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Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)
NYSE:CMP

Compass Minerals International (CMP) AI Stock Analysis

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CMP

Compass Minerals International

(NYSE:CMP)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▼(-1.10% Downside)
The score is held back mainly by weak financial performance (net losses and high leverage), partially offset by improving cash-flow trends and positive earnings-call momentum (debt and cost reductions with higher EBITDA guidance). Technicals are supportive with the stock above key moving averages, but overbought indicators add near-term risk, and valuation is constrained by negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Improving Cash Generation
Consistent free cash flow improvement and strong operating cash relative to net income provide durable financial flexibility. This supports capex funding, debt repayment, and operational resilience through cycles, reducing need for dilutive financing and enabling strategic reinvestment.
Operational and Cost Discipline
Material EBITDA recovery alongside meaningful SG&A cuts indicates management is executing efficiency and margin-restoration initiatives. These structural improvements can sustainably lift cash flow and profitability if maintained, accelerating deleveraging and reinvestment capacity over the next several quarters.
Stable, Essential Market Position
Compass operates in essential, non-discretionary markets (road deicing, industrial salt, crop nutrition). Diverse end-markets and distributor relationships provide structural revenue stability and recurring demand across seasons and geographies, anchoring long-term cash flow predictability.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
Very high leverage materially increases interest and refinancing risk, constrains strategic flexibility, and raises vulnerability to demand shocks. Over the medium term this limits capital allocation options and forces prioritization of debt service over growth or shareholder returns.
Persistent Profitability Shortfall
Ongoing net losses and subpar gross margins indicate structural cost or pricing pressures. Without sustained margin expansion, the company will struggle to generate equity returns, build reserves, or fully capitalize on operational improvements, leaving recovery fragile.
Volume and Pricing Headwinds in Salt
Guided volume declines and weaker deicing pricing point to sustained demand and pricing pressure in the core Salt segment. Reduced volumes and lower realized prices compress segment margins and cash flow, challenging the sustainability of recent profitability gains if trends persist.

Compass Minerals International (CMP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Compass Minerals International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompass Minerals International, Inc., produces and sells essential minerals primarily in the United States, Canada, Brazil, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Salt, Plant Nutrition North America, and Plant Nutrition South America. The Salt segment offers sodium chloride and magnesium chloride, including rock salt, mechanically and solar evaporated salt, and brine and flake magnesium chloride products; and purchases potassium chloride and calcium chloride to sell as finished products or to blend with salt to produce specialty products. This segment provides products for use as a deicer for roadways, consumer, and professional use; as an ingredient in chemical production; for water treatment, human, and animal nutrition; and for various other consumer and industrial uses, as well as records management services. The Plant Nutrition North America segment offers sulfate of potash specialty fertilizers in various grades, including agricultural products that are used in broadcast spreaders, direct application, and liquid fertilizer solutions; turf products used by the turf and ornamental markets, as well as for blends used on golf course greens; organic products under the Protassium+ brand; and micronutrient products under the Wolf Trax and other brands. This segment provides its products to distributors and retailers of crop inputs, as well as growers. The Plant Nutrition South America segment offers various specialty plant nutrients and supplements; water and wastewater treatment chemicals for cleaning, decontaminating, and purifying water; and process chemicals for industrial use. The company was formerly known as Salt Holdings Corporation and changed its name to Compass Minerals International, Inc. in December 2003. Compass Minerals International, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Overland Park, Kansas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCompass Minerals generates revenue primarily through the sale of its salt and plant nutrition products. The Salt segment contributes a significant portion of the company's earnings, particularly through the sale of deicing salt during winter months, which is essential for road safety in colder climates. Additionally, the company earns revenue from its industrial and consumer salt products. The Plant Nutrition segment provides another key revenue stream, with sales of specialty fertilizers and other nutrients aimed at improving agricultural productivity. Partnerships with agricultural distributors and retailers enhance market access for its plant nutrition products. Furthermore, the company's focus on efficiency and cost management, along with strategic pricing, supports its profitability and revenue generation efforts.

Compass Minerals International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsCompass Minerals' revenue in the United States shows volatility but recently surged in Q1 2025, aligning with improved operating income and EBITDA. Canada also saw a significant revenue boost in the same period. Despite a stable performance in other regions, the absence of revenue from Brazil remains notable. The earnings call highlights strategic refinancing and cost management as key drivers of financial improvement, although pricing pressures in the Salt business and rising distribution costs in Plant Nutrition pose ongoing challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Compass Minerals International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 08, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a positive trajectory with significant improvements in debt reduction, SG&A cost reductions, and EBITDA growth. However, challenges remain, including a net loss, pricing declines in the highway deicing segment, and a transitory negative margin impact. The sentiment is cautiously optimistic with a focus on improved financial flexibility and operational enhancements.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Debt Reduction
Compass Minerals reduced its net debt by 14% or $125 million in fiscal 2025, improving its financial position.
SG&A Cost Reduction
The company achieved an 18% reduction in SG&A costs, contributing to a $25 million improvement in reported SG&A year-over-year.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 107% year-over-year to $35 million for fiscal 2025, indicating strong profitability improvements.
Refinancing Success
The company successfully refinanced midyear, enhancing liquidity and providing more financial flexibility.
Revenue and Sales Volume Increase
Consolidated revenue increased by 11% year-over-year to approximately $1.25 billion, with Salt business revenue growing and sales volumes increasing by 19% in the Plant Nutrition segment.
Negative Updates
Operating Loss in Prior Year
The company improved from an operating loss of $30 million a year ago, which included noncash impairments in the Plant Nutrition segment of $18 million.
Consolidated Net Loss
While there was improvement, the company still reported a consolidated net loss of $80 million for the year.
Decline in Highway Deicing Pricing
Highway deicing prices decreased by 2% year-over-year, impacting overall pricing dynamics within the Salt segment.
Transitory Negative Margin Impact
The decision to curtail rock salt production resulted in an adverse impact on margins during 2025 due to a higher per ton cost profile.
Projected Volume Decline
Forecasted sales volumes in the Salt segment are expected to decline approximately 8% at the midpoint of the 2026 guidance.
Company Guidance
During the Compass Minerals fiscal fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for fiscal 2026. Compass Minerals reported a 14% reduction in net debt, amounting to $125 million, and an 18% decrease in SG&A expenses, equating to a $25 million improvement. Sales volumes increased by 19% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA surged by 107% to $35 million. The company forecasts a total adjusted EBITDA range of $200 million to $240 million for 2026, with the Salt segment expected to achieve adjusted EBITDA between $225 million and $255 million, reflecting an improvement in margins by 200 to 300 basis points. The Plant Nutrition segment is projected to generate adjusted EBITDA between $31 million and $36 million, despite a forecasted decline in sales volumes. Capital expenditures for 2026 are anticipated to be within $90 million to $110 million. The company emphasized its commitment to aligning production with demand and maintaining inventory levels, focusing on operational improvements and enhancing financial flexibility.

Compass Minerals International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are pressured by weak profitability and leverage despite some cash-flow improvement. The income statement shows negative net income and a low gross margin (15.3%), while the balance sheet is highly levered (debt-to-equity 3.85, negative ROE). Cash flow is a relative bright spot with free cash flow growth (+9.22%) and solid operating cash generation versus net income.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Compass Minerals International shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company experienced a slight revenue growth of 1.53% in the latest year, but it has struggled with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net income of $79.8 million. The gross profit margin is relatively low at 15.3%, indicating challenges in cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved compared to the previous year, but the company still faces significant profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.85, which poses a risk in terms of financial stability. The equity ratio is low, reflecting a heavy reliance on debt financing. Return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns for its shareholders. Overall, the balance sheet suggests financial vulnerability due to high debt levels.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows some positive trends, with a 9.22% growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting challenges in converting profits into free cash flow. Despite these issues, the company has improved its cash flow position compared to previous years.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.24B1.24B1.12B1.20B1.24B836.60M
Gross Profit190.70M190.70M195.00M233.90M198.00M171.70M
EBITDA118.00M118.00M-13.70M90.70M39.40M173.40M
Net Income-79.80M-79.80M-206.10M15.50M-36.70M-213.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.54B1.54B1.64B1.82B1.64B1.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.70M59.70M20.20M38.70M46.10M18.10M
Total Debt901.60M901.60M917.50M805.30M947.60M1.00B
Total Liabilities1.30B1.30B1.32B1.30B1.39B1.34B
Stockholders Equity234.10M234.10M316.60M517.20M257.00M293.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow128.00M128.00M-99.80M-48.30M23.80M90.90M
Operating Cash Flow197.70M197.70M14.40M101.10M120.50M162.70M
Investing Cash Flow-50.00M-50.00M-116.10M-173.00M-80.00M276.20M
Financing Cash Flow-108.30M-108.30M83.10M64.00M-14.30M-439.60M

Compass Minerals International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.29
Price Trends
50DMA
21.09
Positive
100DMA
19.67
Positive
200DMA
19.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.42
Negative
RSI
68.79
Neutral
STOCH
71.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.08, above the 50-day MA of 21.09, and above the 200-day MA of 19.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMP.

Compass Minerals International Risk Analysis

Compass Minerals International disclosed 7 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Compass Minerals International reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Compass Minerals International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$1.68B-108.00-1.64%1.14%7.92%91.83%
60
Neutral
$1.10B-235.37-10.59%240.12%0.98%
55
Neutral
$910.73M-6.96-16.00%1.17%-16.89%-403.77%
54
Neutral
$1.05B-13.71-28.98%11.32%61.60%
53
Neutral
$506.88M-58.41%821.40%44.70%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMP
Compass Minerals International
26.29
14.32
119.63%
GSM
Ferroglobe
5.05
1.21
31.51%
UAMY
United States Antimony
9.65
7.80
421.62%
NEXA
Nexa Resources SA
13.23
7.20
119.40%
ABAT
American Battery Technology
4.30
2.74
175.64%
CRML
Critical Metals Corp
15.14
6.69
79.17%

Compass Minerals International Corporate Events

Legal Proceedings
Compass Minerals wins preliminary approval of derivative settlement
Neutral
Dec 23, 2025

On October 24, 2025, Compass Minerals International, acting as a nominal defendant, entered into a stipulation to settle two stockholder derivative lawsuits in the U.S. District Court for the District of Kansas that alleged certain current and former directors and officers breached fiduciary duties between February 8, 2023, and March 25, 2024, by causing the company to issue misleading disclosures about safety testing and contract prospects for its magnesium chloride-based aerial fire retardants. On December 10, 2025, the court granted preliminary approval for the settlement, which, if finally approved at a February 20, 2026 hearing, will dismiss the actions with prejudice, require Compass to adopt and maintain specified corporate governance reforms, and provide for $850,000 in legal fees to be paid by the company’s insurers and potential service awards to the two plaintiffs, underscoring both the governance implications for Compass and the absence of direct monetary recovery for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMP) stock is a Hold with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Minerals International stock, see the CMP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Compass Minerals refreshes board with four new directors
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 18, 2025, Compass Minerals expanded its board of directors from eight to 12 members as part of a board refreshment initiative, appointing four new directors—Russell Ball, Denise Merle, Mark Roberts and David Safran—each to serve until the 2026 annual meeting while assigning them to key committees including Audit, Compensation, Nominating and Corporate Governance, Environmental, Health, Safety and Sustainability, and a newly created Capital Allocation and Technical Committee. The reshaped board is intended to bolster expertise in mining, industrial operations, salt and plant nutrition, and corporate governance to support the company’s back-to-basics strategy and operational efficiency goals, while several existing directors, including representatives of major shareholder Koch Minerals & Trading and long-serving director Lori Walker, will not stand for reelection at the 2026 meeting, and chair Joe Reece is expected to transition off the board by or before the 2027 annual meeting as the board size is gradually reduced back to eight members.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMP) stock is a Hold with a $19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Minerals International stock, see the CMP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026