Compass Minerals International (CMP) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $800.84M
• Dividend Yield: 1.61%
• Average Volume (3M): 497.70K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.03
• Revenue Growth: 7.27%
• EPS Growth: 27.35%
• Country: US
• Employees: 2,000
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 60
• Industry: Industrial Materials
• EPS (TTM): -0.39
• Shares Outstanding: 41,688,656
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 471,610
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 497,701
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.00
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.48
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 10.13
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 34.53
• 1Y Price Target: $19.88
• Price Target Upside: 4.08% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4

• Rating: 47 Neutral
• Price Target: $19.50 ▲(2.09% Upside)

Significant financial challenges weigh heavily on Compass Minerals' stock score, with negative profitability and high leverage being major concerns. Technical indicators show bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are unattractive. Improvements in revenue and debt reduction from recent earnings and corporate events provide some optimism but are insufficient to offset the broader financial and operational issues.

Positive Factors

Financial Performance

FQ3 EBITDA was ~$41M, which beat consensus/BMO of $38/$36M.

Guidance

Raising target price back to $20 following stabilization and $15M FY guidance increase.

Operational Strategy

CMP decided to ramp back up the Goderich mine, likely increasing production to two 12-hour shifts, seven days a week, which suggests a strategic move to deploy as much salt as possible.

Negative Factors

Market Conditions

Bid season results muted as our earlier work suggested - a good not great result for the rock salt market this year.

Pricing Concerns

It's unclear if ~2-4% gross rock salt price increases provide clear margin expansion.

Tariff Risks

There is a concern about tariff protection strategy, indicating potential risk if the tariff dynamic worsens.

Compass Minerals International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Compass Minerals International (CMP) is a leading global provider of essential minerals, primarily focused on the production of salt and specialty fertilizers. The company operates in two main segments: Salt and Plant Nutrition. CMP's Salt segment supplies a variety of salt products for de-icing highways, as well as for industrial applications and consumer use. The Plant Nutrition segment offers a range of specialty fertilizers designed to enhance agricultural productivity and soil health. With operations in North America and the UK, Compass Minerals plays a crucial role in supporting food production and infrastructure through its high-quality mineral products.

How the Company Makes Money

Compass Minerals generates revenue primarily through the sale of its products in the Salt and Plant Nutrition segments. The Salt segment, which includes highway de-icing salt, industrial salt, and consumer salt, is a significant contributor to the company's revenue, particularly during winter months when demand for de-icing products peaks. The Plant Nutrition segment earns revenue from the sale of specialty fertilizers, which are marketed to agricultural producers looking to optimize crop yields. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with agricultural and industrial customers, allowing it to secure long-term contracts and stable revenue streams. Additionally, the company invests in operational efficiencies and cost management strategies to enhance its profit margins and overall financial performance.

Compass Minerals International Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Compass Minerals International faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and negative profitability metrics. High leverage and reduced cash flow generation further emphasize the need for strategic improvements. The company must focus on stabilizing its operations to enhance both profitability and financial health.

Income Statement

Compass Minerals International has faced significant challenges in its recent performance with a negative TTM net income and declining revenue. The company's TTM gross profit margin is 17.4%, which reflects a decrease from previous years. The net profit margin has turned negative, indicating issues with profitability. Additionally, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, implying operational difficulties.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage with a ratio of 2.90. This could pose risks if earnings do not improve. The equity ratio is 19.3%, suggesting moderate financial stability. Return on equity is negative due to the net losses, highlighting the need for improved profitability.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement shows negative free cash flow growth, with a decline from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is concerning due to negative net income. The company needs to enhance its cash generation capabilities to improve financial flexibility.

Breakdown	Sep 2024	Sep 2023	Sep 2022	Dec 2020	Dec 2019
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.12B	1.20B	1.24B	1.49B	1.09B
Gross Profit	195.00M	233.90M	198.00M	336.80M	232.50M
EBITDA	-13.70M	90.70M	39.40M	153.00M	245.60M
Net Income	-206.10M	15.50M	-36.70M	59.50M	60.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.64B	1.82B	1.64B	2.44B	2.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	20.20M	38.70M	46.10M	34.70M	27.00M
Total Debt	917.50M	805.30M	947.60M	1.42B	1.36B
Total Liabilities	1.32B	1.30B	1.39B	1.91B	1.83B
Stockholders Equity	316.60M	517.20M	257.00M	529.60M	540.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-99.80M	-48.30M	23.80M	61.50M	93.90M
Operating Cash Flow	14.40M	101.10M	120.50M	159.60M	190.70M
Investing Cash Flow	-116.10M	-173.00M	-80.00M	-100.40M	-99.60M
Financing Cash Flow	83.10M	64.00M	-14.30M	-50.50M	-85.90M

Compass Minerals International Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 19.10
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 19.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.47, below the 50-day MA of 20.50, and above the 200-day MA of 14.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CMP.

Compass Minerals International Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
UAMY	60 Neutral	$454.97M	―	-3.27%	―	178.66%	82.83%
GSM	50 Neutral	$770.76M	27.86	-12.38%	1.27%	-8.59%	-256.43%
CMP	47 Neutral	$800.84M	―	-40.17%	1.61%	7.27%	27.35%
Sector *	44 Neutral	C$923.76M	-8.68	-0.23%	2.69%	24.53%	-41.45%
TMC	42 Neutral	$2.13B	―	-667.42%	―	―	28.60%
LZM	41 Neutral	$367.91M	―	-814.96%	―	―	―
IPX	35 Underperform	$1.30B	―	-40.55%	―	―	-15.85%

Compass Minerals International Corporate Events

Compass Minerals Announces Leadership Change with New Interim Counsel

On June 26, 2025, Mary L. Frontczak stepped down from her role as Chief Legal and Administrative Officer and Corporate Secretary at Compass Minerals International. James D. Hughes has taken over the responsibilities as General Counsel and Corporate Secretary on an interim basis, indicating a shift in the company’s leadership structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMP) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Minerals International stock, see the CMP Stock Forecast page.

Compass Minerals Completes $650M Senior Notes Offering

On June 16, 2025, Compass Minerals International, Inc. completed a private offering of $650 million in senior notes due 2030, with an interest rate of 8.000%. The proceeds are being used to repay existing credit agreements, redeem $350 million of senior notes due 2027, and for general corporate purposes. This move is part of a broader financial strategy, including an amendment to its credit agreement, which stabilizes revolving commitments and permits the issuance of these notes. The transaction is expected to strengthen Compass Minerals’ financial position by managing debt and providing additional liquidity.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMP) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Minerals International stock, see the CMP Stock Forecast page.

Compass Minerals Announces $650 Million Senior Notes Offering

On June 3, 2025, Compass Minerals announced the pricing of a $650 million offering of senior notes due 2030, with the sale expected to close around June 16, 2025. The proceeds will be used to repay existing debt, redeem $350 million of senior notes due 2027, and for general corporate purposes. Concurrently, the company plans to amend its senior secured credit agreement to adjust financial covenants and revolving commitments. This strategic financial maneuver aims to optimize the company’s debt structure and enhance its financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMP) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Minerals International stock, see the CMP Stock Forecast page.