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Lightbridge (LTBR)
NASDAQ:LTBR

Lightbridge (LTBR) AI Stock Analysis

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LTBR

Lightbridge

(NASDAQ:LTBR)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▼(-11.01% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/26/26
The score is primarily constrained by financial performance: no revenue, expanding losses, and ongoing negative free cash flow with increasing burn. Technicals add additional pressure with price below key moving averages and a negative MACD, while valuation remains challenged due to negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet strength
A debt-free balance sheet and a materially larger equity base provide durable financial flexibility to fund multi-year R&D and qualification programs. This reduces leverage risk, extends runway for licensing efforts, and allows time for technical milestones to convert into commercial agreements.
Progress toward fuel qualification
Commencement of ATR irradiation testing at INL is a structural technical milestone that generates the empirical data required for regulatory qualification and vendor adoption. Successful test results materially increase the odds of licensing and long-term royalty revenue from fabricators and utilities.
Intellectual property portfolio
Growing patent coverage—especially for multi-zone designs and additive manufacturing—creates durable barriers to entry and strengthens licensing leverage in key regions. Broad IP protection underpins a royalty/licensing business model and supports long-term competitive differentiation.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue operations
A pre-revenue profile with escalating net losses signals that commercial validation and recurring cash inflows have not yet occurred. Until licensing or milestone receipts materialize, the company lacks demonstrated revenue-generation capacity, keeping profitability and return prospects uncertain.
Persistent cash burn
Sustained negative operating and free cash flows increase dependence on the balance sheet or external capital to fund operations. Rising outflows compress optionality for longer-term programs, and persistent burn can force trade-offs between R&D, qualification timelines, and commercialization priorities.
Reliance on capital markets
A mixed securities shelf filing highlights structural reliance on public capital markets to fund ongoing operations. For a pre-revenue, cash-burning company, this typically implies future equity issuance risk and potential dilution, making funding availability and timing a core long-term execution risk.

Lightbridge (LTBR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lightbridge Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLightbridge Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design and development of nuclear fuel technology under the Lightbridge Fuel name. It focuses on developing and commercializing metallic nuclear fuels that could enhance resistance of nuclear fuel in existing and new nuclear reactors with a meaningful impact on addressing climate change and air pollution. The company was formerly known as Thorium Power, Ltd. and changed its name to Lightbridge Corporation in September 2009. Lightbridge Corporation is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyLightbridge makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its proprietary nuclear fuel technology. The company's revenue model is centered around licensing its advanced nuclear fuel designs to nuclear utilities and reactor operators. These partnerships allow Lightbridge to generate revenue through licensing fees and royalties based on the usage of their fuel technology in commercial nuclear reactors. Additionally, the company may engage in collaborative research and development agreements with government agencies or other industry stakeholders, which can provide additional funding and partnership opportunities. Lightbridge's growth and financial performance are heavily reliant on the successful adoption of its technology by the nuclear power industry, as well as regulatory approvals and support from governments and international bodies promoting nuclear energy solutions.

Lightbridge Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Lightbridge achieved significant operational milestones and strengthened its financial position, supported by a favorable political environment and strategic collaborations. However, the increased net loss and higher R&D and G&A expenses present challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Operational Milestones
Lightbridge achieved several milestones at Idaho National Laboratory, including co-extrusion of an 8-foot rod using depleted uranium-zirconium alloy, completion of the final review for irradiation testing, and successful fabrication of enriched uranium-zirconium alloy samples.
Strategic Collaboration with Oklo
Lightbridge entered into an agreement with Oklo for potential colocation of Lightbridge Fuel fabrication facility within Oklo's advanced fuel manufacturing facility, enhancing synergies and reducing costs.
Inclusion in Russell Indexes
Lightbridge's inclusion in the Russell 2000 and Russell 3000 indexes marks an important recognition of its market presence and provides enhanced visibility among institutional investors.
Supportive Political Environment
Executive orders by the White House to prioritize nuclear energy deployment align with Lightbridge's capabilities, creating substantial market opportunities.
Strong Financial Position
Lightbridge's cash and cash equivalents totaled $97.9 million at the end of the second quarter, up from $40 million at the end of 2024, significantly strengthening its financial position.
Negative Updates
Increased Net Loss
Net loss for the second quarter was $3.5 million, up from $2.4 million in the same quarter of 2024, primarily due to increased R&D and G&A expenses.
R&D and G&A Expenses Increase
R&D expenses increased by $0.7 million to $1.6 million, and G&A expenses increased by $0.7 million to $2.5 million compared to the previous year, driven by higher project labor costs and professional fees.
Company Guidance
During the Lightbridge Corporation's second quarter 2025 conference call, several key metrics and milestones were discussed, highlighting the company's progress and financial standing. The call detailed the co-extrusion of an 8-foot rod using depleted uranium-zirconium alloy and the successful fabrication of enriched uranium-zirconium alloy samples at Idaho National Laboratory, marking significant advancements in their nuclear fuel development. Financially, Lightbridge reported a robust cash position with $97.9 million in cash and cash equivalents at the end of the second quarter, compared to $40 million at the end of 2024, and an increased working capital of $97.2 million. The company also saw a rise in R&D expenses to $1.6 million, up from $0.9 million in the same quarter the previous year, attributed to intensified development activities. Despite a net loss of $3.5 million for the quarter, up from $2.4 million in the prior year, the company remains optimistic due to supportive policy shifts, including President Trump's executive orders on nuclear energy, and strategic partnerships like the one with Oklo for fuel facility colocation and recycling initiatives.

Lightbridge Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pre-revenue profile with no reported sales, widening net losses (down to about -$19.6M in 2025), and consistently negative operating/free cash flow with rising burn (about -$14.3M operating cash flow in 2025). The main offsetting strength is a debt-free balance sheet and a sharply higher equity base in 2025, improving funding runway but not solving profitability/cash generation yet.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
The company reports no revenue across the provided annual periods, indicating the business is still pre-commercial or operating without meaningful sales. Losses are persistent and sizable, with net income declining from about -$7.5M (2022) / -$7.9M (2023) to -$11.8M (2024) and -$19.6M (2025), suggesting rising operating spend. With negative operating profit in recent years and no demonstrated revenue ramp, profitability and earnings quality remain weak.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
A key strength is the absence of debt in all reported years, which limits financial leverage risk. Equity expanded sharply in 2025 to ~$203.0M (from ~$40.5M in 2024), and total assets rose to ~$203.8M, improving balance-sheet capacity to fund operations. The main weakness is ongoing negative returns on equity (loss-making), meaning shareholder capital is not currently generating profits despite the larger equity base.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash burn remains the core issue: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative every year provided. Outflows increased to about -$14.3M in 2025 versus -$9.5M in 2024, indicating higher cash usage alongside widening losses. While free cash flow improved versus earlier years (e.g., roughly -$11.1M in 2021), the company is still not self-funding and will likely rely on its balance-sheet resources or external financing until revenue materializes.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-19.58M-11.79M-9.04M-7.79M-8.00M
Net Income-19.58M-11.79M-7.91M-7.50M-7.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets203.83M40.95M29.40M29.47M24.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments201.86M39.99M28.60M28.90M24.75M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities847.45K424.58K486.33K350.33K171.52K
Stockholders Equity202.99M40.53M28.91M29.12M24.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-14.28M-9.49M-6.49M-6.77M-11.05M
Operating Cash Flow-14.28M-9.49M-6.48M-6.76M-11.04M
Investing Cash Flow-10.53K0.00-640.00-6.64K-16.02K
Financing Cash Flow176.16M20.89M6.18M10.92M14.27M

Lightbridge Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.17
Price Trends
50DMA
14.95
Negative
100DMA
17.65
Negative
200DMA
16.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.71
Negative
RSI
42.14
Neutral
STOCH
76.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LTBR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.84, above the 50-day MA of 14.95, and below the 200-day MA of 16.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.71 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LTBR.

Lightbridge Risk Analysis

Lightbridge disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lightbridge reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks

Lightbridge Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$1.55B7.64151.33%6.02%2.28%534.60%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
$1.92B-1.91-55.98%-394.37%
52
Neutral
$1.32B-60.52%45.98%44.14%
51
Neutral
$426.29M-1.10-26.12%41.05%-1.02%
45
Neutral
$772.43M-7.35-22.60%25.24%-12.96%
44
Neutral
$421.47M-17.01-16.08%-9.49%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LTBR
Lightbridge
12.93
2.08
19.17%
ENR
Energizer Holdings
21.59
-7.55
-25.90%
FCEL
Fuelcell Energy
8.14
2.37
41.07%
TE
T1 Energy
6.16
4.63
302.61%
ENVX
Enovix
5.27
-3.65
-40.92%
SLDP
Solid Power
3.54
2.31
187.80%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026