tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Montauk Renewables (MNTK)
NASDAQ:MNTK
US Market
Advertisement

Montauk Renewables (MNTK) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
77 Followers

Top Page

MNTK

Montauk Renewables

(NASDAQ:MNTK)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(9.29% Upside)
Montauk Renewables' overall stock score reflects a combination of mixed financial performance, bearish technical indicators, and high valuation concerns. The earnings call provided balanced insights, with both positive strategic developments and significant operational challenges. The stock's current technical and valuation metrics suggest caution.

Montauk Renewables (MNTK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Montauk Renewables Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMontauk Renewables, Inc., a renewable energy company, engages in recovery and processing of biogas from landfills and other non-fossil fuel sources. It operates in two segments, Renewable Natural Gas and Renewable Electricity Generation. The company develops, owns, and operates renewable natural gas (RNG) projects that capture methane and prevents it from being released into the atmosphere by converting it into either RNG or electrical power for the electrical grid. Its customers for RNG and renewable identification numbers (RIN) include long-term owner-operators of landfills and livestock farms, local utilities, and refiners in the natural gas and refining sectors. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyMontauk Renewables generates revenue through the production and sale of renewable natural gas (RNG) and renewable electricity, which are derived from biogas collected from landfills and other agricultural sources. The company benefits from various environmental credits and incentives provided by governmental and regulatory bodies aimed at promoting clean energy. Montauk also engages in long-term partnerships and contracts with utility companies and other energy consumers to ensure a stable and consistent revenue stream. A significant portion of its earnings is derived from state and federal programs such as the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) in the U.S., which mandates the inclusion of renewable fuels in transportation fuel.

Montauk Renewables Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -12.02%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented both positive developments, such as revenue growth and strategic joint ventures, and negative trends, including decreased RIN pricing and increased net loss. The highlights and lowlights are fairly balanced, indicating mixed results for the quarter.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenues in the second quarter of 2025 were $45.1 million, an increase of $1.8 million or 4.1% compared to the second quarter of 2024.
Joint Venture Formation
Montauk formed a joint venture, GreenWave Energy Partners, with Pioneer Renewables Energy Marketing to address the limited capacity of RNG utilization for transportation.
Successful RNG Facility Expansion
Successfully completed the construction and commissioning of a second RNG processing facility at the Apex landfill, providing an additional 2,100 MMBtu per day of production capacity.
Biogenic CO2 Contract
Signed a contract for the annual delivery of 140,000 tons per year of biogenic carbon dioxide to EE North America, with expected revenues ranging between $170 million to $201 million over 15 years.
Renewable Electricity PPA
Executed a power purchase agreement for the expected power to be produced from the first phase of electric production in North Carolina, with an average price of $48 per megawatt hour.
Negative Updates
Decreased RIN Pricing
Realized RIN pricing during the second quarter of 2025 decreased to $2.42 compared to $3.12 in the second quarter of 2024, a decrease of approximately 22.4%.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating and maintenance expenses for RNG facilities increased by $3.1 million or 22% compared to the second quarter of 2024.
Net Loss
Net loss for the second quarter of 2025 was $5.5 million, an increased loss of $4.8 million compared to the second quarter of 2024.
Lower Operating Income
RNG operating income for the second quarter of 2025 was $9.2 million, a decrease of $2.5 million or 21.2% compared to the second quarter of 2024.
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of 2025 was $5.0 million, a decrease of $2.0 million or 28.6% compared to the second quarter of 2024.
Company Guidance
During Montauk Renewables' second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reaffirmed its guidance for the full year 2025, with expected Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) production volumes ranging between 5.8 million and 6 million MMBtus, translating to revenues between $150 million and $170 million. Renewable Electricity production is anticipated to be between 178,000 and 186,000 megawatt hours, generating revenues between $17 million and $18 million. The company also discussed its joint venture, GreenWave Energy Partners, aiming to address limited RNG utilization capacity for transportation, and the development efforts in North Carolina, with capital investment expected to range from $180 million to $220 million. Additionally, Montauk finalized the construction of a second RNG processing facility at the Apex landfill, adding 2,100 MMBtu per day of production capacity. The company also highlighted a collaboration with Emvolon to convert methane emissions into carbon-negative fuel, targeting 50,000 metric tons of green methanol by 2030.

Montauk Renewables Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Montauk Renewables shows a mixed financial performance. While the balance sheet indicates better financial leverage management with improved debt-to-equity ratio and increased stockholders' equity, income and cash flow statements reveal declining profitability and cash generation. Challenges in maintaining revenue growth and negative free cash flow highlight potential liquidity issues.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Montauk Renewables shows a decreasing trend in revenue and net income, indicating challenges in maintaining growth. Gross profit margin is stable but has declined from previous years, reflecting potential cost pressures. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also on a downward trajectory, suggesting decreasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved, indicating better financial leverage management. Stockholders' equity has increased over the years, contributing to a stronger equity ratio, which suggests a solid financial foundation. However, the reduction in cash and cash equivalents may pose liquidity concerns.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Montauk Renewables faces challenges in cash generation, as indicated by negative free cash flow in recent periods. Operating cash flow remains positive but is not sufficient to cover capital expenditures, highlighting potential risks in sustaining operations without additional financing.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue175.74M174.90M205.56M148.13M100.38M
Gross Profit77.57M80.28M104.13M69.97M38.64M
EBITDA40.97M45.12M65.73M25.43M25.06M
Net Income9.73M14.95M35.19M-4.53M4.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets349.01M350.24M332.32M286.48M253.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.62M73.81M105.18M53.27M20.99M
Total Debt62.91M68.09M76.22M79.53M66.36M
Total Liabilities91.60M100.00M105.22M104.19M93.73M
Stockholders Equity257.42M250.24M227.09M182.29M159.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-18.53M-22.04M58.79M32.89M11.04M
Operating Cash Flow43.80M41.05M81.07M42.88M28.68M
Investing Cash Flow-62.19M-63.09M-20.79M-19.47M-15.99M
Financing Cash Flow-9.84M-9.33M-8.28M8.65M-1.50M

Montauk Renewables Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.83
Price Trends
50DMA
2.19
Negative
100DMA
2.15
Negative
200DMA
3.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
42.83
Neutral
STOCH
20.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MNTK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.16, below the 50-day MA of 2.19, and below the 200-day MA of 3.17, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MNTK.

Montauk Renewables Risk Analysis

Montauk Renewables disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Montauk Renewables reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Montauk Renewables Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$6.47B12.519.81%6.21%-5.28%14.50%
75
Outperform
$6.36B4.3726.38%4.68%-4.14%13.02%
72
Outperform
$4.40B15.228.13%4.35%5.41%-1.89%
69
Neutral
$3.82B20.786.46%4.36%-0.44%-17.46%
64
Neutral
$9.11B9.0421.17%5.42%-3.19%30.48%
55
Neutral
$260.33M97.861.04%-1.78%-85.80%
44
Neutral
C$923.76M-8.73-0.23%2.68%20.48%-40.65%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MNTK
Montauk Renewables
1.97
-2.32
-54.08%
ALE
Allete
65.80
4.33
7.04%
BKH
Black Hills
61.01
6.13
11.17%
CIG
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais
1.99
0.14
7.57%
ELP
Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd
9.32
2.01
27.50%
AES
AES
12.91
-3.08
-19.26%

Montauk Renewables Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Montauk Renewables Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Montauk Renewables, Inc. conducted its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where two director nominees, Theventheran G. Govender and Yunis Shaik, were elected to the Board for terms expiring in 2028. Additionally, the stockholders ratified the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, indicating continued confidence in the company’s financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (MNTK) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Montauk Renewables stock, see the MNTK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025