tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Kopin Corp (KOPN)
NASDAQ:KOPN
Advertisement

Kopin (KOPN) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,280 Followers

Top Page

KO

Kopin

(NASDAQ:KOPN)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-7.83%Downside)
Kopin's stock score reflects significant financial and valuation challenges, tempered by positive technical indicators and a favorable outlook from the recent earnings call. The company's ongoing financial struggles and reliance on external financing are major concerns, but strategic focus on defense and operational improvements offer potential growth opportunities.
Positive Factors
Defense Program Opportunities
Kopin fulfills the requirements for the IVAS program displays with its production capabilities and patented NeuralDisplay eye-tracking software, positioning the company strongly in the competition.
Order Momentum
The company had record bookings of $46 million, indicating strong demand for its products.
Revenue Performance
Kopin reported 1Q25 revenue of $10.5M, above the estimate of $9.3M, growing approximately 5.0% annually from $10.0M in 1Q24.
Negative Factors
Investor Concerns
Despite solid results and guidance, there are investor concerns, but shares are already pricing in the potential worst-case scenario.
Legal Uncertainty
There is an outstanding legal case, but the company feels confident in reducing damages and appealing any judgment.

Kopin (KOPN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kopin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKopin Corporation is a leading developer and provider of innovative wearable technologies and solutions. The company is headquartered in Westborough, Massachusetts, and operates primarily in the display, optics, and wearable technology sectors. Kopin's core products include microdisplays, optics and modules for augmented reality (AR) and virtual reality (VR) applications, as well as head-worn systems for military, consumer, and enterprise markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyKopin makes money through the sale of its advanced display products and wearable technology solutions. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of microdisplays, optics, and modules that are integrated into AR and VR headsets and other wearable devices. Kopin collaborates with major technology companies and partners to supply its products for a variety of applications, from military and defense contracts to consumer electronics. Additionally, the company may generate revenue from licensing its technologies and intellectual property, as well as from designing and developing custom solutions for specific client needs.

Kopin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 47.62%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted several positive aspects, such as revenue growth, improved cost efficiency, and new contract wins, particularly in the defense sector. However, challenges such as flat product revenues, a net loss, and uncertainties due to geopolitical and trade issues were also noted. Overall, the highlights outweighed the lowlights, indicating a generally positive outlook for the company.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenues for Q1 2025 were $10.5 million, a 5% increase year-over-year from $10 million in Q1 2024.
Improved Cost Efficiency
Cost of product revenues decreased from $8.5 million (95% of net product revenues) in Q1 2024 to $7.6 million (83% of net product revenues) in Q1 2025, primarily due to improved manufacturing quality and less waste.
Reduced Legal Fees
SG&A expenses decreased from $7.2 million in Q1 2024 to $4.7 million in Q1 2025, primarily due to a $2.9 million decrease in legal fees.
New Contract Wins
In the first quarter of 2025, Kopin announced approximately $28 million of new contract wins and awards with a book-to-bill ratio better than 2.8:1.
Strong R&D Revenue Growth
Funded research and development revenues increased by 37% to $1.2 million from $900,000 in Q1 2024, driven by an increase in funding for U.S. defense programs.
Strategic Focus on Defense
Kopin is the sole source provider of micro displays for several Department of Defense programs and has a strategic focus on defense, with expected 2025 revenue between $52 million and $55 million.
Negative Updates
Flat Product Revenues
Product revenues for Q1 2025 were essentially flat at $9.2 million compared to $9 million in Q1 2024.
Net Loss
The net loss for Q1 2025 was $3.1 million or $0.02 per share, although this is a significant improvement compared to a net loss of $32.5 million or $0.27 per share in Q1 2024.
Geopolitical and Trade Uncertainties
Kopin experienced some challenges due to geopolitical trade issues and tariffs, impacting revenue guidance for the year.
Company Guidance
During Kopin Corporation's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating a strong pipeline of opportunities, projecting to reach at least $75 million in revenue by 2027, up from $50 million in 2024 and an expected $52 million to $55 million in 2025. Kopin emphasized its focus on defense sectors, driven by increased global defense budgets and the development of new technologies such as its neural display. They reported Q1 2025 revenues of $10.5 million, a 5% year-over-year increase, along with new contract wins totaling approximately $28 million, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio greater than 2.8:1. The company also highlighted efforts to enhance manufacturing efficiency through AI-assisted automation and strategic partnerships to capitalize on market opportunities, particularly in Europe and Asia.

Kopin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kopin faces significant financial challenges, with negative net income, EBIT, and cash flows. Although the balance sheet shows some stability through a reasonable equity base and cash reserves, the company's ongoing operational losses and reliance on external financing raise concerns about its long-term viability.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Kopin shows a concerning financial trajectory with negative net income and EBIT for the latest year, indicating ongoing operational challenges. Revenue growth is inconsistent, and profit margins are negative, highlighting difficulties in achieving profitability. The significant negative EBITDA suggests operational inefficiencies or high costs that are not covered by revenue.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial structure with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, indicating reliance on equity over debt financing. A strong cash position relative to debt provides a buffer, but consistent liabilities growth could pose future risks. The company maintains positive stockholders' equity, suggesting a stable capital base, though profitability challenges might strain this stability.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Kopin's cash flow situation is critical, with negative operating and free cash flows, indicating challenges in generating cash from core activities. The substantial negative free cash flow suggests an inability to cover capital expenditures without financing, posing a risk to financial sustainability. Positive financing cash flow indicates reliance on external funding, which may not be sustainable long-term.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue50.34M40.39M47.40M45.67M40.13M
Gross Profit14.17M15.44M4.56M20.61M18.73M
EBITDA-43.07M-16.57M-21.07M-13.11M-4.11M
Net Income-43.88M-19.75M-19.33M-13.77M-4.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets70.77M49.31M43.75M62.71M47.55M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.58M17.40M12.65M29.30M20.75M
Total Debt2.12M2.48M3.36M3.81M1.80M
Total Liabilities47.48M19.80M19.76M23.38M19.25M
Stockholders Equity23.28B29.51M24.16M39.50M28.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.04M-16.21M-18.52M-11.78M-4.96M
Operating Cash Flow-14.23M-15.26M-17.69M-10.75M-4.42M
Investing Cash Flow-10.29M-8.14M-3.31M53.67K11.80M
Financing Cash Flow33.52M21.34M2.66M20.45M3.69M

Kopin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.17
Price Trends
50DMA
1.55
Positive
100DMA
1.36
Positive
200DMA
1.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
79.31
Negative
STOCH
76.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KOPN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.68, above the 50-day MA of 1.55, and above the 200-day MA of 1.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.31 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KOPN.

Kopin Risk Analysis

Kopin disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kopin reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kopin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$117.01M14.7028.36%19.05%114.23%
57
Neutral
$147.57M-24.86%2.59%-48.02%
55
Neutral
$348.97M-135.21%-41.76%5.56%
51
Neutral
$353.27M-112.75%28.16%74.88%
51
Neutral
$460.02M-40.61%-18.53%46.30%
51
Neutral
AU$1.60B2.35-31.50%3.04%16.21%-7.40%
MEMEI
49
Neutral
$233.07M-8.58%7.40%-5.96%49.33%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KOPN
Kopin
2.17
1.08
99.08%
LPTH
Lightpath Technologies
3.44
2.14
164.62%
MEI
Methode Electronics
6.62
-6.18
-48.28%
MVIS
Microvision
1.40
0.28
25.00%
NEON
Neonode
27.41
24.54
855.05%
MPTI
M-tron Industries Inc
40.11
8.11
25.34%

Kopin Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kopin Increases Authorized Shares at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 30, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Kopin Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where several key decisions were made. The shareholders approved an amendment to increase the number of authorized shares of the company’s common stock from 200 million to 275 million. Additionally, the amendment to the 2020 Equity Incentive Plan, increasing the number of shares authorized for issuance from 14 million to 19 million, was ratified. The meeting also saw the election of directors and the ratification of BDO USA, P.C. as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 27, 2025. These decisions are expected to impact the company’s operational capacity and governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (KOPN) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kopin stock, see the KOPN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kopin CFO Rich Sneider Announces Retirement
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Kopin Corporation announced the upcoming retirement of its Chief Financial Officer, Rich Sneider, who has been with the company for 25 years. The company has initiated a search for his successor, considering both internal and external candidates. Sneider will continue in his current role until a replacement is found and will assist in the transition. This change marks a significant moment in Kopin’s ongoing evolution, as Sneider has been instrumental in transforming the company from a technology-focused entity to one that commercializes application-specific optical solutions across various industries.

The most recent analyst rating on (KOPN) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kopin stock, see the KOPN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 18, 2025