Want to see CMP full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
Compass Minerals International
(NYSE:CMP)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(5.30% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
CMP scores mid-range primarily due to improving fundamentals (TTM profitability rebound and strong free cash flow) and a constructive earnings update (raised FY-2026 EBITDA guidance alongside meaningful deleveraging). These positives are tempered by historically volatile earnings and balance-sheet pressure in weaker periods, plus mixed technical momentum. The largest constraint is valuation, with a very high P/E that leaves less room for execution missteps in Salt operations and cost reduction delivery.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Sustained TTM operating cash flow (~$316M) and free cash flow (~$197M) materially strengthen funding for maintenance, growth capex, and debt reduction. Durable cash generation provides flexibility to invest in yield projects, absorb seasonal volatility, and support continued deleveraging.
Negative Factors
Goderich execution issues
Underperformance and higher-than-expected production costs at Goderich raise persistent per-unit cost risk. Delays in planned hoisting and slower build-out of efficiency projects mean margin recovery hinges on successful execution, making near- to medium-term profitability vulnerable to operational setbacks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Sustained TTM operating cash flow (~$316M) and free cash flow (~$197M) materially strengthen funding for maintenance, growth capex, and debt reduction. Durable cash generation provides flexibility to invest in yield projects, absorb seasonal volatility, and support continued deleveraging.
Read all positive factors
Compass Minerals International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyCompass Minerals International (CMP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.12B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)411.13K
Price to Earnings (P/E)59.7
Beta (1Y)0.90
Revenue Growth5.46%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees1,800
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryIndustrial Materials
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.44
Shares Outstanding41,980,873
10 Day Avg. Volume307,007
30 Day Avg. Volume411,126
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.16
Price to Book (P/B)3.43
Price to Sales (P/S)0.65
P/FCF Ratio6.27
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$30.67Price Target Upside4.17% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)0.89
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.29B
Compass Minerals International Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Compass Minerals International, Inc. (CMP) operates as a significant global producer and supplier of vital minerals, concentrating its activities primarily across the United States, Canada, Brazil, and the United Kingdom, while also serving other ...
How the Company Makes Money
Compass Minerals makes money primarily by mining or extracting mineral resources and selling finished or semi-finished mineral products to end markets through its operating segments. A major revenue stream is its Salt business, which sells highway...
Compass Minerals International Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q3-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a mix of meaningful operational and financial progress alongside ongoing operational challenges. Notable positives include a strong turnaround at Plant Nutrition (Ogden) with material margin and EBITDA improvement, constructive salt pricing in the bid season, an upward revision to consolidated EBITDA guidance, a strengthened balance sheet with reduced net leverage and an S&P upgrade, and active capital/operational initiatives (dryer project, maintenance, accelerator teams). Offsetting these gains are near-term execution issues in mining operations—particularly at Goderich—leading to higher per-unit production and logistics costs, a quarter-over-quarter decline in Salt EBITDA and operating earnings, lower highway volumes, and slower-than-expected realization of efficiency gains (resulting in delayed project timing and short-term cash flow pressures). Overall, the positives (guidance raise, Plant Nutrition outperformance, pricing momentum, and balance sheet repair) appear to outweigh the lowlights, though the company must convert operational initiatives into sustained cost declines to deliver on the optimism expressed.Positive Updates
Plant Nutrition (Ogden) Strong Operational Recovery
Ogden produced segment-adjusted EBITDA of $15.0M in the quarter (up 32% from $11.4M prior year), operating earnings of $7.8M (up 50% from $5.2M), and per-unit product and distribution costs declined year-over-year. Full-year Plant Nutrition guidance raised to $49M–$57M (from $43M–$47M). Investment underway (dryer project) expected to improve yield and product quality by end of next fiscal year.
Negative Updates
Salt Segment EBITDA and Operating Earnings Decline
Salt adjusted EBITDA declined 15% to $38.9M and operating earnings decreased 25% to $21.2M in the quarter, driven by lower highway volumes and higher per-unit production and distribution costs despite pricing gains.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Plant Nutrition (Ogden) Strong Operational Recovery
Ogden produced segment-adjusted EBITDA of $15.0M in the quarter (up 32% from $11.4M prior year), operating earnings of $7.8M (up 50% from $5.2M), and per-unit product and distribution costs declined year-over-year. Full-year Plant Nutrition guidance raised to $49M–$57M (from $43M–$47M). Investment underway (dryer project) expected to improve yield and product quality by end of next fiscal year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Compass updated FY‑2026 guidance, raising consolidated adjusted EBITDA midpoint to $230 million (range $218–$242M), raising Plant Nutrition segment adjusted‑EBITDA to $49–$57M (from $43–$47M), and narrowing Salt adjusted‑EBITDA to $225–$236M (previously $225–$240M); corporate & other costs are guided at $51–$56M and full‑year capital expenditures at $90–$110M. Management said it will provide tighter FY‑2027 and winter volume/price guidance in Q4 and will disclose fuel sensitivity then, while continuing Ogden investments (dryer project to complete by end of next fiscal year) and prioritizing disciplined capital deployment and debt reduction after improving net leverage to ~2.8x (from 4.3x), reducing total debt to $716.6M (net debt $660.3M), and maintaining total liquidity of $328.1M (cash $56.3M, revolver $271.8M).Compass Minerals International Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
74
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.29B | 1.24B | 1.12B | 1.20B | 1.25B | 836.20M |
| Gross Profit | 222.50M | 190.70M | 195.00M | 232.00M | 199.80M | 170.00M |
| EBITDA | 208.70M | 118.00M | -13.70M | 181.70M | 168.20M | 173.10M |
| Net Income | 18.40M | -79.80M | -206.10M | 10.50M | -21.10M | -213.80M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.35B | 1.52B | 1.64B | 1.82B | 1.65B | 1.63B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 56.30M | 59.70M | 20.20M | 38.70M | 46.10M | 18.10M |
| Total Debt | 728.10M | 847.70M | 933.90M | 805.30M | 947.60M | 935.40M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.09B | 1.29B | 1.32B | 1.30B | 1.39B | 1.34B |
| Stockholders Equity | 263.50M | 234.10M | 316.60M | 521.00M | 265.20M | 293.10M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 77.90M | 128.00M | -99.80M | -48.30M | 23.80M | 90.90M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 155.90M | 197.70M | 14.40M | 106.00M | 120.40M | 154.70M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -55.10M | -50.00M | -116.10M | -177.90M | -79.90M | 284.20M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -123.90M | -108.30M | 83.10M | 64.00M | -14.30M | -439.60M |
Compass Minerals International Technical Analysis
Negative
29.44
Price Trends
29.53
Negative
28.18
Negative
24.68
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.82
Positive
36.64
Neutral
47.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 29.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.73, below the 50-day MA of 29.53, and above the 200-day MA of 24.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CMP.
Compass Minerals International Risk Analysis
Compass Minerals International disclosed 7 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Compass Minerals International reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Compass Minerals International Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
67 Neutral | $1.93B | 6.86 | 25.68% | 0.79% | 23.37% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
59 Neutral | $1.12B | 59.70 | 7.13% | ― | 5.46% | ― | |
59 Neutral | $831.53M | -20.32 | -5.64% | 1.73% | -8.54% | 61.49% | |
49 Neutral | $743.86M | -44.02 | -12.37% | ― | 35.89% | -1309.41% | |
49 Neutral | $343.76M | -4.70 | -63.85% | ― | 776.51% | 38.07% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
CMP
Compass Minerals International
26.27
7.53
40.18%
GSM
Ferroglobe
4.38
0.30
7.33%
UAMY
United States Antimony
5.34
1.21
29.30%
NEXA
Nexa Resources SA
14.33
9.50
196.75%
ABAT
American Battery Technology
2.51
-0.21
-7.72%
CRML
Critical Metals Corp
6.58
0.73
12.48%
Compass Minerals International Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Compass Minerals Names Brandon Risner New Chief Operating Officer
Positive
Aug 5, 2026
Compass Minerals announced that Chief Operations Officer Patrick Merrin departed the company effective August 3, 2026, and that Brandon Risner was promoted to chief operating officer as of the same date. The leadership change, disclosed in a press...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.