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Magnera (MAGN)
NYSE:MAGN
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Magnera (MAGN) AI Stock Analysis

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MAGN

Magnera

(NYSE:MAGN)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(1.50% Upside)
Magnera's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including high leverage and negative profitability, which weigh heavily on its prospects. However, the company's proactive strategic initiatives and confirmed financial guidance provide some optimism. Technical indicators are neutral, and valuation metrics are weak, further impacting the score.
Positive Factors
Financial Strategy
Improved volume and pricing, coupled with enhanced synergies, could lead to higher cash generation and reduced leverage.
Management Strategy
Management remains very optimistic in its synergy targets and medium to long-term vision.
Operational Efficiency
MAGN's global manufacturing footprint is a competitive advantage, enabling it to cater to a global customer base and largely source or produce locally.
Negative Factors
Financial Guidance
Given the macro challenges, management has adjusted full-year FY2025 guidance lower.
Macroeconomic Impact
The current macro backdrop has impacted year one realization of synergies.
Trade Issues
Trade disputes and the resulting hit to consumption, customer ordering patterns, and competitive behavior have impacted near-term volumes and some input costs.

Magnera (MAGN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Magnera Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMagnera (MAGN) operates in the technology sector, specializing in advanced digital solutions and innovative software applications tailored for various industries, including healthcare, finance, and logistics. The company is focused on enhancing operational efficiency and customer engagement through its core products, which include cloud-based platforms, data analytics tools, and mobile applications designed to streamline processes and improve decision-making.
How the Company Makes MoneyMagnera generates revenue through a multi-faceted business model, primarily based on subscription fees from its software services, which provide clients with ongoing access to its platforms and updates. Additionally, the company earns income from licensing its technology to third-party developers and enterprises, as well as offering consulting services aimed at implementing and optimizing its solutions for clients. Significant partnerships with industry leaders in healthcare and finance bolster its revenue streams, allowing for co-development of tailored solutions and expanding market reach. Furthermore, Magnera may also benefit from strategic collaborations that enhance its product offerings and increase customer acquisition, thus contributing to its overall earnings.

Magnera Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.38%|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view of Magnera's performance, with significant highlights in strategic initiatives and commercial achievements tempered by challenges in volume declines and macroeconomic pressures. The company's ability to confirm its financial guidance and pursue cost-saving measures through Project CORE indicates resilience and a proactive approach to challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Free Cash Flow and Adjusted EBITDA Guidance Confirmed
Magnera confirmed its original free cash flow guidance and adjusted EBITDA range, delivering sales of $839 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $91 million in the quarter.
Project CORE to Generate Significant Savings
The Project CORE initiative is expected to generate annual cost savings of approximately $20 million by fiscal 2026 through capacity optimization and resource efficiency measures.
Strategic Commercial Wins
Magnera achieved key commercial wins, including a new 2026 business award for airlaid feminine care solutions and the expansion of its wipes business in Europe.
Resilience in Americas and Asia Segments
The Americas consumer solutions and Asia's personal care segments showed consistent demand, validating the effectiveness of Magnera's product development and customer engagement strategies.
Negative Updates
Volume and Product Mix Challenges
The company faced volume and product mix challenges, particularly in South America, leading to a $9 million decline in adjusted EBITDA for the Americas division.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Demand Softness
Ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty and tempered consumer spending contributed to general demand softness, particularly in South America and European markets.
South America Competitive Pressures
Competitive pressures from imports impacted South America operations, affecting volumes and profitability in the region.
Company Guidance
During the Magnera Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company confirmed its original free cash flow guidance and adjusted EBITDA range from the second quarter, with third-quarter sales reaching $839 million and adjusted EBITDA at $91 million. The call highlighted strategic priorities focused on increasing the mix of high-value differentiated products to improve margins and operational efficiency. Magnera launched Project CORE, aiming for $20 million in annual cost savings by fiscal 2026 through capacity optimization and operational consolidation, with a one-to-one cost-to-savings ratio. Despite challenges in South America and European markets, the company maintained a resilient performance with a net debt to pro forma adjusted EBITDA of 3.9x and approximately $570 million in available liquidity. Magnera emphasized its commitment to achieving $55 million in synergy savings through 2027 and highlighted strategic wins, including a new 2026 business award and successful product portfolio expansion.

Magnera Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Magnera faces significant financial challenges characterized by high leverage, negative profitability, and cash flow constraints. While revenue growth is strong, operational inefficiencies and high debt levels pose risks to financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Magnera's income statement reveals a challenging financial landscape. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at 10.57%, indicating some efficiency in production, but the net profit margin is negative at -6.06%, highlighting ongoing profitability issues. Revenue growth is notable, with a 57.88% increase from the previous year, yet the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins of -0.35% and 4.72% respectively, reflect operational inefficiencies and high costs.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a mixed picture of Magnera's financial health. The debt-to-equity ratio is high at 1.88, suggesting significant leverage and potential risk. However, the equity ratio is 26.91%, indicating a reasonable proportion of assets financed by equity. Return on equity is negative at -12.12%, which is concerning as it reflects poor returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Magnera's cash flow statement highlights liquidity challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is positive at 64.43%, yet free cash flow remains negative, indicating ongoing cash constraints. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is -0.24, showing inefficiencies in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.16, further emphasizing cash flow issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.01B2.19B1.39B1.49B1.08B916.50M
Gross Profit319.27M237.00M129.71M148.80M144.79M147.87M
EBITDA160.32M236.00M56.89M-104.46M87.45M95.98M
Net Income-173.53M-154.00M-79.05M-194.21M6.94M21.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.06B2.81B1.56B1.65B1.88B1.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments282.00M230.00M50.27M110.66M138.44M99.58M
Total Debt2.05B50.00M865.38M849.60M787.36M313.52M
Total Liabilities2.97B668.00M1.31B1.33B1.34B708.95M
Stockholders Equity1.09B2.14B256.85M318.00M542.76M577.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow20.88M120.00M-59.39M-78.56M40.94M80.86M
Operating Cash Flow97.09M192.00M-25.62M-40.82M70.98M108.99M
Investing Cash Flow5.70M-39.00M-37.10M-33.10M-489.77M-26.77M
Financing Cash Flow27.93M-109.00M-949.00K46.92M462.35M-100.31M

Magnera Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.30
Price Trends
50DMA
12.91
Positive
100DMA
13.47
Negative
200DMA
16.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
54.41
Neutral
STOCH
33.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MAGN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.76, above the 50-day MA of 12.91, and below the 200-day MA of 16.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MAGN.

Magnera Risk Analysis

Magnera disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Magnera reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Magnera Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (43)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$790.63M16.9120.93%1.09%9.92%17.12%
67
Neutral
$546.55M7.179.85%3.06%1.31%796.76%
56
Neutral
$666.71M30.62-3.13%-18.93%-141.88%
52
Neutral
$444.29M-30.78%-9.02%36.86%
50
Neutral
$780.10M27.86-12.38%1.24%-8.59%-256.43%
43
Neutral
C$945.77M-8.950.05%2.62%22.54%-44.12%
42
Neutral
$1.92B-364.03%-9.91%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MAGN
Magnera
13.30
-9.97
-42.84%
GSM
Ferroglobe
4.37
0.03
0.69%
ODC
Oil-Dri Of America
59.09
25.55
76.18%
MTUS
Metallus
16.60
-0.04
-0.24%
ASIX
AdvanSix
20.90
-8.36
-28.57%
TMC
TMC the metals company Inc.
4.86
3.80
358.49%

Magnera Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Magnera Announces Departure of Key Officers
Neutral
Aug 11, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Magnera Corporation announced the upcoming departure of two key officers. David Parks, President of Americas, will retire effective November 11, 2025, and Achim Schalk, President of EMEIA/APAC, will leave to pursue other opportunities effective November 30, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 23, 2025