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Milestone Pharmaceuticals (MIST)
NASDAQ:MIST
US Market

Milestone Pharmaceuticals (MIST) AI Stock Analysis

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MIST

Milestone Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:MIST)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(6.95% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (no current revenue, widening losses, and significant cash burn with elevated leverage). Offsetting this, corporate events are strongly positive—FDA approval/commercial launch and non-dilutive financing materially improve the business outlook—while technical signals remain soft and valuation provides limited support due to ongoing losses.
Positive Factors
FDA approval and U.S. commercial launch
Regulatory approval and retail availability create a durable revenue pathway absent during development, enabling direct product sales and reimbursement interactions. A successful rollout and capture of PSVT prescriptions can materially shift the company from financing dependence toward operating cash generation over the medium term.
Non-dilutive $75M royalty financing
Securing significant non-dilutive capital strengthens near-term liquidity to fund commercialization without issuing equity, preserving existing shareholders while enabling launch investments. It does cede a portion of long-term revenue, but materially reduces immediate refinancing and dilution risk during commercialization build-out.
EMA MAA acceptance expands geography
A validated EU regulatory filing opens a structural pathway to a multi‑regional commercial footprint. Approval in Europe would expand the addressable market, diversify revenue streams, and leverage published pivotal data, strengthening long-term growth prospects beyond the U.S. market if executed well.
Negative Factors
No recurring revenue; heavy cash burn
The company remains effectively pre-revenue with sustained large operating losses and cash burn. Persistent negative cash flow requires ongoing financing to fund sales, marketing, and operations, limiting financial flexibility and increasing execution pressure to convert approval into profitable, self-sustaining product sales.
Elevated leverage and weakened equity base
Material leverage and a diminished equity base constrain strategic options and raise refinancing and covenant risks. High obligations relative to equity reduce resilience to launch setbacks or slower uptake, and may force costly financing terms or further dilution if sales ramp is delayed or commercialization costs exceed forecasts.
Single-product dependence and small organization
Dependence on a single newly commercialized product and a compact workforce heighten execution risk for national launch, payer negotiations, and scale-up. Any clinical, regulatory, or commercial setback could disproportionately impact prospects; scaling a sales and support model will require sustained investment and operational expansion.

Milestone Pharmaceuticals (MIST) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Milestone Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMilestone Pharmaceuticals Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of cardiovascular medicines. The company is developing etripamil, a novel channel blocker, which is in Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia in the United States and Canada; and Phase II clinical trial for the treatment of atrial fibrillation and rapid ventricular rate. It has a license and collaboration agreement with Ji Xing Pharmaceuticals to develop and commercialize etripamil prophylactic and therapeutic uses in humans. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Montréal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMilestone Pharmaceuticals generates revenue through the development and commercialization of its pharmaceutical products, primarily etripamil. The company aims to secure regulatory approvals and bring its products to market, targeting healthcare providers and institutions as its primary customers. Revenue streams are expected from product sales, potential partnerships, and licensing agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies that may include upfront payments, milestones, and royalties. Additionally, strategic collaborations and partnerships can enhance its market reach and provide funding to support further research and development efforts, contributing to its overall earnings.

Milestone Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials remain weak for a development-to-early-commercial biotech: revenue is $0 in 2024 and TTM, losses are large and widening (net loss ~$41.5M in 2024 to ~$58.0M TTM), and cash burn is heavy (operating cash flow about -$43.2M TTM). Balance sheet leverage is elevated with debt (~$57.2M) exceeding equity (~$20.5M), reducing flexibility and increasing financing risk.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
The business is still pre-commercial, with revenue at $0 in both 2024 (annual) and 2025-09-30 TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Losses remain very large: net loss was about $41.5M in 2024 and widened to about $58.0M in TTM, indicating operating expenses are outpacing progress toward monetization. Earlier years show intermittent revenue (e.g., $15M in 2021, $5M in 2022, $1M in 2023), but the overall trajectory has been down to zero revenue, keeping profitability and margin profile weak.
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Leverage has increased materially: debt rose to ~$57.2M in TTM while equity declined to ~$20.5M, pushing debt-to-equity to ~2.79x (still better than ~4.17x in 2024, but far worse than the very low leverage seen in 2020–2022). The company remains loss-making, reflected in deeply negative returns on equity (TTM). The balance sheet still shows a moderate asset base (~$87.8M TTM), but shrinking equity and elevated leverage reduce financial flexibility and raise dilution/refinancing risk if losses persist.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash burn remains heavy: operating cash flow was about -$28.8M in 2024 and deteriorated to about -$43.2M in TTM, with free cash flow similarly negative (~- $43.2M TTM). While free cash flow growth is positive in the provided data (TTM and 2024), the absolute level of burn is still substantial and ongoing. Cash generation is not yet self-funding, implying continued reliance on financing to support operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.001.00M5.00M15.00M0.00
Gross Profit-592.00K0.001.00M5.00M15.00M0.00
EBITDA-53.73M-37.83M-57.04M-58.30M-42.98M-50.61M
Net Income-58.01M-41.52M-59.69M-58.39M-42.85M-49.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets87.75M75.50M75.23M74.48M119.85M149.97M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments82.58M69.69M66.00M64.58M114.14M142.31M
Total Debt57.21M54.80M51.77M2.49M698.00K941.00K
Total Liabilities67.25M62.35M58.45M8.13M7.25M6.86M
Stockholders Equity20.50M13.15M16.77M66.35M112.60M143.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-43.22M-28.88M-46.54M-52.74M-33.22M-50.73M
Operating Cash Flow-43.18M-28.85M-46.42M-52.47M-33.22M-50.73M
Investing Cash Flow27.21M8.28M4.76M-57.12M70.00M-70.00M
Financing Cash Flow49.86M32.12M47.79M3.09M5.05M73.22M

Milestone Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.87
Price Trends
50DMA
2.20
Negative
100DMA
2.09
Negative
200DMA
1.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
39.32
Neutral
STOCH
40.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MIST, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.99, below the 50-day MA of 2.20, and above the 200-day MA of 1.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MIST.

Milestone Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Milestone Pharmaceuticals disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Milestone Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Milestone Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
56
Neutral
$466.00M-6.52-45.01%-7.87%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$123.30M22.4515.95%448.44%
49
Neutral
$159.27M-2.16-260.65%3.70%
49
Neutral
$140.60M-1.45-55.65%-17.43%
47
Neutral
$266.03M-1.65-174.79%-76.59%94.03%
43
Neutral
$137.29M-2.3117.36%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MIST
Milestone Pharmaceuticals
1.87
-0.20
-9.66%
CRBP
Corbus Pharmaceuticals
8.01
-3.32
-29.30%
MCRB
Seres Therapeutics
13.63
-2.18
-13.79%
AVTX
Avalo Therapeutics
14.37
5.99
71.48%
ELTX
Elicio Therapeutics
7.85
-1.60
-16.93%
ANRO
Alto Neuroscience, Inc.
15.00
10.80
257.14%

Milestone Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Milestone Launches CARDAMYST Nasal Spray in U.S. Pharmacies
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

On January 26, 2026, Milestone Pharmaceuticals announced that CARDAMYST (etripamil) nasal spray, the first and only FDA-approved self-administered treatment for adults with paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia, became available through U.S. retail pharmacies following its December 12, 2025 FDA approval, marking the first new PSVT therapy in more than three decades. The company is executing a rapid commercial rollout that includes deploying a national sales force in mid-February 2026 and launching a comprehensive patient assistance program with benefits verification, reimbursement support, and an expected $25 copay cap for eligible commercially insured patients, a strategy that could significantly expand access, reduce emergency department reliance, and strengthen Milestone’s position in the cardiovascular therapeutics market.

The most recent analyst rating on (MIST) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Milestone Pharmaceuticals stock, see the MIST Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Milestone Pharmaceuticals Secures $75M Non-Dilutive Royalty Financing
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Milestone Pharmaceuticals closed a previously arranged royalty financing transaction under a Royalty Purchase Agreement with RTW Royalty I DAC, an affiliate of RTW Investments, whereby funds managed by RTW paid $75 million to acquire a royalty interest in future tiered quarterly royalty payments on U.S. net product sales of etripamil. The closing of this sale, contingent on prior U.S. Food and Drug Administration approval of etripamil, provided Milestone with significant non-dilutive capital in exchange for a portion of future U.S. sales, potentially strengthening its financial position while shifting some long-term revenue upside to RTW.

The most recent analyst rating on (MIST) stock is a Sell with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Milestone Pharmaceuticals stock, see the MIST Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Milestone’s PSVT nasal spray MAA accepted by EMA
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Milestone Pharmaceuticals announced that the European Medicines Agency has accepted its Marketing Authorization Application for etripamil nasal spray, under the conditionally approved brand name TACHYMIST, for the treatment of paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia outside the healthcare setting, with a decision on approval expected by the first quarter of 2027. The filing, supported by data from more than 1,800 participants and the pivotal RAPID Phase 3 trial published in 2023, underscores etripamil’s potential to become the first patient self-administered PSVT therapy in Europe, which could significantly reduce emergency visits and invasive procedures for approximately two million European patients and strengthen Milestone’s position in the cardiovascular therapeutics market.

The most recent analyst rating on (MIST) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Milestone Pharmaceuticals stock, see the MIST Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related Announcements
Milestone Pharmaceuticals Gains FDA Approval for CARDAMYST
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Milestone Pharmaceuticals announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved their New Drug Application for CARDAMYST (etripamil) nasal spray, intended for managing paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia (PSVT). This approval marks a significant milestone for the company, potentially enhancing its market position by offering a novel treatment option that could reduce healthcare costs and empower patients to manage symptomatic attacks effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (MIST) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Milestone Pharmaceuticals stock, see the MIST Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 26, 2026