEOS
Geospace Technologies
12.92
5.56
75.54%
RES
RPC
6.86
1.66
31.85%
TTI
Tetra Technologies
8.11
4.75
141.37%

National Energy Services Reunited Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
National Energy Services Reunited Reports Strong Q4 2025 Results
Positive
Feb 17, 2026

On February 17, 2026, National Energy Services Reunited reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $398.3 million, up 34.9% sequentially and 15.9% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA rising 32% sequentially to $84.4 million and adjusted net income more than doubling to $31.9 million. Despite net income dropping to $7.8 million on impairments, credit loss provisions, and restructuring costs tied mainly to Oman and a vendor bankruptcy in Saudi Arabia, the company generated $264.2 million in operating cash flow and $120.8 million in free cash flow for 2025, cut net debt to $185.3 million, and highlighted record revenues, major contract wins including Saudi Arabia’s Jafurah unconventional development, and a strengthened balance sheet as it enters 2026 with multi-year growth momentum across the MENA region.

Management said 2025 marked a year of disciplined execution, strong cash generation, and significant debt reduction, with adjusted EBITDA margins of 21.2% holding broadly flat even as activity accelerated on recently awarded contracts. Executives pointed to countercyclical investments, growing regional awards beyond Saudi Arabia, and a robust backlog as positioning NESR for a “different gear and scale” in 2026, reinforcing its partnership with Aramco and its competitive standing in MENA energy services while signaling a focus on maintaining margins, improving working capital, and enhancing returns on capital for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (NESR) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on National Energy Services Reunited stock, see the NESR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026