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Mistras Group Inc (MG)
NYSE:MG

Mistras Group (MG) AI Stock Analysis

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MG

Mistras Group

(NYSE:MG)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▼(-0.24% Downside)
Mistras Group's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings performance and positive technical indicators. However, challenges in profitability, cash flow management, and increased debt levels present risks. The strategic alignment of leadership interests through stock awards is a positive long-term factor.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company's consistent revenue growth across key sectors like energy and aerospace indicates strong market demand and strategic positioning, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Operational Efficiency
Improved EBITDA reflects enhanced operational efficiency and cost management, which can lead to sustained profitability and competitive advantage.
Strategic Leadership Alignment
Aligning CEO incentives with shareholder interests promotes long-term strategic focus and leadership stability, potentially enhancing company performance.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Persistent cash flow issues can hinder investment in growth opportunities and affect financial flexibility, posing a risk to long-term stability.
Debt Levels
Rising debt levels may increase financial risk and interest expenses, limiting the company's ability to invest in strategic initiatives and growth.
Field Services Revenue Decline
A decline in field services revenue suggests potential challenges in maintaining market share and competitiveness in this segment, impacting overall revenue growth.

Mistras Group (MG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mistras Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMistras Group, Inc. provides technology-enabled asset protection solutions worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Services, International, and Products and Systems. It offers non-destructive testing services; predictive maintenance assessments of fixed and rotating assets; inline inspection for pipelines; and develops enterprise inspection database management software and plant condition management software. The company also provides maintenance and light mechanical services, such as corrosion removal, mitigation and prevention, insulation installation and removal, electrical, heat tracing, industrial cleaning, pipefitting, and welding; engineering consulting services primarily for process equipment, technologies, and facilities; and utilizes scaffolding and rope access to access at-height and confined assets. In addition, it offers certified divers for subsea inspection and maintenance; unmanned aerial, land-based, and subsea systems for inspection applications; online condition-monitoring solutions; quality assurance and quality control solutions for new and existing metal and alloy components, materials, and composites. Further, the company designs and installs monitoring systems, as well as provides commissioning, training, reporting, technical support, and annual maintenance services; Web-based solutions; and custom-developed software. Additionally, it designs, manufactures, and sells acoustic emission sensors, instruments, and turnkey systems for monitoring and testing materials, pressure components, processes, and structures, as well as automated ultrasonic systems and scanners. The company serves oil and gas, commercial aerospace and defense, fossil and nuclear power, alternative and renewable energy, industrial, public infrastructure, petrochemical, transportation, and process industries, as well as research and engineering institutions. Mistras Group, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Princeton Junction, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyMistras Group generates revenue primarily through the provision of its core services, which include non-destructive testing, inspection services, and engineering solutions. The company's revenue model is largely based on service contracts, project-based work, and long-term agreements with clients in various industries. Key revenue streams include inspections for infrastructure integrity, maintenance services, and consulting on asset reliability. Additionally, Mistras Group benefits from strategic partnerships with major corporations and government entities, which enhance its market reach and service offerings. The company also invests in technology development and innovation, allowing it to offer advanced solutions that meet evolving industry standards and client needs, further contributing to its earnings.

Mistras Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with significant revenue growth, record adjusted EBITDA, and successful strategic initiatives. However, challenges related to cash flow, field services revenue, and increased debt levels were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consolidated Revenue Growth
Achieved a 7% increase in consolidated revenue versus the prior year, with notable growth in key industry verticals such as energy, aerospace & defense, industrials, and infrastructure.
Record Quarterly Adjusted EBITDA
Reported record quarterly adjusted EBITDA of $30.2 million, representing a 29.6% increase over the prior year period.
Gross Margin Expansion
Gross profit increased by $9.3 million or 19%, with a 300 basis point expansion in gross margin to 29.8% over the prior year quarter.
Strategic Wins and Diversification
Secured long-term construction projects with Batchelor & Kimball and Bechtel, marking progress in diversifying into new industries.
Aerospace & Defense Market Growth
Aerospace & defense market revenue increased by 10.6%, driven by volume gains and successful pricing strategies.
Operational Efficiency and Cost Control
Improved adjusted EBITDA due to proactive cost management, operational efficiency leverage, and a shift towards higher-margin business.
Negative Updates
Cash Flow Challenges
Continued cash flow challenges due to working capital timing issues related to ERP system implementation, impacting cash flow generation in the third quarter.
Field Services Revenue Decline
Field services revenue declined by 1%, despite strong performance in the oil & gas segment.
Impact on Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was adversely impacted by increased restructuring charges and incremental CapEx investments year-over-year.
Debt Levels
Bank borrowings increased year-over-year, with net debt of $174.5 million as of September 30, 2025.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, MISTRAS Group reported a consolidated revenue growth of 7% year-over-year, with net income reaching $13.1 million and earnings per diluted share of $0.41. The company achieved a record quarterly adjusted EBITDA of $30.2 million, representing a 15.4% EBITDA margin, up by 29.6% compared to the prior year. The energy market, including oil & gas and power generation, led the way with an 8.1% increase, while aerospace & defense rose by 10.6%. Industrial and infrastructure markets also saw significant growth, with increases of 15.8% and 21.1% respectively. International segment growth was recorded at 5.5%. Gross profit surged by $9.3 million or 19%, expanding the gross margin by 300 basis points to 29.8%. The company's financial outlook for the full year 2025 anticipates revenue between $716 million and $720 million, and adjusted EBITDA in the range of $86 million to $88 million, driven by strategic priorities under their Vision 2030 plan.

Mistras Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mistras Group shows stable revenue growth and improved operational efficiency, but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow management. The reduction in leverage is a positive sign, enhancing financial stability. Continued focus on improving profitability and cash flow generation will be crucial for future growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Mistras Group shows a stable revenue growth trend with a TTM growth rate of 1.83%. The gross profit margin is consistent around 28-29%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.53% TTM, suggesting limited profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved over time, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has significantly reduced its debt-to-equity ratio from 1.17 to 0.15 TTM, enhancing financial stability. The return on equity is modest at 8.63% TTM, indicating decent returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, showing a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Free cash flow has declined sharply by 80.17% TTM, posing a risk to liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.21, indicating potential cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue715.30M729.64M705.47M687.37M677.13M592.57M
Gross Profit209.89M213.11M203.81M198.17M197.15M178.53M
EBITDA69.71M74.32M32.20M53.09M53.09M-65.51M
Net Income18.13M18.96M-17.45M6.50M3.86M-99.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets596.26M523.04M534.78M534.90M562.20M583.31M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.80M18.32M17.65M20.49M24.11M25.76M
Total Debt234.37M201.50M217.50M215.87M226.12M245.44M
Total Liabilities368.43M324.14M344.27M336.15M361.28M386.09M
Stockholders Equity227.40M198.57M190.19M198.45M200.68M197.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.10M27.14M3.10M12.99M22.98M52.03M
Operating Cash Flow26.50M50.13M26.75M26.41M42.26M67.80M
Investing Cash Flow-23.18M-21.37M-22.13M-12.24M-18.55M-14.97M
Financing Cash Flow5.07M-27.40M-7.71M-16.32M-23.25M-44.17M

Mistras Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.53
Price Trends
50DMA
11.01
Positive
100DMA
10.12
Positive
200DMA
9.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.31
Negative
RSI
63.42
Neutral
STOCH
82.40
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.88, above the 50-day MA of 11.01, and above the 200-day MA of 9.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.40 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MG.

Mistras Group Risk Analysis

Mistras Group disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mistras Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mistras Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.50B34.2725.03%1.31%-2.28%-9.94%
75
Outperform
$6.36B22.8823.35%1.31%3.31%2.58%
69
Neutral
$6.69B11.6517.24%2.69%4.77%-22.78%
66
Neutral
$388.36M21.968.42%-3.20%60.03%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
51
Neutral
$5.42B-20.90%15.45%-488.24%
48
Neutral
$1.22B-18.52-51.67%41.61%-1.76%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MG
Mistras Group
12.53
3.29
35.61%
MSA
MSA Safety
160.34
-11.34
-6.61%
NSSC
Napco Security Technologies
41.50
4.27
11.47%
ADT
Adt
8.19
1.22
17.50%
REZI
Resideo Technologies
35.97
9.74
37.13%
EVLV
Evolv Technologies Holdings
6.76
2.87
73.78%

Mistras Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Mistras Group Awards CEO Stock Units and Options
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Mistras Group awarded its CEO, Natalia Shuman, 25,000 restricted stock units and options to purchase 35,000 shares of common stock. These awards are part of a strategic decision by the Compensation Committee to align the CEO’s interests with shareholders and promote long-term company performance. The RSUs vest over three years, and the options can be exercised starting in 2026, reflecting the company’s commitment to incentivizing its leadership.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025