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Kopin Corp (KOPN)
NASDAQ:KOPN

Kopin (KOPN) AI Stock Analysis

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KO

Kopin

(NASDAQ:KOPN)

38Underperform
Kopin's overall stock score is low, primarily due to its financial struggles with ongoing losses and negative cash flows. While there is some optimism from strategic initiatives and revenue growth, substantial litigation costs and unfavorable valuation metrics weigh heavily on its stock performance. Technical indicators and earnings call sentiment offer limited positive outlook but are insufficient to offset the financial challenges.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Kopin reported better revenue and in line EPS, with product revenue up 15% quarter-over-quarter and 86% year-over-year.
Order Momentum
The company had record bookings of $46 million, indicating strong demand for its products.
Strategic Positioning
Kopin's status as the only U.S.-owned microdisplay company after Samsung's acquisition of eMagin positions it advantageously when working with the U.S. government.
Negative Factors
Legal Challenges
There is an outstanding legal case, but the company feels confident in reducing damages and appealing any judgment.
Legal Impact
The unfavorable legal ruling caused shares to underperform and overshadowed the Company’s impressive rebound in growth.
Market Perception
Despite investor concerns, the solid results and guidance should allow investors to finally exhale, with shares already pricing in the potential worst-case scenario.

Kopin (KOPN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Kopin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKopin Corporation is a leading developer and provider of innovative wearable technologies and solutions. The company is headquartered in Westborough, Massachusetts, and operates primarily in the display, optics, and wearable technology sectors. Kopin's core products include microdisplays, optics and modules for augmented reality (AR) and virtual reality (VR) applications, as well as head-worn systems for military, consumer, and enterprise markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyKopin makes money through the sale of its advanced display products and wearable technology solutions. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of microdisplays, optics, and modules that are integrated into AR and VR headsets and other wearable devices. Kopin collaborates with major technology companies and partners to supply its products for a variety of applications, from military and defense contracts to consumer electronics. Additionally, the company may generate revenue from licensing its technologies and intellectual property, as well as from designing and developing custom solutions for specific client needs.

Kopin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kopin is facing significant financial challenges, with consistent losses impacting its profitability and cash flows. The revenue growth observed in the TTM period is a positive sign, but it hasn't translated into profitability improvements. The balance sheet is stable in terms of debt management, but the ongoing negative financial performance poses risks. The company needs to focus on enhancing operational efficiency and cost management to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Kopin's income statement shows a challenging financial position with consistent net losses over multiple periods. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is significantly higher than previous years, but margins remain negative, indicating persistent profitability issues. Revenue growth is seen, but it has not translated into improved profit margins, with both gross and net profit margins remaining negative.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage levels. However, the company has been consistently losing equity value over time. The equity ratio indicates that a significant portion of assets is financed through equity, which is a positive aspect, but the company is yet to show improvements in its return on equity due to ongoing losses.
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
Cash flow statements depict negative operating and free cash flows, indicating operational inefficiencies. The company is not generating cash from its operations, which raises concerns about its long-term sustainability without external financing. Despite some capital expenditure control, the lack of positive free cash flow growth suggests difficulties in turning around the cash flow performance.
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
40.39M47.40M45.67M40.13M29.52M
Gross Profit
15.44M4.56M20.61M18.73M8.62M
EBIT
-17.18M-21.79M-13.78M-4.76M-26.05M
EBITDA
-16.57M-21.07M-13.11M-4.11M-25.26M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-19.75M-19.33M-13.77M-4.53M-29.37M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
17.40M12.65M29.30M20.75M21.78M
Total Assets
49.31M43.75M62.71M47.55M43.05M
Total Debt
2.48M3.36M3.81M1.80M2.83M
Net Debt
-3.23M-4.90M-22.98M-18.94M-18.95M
Total Liabilities
19.80M19.76M23.38M19.25M14.45M
Stockholders Equity
29.51M24.16M39.50M28.44M28.61M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-16.21M-18.52M-11.78M-4.96M-21.20M
Operating Cash Flow
-15.26M-17.69M-10.75M-4.42M-21.03M
Investing Cash Flow
-8.14M-3.31M53.67K11.80M4.74M
Financing Cash Flow
21.34M2.66M20.45M3.69M7.99M

Kopin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.35
Price Trends
50DMA
1.18
Positive
100DMA
1.33
Positive
200DMA
1.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
64.99
Neutral
STOCH
89.07
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KOPN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.02, above the 50-day MA of 1.18, and above the 200-day MA of 1.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.07 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KOPN.

Kopin Risk Analysis

Kopin disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kopin reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kopin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$170.46M21.6329.85%19.05%114.23%
60
Neutral
$10.94B10.58-7.08%2.98%7.52%-12.04%
55
Neutral
$220.19M-37.49%-11.64%37.97%
51
Neutral
$106.80M-30.42%-1.01%-72.93%
45
Neutral
$270.37M-134.07%-35.31%-2.18%
MEMEI
45
Neutral
$204.15M-11.90%8.38%-6.16%-59.41%
38
Underperform
$218.79M-166.23%24.61%-99.28%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KOPN
Kopin
1.35
0.45
50.00%
LPTH
Lightpath Technologies
2.49
1.05
72.92%
MEI
Methode Electronics
6.68
-5.15
-43.53%
MVIS
Microvision
1.10
-0.57
-34.13%
NEON
Neonode
13.12
10.85
477.97%
MPTI
M-tron Industries Inc
58.44
30.93
112.43%

Kopin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 17, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 60.71%|
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and strategic advancements, especially in defense product revenues and operational efficiencies. However, significant litigation costs and continued net losses tempered the overall positive outlook. The company is optimistic about future growth and successful execution of strategic initiatives.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Orders
Kopin Corporation reported an all-time record year for revenue and orders since the disposition of their HBT business, with a 25% year-over-year revenue growth in 2024 and a 71% increase in fourth quarter revenue compared to 2023.
Improved Financial Performance
Fourth quarter net loss was reduced to $1.9 million or $0.01 per share compared with a net loss of $6.5 million or $0.06 per share for the fourth quarter of 2023.
Significant Defense Product Revenue Increase
Defense product revenues increased by 100% year-over-year for the fourth quarter, contributing significantly to the overall revenue growth.
Strategic Initiatives and Partnerships
Kopin's 'One Kopin' strategy and fab-lite strategy have strengthened their supply chain and improved operational efficiency. They are also exploring strategic partnerships in high-growth markets.
New Contracts and Orders
In 2025, Kopin announced further contract wins, including a $14 million purchase order for thermal imaging assemblies and $4 million in orders for pilot helmet augmented reality systems.
Negative Updates
Litigation Costs Impact
The $46 million loss includes $24.8 million in reserves for Blue Radios litigation and associated legal costs in 2024.
Flat Funded R&D Revenue
Funded research and development revenue saw little to no growth, with a slight decrease of $60,000 compared to Q4 2023.
Continued Net Loss
The company ended 2024 with a net loss attributed to Kopin of $43.9 million or $0.33 per share. Excluding litigation accrual, the adjusted net loss attributed to Kopin would have been $19.1 million or $0.14 per share.
Company Guidance
During the Kopin Corporation Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Call, several key metrics and strategic initiatives were highlighted. Kopin reported an all-time record year in terms of revenue and orders, with a year-over-year revenue growth of 25% in 2024 and a 71% increase in fourth-quarter revenue compared to 2023. Despite a $46 million loss for the year, which included a $24.8 million reserve for litigation costs, the company achieved an adjusted loss per share of negative $0.09. Looking forward, Kopin is optimistic about 2025, projecting revenue between $52 million and $55 million. The company is advancing its "One Kopin" strategy, which includes reorganization efforts, automation in manufacturing, and a focus on expanding into European and Southeast Asian defense markets. Kopin is also developing a neural display architecture, projected to have significant applications in defense and consumer markets. Additionally, recent contract wins, including a $14 million purchase order for thermal imaging assemblies, reflect a strong order pipeline extending to 2030.

Kopin Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Kopin Updates Executive Compensation and Stock Options
Neutral
Jan 8, 2025

Kopin Corporation announced executive compensation updates, with CEO Michael Murray granted 408,634 restricted stock units and options to purchase common stock, alongside a salary increase to $508,850 for 2025. COO Paul Baker and another executive, Richard Sneider, received restricted stock units based on achieving performance milestones, with salaries set at $360,900 and $362,000, respectively, reflecting the company’s focus on aligning leadership incentives with its fiscal goals.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.