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Compass Minerals International
(NYSE:CMP)
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Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▲(34.28% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
Overall score reflects improving fundamentals supported by strong TTM cash flow and better operating profitability, plus constructive price momentum. This is tempered by still-fragile net margins and negative TTM revenue trend, while the latest earnings call highlighted meaningful deleveraging and Plant Nutrition strength but ongoing salt-volume headwinds and slower operational progress at key mines.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for capex, working capital and debt reduction. That cash resilience — which persisted even when earnings were weak in 2025 — reduces refinancing reliance and supports reinvestment and optionality across cycles.
Negative Factors
Salt volume weakness
The core Salt franchise remains volume-exposed to winter weather and timing; a 19% drop in tons sold materially reduces scale and revenue. Persistent volume variability undermines fixed-cost absorption and can keep unit economics volatile, constraining durable earnings stability for the business.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for capex, working capital and debt reduction. That cash resilience — which persisted even when earnings were weak in 2025 — reduces refinancing reliance and supports reinvestment and optionality across cycles.
Read all positive factors
Compass Minerals International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyCompass Minerals International (CMP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.29B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)770.28K
Price to Earnings (P/E)191.5
Beta (1Y)0.98
Revenue Growth6.42%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees2,000
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryIndustrial Materials
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.16
Shares Outstanding41,958,347
10 Day Avg. Volume519,161
30 Day Avg. Volume770,285
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.16
Price to Book (P/B)3.43
Price to Sales (P/S)0.65
P/FCF Ratio6.27
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.97
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.96
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit5.50
Enterprise Value/Ebitda6.16
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$30.00Price Target Upside18.48% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)0.82
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.28B
Compass Minerals International Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Compass Minerals International, Inc. (CMP) operates as a significant global producer and supplier of vital minerals, concentrating its activities primarily across the United States, Canada, Brazil, and the United Kingdom, while also serving other ...
How the Company Makes Money
Compass Minerals makes money primarily by mining or extracting mineral resources and selling finished or semi-finished mineral products to end markets through its operating segments. A major revenue stream is its Salt business, which sells highway...
Compass Minerals International Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed meaningful progress: stronger profitability (EBITDA and margins), a successful Plant Nutrition turnaround led by Ogden, a notable deleveraging milestone and improved liquidity. These positives were balanced against persistent salt-market headwinds — notably an 8% decline in consolidated revenue, a 19% drop in salt tons sold, higher reported production cost per ton due to weather and mix, and slower-than-expected operational improvements at key mines (Goderich). Management moderated salt guidance but maintained full-year EBITDA midpoint and emphasized disciplined commercial execution. Overall, improvements in profitability, balance sheet strength and Plant Nutrition performance outweigh the operational and mix-related challenges in the salt business.Positive Updates
Deleveraging and Strong Liquidity
Redeemed remaining $150M of 2027 senior unsecured notes; total net debt down $119M year-over-year to $639M; trailing-12-month leverage ratio improved to 2.7x from 4.6x; quarter-end liquidity of $379M (cash $74M + revolver ~ $305M).
Negative Updates
Consolidated Revenue Decline
Consolidated Q2 revenue $453M, down $41M or 8% year-over-year, primarily driven by lower highway deicing sales in the quarter.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Deleveraging and Strong Liquidity
Redeemed remaining $150M of 2027 senior unsecured notes; total net debt down $119M year-over-year to $639M; trailing-12-month leverage ratio improved to 2.7x from 4.6x; quarter-end liquidity of $379M (cash $74M + revolver ~ $305M).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Compass Minerals updated full‑year adjusted EBITDA guidance to $212–$236 million (midpoint $224M), with the Salt segment midpoint trimmed to $233M (from prior $241M) and Plant Nutrition raised to $43–$47M (prior midpoint $45M); net interest expense guidance was lowered to $62–$67M reflecting the early redemption of $150M of 2027 notes, which helped reduce net debt to $639M (down $119M YoY) and trailing‑12‑month leverage to 2.7x (vs. 4.6x last year), while quarter‑end liquidity was $379M (cash $74M and revolver ~$305M) and the nearest significant debt maturity moved to 2028; operationally Q2 revenue was $453M (down $41M, -8% YoY) with adjusted EBITDA $86M (up 3.3%) and margin 19.1%, Salt Q2 revenue $383M with 4.1M tons sold (down 19%) and operating earnings of $15.85/ton (up 21%), and Plant Nutrition Q2 revenue $67M with adjusted EBITDA $17M (up 202%) and 25.2% margin; management left corporate ranges for capex, DDA and tax unchanged and reiterated the full‑year midpoint was essentially unchanged based on first‑half performance and current plans.Compass Minerals International Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.29B | 1.24B | 1.12B | 1.20B | 1.25B | 836.20M |
| Gross Profit | 225.80M | 190.70M | 195.00M | 232.00M | 199.80M | 170.00M |
| EBITDA | 201.60M | 118.00M | -13.70M | 181.70M | 168.20M | 173.10M |
| Net Income | 7.10M | -79.80M | -206.10M | 10.50M | -21.10M | -213.80M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.37B | 1.52B | 1.64B | 1.82B | 1.65B | 1.63B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 74.10M | 59.70M | 20.20M | 38.70M | 46.10M | 18.10M |
| Total Debt | 12.30M | 847.70M | 933.90M | 805.30M | 947.60M | 935.40M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.09B | 1.29B | 1.32B | 1.30B | 1.39B | 1.34B |
| Stockholders Equity | 274.20M | 234.10M | 316.60M | 521.00M | 265.20M | 293.10M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 100.40M | 128.00M | -99.80M | -48.30M | 23.80M | 90.90M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 175.30M | 197.70M | 14.40M | 106.00M | 120.40M | 154.70M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -32.70M | -50.00M | -116.10M | -177.90M | -79.90M | 284.20M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -118.80M | -108.30M | 83.10M | 64.00M | -14.30M | -439.60M |
Compass Minerals International Technical Analysis
Positive
25.32
Price Trends
29.31
Positive
26.51
Positive
23.14
Positive
Market Momentum
0.26
Positive
52.99
Neutral
76.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.33, below the 50-day MA of 29.31, and above the 200-day MA of 23.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMP.
Compass Minerals International Risk Analysis
Compass Minerals International disclosed 7 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Compass Minerals International reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Compass Minerals International Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | $1.59B | 7.63 | 20.95% | 1.14% | 16.41% | ― | |
67 Neutral | $1.29B | 191.50 | 2.79% | ― | 6.42% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
53 Neutral | $376.50M | -5.17 | -63.85% | ― | 776.51% | 38.07% | |
50 Neutral | $1.14B | -63.85 | -16.94% | ― | 104.34% | -1352.44% | |
48 Neutral | $614.77M | -5.56 | -15.03% | 1.17% | -11.77% | -85.76% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
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Compass Minerals International
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.