Record Revenues and Full-Year EBIT Beat
Operating revenues of $7.4B in Q4 and $28B for the full year were quarterly and annual records. Full-year EBIT was $574M, above prior guidance of $500M; Q4 EBIT was $386M.
Aggressive Capital Return and Balance Sheet Strength
Completed $2.6B in share buybacks in 2025 (about 14% of shares outstanding) and distributed $399M in dividends. Ended the quarter with $3.2B in cash and a gross leverage ratio of 2.4x, within targets. Issued $1.5B of unsecured bonds in November.
Large Transformation Delivered On Time
Implemented many strategic initiatives in 2025 (bag fees, basic economy, flight-credit expiration, variable loyalty earn/burn, Chase co-brand amendment, free WiFi for loyalty members, Expedia/Priceline partnerships, new partners, Getaways, redeye flying, reduced turn times, tech upgrades). Retrofitted 800+ aircraft for assigned and extra legroom seating and launched those products on schedule.
Operational Excellence
Ranked #1 in on-time performance, completion factor and lowest extreme delays in December; earned The Wall Street Journal's Best U.S. Airline of 2025, highlighting improved operational reliability during a major transformation.
Strong 2026 Earnings Guidance
Management is guiding full-year 2026 adjusted EPS of at least $4.00 versus 2025 adjusted EPS of $0.93 (lower end of internal forecast), and Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of at least $0.45 versus a loss of $0.13 in Q1 2025.
Material RASM and Capacity Outlook for Q1
Expecting Q1 RASM to increase by at least 9.5% year-over-year. Q1 capacity is expected to grow 1%–2% year-over-year while operating with ~7 fewer aircraft, reflecting efficiency gains.
Cost Discipline and Fleet Investment Plan
Outperformed a $370M cost reduction target for 2025. Q4 CASM‑X was up only 0.8% YoY despite less capacity than planned. Projected CASM‑X increase of ~3.5% YoY in 1Q (including ~1.1 points from removing 6 seats on 737‑700s). Expect 66 Boeing 737‑8 deliveries in 2026, retirement of ~60 aircraft, and net capital spending of $3.0B–$3.5B.
Positive Early Customer Reception to New Products
Assigned seating and extra legroom launched Jan 27; company reports customer response 'overwhelmingly positive' and early ancillary / buy-up activity encouraging. Management believes these products will be meaningful contributors to 2026 revenue and corporate demand.