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Marzetti Company (MZTI)
NASDAQ:MZTI
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Marzetti Company (MZTI) AI Stock Analysis

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MZTI

Marzetti Company

(NASDAQ:MZTI)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$146.00
▼(-12.67% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/02/26
Strong financial performance (rapid TTM growth, solid margins, and very low leverage) and a constructive earnings outlook support the score. This is tempered by weak technicals (price below all major moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation is reasonable with a near-3% dividend yield, providing some downside support.
Positive Factors
Robust Revenue & Margins
Sustained, large TTM top-line growth combined with healthy gross and net margins indicates durable demand and pricing power across brands. This supports reinvestment, margin expansion programs and stable earnings generation over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Margin Pressure vs Peak
Operating profitability remains meaningfully below prior-cycle peaks, implying structural cost or mix pressures. If commodity inflation or less favorable product mix persists, recovering to prior margins may require sustained pricing, productivity gains or higher-margin portfolio shifts.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Robust Revenue & Margins
Sustained, large TTM top-line growth combined with healthy gross and net margins indicates durable demand and pricing power across brands. This supports reinvestment, margin expansion programs and stable earnings generation over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Marzetti Company (MZTI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marzetti Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Manufactures and markets specialty food products (garlic breads, rolls, dressings, dips, pasta, croutons), serving retail and foodservice channels in the U.S....
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Marzetti Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 03, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlights solid execution: record gross profit, margin expansion (40–80 bps), EPS growth of 20.8%, strong brand performance and market share gains, healthy cash generation, an increased dividend, opportunistic buybacks, and a strategic $400M acquisition (Bachan's) expected to be accretive. Offsetting items include modest revenue/volume pressures in retail and foodservice versus tough comps, temporary non-core TSA sales that will roll off, modest SG&A increases, restructuring/impairment charges, and integration/capital deployment risks tied to the acquisition. On balance, the company portrayed a constructive growth and margin-improvement story with manageable near-term headwinds and clear strategies to offset costs and leverage scale.
Positive Updates
Consolidated Net Sales and Adjusted Net Sales
Consolidated net sales increased 1.7% to $518.0 million for Q2 FY2026. Excluding temporary supply agreement (TSA) non-core sales, adjusted net sales rose 0.1% to $510.0 million.
Negative Updates
Retail Net Sales Decline vs. Strong Prior Year
Retail segment net sales declined 1.1% versus a strong prior-year quarter (which had +6.3%), with management citing softer demand during the US government shutdown period; adjusted retail sales still projected to be low single-digit growth in the back half.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Consolidated Net Sales and Adjusted Net Sales
Consolidated net sales increased 1.7% to $518.0 million for Q2 FY2026. Excluding temporary supply agreement (TSA) non-core sales, adjusted net sales rose 0.1% to $510.0 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance and forward-looking commentary: fiscal‑2026 capital expenditures are forecast at $75–$85 million, the estimated effective tax rate for the remainder of FY26 is about 23% (Q2 was 22.6%), and Retail is expected to deliver low‑single‑digit volume/revenue growth in the second half (fairly even by quarter) with Foodservice seeing continued growth with select national accounts; management expects only modest input‑cost inflation that will be offset through contractual pricing and supply‑chain productivity/value‑engineering programs. They announced a definitive ~$400 million cash acquisition of Bachan's, which management expects to be accretive to top‑line growth and gross margins in year one and to yield supply‑chain synergies over time. Capital allocation priorities include a quarterly dividend of $1.00 (a 5% increase, the 63rd consecutive year of increases), opportunistic repurchases ($20.1M repurchased in Q2) but an attritional buyback posture post‑acquisition, and using a debt‑free balance sheet with >$201M cash to fund growth.

Marzetti Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are high quality: strong TTM revenue growth (+44.7%), solid profitability (~24.1% gross margin, ~9.3% net margin), and very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.04) with healthy ROE (~18%). Main offsets are operating margin below prior peak (~8.0% vs ~12.7% in 2021) and uneven free cash flow history despite strong current conversion (OCF ~1.62x net income).
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.94B1.91B1.87B1.82B1.68B1.47B
Gross Profit468.13M455.65M432.30M388.57M355.72M386.72M
EBITDA298.03M287.59M270.13M217.69M189.50M225.87M
Net Income179.91M167.35M158.61M111.29M89.59M142.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.33B1.27B1.21B1.11B1.09B1.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments201.58M161.48M163.44M88.47M60.28M188.06M
Total Debt77.53M55.55M57.67M29.99M36.23M33.27M
Total Liabilities296.03M276.23M281.16M250.73M245.69M258.14M
Stockholders Equity1.03B998.50M925.77M862.27M844.69M843.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow273.19M203.50M183.98M135.72M-30.16M86.32M
Operating Cash Flow292.11M261.50M251.55M225.90M101.81M174.19M
Investing Cash Flow-155.31M-148.21M-67.43M-90.78M-132.24M-88.98M
Financing Cash Flow-138.29M-115.26M-109.15M-106.93M-97.34M-95.43M

Marzetti Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price167.19
Price Trends
50DMA
150.90
Negative
100DMA
158.14
Negative
200DMA
165.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.22
Negative
RSI
40.18
Neutral
STOCH
21.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MZTI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 167.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 141.16, above the 50-day MA of 150.90, and above the 200-day MA of 165.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MZTI.

Marzetti Company Risk Analysis

Marzetti Company disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marzetti Company reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marzetti Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.57B19.0617.97%2.35%2.34%14.78%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$10.45B-3.86-21.55%4.45%1.58%-389.82%
57
Neutral
$2.09B18.24-47.89%10.59%-31.77%
56
Neutral
$6.87B11.30-0.51%7.87%-4.73%-112.96%
54
Neutral
$6.20B14.1413.98%5.64%-0.81%5.57%
52
Neutral
$1.92B27.306.02%9.15%3.00%-66.29%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MZTI
Marzetti Company
124.38
-33.39
-21.16%
CPB
Campbell Soup
20.73
-12.87
-38.31%
CAG
Conagra Brands
14.06
-7.58
-35.02%
FLO
Flowers Foods
8.72
-7.34
-45.71%
SJM
JM Smucker
96.97
-12.52
-11.44%
BRBR
BellRing Brands
17.20
-61.23
-78.07%

Marzetti Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Marzetti Completes Acquisition of Bachan’s Sauce Brand
Positive
May 1, 2026
On April 29, 2026, The Marzetti Company closed funding of a $200 million term loan under an amended credit agreement, increasing its revolving facility to $200 million and securing long-term financing to support its growth strategy. The term loan,...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Marzetti Expands Credit Facilities to Fund Bachan’s Acquisition
Positive
Mar 9, 2026
On March 4, 2026, The Marzetti Company amended its March 6, 2024 Credit Agreement with a syndicate of banks, increasing its revolving loan facility from $150 million to $200 million and adding a new $200 million term loan to finance its acquisitio...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividends
Marzetti Company Adds New Director and Announces Dividend
Positive
Feb 11, 2026
On February 11, 2026, The Marzetti Company appointed Greg Hughes, president and CEO of Suntory Global Spirits, to its board as a Class I director, with his term running until the 2026 annual shareholder meeting. The board highlighted his extensive...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Marzetti to Acquire Bachan’s in $400 Million Deal
Positive
Feb 3, 2026
On February 2, 2026, The Marzetti Company entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Bachan’s, Inc., a fast-growing Japanese Barbecue Sauce brand, for $400 million in a cash- and debt-financed deal expected to close by June 30, 2026, pen...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 02, 2026