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Magnera (MAGN)
NYSE:MAGN

Magnera (MAGN) AI Stock Analysis

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MAGN

Magnera

(NYSE:MAGN)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▲(0.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing net losses, thinner margins, and elevated leverage) and bearish technicals (below all major moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by improving cash flow trends and a cautiously positive earnings outlook centered on reaffirmed FY2026 EBITDA growth, synergy/CORE execution, liquidity, and planned deleveraging.
Positive Factors
Strong liquidity & positive free cash flow
Sustained positive free cash flow and ~ $550M liquidity provide durable funding for operations, planned capex and the $100M debt paydown target. This cash buffer supports strategic flexibility, lowers refinancing risk and underpins the company’s multi‑year deleveraging plan even if margins remain pressured.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage and weakened equity
Meaningful net debt on a weakened equity base constrains financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to cashflow volatility. High leverage raises interest and covenant risk, limits ability to invest aggressively, and makes execution on margin and growth initiatives more dependent on sustained cash generation and disciplined deleveraging.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong liquidity & positive free cash flow
Sustained positive free cash flow and ~ $550M liquidity provide durable funding for operations, planned capex and the $100M debt paydown target. This cash buffer supports strategic flexibility, lowers refinancing risk and underpins the company’s multi‑year deleveraging plan even if margins remain pressured.
Read all positive factors

Magnera (MAGN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Magnera Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Magnera Corp. engages in a wide range of products, including components for absorbent hygiene products, protective apparel, wipes, specialty building and construction products, and products serving the food and beverage industry. The company was f...

Magnera Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a mix of operational challenges (regional softness in Europe, competitive import pressure in South America, a small Americas EBITDA decline, and weather-related disruptions) but emphasized several positive fundamentals: solid liquidity and cash generation, active debt reduction, on-track Project CORE and synergy realization, targeted innovation launches (PFAS-free healthcare protection, battery materials, Kamisoft), and reaffirmed guidance for ~9% adjusted EBITDA growth in 2026. Management expressed confidence in margin expansion, portfolio optimization, and disciplined capital allocation while acknowledging near-term headwinds.
Positive Updates
Quarterly Sales
Net sales of $792 million in Q1 FY2026, driven by strength across consumer solutions despite regional headwinds.
Negative Updates
Top-Line Pressure in Europe
Ongoing broad-based market softness in Europe reduced revenues in the quarter (management noted Europe remains challenging and guided to modest declines for the region).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Quarterly Sales
Net sales of $792 million in Q1 FY2026, driven by strength across consumer solutions despite regional headwinds.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated FY2026 targets of adjusted EBITDA growth of 9% while assuming flattish volumes overall (Q1 sales were $792M and adj. EBITDA $93M), calling out Americas organic volume growth of 2% in Q1 and Europe guide of about -3%; key drivers include $25M of synergy realization in 2026 (part of a $55M ultimate synergy target) plus Project CORE benefits of $15–20M, with Rest of World adj. EBITDA up 9% to $35M; liquidity and cash priorities include ~$550M of available liquidity, free cash flow of $97M over the last four quarters (FCF midpoint for FY26 roughly $100M, ~18% yield), a plan to repay about $100M of debt in the year (already repaid $27M), a targeted 3.0x leverage ratio, and planned FY26 assumptions of ~$395M midpoint EBITDA working through ~$135M interest, ~$80M integration/taxes and ~$80M CapEx.

Magnera Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth and a turnaround to positive operating/free cash flow in 2024–2025 are positives, but persistent net losses, compressed gross margins (~9–11% in 2023–2025), and meaningful leverage (2025 debt-to-equity ~1.89 with declining equity vs 2024) keep overall financial quality below average.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
BreakdownSep 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.20B2.19B1.39B1.49B1.08B
Gross Profit287.00M237.00M129.71M148.80M144.79M
EBITDA190.00M236.00M56.89M-104.46M87.45M
Net Income-159.00M-154.00M-79.05M-194.21M6.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.99B2.81B1.56B1.65B1.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments305.00M230.00M50.27M110.66M138.44M
Total Debt2.02B2.06B865.38M849.60M787.36M
Total Liabilities2.92B668.00M1.31B1.33B1.34B
Stockholders Equity1.06B2.14B256.85M318.00M542.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow36.00M120.00M-59.39M-78.56M40.94M
Operating Cash Flow103.00M192.00M-25.62M-40.82M70.98M
Investing Cash Flow-8.00M-39.00M-37.10M-33.10M-489.77M
Financing Cash Flow-21.00M-109.00M-949.00K46.92M462.35M

Magnera Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.00
Price Trends
50DMA
12.20
Negative
100DMA
12.75
Negative
200DMA
12.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.95
Negative
RSI
27.64
Positive
STOCH
45.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MAGN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.13, below the 50-day MA of 12.20, and below the 200-day MA of 12.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.95 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 27.64 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MAGN.

Magnera Risk Analysis

Magnera disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Magnera reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Magnera Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$587.22M-212.042.30%8.88%-349.99%
69
Neutral
$410.92M40.4679.30%19.32%-78.78%-81.27%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
56
Neutral
$248.02M-8.536.59%-4.24%-23.16%
47
Neutral
$309.16M-25.02-36.02%
45
Neutral
$323.10M-3.94-12.41%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MAGN
Magnera
9.00
-5.63
-38.48%
HDSN
Hudson Tech
5.84
0.49
9.16%
IPI
Intrepid Potash
43.80
18.42
72.58%
MSB
Mesabi Shs
31.32
7.60
32.05%
LZM
Lifezone Metals
3.69
0.25
7.27%

Magnera Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Magnera Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Pay Practices
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
At its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, held following the January 14, 2026 proxy filing, Magnera’s shareholders elected nine directors to serve until the 2027 annual meeting, with all nominees receiving sufficient support despite one di...
Executive/Board Changes
Magnera Appoints Erin Maile as Chief Accounting Officer
Positive
Feb 3, 2026
On January 29, 2026, Magnera Corporation’s board appointed Erin Maile, 34, as Executive Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer effective February 2, 2026, elevating her from her prior role as Vice President, Finance, Corporate Controlle...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026