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Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)
NYSE:CMP

Compass Minerals International (CMP) AI Stock Analysis

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CMP

Compass Minerals International

(NYSE:CMP)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(6.93% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/25/26
The score reflects improving fundamentals and outlook (positive free cash flow, raised FY2026 EBITDA guidance, and evidence of deleveraging), balanced by elevated balance-sheet risk from high leverage and still-incomplete earnings recovery. Technicals are modestly supportive with price above key moving averages, and valuation appears reasonable with a ~11x P/E.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Sustained positive operating cash flow and free cash flow provide durable internal funding for capex, working capital and debt reduction. Over the next 2–6 months this supports continued deleveraging, liquidity for seasonal operations, and reduces reliance on external financing.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Elevated leverage limits strategic flexibility and raises vulnerability to interest-rate shifts or earnings setbacks. Even with recent improvement, high debt ratios constrain capital allocation, increase refinancing risk, and could pressure liquidity if margins or seasonality reverse.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
Sustained positive operating cash flow and free cash flow provide durable internal funding for capex, working capital and debt reduction. Over the next 2–6 months this supports continued deleveraging, liquidity for seasonal operations, and reduces reliance on external financing.
Read all positive factors

Compass Minerals International (CMP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Compass Minerals International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Compass Minerals International, Inc., produces and sells essential minerals primarily in the United States, Canada, Brazil, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Salt, Plant Nutrition North America, and Plant...
How the Company Makes Money
Compass Minerals makes money primarily by selling mineral products across two main revenue streams: (1) Salt and (2) Plant Nutrition. In its Salt business, the company generates revenue from the sale of highway deicing salt (often through seasonal...

Compass Minerals International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsCompass Minerals' revenue in the United States shows volatility but recently surged in Q1 2025, aligning with improved operating income and EBITDA. Canada also saw a significant revenue boost in the same period. Despite a stable performance in other regions, the absence of revenue from Brazil remains notable. The earnings call highlights strategic refinancing and cost management as key drivers of financial improvement, although pricing pressures in the Salt business and rising distribution costs in Plant Nutrition pose ongoing challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Compass Minerals International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed clear operational and financial progress: return to quarterly profitability, adjusted EBITDA doubling, meaningful deleveraging, raised full-year guidance, and strong Plant Nutrition momentum (SOP price +13%, improved margins). Offsetting these positives are operational constraints at Goderich (development-related lower short-term production and unplanned downtime), higher distribution costs, a deliberate inventory strategy that may limit ability to meet surge demand, and some near-term SOP volume reductions due to the Wynyard sale. On balance, the improvements in profitability, cash/liquidity position, margin guidance, and cost control outweigh the near-term operational and logistics challenges.
Positive Updates
Return to Profitability
Reported positive quarterly net income of $0.43 (versus a net loss of $0.57 a year ago) — first positive quarterly net income since 2023.
Negative Updates
Limited Ability to Meet Excess In-Season Demand
Inventory management strategy (aligning inventory to expected demand) and placement decisions could preclude meeting excessive demand in fiscal 2026, leaving the company constrained during surges in regional winter weather.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Return to Profitability
Reported positive quarterly net income of $0.43 (versus a net loss of $0.57 a year ago) — first positive quarterly net income since 2023.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Compass tightened and raised its FY2026 outlook, lifting the company adjusted EBITDA midpoint to $224 million (company range $208–$240M), driven by Salt guidance of $230–$252M (Salt adj. EBITDA margin ~+200 bps YoY) and Plant Nutrition guidance of $34–$39M (midpoint $37M, ~8% midpoint improvement and >300 bps margin improvement YoY despite the announced $30.8M Wynyard sale). The update is supported by Q1 momentum — adjusted EBITDA doubled to $65M and reported EPS was $0.43 vs. a $0.57 loss a year ago — plus Salt revenue of $332M (volumes +37%; highway deicing +43%, C&I +14%), Salt operating earnings/ton $14.33 (+22%) and adj. EBITDA/ton $19.61 (+2%), SOP average price $687/ton (+13%), product cost/ton trends (Salt $50.20, down 7%; Plant $520, down 2%), and a stronger balance sheet with $342M liquidity (cash $47M, revolver ~$295M) and net debt/TTM adj. EBITDA improved to 3.6x from 5.3x.

Compass Minerals International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Turnaround is underway with TTM revenue up 7.1%, EBITDA/EBIT back to positive, and free cash flow positive ($94.1M). Offsetting this, net income is still negative (about -2.8% margin) and leverage remains a key constraint with very high debt-to-equity (~3.44x), limiting financial flexibility.
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Balance Sheet
32
Negative
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.33B1.24B1.12B1.20B1.25B836.20M
Gross Profit219.60M190.70M195.00M232.00M199.80M170.00M
EBITDA149.10M118.00M-13.70M181.70M168.20M173.10M
Net Income-37.60M-79.80M-206.10M10.50M-21.10M-213.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.53B1.52B1.64B1.82B1.65B1.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments46.70M59.70M20.20M38.70M46.10M18.10M
Total Debt896.90M847.70M933.90M805.30M947.60M935.40M
Total Liabilities1.27B1.29B1.32B1.30B1.39B1.34B
Stockholders Equity260.50M234.10M316.60M521.00M265.20M293.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow94.10M128.00M-99.80M-48.30M23.80M90.90M
Operating Cash Flow164.80M197.70M14.40M106.00M120.40M154.70M
Investing Cash Flow-51.10M-50.00M-116.10M-177.90M-79.90M284.20M
Financing Cash Flow-114.30M-108.30M83.10M64.00M-14.30M-439.60M

Compass Minerals International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.38
Price Trends
50DMA
23.80
Negative
100DMA
21.67
Positive
200DMA
20.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
50.50
Neutral
STOCH
53.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.09, below the 50-day MA of 23.80, and above the 200-day MA of 20.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMP.

Compass Minerals International Risk Analysis

Compass Minerals International disclosed 7 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Compass Minerals International reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Compass Minerals International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$978.76M11.11-15.33%11.32%61.60%
58
Neutral
$1.46B8.8414.19%1.14%7.92%91.83%
55
Neutral
$1.19B-143.02-6.14%240.12%0.98%
50
Neutral
$742.77M-5.12-22.22%1.17%-16.89%-403.77%
49
Neutral
$358.25M-11.63-46.98%821.40%44.70%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMP
Compass Minerals International
23.38
14.18
154.13%
GSM
Ferroglobe
3.98
0.59
17.33%
UAMY
United States Antimony
8.30
5.97
256.22%
NEXA
Nexa Resources SA
10.99
4.92
80.99%
ABAT
American Battery Technology
2.72
1.71
169.31%
CRML
Critical Metals Corp
8.31
6.74
429.30%

Compass Minerals International Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Compass Minerals Accelerates Debt Redemption and Deleveraging Strategy
Positive
Mar 24, 2026
Compass Minerals International, Inc., a global supplier of salt and plant nutrition products serving transportation, consumer, industrial and agricultural markets across the U.S., Canada and the U.K., operates 11 production and packaging facilitie...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Compass Minerals Shareholders Back Board, Pay and Auditor
Positive
Mar 10, 2026
On March 5, 2026, Compass Minerals International, Inc. held its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders, at which shareholders elected nine director nominees, including Edward C. Dowling, Jr., Russell Ball, and Mark Roberts, to serve until the next an...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 25, 2026