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MSC Income Fund, Inc. (MSIF)
NYSE:MSIF
US Market
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MSC Income Fund, Inc. (MSIF) AI Stock Analysis

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MSIF

MSC Income Fund, Inc.

(NYSE:MSIF)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
MSIF's overall score reflects its strong financial foundation, attractive valuation, and positive corporate developments. While technical indicators suggest some caution, the company's strategic financial moves and commitment to maintaining dividends position it as a stable investment with growth potential. Continued focus on revenue and cash flow improvements will be critical going forward.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Net asset value increased by a healthy 1% sequentially, indicating solid financial performance.
IPO Success
The company's IPO was well-received, raising significant capital that positions it well for future growth.
Portfolio Management
MSIF is externally managed by Main Street Capital Corp, which has an impressive track record managing portfolios and generating robust returns for its shareholders.
Negative Factors
Consumer Sector Challenges
Management highlighted continued softness in consumer discretionary-focused products and services, a trend being actively monitored and addressed.
Credit Market Risks
Industry-wide credit performance may deteriorate more than expected and thereby pressure NAV and dividends.

MSC Income Fund, Inc. (MSIF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MSC Income Fund, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMSC Income Fund, Inc. (MSIF) is a non-diversified closed-end management investment company that primarily invests in the debt and equity securities of middle-market companies. The company operates within the financial services sector, focusing on providing capital solutions to businesses that are typically too small to access traditional public capital markets. MSC Income Fund, Inc. is managed by Main Street Capital Corporation, which brings expertise in the private lending and equity investment space.
How the Company Makes MoneyMSC Income Fund, Inc. generates revenue primarily through interest income and dividends from its investments in debt and equity securities. The company invests in senior secured debt, subordinated debt, and to a lesser extent, equity securities of privately held middle-market companies. These investments are structured to provide a steady stream of income through interest payments and potential capital appreciation. Additionally, the company benefits from management and incentive fees associated with its investment advisory agreement with Main Street Capital Corporation. These fees are based on the performance and assets under management, providing an incentive for the company to maximize returns on its investment portfolio. Significant partnerships with middle-market businesses and strategic investment decisions contribute to MSC Income Fund, Inc.'s earnings.

MSC Income Fund, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture. While the Fund achieved strong return on equity and increased dividends, it faced challenges with underperforming private loan investments and a decrease in investment activity. The Fund's diversified portfolio and positive net investment income growth were notable positives, but concerns around nonaccrual investments and market conditions tempered the overall outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Return on Equity
The Fund achieved a return on equity of 9% for the second quarter.
Increased Dividend Yield
The Fund declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.35 per share and a supplemental quarterly dividend of $0.01 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of approximately 10%.
Diversified Investment Portfolio
The Fund maintains a highly diversified portfolio with investments in 147 portfolio companies across various industries.
Positive Net Investment Income Growth
Net investment income per share increased to $0.35, up from $0.33 in the prior year.
Negative Updates
Underperformance in Private Loan Portfolio
Certain private loan portfolio companies underperformed, negatively impacting the contributions from the Fund's private loan portfolio.
Decrease in Private Loan Investments
The Fund experienced a net decrease in private loan investments of $30 million due to lower private equity industry investment activity.
Nonaccrual Investments
Nonaccrual investments increased slightly, making up 2.6% of the total investment portfolio at fair value and 6.3% at cost.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, MSC Income Fund demonstrated promising financial performance, with a reported return on equity (ROE) of 9% and net investment income (NII) per share of $0.35 after taxes, or $0.37 on a pretax basis. The fund declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.35 per share and a supplemental dividend of $0.01 per share. Despite a net decrease in private loan investments of $30 million, the fund's net asset value (NAV) per share was $15.33 at quarter-end. The fund's portfolio maintained a high diversification, with 60% allocated to private loans yielding an average of 11.5%. Additionally, the fund's regulatory asset coverage ratio stood at 2.34, with a net debt to NAV ratio of 0.71. Looking forward, MSC Income Fund aims to leverage increased liquidity and expanded regulatory capacity, expected by January 2026, to enhance shareholder returns through a private loan-focused strategy.

MSC Income Fund, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MSIF shows financial resilience with a strong profitability and a debt-free balance sheet. However, revenue decline and negative cash flow generation present challenges. The company's strong equity position and cost management are positive, but focus on improving revenue and cash flow is needed.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The company achieved a high gross profit margin and strong net profit margin for the last reported year, indicating effective cost management. However, there is a notable decrease in revenue over the past year, which is concerning for future growth. The EBIT margin remains strong, showcasing efficient operations, but the absence of EBITDA figures limits a complete profitability analysis.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with zero debt, contributing to financial stability. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a healthy reliance on equity financing. Return on equity remained robust, reflecting efficient use of shareholders' funds to generate earnings. As the company has no debt, the debt-to-equity ratio does not apply, highlighting a conservative approach to financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals some challenges, primarily due to negative operating cash flow in the latest year, which raises concerns about cash generation from core operations. Free cash flow also declined significantly, indicating potential liquidity issues. However, previous years showed better performance, suggesting these issues may be temporary. The company’s ability to manage financing activities partially offsets these concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue107.36M101.75M74.84M51.74M82.38M-4.35M
Gross Profit43.53M62.71M74.84M51.74M82.38M-4.35M
EBITDA39.73M57.66M0.000.000.000.00
Net Income61.91M56.55M66.21M45.59M73.64M-9.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.29B1.22B1.14B1.11B1.14B888.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.34M28.38M30.79M21.31M25.81M8.59M
Total Debt0.00565.14M0.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities570.28M599.77M517.59M497.50M530.61M308.40M
Stockholders Equity722.79M624.90M622.31M609.66M613.17M579.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-27.80M-28.08M50.23M76.68M-191.15M195.82M
Operating Cash Flow-27.80M-28.08M50.23M76.68M-191.15M195.82M
Investing Cash Flow147.05M0.000.000.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow26.66M25.66M-40.76M-81.18M167.90M-168.60M

MSC Income Fund, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.99
Price Trends
50DMA
15.31
Negative
100DMA
15.48
Negative
200DMA
14.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.37
Negative
RSI
34.97
Neutral
STOCH
32.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSIF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.21, below the 50-day MA of 15.31, and below the 200-day MA of 14.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MSIF.

MSC Income Fund, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$15.78B10.9610.25%8.56%7.71%-29.47%
72
Outperform
10.078.92%5.15%9.62%-11.94%
71
Outperform
$1.31B9.269.36%15.23%-55.16%47.09%
69
Neutral
$163.80M85.621.01%13.23%-17.51%-75.48%
68
Neutral
$18.06B11.9710.24%3.74%9.75%1.30%
65
Neutral
$1.13B14.066.18%12.34%39.05%-32.62%
58
Neutral
$610.56M-1.48%18.78%-48.53%73.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MSIF
MSC Income Fund, Inc.
13.99
1.80
14.77%
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
10.62
-0.16
-1.48%
ARCC
Ares Capital
22.44
3.64
19.36%
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital
7.24
-0.53
-6.82%
MRCC
Monroe Capital
7.56
0.49
6.93%
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC
11.44
-0.41
-3.46%

MSC Income Fund, Inc. Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
MSC Income Fund Expands Credit Facility to $245M
Positive
Mar 4, 2025

On February 27, 2025, MSC Income Fund, Inc. announced an amendment to its senior secured revolving credit facility, increasing total commitments from $165 million to $245 million, and the accordion feature from $200 million to $300 million. This amendment, which was facilitated by adding a new lender, diversifies the company’s lender group to seven participants, potentially enhancing its financial flexibility and capacity to support leveraged buyouts, recapitalizations, and other investments in diverse industry sectors.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 03, 2025