NioCorp Developments (NB) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $704.30M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 5.98M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.18
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: 7
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Industrial Materials
• EPS (TTM): -0.06
• Shares Outstanding: 125,321,175
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 3,513,708
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 5,975,842
• PEG Ratio: -0.40
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.71
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -9.85
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.15
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: -108.82K
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -1.81
• 1Y Price Target: $13.13
• Price Target Upside: 145.88% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 47 Neutral
• Price Target: $5.50 ▲(3.00% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/07/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/07/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, large losses, and ongoing cash burn), with valuation also constrained by negative earnings and no dividend yield data. Technical signals are neutral-to-weak, while recent corporate actions provide some strategic upside and capital-access flexibility but do not offset execution and financing risk.

Positive Factors

Vertical integration via FEA Materials acquisition

The FEA Materials acquisition gives NioCorp manufacturing assets and IP to produce Al‑Sc master alloy domestically. That creates upstream-to-downstream optionality, reduces reliance on external alloy suppliers, and supports long‑term demand from defense/commercial markets if Elk Creek ore and project financing advance.

Low reported leverage today

Current low reported debt provides near‑term financial flexibility versus highly leveraged peers, lowering interest burdens and giving management more runway to pursue permitting and engineering. This reduces immediate solvency pressure while the company advances project milestones, although future financing remains likely.

Established equity financing mechanisms (S-3, SEPA)

Active S‑3 registration and a standby equity purchase agreement give structural access to capital without negotiating new programs each raise. That persistent financing capability materially reduces the risk of being unable to fund multi‑year project development, supporting continued advancement of Elk Creek and related downstream plans.

Negative Factors

Pre-revenue status with large net losses

NioCorp remains pre‑revenue and recorded a sizable TTM net loss (~$55.5M), showing the company has not yet converted development into commercial sales. This fundamental gap means value depends on successful project execution and financing, increasing long‑term risk until steady revenues materialize.

Persistent negative operating and free cash flow

Sustained negative operating and free cash flow demonstrate the business cannot self‑fund development and requires external capital to progress. Continued cash burn pressures liquidity, may force dilutive raises or expensive financing, and constrains the company's ability to meet multi‑year permitting and construction timelines without compromise.

Capital structure volatility and execution/financing risk

Past swings from negative equity to high leverage show management has repeatedly relied on external financing, reflecting execution and financing risk. Such volatility can limit negotiating power with lenders/investors, raise dilution risk, and threaten project timelines if market conditions tighten or financing terms worsen.

NioCorp Developments Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

NioCorp Developments Ltd. engages in the exploration and development of mineral deposits in North America. It owns and develops the Elk Creek niobium/scandium/titanium project that owns one 226.43-acre parcel of land and associated mineral rights, and an additional 40 acres of mineral rights, as well as an optioned land package that covers an area of 1,396 acres located in Johnson County, southeast Nebraska. The company was formerly known as Quantum Rare Earth Developments Corp. and changed its name to NioCorp Developments Ltd. in March 2013. NioCorp Developments Ltd. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado.

How the Company Makes Money

NioCorp Developments Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Pre-revenue profile with persistent, volatile losses (TTM net loss about $55.5M) and negative operating profit. Cash burn remains significant (TTM operating cash flow about -$16.2M; free cash flow about -$30.2M). The key offset is low current debt versus equity (about $0.4M debt vs ~$308.7M equity), but historical leverage/equity swings increase financing risk if losses continue.

Income Statement

TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show no revenue and persistent losses, with a large net loss (about $55.5M) and deeply negative operating profit. Losses have been volatile across the annual periods (widening sharply in 2023, improving in 2024–2025), but the core issue remains: the company has not yet demonstrated a revenue base or a path to operating profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is currently positioned with very low debt versus equity in TTM (about $0.4M debt against ~$308.7M equity), indicating limited leverage and stronger financial flexibility today. That said, the history shows meaningful instability—equity was negative in 2023 and leverage was very high in 2024—highlighting that the capital structure has swung significantly over time and could do so again if losses continue.

Cash Flow

Cash generation remains a key weakness: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is negative (~$16.2M) and free cash flow is also negative (~$30.2M), indicating ongoing cash burn to fund operations and investment. While free cash flow can look “better than earnings” mechanically because both are negative, the practical takeaway is that the business is not self-funding yet and cash needs may persist unless revenue ramps or spending falls.

Breakdown	TTM	Jun 2025	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Gross Profit	-1.00K	-3.00K	-4.16M	0.00	-3.00K	0.00
EBITDA	-60.03M	-17.93M	-7.54M	-38.27M	-8.06M	-3.28M
Net Income	-55.46M	-16.30M	-11.44M	-40.08M	-10.89M	-4.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	348.01M	43.82M	20.07M	20.93M	22.76M	24.47M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	306.36M	25.55M	2.01M	2.34M	5.28M	7.32M
Total Debt	413.00K	131.00K	7.86M	10.80M	4.27M	10.85M
Total Liabilities	39.97M	14.66M	17.54M	29.80M	5.09M	11.26M
Stockholders Equity	308.70M	28.32M	1.00M	-10.97M	17.66M	13.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-43.54M	-10.66M	-11.73M	-17.30M	-6.17M	-11.03M
Operating Cash Flow	-16.19M	-10.66M	-11.73M	-17.30M	-6.15M	-4.73M
Investing Cash Flow	-23.03M	-7.00K	0.00	21.00K	-16.00K	-6.30M
Financing Cash Flow	345.10M	34.21M	11.40M	14.64M	4.30M	18.07M

NioCorp Developments Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
NEXA	61 Neutral	$1.50B	-93.80	-1.64%	1.14%	7.92%	91.83%
CMP	55 Neutral	$989.23M	-24.73	-14.48%	―	11.32%	61.60%
ABAT	54 Neutral	$482.06M	-9.18	-43.52%	―	821.40%	44.70%
GSM	50 Neutral	$936.86M	-5.50	-24.17%	1.17%	-16.89%	-403.77%
NB	47 Neutral	$704.30M	-6.65	-34.72%	―	―	―
IONR	44 Neutral	$313.38M	―	-4.25%	―	―	-10.45%

NioCorp Developments Corporate Events

NioCorp Developments Advances Capital Access with S-3 Filings

NioCorp Developments Ltd. has filed several key exhibits in connection with its Registration Statement on Form S-3, including a Standby Equity Purchase Agreement dated January 26, 2023 with YA II PN, Ltd., an Amendment No. 1 to that agreement dated May 3, 2024, and a legal opinion and consent from Blake, Cassels & Graydon LLP. These filings outline the company’s equity financing arrangements and provide requisite legal support for its shelf registration, signaling ongoing efforts to secure flexible access to capital and maintain compliance with U.S. securities regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (NB) stock is a Hold with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NioCorp Developments stock, see the NB Stock Forecast page.

NioCorp Developments Completes Acquisition of FEA Materials

On December 4, 2025, NioCorp Advanced Metals and Alloys, a subsidiary of NioCorp Developments, acquired the manufacturing assets and intellectual property of FEA Materials for $8.4 million. This acquisition is expected to enable NioCorp to produce aluminum-scandium master alloy in the U.S., positioning the company to establish the first vertically integrated scandium supply chain in the country. The move is part of NioCorp’s broader strategy to support growing defense and commercial market demand and to potentially produce finished Al-Sc alloy parts in the U.S. This strategic acquisition aligns with NioCorp’s plans to mine scandium-containing ore and produce scandium oxide at its Elk Creek Project in Nebraska, contingent on final financing and construction.

The most recent analyst rating on (NB) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NioCorp Developments stock, see the NB Stock Forecast page.