Niu Technologies (NIU) AI Stock Analysis

Compare

1,806 Followers

Top Page

Niu Technologies

(NASDAQ:NIU)

Rating:56Neutral

Price Target:

$4.00

▲(11.42%Upside)

The overall score reflects significant financial performance challenges, particularly with profitability and cash flow issues. Positive technical momentum and promising earnings guidance provide some optimism. However, valuation concerns and ongoing losses constrain the stock's attractiveness. Strategic improvements are needed for a more favorable outlook.

Niu Technologies (NIU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap

$275.99M

Dividend YieldN/A

Average Volume (3M)1.00M

Price to Earnings (P/E)―

Beta (1Y)1.34

Revenue Growth25.61%

EPS Growth33.95%

CountryUS

Employees642

SectorConsumer Cyclical

Sector Strength73

IndustryAuto - Manufacturers

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)-0.07

Shares Outstanding69,692,960

10 Day Avg. Volume1,151,240

30 Day Avg. Volume1,003,408

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG Ratio-0.58

Price to Book (P/B)2.80

Price to Sales (P/S)0.00

P/FCF Ratio0.00

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

$3.60

Price Target Upside0.28% Upside

Rating ConsensusHold

Number of Analyst Covering1

Niu Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNiu Technologies (NIU) is a leading provider of smart urban mobility solutions. The company specializes in the design, manufacture, and sale of high-performance electric scooters and motorcycles. Operating primarily in the electric vehicle (EV) sector, Niu Technologies aims to revolutionize urban commuting through its innovative and eco-friendly products. With a strong emphasis on technology and design, the company offers a range of smart e-scooters that cater to diverse urban mobility needs, integrating IoT technology for enhanced user experience.

How the Company Makes MoneyNiu Technologies generates revenue through the sale of its electric scooters and motorcycles. The company offers a variety of models tailored to different consumer needs and preferences, each equipped with smart features and IoT connectivity. Revenue streams include direct sales to consumers, as well as partnerships with distributors and retailers worldwide. Additionally, Niu Technologies may engage in after-sales services, software updates, and potential subscription services related to its IoT features, further contributing to its earnings. The company's focus on expanding its global distribution network and strategic partnerships enhances its revenue potential and market reach.

Niu Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 19, 2025

(Q1-2025)

% Change Since: -6.27%|

Next Earnings Date:Aug 18, 2025

Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral

Niu Technologies reported strong sales volume and revenue growth, driven by successful product launches and strategic expansion in the China and international markets. However, challenges remain with ASP pressures and tariff impacts on the overseas micro-mobility market, contributing to a net loss for the quarter. Despite these challenges, the company shows promise with its strategic initiatives and market penetration.

Q1-2025 Updates

Positive Updates

Significant Sales Volume Growth

Achieved a total sales volume of 203,000 units, marking a 57.4% year-over-year growth, with a 66% increase in China and a 6.4% growth overseas.

Revenue Increase

Total revenue for Q1 2025 reached RMB682 million, reflecting a 35% increase compared to the same period last year.

Improved Gross Margin

Gross margin rebounded to 17.3%, marking a 4.9% year-over-year increase, driven by cost reduction and product standardization.

Expansion of Product Line

Launched new electric motorcycles and bicycles, including the NX Pro and NL models, enhancing the product portfolio and attracting a younger demographic.

Successful Brand Campaigns

Product launches and strategic partnerships, such as with 'Game for Peace,' significantly boosted brand visibility and recognition among Gen Z and premium consumers.

International Market Growth

Achieved over three times growth in the electric two-wheeler segment overseas due to direct distribution operations in key countries.

Negative Updates

Challenges with ASP and Tariffs

Average Selling Price (ASP) decreased due to a shift in product mix, while tariffs in the U.S. impacted micro-mobility market profitability.

Overseas Micro-Mobility Underperformance

Flat volume growth and delayed profitability turnaround in the overseas micro-mobility market due to tariffs and inventory issues.

Net Loss Reported

Reported a net loss of RMB39 million for Q1 2025, compared to RMB55 million in the same period last year, despite improvements.

Company Guidance

During the Niu Technologies First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the second quarter, projecting revenue to be in the range of RMB1.3 billion to RMB1.4 billion, representing a 40% to 50% year-over-year increase. The call detailed various metrics, highlighting a total sales volume of 203,000 units in Q1 2025, marking a 57.4% year-over-year growth. The company achieved a total revenue of RMB682 million, reflecting a 35% increase compared to the same period last year, with a gross margin improvement to 17.3%. Niu Technologies maintained its full-year sales volume growth guidance of 30% to 50% year-over-year, emphasizing a strong domestic market performance with a 66% increase in China sales volume and a 6.4% growth in the overseas market. The company also focused on improving gross margins and reducing costs through product optimization and strategic emphasis on standardizing key product platforms. Additionally, Niu Technologies anticipated a net profit turnaround in Q2 2025 and highlighted its efforts to expand sales channels, increase online presence, and develop new products to cater to diverse consumer needs.

Niu Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Niu Technologies faces significant financial challenges, with ongoing operational losses and declining equity. The income statement shows negative net income and EBIT, while cash flow instability hinders sustainable growth. Despite a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio, the overall financial health is concerning.

Income Statement

Neutral

Niu Technologies has experienced fluctuating revenue trends, with a recent increase from 2023 to 2024. However, the company's profitability metrics are concerning, with consistent negative net income and EBIT over the years, indicating operational challenges. The decline in gross profit margin from previous years, coupled with negative EBITDA and EBIT margins, highlights ongoing profitability issues.

Balance Sheet

Neutral

The balance sheet of Niu Technologies shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a reasonable leverage level. However, the declining stockholders' equity and the negative return on equity signal potential risks in generating shareholder value. The equity ratio suggests a balanced capital structure, yet the trend of decreasing equity is concerning.

Cash Flow

Negative

Niu Technologies' cash flow reveals significant challenges, with periods of negative free cash flow and operating cash flow. The absence of substantial free cash flow growth and inconsistent cash flow generation relative to net income indicate financial instability. This could hinder the company's capacity to reinvest and grow sustainably.

Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Breakdown
Income Statement		Total Revenue
3.29B	2.65B	3.17B	3.70B	2.44B
	Gross Profit
498.76M	570.75M	669.68M	812.78M	559.15M
	EBIT
-250.63M	-317.52M	-89.28M	162.38M	129.18M
	EBITDA
-102.57M	-132.54M	53.43M	374.50M	247.36M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
-193.20M	-271.84M	-49.46M	225.82M	168.65M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
904.37M	970.13M	903.28M	1.08B	1.10B
	Total Assets
2.61B	2.19B	2.54B	2.44B	1.85B
	Total Debt
200.09M	272.66M	484.40M	337.54M	180.00M
	Net Debt
-429.93M	-599.92M	-49.89M	129.17M	-47.00M
	Total Liabilities
1.68B	1.10B	1.23B	1.18B	853.44M
	Stockholders Equity
931.28M	1.09B	1.31B	1.26B	993.37M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
0.00	14.80M	-1.76B	48.43M	314.02M
	Operating Cash Flow
0.00	93.74M	-834.96M	334.17M	465.60M
	Investing Cash Flow
0.00	216.31M	2.73B	-295.06M	-535.23M
	Financing Cash Flow
0.00	-59.35M	-121.94M	6.25M	-13.16M

Niu Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Neutral

Last Price3.59

Price Trends

50DMA

3.52

Positive

100DMA

2.95

Positive

200DMA

2.50

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

0.07

Positive

RSI

50.56

Neutral

STOCH

25.12

Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NIU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.61, above the 50-day MA of 3.52, and above the 200-day MA of 2.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NIU.

Niu Technologies Risk Analysis

Niu Technologies disclosed 85 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Niu Technologies reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks

Our business is subject to seasonal and quarterly fluctuations, and if our sales fall below our forecasts, our overall financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected. Q4, 2023

Rising international political tension, including changes in U.S. and international trade policies, particularly with regard to China, may adversely impact our business and operating results. Q4, 2023

Niu Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	62 Neutral	$6.93B	11.25	2.95%	3.88%	2.69%	-24.71%
NIU	56 Neutral	$275.99M	―	-18.32%	―	25.61%	33.95%
FFAI	49 Neutral	$118.12M	―	-186.28%	―	8.52%	98.75%
CENN	49 Neutral	$26.57M	―	-32.49%	―	36.58%	-62.75%
WKHS	44 Neutral	$8.71M	―	-188.79%	―	-53.55%	65.29%
EVTV	39 Underperform	$5.09M	―	-132.63%	―	-47.62%	8.34%
PEVM	38 Underperform	$11.09M	0.79		―	―	―

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

NIU

Niu Technologies

3.59

1.58

78.61%

WKHS

Workhorse Group

0.92

-44.08

-97.96%

CENN

Cenntro Electric Group

0.94

-0.91

-49.19%

EVTV

Envirotech Vehicles

0.20

-1.19

-85.61%

FFAI

Faraday Future Intelligent Electric

1.29

-20.47

-94.07%

PEVM

Phoenix Motor Inc

0.21

-0.52

-71.23%

Glossary

OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.

NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.

UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.