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Mistras (MG)
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Mistras Group (MG) AI Stock Analysis

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MG

Mistras Group

(NYSE:MG)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(28.60% Upside)
Mistras Group's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and a positive earnings call, reflecting robust revenue growth and operational efficiency. However, challenges in profitability, cash flow management, and valuation concerns moderate the score.

Mistras Group (MG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mistras Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMistras Group, Inc. is a leading global provider of asset protection solutions, offering a comprehensive suite of services to a variety of industries including oil and gas, power generation, aerospace, and manufacturing. The company specializes in non-destructive testing (NDT), inspection, and reliability engineering, as well as condition monitoring and other technical services that ensure the safety and integrity of critical infrastructure. Mistras Group operates across multiple sectors, providing innovative technology and expertise to help clients manage risk and improve operational efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyMistras Group generates revenue primarily through the provision of its core services, which include non-destructive testing, inspection services, and engineering solutions. The company's revenue model is largely based on service contracts, project-based work, and long-term agreements with clients in various industries. Key revenue streams include inspections for infrastructure integrity, maintenance services, and consulting on asset reliability. Additionally, Mistras Group benefits from strategic partnerships with major corporations and government entities, which enhance its market reach and service offerings. The company also invests in technology development and innovation, allowing it to offer advanced solutions that meet evolving industry standards and client needs, further contributing to its earnings.

Mistras Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with significant revenue growth, record adjusted EBITDA, and successful strategic initiatives. However, challenges related to cash flow, field services revenue, and increased debt levels were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consolidated Revenue Growth
Achieved a 7% increase in consolidated revenue versus the prior year, with notable growth in key industry verticals such as energy, aerospace & defense, industrials, and infrastructure.
Record Quarterly Adjusted EBITDA
Reported record quarterly adjusted EBITDA of $30.2 million, representing a 29.6% increase over the prior year period.
Gross Margin Expansion
Gross profit increased by $9.3 million or 19%, with a 300 basis point expansion in gross margin to 29.8% over the prior year quarter.
Strategic Wins and Diversification
Secured long-term construction projects with Batchelor & Kimball and Bechtel, marking progress in diversifying into new industries.
Aerospace & Defense Market Growth
Aerospace & defense market revenue increased by 10.6%, driven by volume gains and successful pricing strategies.
Operational Efficiency and Cost Control
Improved adjusted EBITDA due to proactive cost management, operational efficiency leverage, and a shift towards higher-margin business.
Negative Updates
Cash Flow Challenges
Continued cash flow challenges due to working capital timing issues related to ERP system implementation, impacting cash flow generation in the third quarter.
Field Services Revenue Decline
Field services revenue declined by 1%, despite strong performance in the oil & gas segment.
Impact on Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was adversely impacted by increased restructuring charges and incremental CapEx investments year-over-year.
Debt Levels
Bank borrowings increased year-over-year, with net debt of $174.5 million as of September 30, 2025.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, MISTRAS Group reported a consolidated revenue growth of 7% year-over-year, with net income reaching $13.1 million and earnings per diluted share of $0.41. The company achieved a record quarterly adjusted EBITDA of $30.2 million, representing a 15.4% EBITDA margin, up by 29.6% compared to the prior year. The energy market, including oil & gas and power generation, led the way with an 8.1% increase, while aerospace & defense rose by 10.6%. Industrial and infrastructure markets also saw significant growth, with increases of 15.8% and 21.1% respectively. International segment growth was recorded at 5.5%. Gross profit surged by $9.3 million or 19%, expanding the gross margin by 300 basis points to 29.8%. The company's financial outlook for the full year 2025 anticipates revenue between $716 million and $720 million, and adjusted EBITDA in the range of $86 million to $88 million, driven by strategic priorities under their Vision 2030 plan.

Mistras Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mistras Group shows stable revenue growth and improved operational efficiency, but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow management. The reduction in leverage is positive, enhancing financial stability. However, the sharp decline in free cash flow and low net profit margin are concerning.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Mistras Group shows a stable revenue growth trend with a TTM growth rate of 1.83%. The gross profit margin is consistent around 28-29%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.53% TTM, suggesting limited profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved over time, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has significantly reduced its debt-to-equity ratio from 1.17 to 0.15 TTM, enhancing financial stability. The return on equity is modest at 8.63% TTM, indicating decent returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, showing a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Free cash flow has declined sharply by 80.17% TTM, posing a risk to liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.21, indicating potential cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue715.30M729.64M705.47M687.37M677.13M592.57M
Gross Profit209.89M213.11M203.81M198.17M197.15M178.53M
EBITDA69.71M74.32M32.20M53.09M53.09M-65.51M
Net Income18.13M18.96M-17.45M6.50M3.86M-99.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets596.26M523.04M534.78M534.90M562.20M583.31M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.80M18.32M17.65M20.49M24.11M25.76M
Total Debt234.37M201.50M217.50M215.87M226.12M245.44M
Total Liabilities368.43M324.14M344.27M336.15M361.28M386.09M
Stockholders Equity227.40M198.57M190.19M198.45M200.68M197.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.10M27.14M3.10M12.99M22.98M52.03M
Operating Cash Flow26.50M50.13M26.75M26.41M42.26M67.80M
Investing Cash Flow-23.18M-21.37M-22.13M-12.24M-18.55M-14.97M
Financing Cash Flow5.07M-27.40M-7.71M-16.32M-23.25M-44.17M

Mistras Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.72
Price Trends
50DMA
10.39
Positive
100DMA
9.58
Positive
200DMA
9.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.47
Positive
RSI
53.56
Neutral
STOCH
15.72
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.39, below the 50-day MA of 10.39, and above the 200-day MA of 9.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MG.

Mistras Group Risk Analysis

Mistras Group disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mistras Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mistras Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.38B31.5725.03%1.30%-2.28%-9.94%
70
Outperform
$6.03B21.7123.35%1.36%3.31%2.58%
70
Outperform
$6.47B11.2617.24%2.71%4.77%-22.78%
67
Neutral
$368.80M20.498.42%-3.20%60.03%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
49
Neutral
$4.68B-20.90%15.45%-488.24%
45
Neutral
$1.08B-51.67%41.61%-1.76%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MG
Mistras Group
11.50
2.27
24.59%
MSA
MSA Safety
154.07
-18.46
-10.70%
NSSC
Napco Security Technologies
38.78
-0.59
-1.49%
ADT
Adt
7.89
0.41
5.48%
REZI
Resideo Technologies
31.27
3.95
14.46%
EVLV
Evolv Technologies Holdings
6.20
2.76
80.23%

Mistras Group Corporate Events

MISTRAS Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 6, 2025

MISTRAS Group, Inc. is a global leader in technology-enabled industrial asset integrity and testing solutions, serving critical industries such as oil & gas, aerospace & defense, and power & utilities, with a focus on reducing risk and optimizing operational performance through advanced non-destructive testing and real-time condition monitoring.

Mistras Group Reports Strong Earnings Amid Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

Mistras Group’s recent earnings call presented a mixed but predominantly positive sentiment, highlighting strong performance metrics such as significant revenue growth and record adjusted EBITDA. However, the company also faced challenges with cash flow, field services revenue, and increased debt levels, which tempered the overall enthusiasm.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Mistras Group Awards CEO Stock Units and Options
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Mistras Group awarded its CEO, Natalia Shuman, 25,000 restricted stock units and options to purchase 35,000 shares of common stock. These awards are part of a strategic decision by the Compensation Committee to align the CEO’s interests with shareholders and promote long-term company performance. The RSUs vest over three years, and the options can be exercised starting in 2026, reflecting the company’s commitment to incentivizing its leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (MG) stock is a Hold with a $10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mistras Group stock, see the MG Stock Forecast page.

Mistras 2024 Report Highlights Persistent Business Risks: A Call for Strategic Vigilance
Aug 12, 2025

Mistras faces potential business risks as outlined in their 2024 Annual Report, which remain unchanged in the latest Quarterly Report. Stakeholders should review these risk factors carefully to understand the challenges that may impact the company’s operations and financial performance. The stability of these risks suggests a consistent threat level that requires ongoing attention and strategic management. Investors and analysts are advised to consider these factors when evaluating Mistras’s market position and future prospects.

Mistras Group Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments and Growth
Aug 12, 2025

Mistras Group’s recent earnings call presented a mixed sentiment, with notable achievements in adjusted EBITDA and international market expansion, contrasted by challenges in the oil and gas sector and revenue declines from lab closures. The call reflected a balanced outlook with both positive developments and ongoing hurdles.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025