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Kopin Corp (KOPN)
NASDAQ:KOPN

Kopin (KOPN) AI Stock Analysis

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KOPN

Kopin

(NASDAQ:KOPN)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(2.04% Upside)
The score is held back mainly by continued losses and ongoing cash burn, despite a low-leverage balance sheet and improving margins. Technicals are supportive with the stock trading above key moving averages, while valuation remains constrained by negative earnings. The latest earnings call showed progress and strategic momentum, but revenue softness and cost pressure, plus mixed corporate developments, temper the upside.
Positive Factors
Defense partnerships and $1B+ opportunity pipeline
Strategic alliances with defense-focused partners and a disclosed opportunity pipeline north of $1B signal durable demand and validated market fit in military/industrial programs. Long-term contracts and integration work with defense customers support predictable revenue scaling and ecosystem entrenchment.
Improving margins and profitability trajectory
Material improvement in gross margin and a quarter with positive net income reflect better product mix, cost controls and lower SG&A. These trends indicate a credible pathway to sustainable profitability if product-cost pressures are contained and revenue growth resumes, reducing long-term earnings volatility.
Low leverage and recent capital raises strengthen runway
A conservative debt position (debt/equity ~0.09) combined with meaningful recent capital raises and a cash cushion materially reduces insolvency risk. This financial flexibility supports continued R&D, defense program execution, and commercialization without immediate dependence on operating cash flow.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow forces reliance on external financing to fund operations and capex. Even with improvement versus prior year, ongoing cash burn can dilute shareholders, constrain strategic investments, and elevate execution risk if capital markets tighten or dilution-averse financing is unavailable.
High product cost pressure compressing margins
Rising product costs that push cost of goods toward ~80% of product revenue materially limit gross-margin scalability. Unless manufacturing efficiencies, sourcing improvements, or pricing power are achieved, margin recovery is fragile, making sustainable profitability dependent on structural cost reductions or higher-value product mix.
Legal judgment and bonded appeal create contingent risk
A large adverse judgment and the need to post a sizable bond via bank financing ties up capital and creates contingent claims. The arrangement allows the bank to access deposited funds, increasing liquidity and execution risk while management pursues appeal, potentially diverting resources from growth initiatives.

Kopin (KOPN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kopin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKopin Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, invents, develops, manufactures, and sells microdisplays, subassemblies, head-mounted and hand-held systems, and related components for defense, enterprise, industrial, and consumer products in the United States, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, and internationally. It offers miniature active-matrix liquid crystal displays, liquid crystal on silicon displays/spatial light modulators, organic light emitting diode displays, application specific integrated circuits, backlights, and optical lenses; and headset systems. The company's products are used in soldier, avionic, armored vehicle and training, and simulation defense applications; industrial, public safety, and medical headsets; 3D optical inspection systems; and consumer augmented reality and virtual reality wearable headsets systems. Kopin Corporation was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Westborough, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyKopin generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its microdisplay technologies and related components to a variety of industries, including defense contractors, industrial equipment manufacturers, and consumer electronics companies. The company's revenue model includes direct product sales, licensing agreements for its intellectual property, and partnerships with other technology firms to integrate its displays into their products. Significant partnerships with major players in the AR and VR markets help bolster its earnings, as they often involve long-term contracts and collaborative development projects that can lead to additional revenue opportunities.

Kopin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Kopin's strategic partnerships and strong financial improvements, including a shift from loss to net income and reduced SG&A expenses. However, these positive aspects were tempered by revenue declines and increased product costs, creating a mixed overall outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Partnerships
Kopin Corporation entered into strategic partnerships with Ondas Holdings, Unusual Machines, and Theon International, indicating a strong collaborative approach to future growth.
U.S. Army Drone Market Potential
Kopin is well-positioned in the growing drone market, with the U.S. Army aiming to acquire millions of drones over the next few years, presenting a significant opportunity.
Strong Financial Backing
Post-Q3, Kopin raised $41 million from strategic and institutional investors and completed a $15 million transaction, significantly improving its cash position.
Net Income Improvement
Kopin reported a net income of $4.1 million in Q3 2025 compared to a net loss of $3.5 million in the same quarter of 2024, marking a significant turnaround.
Reduction in SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses decreased from $5.2 million in Q3 2024 to $1.6 million in Q3 2025, primarily due to a decrease in accrued legal expenses.
Negative Updates
Decline in Total Revenues
Total revenues for Q3 2025 were $12 million, down from $13.3 million in the same period of the previous year, driven by reduced revenues from pilot helmets and training simulation products.
Decrease in R&D Revenues
Funded research and development revenues decreased to $1.2 million from $2.3 million in Q3 2024, largely due to project completion timing.
High Cost of Product Revenue
Cost of product revenue increased to 79% of net product revenues in Q3 2025, up from 76% in the same quarter of 2024, due to higher manufacturing costs for certain products.
Company Guidance
During Kopin Corporation's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, significant guidance was provided with a focus on strategic partnerships and financial metrics. Kopin announced new partnerships with global organizations such as Ondas Holdings, Unusual Machines, and Theon International, enhancing its position in the defense sector. The company highlighted a strong opportunity pipeline exceeding $1 billion, with expectations for significant growth in the first-person drone market, projected to reach $1.2 billion by 2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of 31%. Financially, Kopin reported Q3 revenues of $12 million, a decrease from the previous year, with net income at $4.1 million or $0.02 per share, a turnaround from a net loss of $3.5 million in Q3 2024. The company also emphasized a solid balance sheet with $26.5 million in cash and highlighted recent capital raises totaling $56 million, positioning it well for future growth. Kopin's strategic focus on the U.S. Department of Defense and NATO, alongside innovations in microdisplays and optical technologies, underpins its growth strategy, with expectations to achieve revenue and profitability goals by 2027 and 2028.

Kopin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kopin faces significant financial hurdles, particularly in achieving profitability and positive cash flows. The income statement shows negative net income and EBIT, while the cash flow statement indicates negative operating and free cash flows, suggesting reliance on external financing. The balance sheet is moderately stable but could be strained by ongoing liabilities growth.
Income Statement
Kopin shows a concerning financial trajectory with negative net income and EBIT for the latest year, indicating ongoing operational challenges. Revenue growth is inconsistent, and profit margins are negative, highlighting difficulties in achieving profitability. The significant negative EBITDA suggests operational inefficiencies or high costs that are not covered by revenue.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial structure with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, indicating reliance on equity over debt financing. A strong cash position relative to debt provides a buffer, but consistent liabilities growth could pose future risks. The company maintains positive stockholders' equity, suggesting a stable capital base, though profitability challenges might strain this stability.
Cash Flow
Kopin's cash flow situation is critical, with negative operating and free cash flows, indicating challenges in generating cash from core activities. The substantial negative free cash flow suggests an inability to cover capital expenditures without financing, posing a risk to financial sustainability. Positive financing cash flow indicates reliance on external funding, which may not be sustainable long-term.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.60M50.34M40.39M47.40M45.67M40.13M
Gross Profit11.88M10.37M15.44M4.56M10.64M10.98M
EBITDA-5.14M-17.67M-16.57M-21.07M-13.11M-4.11M
Net Income-6.15M-43.88M-19.75M-19.33M-13.43M-4.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets61.22M70.77M49.31M43.75M63.01M47.55M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.51M35.58M17.40M12.65M29.30M20.75M
Total Debt2.01M2.12M2.48M3.36M3.81M1.80M
Total Liabilities39.89M47.48M19.80M19.76M23.38M19.25M
Stockholders Equity21.32M23.28M29.51M24.16M39.80M28.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.10M-15.04M-16.21M-18.52M-11.78M-4.96M
Operating Cash Flow-9.27M-14.23M-15.26M-17.69M-10.75M-4.42M
Investing Cash Flow20.33M-10.29M-8.14M-3.31M53.67K11.80M
Financing Cash Flow921.49K33.52M21.34M2.66M20.45M3.69M

Kopin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.94
Price Trends
50DMA
2.64
Positive
100DMA
2.67
Positive
200DMA
2.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
63.11
Neutral
STOCH
85.36
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KOPN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.52, above the 50-day MA of 2.64, and above the 200-day MA of 2.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KOPN.

Kopin Risk Analysis

Kopin disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kopin reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kopin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Neutral
$593.87M24.0011.03%1.07%22.35%2.59%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$553.34M67.932.37%-7.46%-39.98%
55
Neutral
$672.93M-32.91-37.93%36.85%-77.93%
52
Neutral
$536.67M-78.40-27.91%3.02%90.87%
51
Neutral
$465.42M-267.22-0.92%0.79%7.39%99.34%
44
Neutral
$288.97M-2.57-112.89%-67.66%13.39%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KOPN
Kopin
2.94
1.77
151.28%
LPTH
Lightpath Technologies
12.63
9.65
323.83%
LYTS
Lsi Industries
19.10
0.90
4.95%
MLAB
Mesa Laboratories
84.28
-45.90
-35.26%
MVIS
Microvision
0.95
-0.24
-20.50%
VPG
Vishay Precision Group
40.38
17.93
79.87%

Kopin Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Kopin Grants Significant Equity Awards to Top Executives
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Kopin Corporation approved substantial equity awards for Chief Executive Officer and Chairman Michael Murray, granting him 583,658 shares of restricted stock and options to purchase 724,638 shares at a 25% premium to the market price, with four-year cliff vesting for the shares and quarterly vesting over four years for the options, all subject to continued service and double-trigger change-in-control protections. On the same date, the company also granted Chief Operating Officer Paul Baker 72,000 restricted shares with staggered vesting through December 2028, underscoring Kopin’s strategy of aligning executive incentives with long-term shareholder value and providing retention mechanisms for its top management team.

The most recent analyst rating on (KOPN) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kopin stock, see the KOPN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Kopin Amends Certificate for Preferred Stock Issuance
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Kopin Corporation filed a Certificate of Designation to amend its Certificate of Incorporation, establishing the terms for its Series A Convertible Preferred Stock. This strategic move allows the company to issue 1,500 shares of preferred stock, which will rank senior to common stock in terms of dividends and liquidation rights, potentially strengthening its financial structure and providing new opportunities for investment.

The most recent analyst rating on (KOPN) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kopin stock, see the KOPN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026