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MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC)
NASDAQ:MFIC

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) AI Stock Analysis

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MFIC

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation

(NASDAQ:MFIC)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(4.99% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by financial volatility—especially the sharp deterioration to negative operating cash flow—along with weak technical momentum. These are partially offset by attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield) and a generally constructive earnings update on NII and funding costs, though tempered by rising non-accruals and rate-cut pressure on income.
Positive Factors
Strong Profitability
The high net profit margin reflects efficient operations and strong profitability, which can support sustained earnings and shareholder returns over time.
Successful Mergers
The mergers significantly increased MFIC's asset base, enhancing its investment capacity and strategic positioning in the market.
Extended Credit Facility
The extended credit facility provides MFIC with long-term financial flexibility and stability, supporting future growth and investment opportunities.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue growth can hinder the company's ability to expand and invest in new opportunities, potentially impacting long-term competitiveness.
Cash Flow Challenges
Significant declines in free cash flow indicate potential liquidity issues, which could limit the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
Spread Compression
Spread compression reduces profitability on new loans, challenging MFIC's ability to maintain margins and competitive advantage in a borrower-friendly market.

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionApollo Investment Corporation is business development company and a closed-end, externally managed, non-diversified management investment company. It is elected to be treated as a business development company (BDC) under the Investment Company Act of 1940 (the 1940 Act) specializing in private equity investments in leveraged buyouts, acquisitions, recapitalizations, growth capital, refinancing and private middle market companies. It provides direct equity capital, mezzanine, first lien secured loans, stretch senior loans, unitranche loans, second lien secured loans and senior secured loans, unsecured debt, and subordinated debt and loans. It also seeks to invest in PIPES transactions. The fund may also invest in securities of public companies that are thinly traded and may acquire investments in the secondary market and structured products. It prefers to invest in preferred equity, common equity / interests and warrants and makes equity co-investments. It may invest in cash equivalents, U.S. government securities, high-quality debt investments that mature in one year or less, high-yield bonds, distressed debt, non-U.S. investments, or securities of public companies that are not thinly traded. It also focuses on other investments such as collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) and credit-linked notes (CLNs). The fund typically invests in construction and building materials, business services, plastics & rubber, advertising, capital equipment, education, cable television, chemicals, consumer products/goods durable and non-durable and customer services, direct marketing, energy – oil & gas, electricity and utilities. The fund also invest in aerospace & defense, wholesale, telecommunications, financial services, hotel, gaming, leisure, restaurants; environmental industries, healthcare and pharmaceuticals, high tech industries, beverages, food and tobacco, manufacturing, media – diversified & production, printing and publishing, retail, automation, aviation and consumer transport, transportation, cargo and distribution. It primarily invests in United States. It primarily invests between $20 million and $250 million in its portfolio companies. The fund seeks to make investments with stated maturities of five to 10 years.
How the Company Makes MoneyMidCap Financial Investment Corporation makes money by providing loans and other credit solutions to middle-market companies. The primary revenue stream comes from the interest income generated on these loans. Additionally, MFIC may earn fees associated with the origination, structuring, and management of these loans. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as interest rate fluctuations, credit risk management, and strategic partnerships with other financial institutions that may co-invest in loan opportunities.

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 14, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong net investment income, significant repayments from Merx, active new commitments, and successful debt management strategies. However, these positives were tempered by a decline in NAV, an increase in non-accrual investments, potential income pressure from declining base rates, and exposure to a bankruptcy filing.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Investment Income Growth
Net investment income per share was $0.38 for the September quarter, corresponding to an annualized return on equity of 10.3%.
Merx Repayment Boost
Merx, an aircraft leasing portfolio company, repaid approximately $97 million to MFIC, which partly offset a decline in NAV.
Strong Commitment Activity
MFIC made $138 million of new commitments across 21 transactions, benefiting from the strong incumbent position of MidCap Financial.
Debt Maturity Extension and Cost Reduction
MFIC extended its revolving credit facility maturity to October 2030 and reduced the funded spread by 10 basis points.
CLO Upsize and Repricing
MFIC upsized and repriced its CLO, increasing the size from $400 million to $600 million, resulting in a 19 basis point reduction in the weighted average spread on floating rate liabilities.
Negative Updates
Decline in NAV
Net Asset Value (NAV) per share decreased to $14.66, a drop of 0.6% compared to the prior quarter.
Increase in Non-Accruals
Investments on non-accrual status rose to 3.1% of the portfolio at fair value, up from 2% in the prior quarter, with five investments newly added to non-accrual status.
Pressure from Declining Base Rates
A projected decline in base rates could reduce MFIC's annual net investment income by approximately $9.4 million or $0.10 per share.
Exposure to Bankruptcy
One portfolio company, Renovo, filed for bankruptcy in early November, with MFIC having a $7.9 million exposure.
Company Guidance
During the earnings call for MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, several key metrics and guidance were discussed. Net investment income (NII) per share was reported at $0.38, equating to an annualized return on equity (ROE) of 10.3%, while GAAP net income per share was $0.29, corresponding to an annualized ROE of 8%. The net asset value (NAV) per share was $14.66, reflecting a 0.6% decline from the previous quarter, mainly due to some positions moving to non-accrual status, although this was partially offset by a gain on their investment in Merx, the aircraft leasing portfolio company, which repaid approximately $97 million during the quarter. MFIC made new commitments of $138 million across 21 transactions and saw a weighted average spread of 521 basis points on these new commitments. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.38 per share, while also addressing the impact of recent Federal Reserve rate cuts and a projected decline in the SOFR forward curve, which could potentially reduce annual NII by $9.4 million or $0.10 per share if base rates drop by 100 basis points. Additionally, MFIC highlighted recent enhancements to its capital structure, including a reset of its first CLO, which reduced its cost of debt, positioning the company to better manage the anticipated interest rate environment.

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong reported profitability (net and operating margins ~44%) and improving leverage (debt/equity down to ~1.25x) are positives, but they are outweighed by negative 2024 operating cash flow (about -$9.5M after ~$196M in 2023) and slightly declining revenue, indicating higher earnings/cash-flow volatility.
Income Statement
Profitability is strong in the most recent year, with a high net profit margin (~44%) and solid operating profitability (~44%). However, growth has turned negative, with revenue down about 3% in 2024 and essentially flat-to-down in 2023, following a strong rebound in 2022. The revenue and margin pattern also appears volatile across years, which lowers confidence in the durability of earnings.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet is moderately leveraged: debt is about 1.25x equity in 2024 (improved from ~1.45–1.50x in 2022–2023), which is a positive trend. Equity increased materially versus 2023, supporting the capital base. That said, leverage remains meaningful and return on equity eased to ~7% in 2024 from ~12% in 2023, indicating weaker efficiency/returns in the latest period.
Cash Flow
Cash generation deteriorated sharply in 2024, with operating cash flow turning negative (about -$9.5M) after a strong positive year in 2023 (~$196M). This swing suggests higher variability in cash collections/distributions and reduces near-term financial flexibility. While cash flow was strong in 2021–2023 overall, the latest negative free cash flow is a clear weakness.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue236.41M226.31M237.35M141.46M151.74M182.15M
Gross Profit108.66M110.35M133.15M94.06M96.72M126.73M
EBITDA132.30M98.82M118.76M103.69M82.36M111.86M
Net Income99.96M98.82M118.76M30.59M82.36M111.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.31B3.19B2.50B2.53B2.60B2.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments62.50M75.79M122.13M87.09M30.60M54.62M
Total Debt0.001.75B1.46B1.48B1.55B1.47B
Total Liabilities1.94B1.79B1.50B1.54B1.60B1.51B
Stockholders Equity1.37B1.40B1.01B988.11M1.00B1.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.31M-9.53M196.38M76.07M-2.68M470.67M
Operating Cash Flow-1.31M-9.53M196.38M76.07M-2.68M470.67M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.000.0082.32M0.000.00
Financing Cash Flow-17.05M-36.76M-161.36M-101.91M-21.33M-459.70M

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.43
Price Trends
50DMA
11.62
Negative
100DMA
11.72
Negative
200DMA
11.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
46.64
Neutral
STOCH
38.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MFIC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.57, below the 50-day MA of 11.62, and below the 200-day MA of 11.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MFIC.

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Risk Analysis

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation disclosed 84 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MidCap Financial Investment Corporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$845.05M9.389.07%10.80%-6.30%-6.92%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$1.05B8.038.75%17.34%-16.58%65.24%
60
Neutral
$378.92M12.058.20%12.83%90.34%-44.25%
57
Neutral
$393.08M12.156.83%16.61%-3.09%200.66%
56
Neutral
10.737.18%13.35%-12.06%-31.14%
50
Neutral
$472.56M-52.20-1.15%21.13%-91.81%78.46%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MFIC
MidCap Financial Investment Corporation
11.43
-0.29
-2.47%
PNNT
Pennantpark Investment
6.02
-0.14
-2.27%
SLRC
SLR Investment Corp.
15.51
0.77
5.22%
SCM
Stellus Capital
13.09
0.84
6.86%
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital
5.57
-1.70
-23.38%
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC
9.20
-1.17
-11.28%

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
MidCap Financial Completes $492 Million Debt Securitization
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 23, 2025, MidCap Financial Investment Corporation completed a $492 million term debt securitization to redeem existing secured notes issued by its subsidiary, MFIC Bethesda CLO 1 LLC. This transaction, known as the 2025 Debt Securitization, involved the issuance of various classes of secured and subordinated notes, backed by a diversified portfolio of commercial loans, and is set to mature in 2037. The company retained a significant portion of the subordinated notes to comply with U.S. regulations, maintaining its role as collateral manager. This move is expected to impact the company’s financial operations by restructuring its debt obligations and enhancing its market positioning in the CLO space.

The most recent analyst rating on (MFIC) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MidCap Financial Investment Corporation stock, see the MFIC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025