Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR (LYSDY)
OTHER OTC:LYSDY
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Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR
(OTC:LYSDY)
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Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▲(0.52% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/03/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—sharp profitability and free cash flow deterioration offset by a strong, low-leverage balance sheet. Technicals are moderately supportive with an uptrend versus longer-term moving averages and positive MACD, but momentum is only neutral. Valuation is a headwind due to the high P/E and lack of dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Low leverage
A debt-to-equity of 0.086 indicates conservatively financed operations, giving Lynas durable balance-sheet flexibility to fund capital projects, weather commodity cycles, and pursue strategic investments without overreliance on external financing.
Negative Factors
Severe margin deterioration
A collapse in net margin from very high levels to near-breathing-room levels materially weakens earnings resilience. Persistently thin margins reduce capacity to self-fund growth, make returns sensitive to commodity swings, and raise questions about pricing, costs, or product-mix sustainability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage
A debt-to-equity of 0.086 indicates conservatively financed operations, giving Lynas durable balance-sheet flexibility to fund capital projects, weather commodity cycles, and pursue strategic investments without overreliance on external financing.
Read all positive factors
Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR (LYSDY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$15.48B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)N/A
Price to Earnings (P/E)38.5
Beta (1Y)0.36
Revenue Growth18.52%
EPS Growth-90.56%
CountryUS
Employees1,102
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryIndustrial Materials
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.06
Shares Outstanding1,006,502,560
10 Day Avg. VolumeN/A
30 Day Avg. VolumeN/A
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-11.17
Price to Book (P/B)3.44
Price to Sales (P/S)14.90
P/FCF Ratio-24.75
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.39
Enterprise Value/Revenue30.29
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit109.82
Enterprise Value/Ebitda117.04
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.24
Revenue Forecast (FY)$801.18M
Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Lynas Rare Earths Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, mining, extraction, and processing of rare earth minerals primarily in Australia and Malaysia. The company holds an interest in the Mount Weld proj...
How the Company Makes Money
Lynas makes money primarily by producing and selling rare earth materials to industrial customers. Its core revenue model is sales of separated rare earth products (typically rare earth oxides), with key product categories including neodymium and ...
Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The briefing presented substantial positive developments: strong NdPr price momentum (moving from US$49/kg to US$74/kg in a year and then to >US$110/kg), successful commissioning of major capital projects (Mt Weld expansion and hybrid power station), stable Malaysia operations with HRE separation and a funded path for the announced HRE expansion (~US$180m), and a strengthened balance sheet with >US$1bn in cash. Key challenges remain: Kalgoorlie’s ramp‑up and external power disruptions constrained near‑term volumes, some process bottlenecks persist, G&A and depreciation increased (A$20–25m impact cited), and there are ongoing regulatory and supply‑chain risks to monitor. Overall, the positive operational and market progress and strong financial position outweigh the operational setbacks and risks, but continued execution at Kalgoorlie and supply‑chain/regulatory management are critical.Positive Updates
Strong NdPr pricing momentum
NdPr benchmark price rose from US$49/kg in Dec 2024 to US$74/kg in Dec 2025 (+51% year‑on‑year) and has since firmed to over US$110/kg (a further ~+49% from Dec 2025 and ~+124% vs Dec 2024), providing a material market tailwind to revenue and margins.
Negative Updates
Kalgoorlie power disruptions and ramp‑up delays
Kalgoorlie experienced significant external power disruptions in Q2 that interrupted the carbonation/processing circuit and set back NdPr production — NdPr production was on track for a record 6 months but fell slightly short due to these issues; short‑term run‑rate cited at ~8–9 ktpa with 10.5 ktpa the target once Kalgoorlie ramp‑up and feed consistency are achieved.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong NdPr pricing momentum
NdPr benchmark price rose from US$49/kg in Dec 2024 to US$74/kg in Dec 2025 (+51% year‑on‑year) and has since firmed to over US$110/kg (a further ~+49% from Dec 2025 and ~+124% vs Dec 2024), providing a material market tailwind to revenue and margins.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance from the call reiterated a near‑term ramp to ~10.5 ktpa NdPr (≈30 t/day) with short‑term volumes expected around 8–9 ktpa and a planned step to ~12 ktpa over time (with a previously disclosed +2.4 ktpa concentrator uplift possible); Mt Weld expansion is largely commissioned (new flotation operating at ~70% of nameplate, 3 new mills) and the 65 MW hybrid power station is operational (December renewable content ~92% vs 70% target), water‑recycle target is 90% (tailings ~7–7.5% RE), Kalgoorlie cracking/leach plant has a current circuit throughput of ~1,500 tpa while the announced Malaysian HRE facility will target 5,000 tpa (A$180m announced for that plant) and is expected ~end‑CY2027, samarium is expected before FY end; prices have strengthened (NdPr US$74/kg Dec‑25 vs US$49/kg Dec‑24 and recently >US$110/kg), driving a ~US$20m provisional pricing tailwind in H1, cash/short‑term deposits exceed US$1bn after the equity raise, FY26 capex was guided ~A$160m, total capital in main projects ≈A$1.35bn (Kal ≈A$800m; Mt Weld ≈A$550m) with ~A$100–200m still to be capitalized, and receivable/provisional pricing impacts typically lag 2–3 months.Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
40
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 708.30M | 542.66M | 464.45M | 787.12M | 920.01M | 489.02M |
| Gross Profit | 195.33M | 179.21M | 184.46M | 440.95M | 601.26M | 266.59M |
| EBITDA | 183.29M | 116.30M | 171.17M | 413.57M | 605.60M | 238.12M |
| Net Income | 80.88M | 7.99M | 84.51M | 310.67M | 540.82M | 157.08M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 3.99B | 2.94B | 2.80B | 2.64B | 2.06B | 1.48B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.03B | 166.49M | 523.84M | 1.01B | 965.58M | 680.83M |
| Total Debt | 286.00M | 202.05M | 183.98M | 190.62M | 192.14M | 174.97M |
| Total Liabilities | 629.90M | 591.51M | 562.12M | 475.27M | 416.02M | 394.17M |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.36B | 2.35B | 2.24B | 2.16B | 1.65B | 1.08B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -22.36M | -326.66M | -544.38M | -208.76M | 273.77M | 174.62M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 141.45M | 104.17M | 34.96M | 386.75M | 460.07M | 215.06M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -540.75M | -406.19M | -507.22M | -554.50M | -83.60M | -138.26M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 854.19M | -45.30M | -22.54M | 199.00M | -13.81M | 405.59M |
Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR Technical Analysis
Positive
15.42
Price Trends
12.63
Positive
11.01
Positive
10.08
Positive
Market Momentum
0.48
Negative
66.18
Neutral
99.93
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LYSDY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.04, above the 50-day MA of 12.63, and above the 200-day MA of 10.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.93 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LYSDY.
Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
57 Neutral | $15.48B | 38.55 | 2.88% | ― | 18.52% | -90.56% | |
48 Neutral | $9.58B | ― | -5.04% | ― | 26.44% | -95.87% | |
47 Neutral | $3.52B | ― | -49.89% | ― | ― | ― | |
44 Neutral | $1.88B | -14.68 | 9999.00% | ― | ― | -111.94% | |
44 Neutral | $1.07B | -0.87 | -35.30% | ― | ― | -18.77% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
LYSDY
Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR
15.42
10.55
216.59%
MP
MP Materials
55.24
32.56
143.56%
TMC
TMC the metals company Inc.
4.34
2.39
122.56%
CRML
Critical Metals Corp
8.87
6.71
310.65%
IPX
Iperionx Ltd. ADR
31.89
17.28
118.20%
USAR
USA Rare Earth
16.15
7.84
94.34%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.