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Matador Resources Company (MTDR)
NYSE:MTDR
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Matador Resources (MTDR) AI Stock Analysis

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MTDR

Matador Resources

(NYSE:MTDR)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$53.00
▲(14.00% Upside)
Matador Resources scores well due to its strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue growth and profitability. The valuation is attractive with a low P/E ratio, enhancing its investment appeal. Technical analysis indicates some short-term weakness, but longer-term support is evident. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits additional insights.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Matador Resources' strong revenue growth indicates effective market penetration and demand for its oil and gas products, supporting long-term business expansion.
Cash Flow Strength
Robust cash flow growth provides Matador Resources with the flexibility to invest in future projects and manage financial obligations, enhancing its financial resilience.
Profitability
A strong net profit margin reflects Matador's efficient cost management and operational effectiveness, ensuring sustainable profitability in the competitive energy sector.
Negative Factors
Net Income Decline
The decline in net income suggests potential challenges in maintaining profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments to sustain long-term financial health.
High Capital Expenditures
Significant capital expenditures could strain cash flow if not managed carefully, potentially impacting Matador's ability to fund new projects and maintain liquidity.
Increased Liabilities
Rising liabilities may pose risks to Matador's financial stability, requiring careful management to avoid potential liquidity issues and ensure continued operational success.

Matador Resources (MTDR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Matador Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMatador Resources Company, an independent energy company, engages in the exploration, development, production, and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States. It operates through two segments, Exploration and Production; and Midstream. The company primarily holds interests in the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays in the Delaware Basin in Southeast New Mexico and West Texas. It also operates the Eagle Ford shale play in South Texas; and the Haynesville shale and Cotton Valley plays in Northwest Louisiana. In addition, the company conducts midstream operations in support of its exploration, development, and production operations; provides natural gas processing and oil transportation services; and offers oil, natural gas, and produced water gathering services, as well as produced water disposal services to third parties. As of December 31, 2021, its estimated total proved oil and natural gas reserves were 323.4 million barrels of oil equivalent, including 181.3 million stock tank barrels of oil and 852.5 billion cubic feet of natural gas. The company was formerly known as Matador Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to Matador Resources Company in August 2011. Matador Resources Company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyMatador Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) produced from its operations. The company employs a revenue model based on the extraction and sale of these hydrocarbons at market prices. Key revenue streams include the direct sales of oil and gas to various purchasers, which can include large oil companies, midstream companies, and end-users. Additionally, Matador often enters into hedging contracts to manage price volatility, providing a more stable revenue stream. The company also benefits from cost efficiencies in its drilling and production processes, which can enhance profitability. Strategic partnerships with service providers and midstream companies further support its operations, allowing for effective transportation and processing of its products, ultimately contributing to its earnings.

Matador Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong position for Matador Resources, with significant debt repayment, increased gas processing capacity, and insider confidence through share purchases. While there is some concern about production slowdown and market volatility affecting midstream plans, the overall outlook is optimistic with substantial projected growth and a record second quarter anticipated.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Debt Repayment and Financial Flexibility
Matador Resources repaid $190 million of its debt, enhancing its financial flexibility and optionality for future plans.
Record Gas Processing Capacity
The Marlin plant is coming online, and combined with the Merlin and Black River plants, will provide a processing capacity of 720 million cubic feet per day, significantly higher than the original plant's capacity of 60 million.
Insider Confidence and Share Repurchase
The board authorized a repurchase of shares, and over 100 employees, including management, bought shares, indicating high insider confidence.
Projected Growth by Year End
Despite a temporary production slowdown, the company projects a 17% increase in oil production by the end of the year.
Successful Reserve Replacement
In the first quarter, Matador not only replaced the reserves that were produced but also added to them, ensuring a 10-15 year runway of valuable locations.
Dividend Commitment
The company has increased its dividend six times in four years, demonstrating a commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Record Second Quarter Expected
The second quarter is projected to be a record quarter for production with the turning on of 40 wells.
Negative Updates
Production Slowdown
Production slowed down slightly due to maintenance and force majeure events, leading to a temporary 1-2% reduction.
Market Volatility and Midstream Uncertainty
Volatility in the broader market has impacted decision-making regarding the midstream segment, including the potential for an IPO.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Matador Resources Company provided several key metrics and strategic decisions during their earnings call. They announced a repayment of $190 million in debt, enhancing financial flexibility amid challenging market conditions. The company highlighted a significant increase in gas processing capacity, with the Marlin plant coming online, boosting total capacity to 720 million cubic feet per day, up from the original 60 million at Black River. This expanded capacity offers critical flow assurance. Matador emphasized its commitment to shareholder alignment, authorizing a share repurchase program and reporting that management and employees collectively engaged in 31 stock transactions. Despite a temporary 1-2% dip in production due to maintenance and force majeure events, the company projected a 17% growth in oil production by year-end. The call also revealed a hedging strategy extending into 2026 to mitigate capacity risks and protect against market volatility. Matador's leadership stressed the company's preparedness to adapt to changing conditions, with options to increase capital expenditures, pursue acquisitions, or execute share buybacks as market conditions evolve.

Matador Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Matador Resources demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, solid profitability, and efficient cost management. The company shows robust cash flow generation and maintains moderate leverage, effectively utilizing equity to fuel growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Matador Resources has demonstrated strong performance on its income statement with consistent revenue growth, particularly a 6.34% increase in TTM. The gross profit margin of 56.57% and net profit margin of 25.18% indicate solid profitability. The EBIT margin of 40.89% and EBITDA margin of 65.91% further underscore efficient operations. The company effectively manages costs, translating high revenues into robust profits.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Matador Resources reveals a stable financial position, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40 indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity of 17.62% demonstrates effective use of shareholders' equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio of 47.70% suggests a balanced capital structure. The company maintains solid asset management and financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Matador Resources shows strong cash flow management with a substantial free cash flow growth rate of 286.89% in TTM, evidencing improved liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.69 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.16 highlight the company's ability to convert earnings into cash, enhancing financial flexibility.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.48B2.82B3.06B1.66B862.13M
Gross Profit1.54B1.33B1.88B891.54M227.77M
EBITDA2.42B1.94B2.23B1.14B-353.67M
Net Income885.32M846.07M1.21B584.97M-553.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.85B7.73B5.55B4.26B3.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.03M52.66M505.18M48.13M57.92M
Total Debt3.46B2.27B1.16B1.53B1.81B
Total Liabilities5.46B3.60B2.24B2.13B2.17B
Stockholders Equity5.09B3.91B3.11B1.91B1.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow280.04M318.02M894.75M319.88M-302.87M
Operating Cash Flow2.25B1.87B1.98B1.05B477.58M
Investing Cash Flow-3.67B-3.21B-1.04B-729.26M-775.67M
Financing Cash Flow1.41B902.33M-480.85M-328.55M324.34M

Matador Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price46.49
Price Trends
50DMA
48.97
Negative
100DMA
46.97
Negative
200DMA
49.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Positive
RSI
42.46
Neutral
STOCH
19.89
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTDR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 46.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.37, below the 50-day MA of 48.97, and below the 200-day MA of 49.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.89 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MTDR.

Matador Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$8.17B7.6619.09%4.36%12.13%-67.53%
74
Outperform
$4.54B12.4019.24%2.45%2.67%-5.79%
73
Outperform
$5.93B6.9917.07%2.49%16.20%-12.42%
70
Outperform
$5.96B26.673.13%5.22%19.55%-81.10%
67
Neutral
$4.25B50.883.73%38.21%-67.24%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
47
Neutral
$4.67B-3.18%0.66%17.60%-385.47%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MTDR
Matador Resources
46.49
-2.71
-5.51%
APA
APA
22.91
-0.33
-1.42%
CRK
Comstock Resources
16.24
6.29
63.22%
CNX
CNX Resources
30.08
2.04
7.28%
MGY
Magnolia Oil & Gas
23.67
0.05
0.21%
CHRD
Chord Energy
102.31
-25.48
-19.94%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 13, 2025