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Evolv Technologies Holdings (EVLV)
NASDAQ:EVLV
US Market
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Evolv Technologies Holdings (EVLV) AI Stock Analysis

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Evolv Technologies Holdings

(NASDAQ:EVLV)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(6.76%Upside)
Evolv Technologies presents a mixed outlook. While the company benefits from strong revenue growth and positive technical indicators, profitability issues, regulatory challenges, and a lack of dividends are significant concerns. The stock's current momentum and leadership changes provide some optimism, but financial and compliance issues need resolution for improved investor confidence.
Positive Factors
Customer Growth
Key metrics showed positive momentum with 84 new customers, marking the highest customer addition since 4Q22.
Product Innovation
Evolv launched a new bag screening product that detects concealed weapons in baggage, enhancing security measures for various venues.
Negative Factors
Revenue Forecast
With the launch of the new bag screening product not expected until Q4, no forecast contribution to revenue or ARR is anticipated in 2024.

Evolv Technologies Holdings (EVLV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Evolv Technologies Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEvolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence (AI)-based touchless security screening systems. Its products include Evolv Express, a touchless security screening system designed to detect firearms, improvised explosive devices, and tactical knives as visitors walk through at a normal pace; Evolv Insights that provides self-serve access, insights regarding visitor flow and arrival curves, location specific performance, system detection performance, and alarm statistics; and Evolv Edge to detect non-metallic explosive devices, explosive devices, firearms, and tactical knives without requiring visitors to divest or empty their pockets. The company is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyEvolv Technologies generates revenue primarily through the sale and leasing of its security screening systems, as well as through associated software and maintenance services. The company offers its Evolv Express platform on a subscription basis, allowing clients to pay for the service over time, which provides a recurring revenue model. Additionally, Evolv may engage in strategic partnerships with other technology and security firms to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. Key revenue streams include equipment sales, recurring subscription fees, and service contracts for ongoing support and software updates.

Evolv Technologies Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 35.10%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Evolv Technology demonstrated strong revenue growth and positive adjusted EBITDA while successfully retaining and expanding its customer base. However, challenges with SEC compliance, cash position decline, and reliance on one-time revenue impacts were noted. The company's strategic initiatives, such as new product launches and market expansions, indicate a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue in the first quarter was $32 million, up 10% sequentially and 44% year-over-year. Annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew 34% year-over-year to $106 million at the end of Q1 2025.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 increased to $1.7 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 5%.
Successful Customer Retention and Expansion
Following the resolution of the FTC matter, 92% of the eligible education customers retained their service, and 50% of units and ARR booked in Q1 came from existing customers.
Introduction of New Programs and Products
Launched the certified pre-owned (CPO) program and eXpedite, an autonomous bag screening solution, securing 12 new customers for eXpedite.
Significant Impact in Education and Healthcare
Evolv Express is now deployed in 20 of the 100 largest US school districts and 500 hospital buildings, significantly enhancing safety.
Negative Updates
Challenges with SEC Compliance and Restatement
The company resolved an FTC inquiry and completed a restatement that shifted $3.1 million in revenue to future periods.
Cash Position Decline
Ended the quarter with $35 million in cash, down from $52 million at the end of Q4 2024, due to one-time cash disbursements and restructuring costs.
One-Time Revenue Impacts
Approximately $1 million of Q1 revenue came from one-time favorable impacts, including $800,000 from a Q4 2024 product order.
Company Guidance
During the Evolv Technology First Quarter Earnings Result Conference Call for 2025, the company provided guidance reflecting optimism for the year ahead. They expect to achieve revenue growth of 20% to 25% in 2025, equating to $125 million to $130 million, with a significant portion already secured through their annual recurring revenue (ARR) base, which stood at $106 million at the end of Q1 2025, up 34% year-over-year. Additionally, they reported a Q1 revenue of $32 million, marking a 44% increase from the previous year, and an adjusted EBITDA of $1.7 million, with a margin of 5%. The company aims to maintain positive adjusted EBITDA for the full year and anticipates being cash flow positive by the end of 2025. Evolv highlighted a robust subscription model with a total of approximately 8,000 units expected to be deployed by year-end, emphasizing strong customer retention and expansion, particularly within their existing customer base. They also noted a shift towards more pure subscription deals, which, while impacting upfront revenue, enhances long-term visibility and profitability.

Evolv Technologies Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Evolv Technologies has demonstrated strong revenue growth, but persistent profitability challenges, negative cash flows, and operational losses pose significant financial hurdles. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, yet operational improvements are vital for long-term stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Evolv Technologies has shown substantial revenue growth, with a 29.17% increase from 2023 to 2024. However, the company continues to face significant profitability challenges, as indicated by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin improved to 57.07% in 2024, reflecting operational improvements, yet the overall negative net income remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet displays a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05 in 2024, indicating low leverage. However, the company continues to operate at a loss with negative net income, impacting equity growth. The equity ratio of 65.20% suggests a robust asset base funded by equity. Despite these positives, continued operational losses pose a risk to financial stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative free cash flow of -$62.04 million in 2024. Operating cash flow remains negative, indicating ongoing operational cash burn. While cash and short-term investments increased significantly, primarily from financing activities, sustainability remains a concern as free cash flow has not improved. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, highlighting ongoing cash management issues.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue103.86M80.42M55.20M23.69M4.79M
Gross Profit59.29M33.83M1.73M6.64M1.29M
EBITDA-36.64M-95.62M-68.94M-1.93M-25.90M
Net Income-54.02M-106.25M-42.98M-23.98M-27.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets268.06M298.72M348.34M363.06M21.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments51.94M118.82M229.78M307.49M4.70M
Total Debt14.53M1.39M31.69M9.95M16.66M
Total Liabilities150.41M152.40M121.13M72.23M106.04M
Stockholders Equity117.65M146.32M227.21M290.84M-84.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-62.04M-82.47M-98.92M-74.37M-29.86M
Operating Cash Flow-30.85M-9.80M-74.73M-69.28M-23.25M
Investing Cash Flow-1.40M-123.11M-23.88M-5.08M-6.61M
Financing Cash Flow1.81M-29.66M20.51M377.83M17.23M

Evolv Technologies Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price5.62
Price Trends
50DMA
5.35
Positive
100DMA
4.33
Positive
200DMA
3.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Positive
RSI
48.44
Neutral
STOCH
19.46
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EVLV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.79, above the 50-day MA of 5.35, and above the 200-day MA of 3.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.46 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for EVLV.

Evolv Technologies Holdings Risk Analysis

Evolv Technologies Holdings disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Evolv Technologies Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Evolv Technologies Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.10B25.1327.48%1.81%-1.05%-2.78%
SNSNT
79
Outperform
$109.17M65.29-3.47%
73
Outperform
$1.63B-21.34%0.27%-18.75%
65
Neutral
$10.85B15.475.22%1.89%3.09%-26.84%
54
Neutral
$921.66M-33.80%36.53%52.99%
UUUUU
54
Neutral
$7.70M-26.63%5.57%-449.87%
46
Neutral
$50.79M-243.06%-5.64%35.09%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EVLV
Evolv Technologies Holdings
5.62
2.48
78.98%
SNT
Senstar Technologies
4.68
3.03
183.64%
NSSC
Napco Security Technologies
30.86
-24.86
-44.62%
UUU
Universal Security Instruments
3.33
1.97
144.85%
ARLO
Arlo Technologies
15.72
-1.13
-6.71%
KSCP
Knightscope Inc Class A
7.36
-6.36
-46.36%

Evolv Technologies Holdings Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Evolv Technologies Updates Shelf Registration Statement
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. filed a post-effective amendment with the Securities and Exchange Commission to update its existing shelf registration statement. This procedural move was necessary due to a recent restatement that rendered the previous registration on Form S-3 ineffective, prompting a change to Form S-1 without registering additional securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (EVLV) stock is a Buy with a $5.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolv Technologies Holdings stock, see the EVLV Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Evolv Technologies Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 23, 2025

On June 20, 2025, Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, where 72.41% of the company’s Class A common stock was represented. During the meeting, Kevin Charlton, John Kedzierski, Kimberly Sheehy, and Bilal Zuberi were elected as Class I directors, and the compensation of the company’s named executive officers was approved. Additionally, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (EVLV) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolv Technologies Holdings stock, see the EVLV Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Evolv Technologies Appoints New Chief Financial Officer
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

On April 23, 2025, Evolv Technologies Holdings announced the appointment of Chris Kutsor as the new Chief Financial Officer, effective after the filing of their 2024 annual report. Kutsor, with extensive experience in financial leadership roles, is expected to drive financial strategy and operational excellence as the company enters a new growth phase.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Evolv Technologies Faces Nasdaq Compliance Notification
Negative
Apr 22, 2025

On April 16, 2025, Evolv Technologies Holdings received a notification from Nasdaq regarding non-compliance with listing rules due to delayed filing of its 2024 Annual Report, primarily caused by an internal investigation into sales practices. The company has until May 1, 2025, to update its compliance plan and expects to meet all SEC filing requirements by May 19, 2025. This notification does not immediately affect the company’s Nasdaq-listed securities, and Evolv is working with AlixPartners LLP to resolve the issue.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025