Niu Tech (NIU)
NASDAQ:NIU
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Niu Technologies
(NASDAQ:NIU)
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Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-30.94% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/19/26
NIU scores as a mid-risk recovery setup: improving margins and a major rebound in operating and free cash flow are the biggest positives, reinforced by upbeat 2026 guidance. These are tempered by weak price/indicator momentum, a loss-making earnings profile (negative P/E), and higher leverage plus inventory/expense overhangs that could disrupt the recovery.
Positive Factors
Improved cash generation
Niu's material step-up to positive operating cash flow (~RMB 353M) and solid free cash flow (~RMB 175M) in 2025 creates durable funding flexibility. This strengthens the company's ability to finance inventory normalization, product rollouts and necessary capex without immediate external financing, lowering liquidity risk while executing the recovery plan.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Debt increased materially to ~RMB 639M with debt/equity ~0.71, reducing financial flexibility. Higher leverage raises refinancing and interest burden risks if revenue or margin improvement stalls, constraining the company's ability to fund inventory clearance, marketing or R&D without increasing financing costs or diluting stakeholders.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved cash generation
Niu's material step-up to positive operating cash flow (~RMB 353M) and solid free cash flow (~RMB 175M) in 2025 creates durable funding flexibility. This strengthens the company's ability to finance inventory normalization, product rollouts and necessary capex without immediate external financing, lowering liquidity risk while executing the recovery plan.
Read all positive factors
Niu Technologies (NIU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$101.90M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)317.04K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.27
Revenue Growth32.60%
EPS Growth45.00%
CountryUS
Employees642
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.49
Shares Outstanding70,825,080
10 Day Avg. Volume499,203
30 Day Avg. Volume317,035
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.55
Price to Book (P/B)1.87
Price to Sales (P/S)0.40
P/FCF Ratio9.64
Enterprise Value/Market Cap8.99
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.21
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.09
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-14.44
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)1.14
Revenue Forecast (FY)$5.37B
Niu Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Niu Technologies designs, manufactures, and sells smart electric scooters in the People's Republic of China. The company offers NQi, MQi, UQi, and Gova series electric scooters and motorcycles; KQi series electric kick-scooters; NIU Aero and BQi s...
How the Company Makes Money
Niu Technologies primarily makes money by selling electric scooters and related vehicles. Its core revenue stream is hardware sales: it designs and sources components, assembles/outsources manufacturing (depending on product and period), and sells...
Niu Technologies Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 16, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call presents a constructive long-term picture: robust full-year revenue and China volume growth, significant gross margin expansion, successful product launches (notably in electric motorcycles), and strengthened retail and digital footprints. These positives are offset by near-term headwinds including meaningful Q4 volume/revenue declines driven by regulatory transitions and channel restructuring, sizable aged inventory (primarily kick scooters), elevated operating expenses and a full-year net loss. Management provided upbeat 2026 guidance and a clear plan to normalize inventories and scale higher-margin channels, indicating confidence in recovery and profitable growth.Positive Updates
Strong Full-Year Volume Growth in China
Total sales volume for 2025 reached ~1.19 million units, up 29% year-over-year; China deliveries surged to ~1.11 million units, a 46% year-over-year increase, driven by portfolio optimization, channel expansion and new product categories.
Negative Updates
Q4 Volume and Revenue Decline
Fourth-quarter sales volume was 172,763 units, down 23.8% year-over-year; Q4 revenue was RMB 676.2 million, down 17.4% year-over-year, reflecting temporary demand and channel transition impacts.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Full-Year Volume Growth in China
Total sales volume for 2025 reached ~1.19 million units, up 29% year-over-year; China deliveries surged to ~1.11 million units, a 46% year-over-year increase, driven by portfolio optimization, channel expansion and new product categories.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance centered on a strong 2026 recovery and scale: management expects Q1 2026 revenue of RMB 887 million to RMB 1,023 million (up ~30%–50% year‑over‑year) and full‑year 2026 sales volume of 1.67 million to 1.91 million units; they expect China bicycle demand to remain measured in Q1 with a pronounced recovery thereafter and a full new‑standard product rollout on track by Q2 2026, while 2026 will be devoted to clearing net inventory of about RMB 650 million (with over 50%—>RMB 300 million—coming from aged kick scooters) and to finalize inventory normalization in international micro‑mobility as the business shifts to healthier, higher‑margin channel models.Niu Technologies Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 4.19B | 3.29B | 2.65B | 3.17B | 3.70B |
| Gross Profit | 820.59M | 498.76M | 570.75M | 669.68M | 812.78M |
| EBITDA | 25.60M | -89.04M | -132.54M | 77.21M | 374.50M |
| Net Income | -38.31M | -193.20M | -271.84M | -49.46M | 225.82M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 2.95B | 2.61B | 2.19B | 2.54B | 2.44B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.33B | 904.37M | 970.13M | 903.28M | 1.08B |
| Total Debt | 638.65M | 201.34M | 272.66M | 175.31M | 201.61M |
| Total Liabilities | 2.05B | 1.68B | 1.10B | 1.23B | 1.18B |
| Stockholders Equity | 905.51M | 931.28M | 1.09B | 1.31B | 1.26B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 175.46M | -67.46M | 14.80M | -1.76B | 48.43M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 353.27M | 52.29M | 93.74M | -834.96M | 334.17M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -90.60M | -292.43M | 216.31M | 2.73B | -295.06M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 40.16M | 100.27M | -59.35M | -121.94M | 6.25M |
Niu Technologies Technical Analysis
Negative
3.62
Price Trends
2.95
Negative
3.17
Negative
3.64
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.16
Positive
30.13
Neutral
18.57
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NIU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.90, above the 50-day MA of 2.95, and below the 200-day MA of 3.64, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.57 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NIU.
Niu Technologies Risk Analysis
Niu Technologies disclosed 85 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Niu Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
Our business is subject to seasonal and quarterly fluctuations, and if our sales fall below our forecasts, our overall financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected. Q4, 2023
2.
Rising international political tension, including changes in U.S. and international trade policies, particularly with regard to China, may adversely impact our business and operating results. Q4, 2023
Niu Technologies Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
50 Neutral | $101.90M | -4.32 | -10.26% | ― | 32.60% | 45.00% | |
47 Neutral | $28.32M | -1.70 | 1245.96% | ― | 360.39% | 28.58% | |
45 Neutral | $96.26M | -0.38 | 2910.56% | ― | -14.19% | 84.05% | |
44 Neutral | $34.75M | -0.38 | -204.85% | ― | 320.74% | 94.41% | |
43 Neutral | $6.11M | -0.67 | -30.79% | ― | -42.93% | >-0.01% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
NIU
Niu Technologies
2.40
-1.65
-40.74%
WKHS
Workhorse Group
3.19
-7.25
-69.44%
CENN
Cenntro Electric Group
4.17
-52.96
-92.70%
EVTV
Envirotech Vehicles
2.19
0.37
20.00%
FFAI
Faraday Future Intelligent Electric
0.32
-0.90
-74.02%
Niu Technologies Corporate Events
Niu Technologies Posts Strong Q1 2026 Revenue Growth but Wider Losses on Higher Costs
May 18, 2026
Niu Technologies reported unaudited results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026, showing revenues of RMB 909.5 million, up 33.4% year over year, driven by a 28.7% increase in e-scooter sales and higher revenue per unit. Despite a stable gro...
Niu Technologies Posts 29% Q1 2026 Sales Jump on Strong China Demand, Unveils AI-Enabled NXT2.0
Apr 6, 2026
On April 6, 2026, Niu Technologies reported that it sold 261,624 units in the first quarter of 2026, a 29% year-on-year increase, driven by a 35% rise in China sales to 247,938 units while international volumes fell 32% to 13,686 units. The MT2026...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.