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MainStreet Bancshares Inc (MNSB)
NASDAQ:MNSB
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MainStreet Bancshares (MNSB) AI Stock Analysis

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MNSB

MainStreet Bancshares

(NASDAQ:MNSB)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
▼(-11.26% Downside)
MainStreet Bancshares faces significant financial and technical challenges. The most impactful factors are the negative financial performance, with declining revenue and profitability, and bearish technical indicators. The valuation is also unattractive due to negative earnings. These factors collectively result in a low overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Health
A stable debt-to-equity ratio indicates a solid capital structure, providing financial stability and the capacity to manage debt effectively.
Free Cash Flow Growth
Strong free cash flow growth suggests robust cash generation, enabling the company to reinvest in growth opportunities and maintain financial flexibility.
Community Banking Focus
A focus on community banking can strengthen customer relationships and loyalty, providing a competitive advantage in local markets.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue growth indicates challenges in market demand or competitive positioning, potentially impacting long-term business sustainability.
Negative Profitability
Negative margins reflect operational inefficiencies and could limit the company's ability to reinvest in growth or weather economic downturns.
Low Cash Flow Conversion
Low cash flow conversion can strain liquidity, affecting the company's ability to fund operations and invest in future growth.

MainStreet Bancshares (MNSB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MainStreet Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMainStreet Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for MainStreet Bank that provides various banking products and services for individuals, small to medium-sized businesses, and professional service organizations. The company offers demand, NOW, money market, savings, and sweep accounts, as well as certificates of deposit; business and consumer checking, interest-bearing checking, business account analysis, and other depository services; and cash management, wire transfer, check imaging, remote deposit capture, and courier services. It also provides commercial loans, including government contract receivables, plant and equipment, general working capital, contract administration, and acquisition loans; commercial real estate, real estate construction, and residential real estate loans; and consumer loans comprising term loans and overdraft protection, as well as debit and credit cards. In addition, the company provides deposit insurance solutions; remote deposit of checks; and internet bill payment, online cash management, and online and mobile banking services. As of March 18, 2022, it operated six branches in Herndon, Fairfax, McLean, Leesburg, Clarendon, and Washington D.C., as well as 55,000 automated teller machines. MainStreet Bancshares, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Fairfax, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyMainStreet Bancshares generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and mortgages, which constitute a significant portion of its earnings. The company earns interest on various types of loans, including commercial loans, residential mortgages, and consumer loans, while also collecting fees associated with these services. Additionally, MNSB generates non-interest income through service fees for account maintenance, ATM transactions, and other banking services. The company may also benefit from partnerships with local businesses and organizations, enhancing its community presence and driving business growth. Furthermore, effective asset management and investment strategies contribute to its overall profitability.

MainStreet Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 21, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive strides in net interest margin improvements and strategic financial management, contrasted by the setback of discontinuing the Avenue initiative and nominal loan growth. Expense management initiatives are in place, but the organization is facing challenges with increased delinquency rates and costs associated with strategic shifts.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Interest Margin Improvement
The net interest margin increased by 34 basis points from the previous quarter to 3.3%.
Reduction in Non-Performing Loans
Non-performing loans are holding steady at $21.7 million, and are expected to reduce to $10.5 million with a court-approved payoff coming in June.
Strategic Repricing of Retail and Wholesale CDs
Retail CDs repriced to almost 100 basis points less than previous rates, and wholesale CDs were repriced to 71 basis points lower.
Increase in Non-Interest Bearing Deposits
Increased non-interest-bearing and low-cost transactional deposits by $74 million in the first quarter.
Expense Reduction Strategy
Plan to decrease operating expenses by 12.5% in the second quarter and continue reductions throughout the year.
Negative Updates
Discontinuation of Avenue Initiative
The Avenue banking-as-a-service initiative was discontinued due to misalignment with strategic priorities, projected costs, and timelines.
Nominal Loan Portfolio Growth
Loan portfolio had a nominal net growth of $1 million quarter on quarter, indicating limited expansion.
Increased Delinquency Rates
There was an increase in the 30 to 89 day delinquency figure, although over half have been brought current since the quarter end.
Staff Reduction and Contract Termination Costs
Layoffs and contract cancellations will incur costs, with severance costs to be recognized in the second quarter.
Company Guidance
During the earnings webcast held on April 21, 2025, MainStreet Bancshares Inc. provided several key metrics and strategic updates for the first quarter. The company reported earnings per common share of $0.25, a return on average assets of 0.46%, and a return on average equity of 4.78%, alongside a net interest margin increase of 34 basis points to 3.3% from the previous quarter. Non-performing loans held steady at $21.7 million, with an anticipated reduction to $10.5 million due to a court-approved payoff scheduled for June. Loan demand remained robust, although investor CRE lending was reduced in response to political and economic uncertainties. The company's loan portfolio exhibited nominal net growth of $1 million, with non-owner-occupied commercial real estate loans increasing by $25 million and construction loans decreasing by $47 million. The bank's Avenue banking-as-a-service initiative was discontinued due to misaligned costs and timelines, with efforts now focused on the core bank to drive shareholder value. Additionally, a 12.5% reduction in operating expenses is expected in the second quarter as part of ongoing cost-efficiency measures. The bank also succeeded in growing non-interest-bearing and low-cost transactional deposits by $74 million during the quarter, further enhancing its financial position.

MainStreet Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MainStreet Bancshares faces significant financial challenges, with declining profitability and cash flow constraints overshadowing its revenue growth. The balance sheet remains relatively stable, but the negative return on equity and cash flow issues raise concerns about the company's ability to sustain operations and generate shareholder value in the long term.
Income Statement
35
Negative
MainStreet Bancshares has experienced a significant decline in profitability over the TTM period, with negative net profit and EBIT margins indicating operational challenges. Despite a strong revenue growth rate of 70.8% TTM, the company struggles with cost management, as evidenced by the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The gross profit margin has improved slightly compared to the previous year, but the overall profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33 TTM, indicating a manageable level of leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate returns for shareholders. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a solid capital structure, but the declining ROE is a concern for future profitability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a challenging situation with a decline in free cash flow growth by 26.2% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating inefficiencies in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, further highlighting cash flow constraints. These factors suggest potential liquidity issues that need addressing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue138.62M137.87M127.76M88.68M70.31M69.52M
Gross Profit69.22M59.06M78.44M72.91M60.82M49.82M
EBITDA-1.38M-9.27M35.57M35.97M30.32M21.70M
Net Income-4.61M-9.98M26.59M26.67M22.17M15.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.12B2.23B2.04B1.93B1.65B1.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.65M48.92M113.51M111.56M161.74M223.35M
Total Debt69.84M73.04M87.64M172.25M29.29M14.83M
Total Liabilities1.91B2.02B1.81B1.73B1.46B1.48B
Stockholders Equity218.36M207.99M221.52M198.28M188.79M167.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.98M8.95M25.63M25.76M24.82M15.73M
Operating Cash Flow13.69M14.74M31.63M33.54M29.12M17.02M
Investing Cash Flow-26.77M-122.28M-130.75M-228.74M-29.25M-313.79M
Financing Cash Flow-91.74M200.73M83.03M232.59M-14.20M339.45M

MainStreet Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.72
Price Trends
50DMA
19.11
Positive
100DMA
20.09
Positive
200DMA
18.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Negative
RSI
68.86
Neutral
STOCH
81.82
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MNSB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.75, above the 50-day MA of 19.11, and above the 200-day MA of 18.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.82 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MNSB.

MainStreet Bancshares Risk Analysis

MainStreet Bancshares disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MainStreet Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MainStreet Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$165.37M11.2211.84%2.62%11.36%25.07%
72
Outperform
$164.28M16.965.32%4.86%-8.20%
71
Outperform
$147.82M8.5811.72%3.01%12.31%39.46%
69
Neutral
$166.15M13.367.00%2.08%-2.16%-9.35%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$162.75M9.409.18%1.26%2.33%22.43%
44
Neutral
$143.79M-20.63-2.07%1.99%1.92%-174.59%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MNSB
MainStreet Bancshares
20.10
1.95
10.74%
CFBK
CF Bankshares
23.75
-4.13
-14.81%
CZWI
Citizens Community Bancorp
17.67
1.17
7.09%
FCAP
First Capital
50.44
19.69
64.03%
LARK
Landmark Bancorp
27.91
5.76
26.00%
BVFL
BV Financial, Inc.
18.47
1.47
8.65%

MainStreet Bancshares Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
MainStreet Bancshares Announces Stock Repurchase Program
Neutral
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, MainStreet Bancshares, Inc. announced the repurchase of 209,000 shares of its common stock at $18.54 per share under its stock repurchase program. This transaction reduced the company’s outstanding common stock to 7,496,571 shares and left $6.1 million available for future repurchases, reflecting a strategic move to manage its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (MNSB) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MainStreet Bancshares stock, see the MNSB Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
MainStreet Bancshares Announces Cash Dividend for Shareholders
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, MainStreet Bancshares, Inc. announced a $0.10 per share cash dividend for common shareholders, to be paid on November 18, 2025, with a record date of November 11, 2025. The Board of Directors will review the company’s financial status and other factors before deciding on future dividends, highlighting their discretion in such financial decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (MNSB) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MainStreet Bancshares stock, see the MNSB Stock Forecast page.

MainStreet Bancshares Reports Strong Q3 Earnings
Oct 28, 2025

MainStreet Bancshares, Inc. is a financial holding company operating in the banking sector, primarily through its subsidiary, MainStreet Bank, which offers a wide range of banking services including commercial and residential lending, and innovative online banking solutions.

Stock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
MainStreet Bancshares Surpasses Expectations in Q3 2025
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

On October 27, 2025, MainStreet Bancshares, Inc. announced its third-quarter financial results, reporting a net income of $4.52 million and earnings per share of $0.52, surpassing market expectations. The company’s core net interest margin stood at 3.54%, and it remains well-positioned for future rate changes. The bank continues to see strong lending opportunities in various sectors and maintains strong asset quality. Additionally, the board authorized a new stock repurchase program of up to $10 million, replacing the previous program.

The most recent analyst rating on (MNSB) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MainStreet Bancshares stock, see the MNSB Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
MainStreet Bancshares Announces New Stock Repurchase Program
Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

On October 16, 2025, MainStreet Bancshares, Inc. announced a new stock repurchase program to buy back up to $10 million of its outstanding common stock. This initiative replaces the previous program from May 19, 2022, and will be executed at management’s discretion based on market conditions and other factors, with no guarantee of stock purchase. The program is expected to last 18 months but may be adjusted as needed.

The most recent analyst rating on (MNSB) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MainStreet Bancshares stock, see the MNSB Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
MainStreet Bancshares Announces Upcoming Earnings Call
Neutral
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, MainStreet Bancshares, Inc. announced plans to hold a virtual webcast and quarterly earnings conference call on October 27, 2025, to discuss its third-quarter results and recent activities. This announcement indicates the company’s commitment to transparency and engagement with investors, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (MNSB) stock is a Hold with a $21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MainStreet Bancshares stock, see the MNSB Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
MainStreet Bancshares Appoints Wendy Adeler Hall as Director
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 18, 2025, MainStreet Bancshares, Inc. and MainStreet Bank announced the appointment of Wendy Adeler Hall as a director, effective October 16, 2025, filling the vacancy left by Elizabeth Bennett in 2024. Wendy Adeler Hall, a seasoned leader in the jewelry industry, brings extensive experience in business development, marketing, and philanthropy to the board. Her appointment is expected to enhance the company’s community engagement and business success, as she joins the Nominating and Compensation Committee as an independent director under Nasdaq standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (MNSB) stock is a Hold with a $24.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MainStreet Bancshares stock, see the MNSB Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
MainStreet Bancshares Approves Indemnification Agreement for CFO
Neutral
Aug 27, 2025

On August 21, 2025, MainStreet Bancshares, Inc. approved an indemnification agreement with Richard A. Vari, the Chief Financial Officer of MainStreet Bank. This agreement ensures that Vari will be indemnified to the fullest extent allowed by law for expenses and other amounts incurred in legal proceedings related to his role as an executive officer. The agreement also includes provisions for the advancement of defense expenses, which must be repaid if it is determined that indemnification is not warranted.

The most recent analyst rating on (MNSB) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MainStreet Bancshares stock, see the MNSB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025