Financial PerformanceShares of Open Lending declined by 12.6% following 3Q results that saw better certification volume than expected, yet an additional write-down to its profit-sharing on the 'back book' of underperforming 2021 and 2022 loans, which drove a revenue and earnings miss.
GuidanceNear-term guidance implies further stress with fourth-quarter guidance of only 22,000 to 24,000 certs, representing material sequential and year-over-year declines.
Industry ChallengesThere continue to be challenges in the back book for near-prime auto lenders, due to a combination of falling collateral values/used car prices, FICO score migration during the pandemic, and other credit challenges facing near-prime borrowers.