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Livewire Group Inc. (LVWR)
:LVWR
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LiveWire Group
(NYSE:LVWR)
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Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▼(-7.19% Downside)
LiveWire Group's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by significant losses and negative cash flows. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and valuation metrics are unattractive due to negative earnings. The lack of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
These partnerships provide flexibility and long-term growth potential, enhancing the company's ability to innovate and expand its market reach.
Debt Reduction Plan
Reducing debt improves financial stability and flexibility, allowing the company to allocate resources towards growth and strategic initiatives.
New Product Launch
Introducing a new, affordable product can expand market reach and improve sales, contributing to long-term revenue growth and market presence.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
A significant decline in revenue indicates potential challenges in demand and market competitiveness, impacting financial performance and growth prospects.
Negative Cash Flows
Negative cash flows can strain operations and limit investment in growth opportunities, posing a risk to long-term financial health and sustainability.
Sales Decline
A sharp decline in unit sales reflects challenges in consumer demand and market penetration, potentially affecting future revenue and brand strength.
LiveWire Group (LVWR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$854.71M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)57.19K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)3.31
Revenue Growth-19.01%
EPS Growth23.18%
CountryUS
Employees182
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.10
Shares Outstanding203,988,740
10 Day Avg. Volume47,333
30 Day Avg. Volume57,194
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.70
Price to Book (P/B)8.49
Price to Sales (P/S)36.70
P/FCF Ratio-9.59
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.11
Enterprise Value/Revenue37.98
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit-96.46
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-13.48
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.31
Revenue Forecast (FY)$91.16M
LiveWire Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionLiveWire Group (LVWR) is an electric motorcycle manufacturer that focuses on delivering high-performance, innovative electric two-wheelers. The company operates primarily in the electric vehicle sector, targeting environmentally conscious consumers and enthusiasts who seek advanced technology and sustainable transportation solutions. LiveWire's core products include electric motorcycles that combine cutting-edge technology with modern design, offering a unique riding experience.
How the Company Makes MoneyLiveWire Group generates revenue through the sale of its electric motorcycles, which are positioned at a premium price point due to their advanced features and performance capabilities. Key revenue streams include direct sales to consumers via dealerships and online platforms, as well as potential revenue from accessories and merchandise associated with their motorcycle brand. Additionally, the company may engage in partnerships with other automotive and technology firms to enhance its product offerings or expand its market reach, contributing to its overall earnings through collaborative ventures and shared technologies.
LiveWire Group Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with significant strategic achievements such as the partnerships with KKR and PIMCO, a strong plan for debt reduction and share buybacks, and new product launches. However, these were offset by declines in revenue and sales, ongoing tariff challenges, and increased credit losses. Despite these challenges, the company's strategic moves and market share gains suggest a cautiously optimistic outlook.Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Partnerships with KKR and PIMCO
Harley-Davidson announced strategic partnerships with KKR and PIMCO for HDFS, involving a 1.75x post-transaction book valuation, providing flexibility and long-term growth potential.
HDFS Earnings Boost
The transaction is expected to boost HDFS earnings by $275 million to $300 million in operating income for 2025.
Debt Reduction and Share Buyback
The company plans to reduce its debt by $450 million and accelerate its $1 billion share buyback program, with $500 million in purchases planned for the second half of '25.
Launch of New Small Displacement Motorcycle
Harley-Davidson plans to launch a new small displacement motorcycle priced below $6,000, aiming for profitability and market expansion.
RevMAX Platform Growth
The RevMAX platform, including Adventure Touring and Sportster models, grew 16% year-over-year in North America.
LiveWire's Operating Loss Improvement
LiveWire delivered a 34% improvement in consolidated operating loss compared to Q2 '24.
Increase in Cruiser Market Share
In the U.S., Harley-Davidson gained 3 points of share in the Total Cruiser segment, growing to 53% market share in Q2 of '25 from 50% in Q2 of '24.
Negative Updates
Decline in Consolidated Revenue
Consolidated revenue for the second quarter declined 19%, driven by a planned reduction in motorcycle shipments and soft demand.
Decrease in Global Motorcycle Retail Sales
Global motorcycle retail sales were down 15% year-over-year.
Tariff and Economic Challenges
The fluid global tariff environment and negative consumer sentiment remain a challenge, with tariffs costing $17 million in the year-to-date period.
LiveWire Unit Sales Decline
LiveWire reported sales of 55 units in Q2, compared to 158 units in the prior year period.
Increase in Retail Credit Loss Ratio
HDFS's annualized retail credit loss ratio increased to 3.25% from 3.12% in the year-ago period.
Company Guidance
In the Harley-Davidson 2025 Second Quarter Investor and Analyst Conference Call, key guidance metrics were shared regarding the company's strategic initiatives and financial performance. The company announced a strategic partnership with KKR and PIMCO, valuing the HDFS business at approximately 1.75x post-transaction book value, and expects this partnership to significantly boost HDFS' go-forward ROE to the high 20s. The transaction is projected to enhance HDFS earnings by $275 million to $300 million in operating income for the year, with a planned distribution of approximately $1.25 billion in cash to HDI. Harley-Davidson also aims to reduce its debt by $450 million and accelerate its share buyback program with the intention to purchase $500 million in the second half of 2025. Additionally, the company plans to invest up to $300 million in future growth opportunities. Despite a 19% decline in consolidated revenue for Q2, driven by a 15% drop in global motorcycle retail sales, the company remains optimistic about future retail performance, particularly in North America, and is planning to introduce a new efficiency program leveraging technology and AI for cost savings.LiveWire Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
LiveWire Group is facing significant financial challenges, characterized by persistent losses and negative cash flows. While the company maintains low leverage, its profitability and cash generation capabilities are under pressure. The slight revenue growth is insufficient to offset the operational inefficiencies and high costs. Strategic improvements in cost management and operational efficiency are crucial for future stability.Income Statement
LiveWire Group's income statement shows a challenging financial position with negative margins across the board. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a gross profit margin of -39.37% and a net profit margin of -320.10%, reflecting significant losses. Revenue growth is slightly positive at 5.27% TTM, but this is overshadowed by the substantial negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational inefficiencies and high costs relative to revenue.25
Negative
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.014 TTM, suggesting limited leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity is significantly negative at -90.76%, indicating that the company is not generating returns on its equity base. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated but appears to be stable given the equity and asset figures.40
Negative
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows, with a free cash flow growth rate of -12.95% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is -2.81, indicating cash outflows exceed net income losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly positive at 1.06, suggesting some alignment between cash flow and accounting losses, but overall cash management remains a concern.30
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 25.08M | 26.63M | 38.02M | 46.83M | 35.81M | 30.86M |
| Gross Profit | -9.87M | -12.78M | -5.77M | 2.90M | -2.57M | -24.96M |
| EBITDA | -70.67M | -83.84M | -103.64M | -74.09M | -63.14M | -73.09M |
| Net Income | -80.27M | -93.92M | -109.55M | -78.94M | -68.29M | -77.57M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 89.22M | 147.96M | 266.15M | 351.81M | 61.95M | 51.74M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 16.32M | 64.44M | 167.90M | 265.24M | 2.67M | 2.40M |
| Total Debt | 877.00K | 799.00K | 1.94M | 3.23M | 9.37M | 5.00M |
| Total Liabilities | 27.42M | 32.84M | 60.28M | 45.01M | 42.03M | 49.72M |
| Stockholders Equity | 61.80M | 115.11M | 205.86M | 306.80M | 19.93M | 2.02M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -71.70M | -101.93M | -96.92M | -103.76M | -84.49M | -56.96M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -67.52M | -93.86M | -83.46M | -89.68M | -74.54M | -53.71M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -4.18M | -8.07M | -13.46M | -14.08M | -9.95M | -3.24M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -238.00K | -1.44M | -412.00K | 366.33M | 84.76M | 58.30M |
LiveWire Group Technical Analysis
Negative
4.31
Price Trends
4.85
Negative
4.47
Negative
3.66
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.18
Negative
43.76
Neutral
75.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LVWR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.35, below the 50-day MA of 4.85, and above the 200-day MA of 3.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LVWR.
LiveWire Group Risk Analysis
LiveWire Group disclosed 96 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LiveWire Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
LiveWire Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
50 Neutral | $250.26M | ― | -2.29% | ― | 51.03% | 90.70% | |
43 Neutral | $927.25M | ― | ― | ― | -38.55% | 21.59% | |
42 Neutral | $16.77M | -0.03 | -162.44% | ― | 16.74% | 81.14% | |
42 Neutral | $191.32M | -0.24 | -1210.96% | ― | 19.55% | 96.09% | |
41 Neutral | $854.71M | -10.62 | -80.49% | ― | -19.01% | 23.18% | |
40 Underperform | $4.77M | -0.13 | -267.76% | ― | 113.69% | -84.50% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
LVWR
LiveWire Group
4.19
-1.25
-22.98%
WKHS
Workhorse Group
0.78
-13.10
-94.38%
EVTV
Envirotech Vehicles
1.19
-13.71
-92.01%
NIU
Niu Technologies
3.21
1.20
59.70%
FFAI
Faraday Future Intelligent Electric
1.13
-0.22
-16.30%
LOT
Lotus Technology
1.37
-2.49
-64.51%
LiveWire Group Corporate Events
Executive/Board Changes
Jochen Zeitz Resigns from LiveWire Group Board
Neutral
Sep 9, 2025
On September 8, 2025, Jochen Zeitz announced his resignation from LiveWire Group‘s Board of Directors, effective September 30, 2025, coinciding with his retirement from Harley-Davidson. The Board expressed gratitude for his leadership, which saw the company become the first publicly traded electric motorcycle firm. Jonathan Root, currently a director and executive at Harley-Davidson, is expected to be appointed as Chairman of the Board starting October 1, 2025.
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.