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Kopin Corp (KOPN)
NASDAQ:KOPN

Kopin (KOPN) AI Stock Analysis

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KO

Kopin

(NASDAQ:KOPN)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(2.04%Upside)
Kopin's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow, which are critical concerns. The technical analysis shows positive momentum, but the stock's high volatility could pose risks. While the earnings call provided a positive outlook with strategic contract wins, the valuation remains unattractive due to negative earnings. These factors combined suggest cautious optimism but highlight substantial risks requiring close monitoring.
Positive Factors
Market Position
Kopin's status as the only U.S.-owned microdisplay company after Samsung's acquisition of eMagin positions it advantageously when working with the U.S. government.
Order Momentum
The company has seen strong order momentum with recent wins, including a $14 million weapon sights order and a $4 million order for pilot helmets.
Revenue Performance
Kopin reported 1Q25 revenue of $10.5M — above the estimate of $9.3M — grew ~5.0% annually from $10.0M in 1Q24.
Negative Factors
Investor Concerns
Despite investor concerns, the solid results and guidance should allow investors to finally exhale, with shares already pricing in the potential worst-case scenario.
Legal Issues
There is an outstanding legal case, but the company feels confident in reducing damages and appealing any judgment.

Kopin (KOPN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kopin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKopin Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, invents, develops, manufactures, and sells microdisplays, subassemblies, head-mounted and hand-held systems, and related components for defense, enterprise, industrial, and consumer products in the United States, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, and internationally. It offers miniature active-matrix liquid crystal displays, liquid crystal on silicon displays/spatial light modulators, organic light emitting diode displays, application specific integrated circuits, backlights, and optical lenses; and headset systems. The company's products are used in soldier, avionic, armored vehicle and training, and simulation defense applications; industrial, public safety, and medical headsets; 3D optical inspection systems; and consumer augmented reality and virtual reality wearable headsets systems. Kopin Corporation was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Westborough, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyKopin makes money through the sale of its advanced display products and wearable technology solutions. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of microdisplays, optics, and modules that are integrated into AR and VR headsets and other wearable devices. Kopin collaborates with major technology companies and partners to supply its products for a variety of applications, from military and defense contracts to consumer electronics. Additionally, the company may generate revenue from licensing its technologies and intellectual property, as well as from designing and developing custom solutions for specific client needs.

Kopin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted several positive aspects, such as revenue growth, improved cost efficiency, and new contract wins, particularly in the defense sector. However, challenges such as flat product revenues, a net loss, and uncertainties due to geopolitical and trade issues were also noted. Overall, the highlights outweighed the lowlights, indicating a generally positive outlook for the company.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenues for Q1 2025 were $10.5 million, a 5% increase year-over-year from $10 million in Q1 2024.
Improved Cost Efficiency
Cost of product revenues decreased from $8.5 million (95% of net product revenues) in Q1 2024 to $7.6 million (83% of net product revenues) in Q1 2025, primarily due to improved manufacturing quality and less waste.
Reduced Legal Fees
SG&A expenses decreased from $7.2 million in Q1 2024 to $4.7 million in Q1 2025, primarily due to a $2.9 million decrease in legal fees.
New Contract Wins
In the first quarter of 2025, Kopin announced approximately $28 million of new contract wins and awards with a book-to-bill ratio better than 2.8:1.
Strong R&D Revenue Growth
Funded research and development revenues increased by 37% to $1.2 million from $900,000 in Q1 2024, driven by an increase in funding for U.S. defense programs.
Strategic Focus on Defense
Kopin is the sole source provider of micro displays for several Department of Defense programs and has a strategic focus on defense, with expected 2025 revenue between $52 million and $55 million.
Negative Updates
Flat Product Revenues
Product revenues for Q1 2025 were essentially flat at $9.2 million compared to $9 million in Q1 2024.
Net Loss
The net loss for Q1 2025 was $3.1 million or $0.02 per share, although this is a significant improvement compared to a net loss of $32.5 million or $0.27 per share in Q1 2024.
Geopolitical and Trade Uncertainties
Kopin experienced some challenges due to geopolitical trade issues and tariffs, impacting revenue guidance for the year.
Company Guidance
During Kopin Corporation's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating a strong pipeline of opportunities, projecting to reach at least $75 million in revenue by 2027, up from $50 million in 2024 and an expected $52 million to $55 million in 2025. Kopin emphasized its focus on defense sectors, driven by increased global defense budgets and the development of new technologies such as its neural display. They reported Q1 2025 revenues of $10.5 million, a 5% year-over-year increase, along with new contract wins totaling approximately $28 million, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio greater than 2.8:1. The company also highlighted efforts to enhance manufacturing efficiency through AI-assisted automation and strategic partnerships to capitalize on market opportunities, particularly in Europe and Asia.

Kopin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kopin faces significant financial hurdles, particularly in achieving profitability and positive cash flows. The income statement shows negative net income and EBIT, indicating operational challenges. The balance sheet is moderately stable with a strong cash position relative to debt, but liabilities growth poses future risks. The critical cash flow situation with negative operating and free cash flows highlights the need for strategic adjustments.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Kopin shows a concerning financial trajectory with negative net income and EBIT for the latest year, indicating ongoing operational challenges. Revenue growth is inconsistent, and profit margins are negative, highlighting difficulties in achieving profitability. The significant negative EBITDA suggests operational inefficiencies or high costs that are not covered by revenue.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial structure with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, indicating reliance on equity over debt financing. A strong cash position relative to debt provides a buffer, but consistent liabilities growth could pose future risks. The company maintains positive stockholders' equity, suggesting a stable capital base, though profitability challenges might strain this stability.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Kopin's cash flow situation is critical, with negative operating and free cash flows, indicating challenges in generating cash from core activities. The substantial negative free cash flow suggests an inability to cover capital expenditures without financing, posing a risk to financial sustainability. Positive financing cash flow indicates reliance on external funding, which may not be sustainable long-term.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
10.58B50.34M40.39M47.40M45.67M40.13M
Gross Profit
2.92B14.17M15.44M4.56M20.61M18.73M
EBIT
-3.92B-18.31M-17.18M-21.79M-13.78M-4.76M
EBITDA
-3.92B-43.07M-16.57M-21.07M-13.11M-4.11M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-3.12B-43.88M-19.75M-19.33M-13.77M-4.53M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
31.54B35.58M17.40M12.65M29.30M20.75M
Total Assets
65.04B70.77M49.31M43.75M62.71M47.55M
Total Debt
614.36M2.12M2.48M3.36M3.81M1.80M
Net Debt
-14.72B-12.04M-3.23M-4.90M-22.98M-18.94M
Total Liabilities
44.36B47.48M19.80M19.76M23.38M19.25M
Stockholders Equity
20.68B23.28B29.51M24.16M39.50M28.44M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-3.93B-15.04M-16.21M-18.52M-11.78M-4.96M
Operating Cash Flow
-3.43B-14.23M-15.26M-17.69M-10.75M-4.42M
Investing Cash Flow
4.57B-10.29M-8.14M-3.31M53.67K11.80M
Financing Cash Flow
26.27M33.52M21.34M2.66M20.45M3.69M

Kopin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.47
Price Trends
50DMA
1.20
Positive
100DMA
1.35
Positive
200DMA
1.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
59.61
Neutral
STOCH
86.62
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KOPN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.40, above the 50-day MA of 1.20, and above the 200-day MA of 1.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.62 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KOPN.

Kopin Risk Analysis

Kopin disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kopin reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
We may not comply with the Nasdaq continued listing requirements. If we are unable to comply with the continued listing requirements of the Nasdaq Capital Market, our Common Stock could be delisted, which could affect our common stock's market price and liquidity and reduce our ability to raise capital. Q3, 2024
2.
Ongoing litigation may result in substantial financial and operational impacts. Q3, 2024

Kopin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$130.58M17.0928.36%19.05%114.23%
62
Neutral
$11.80B10.37-7.10%2.91%7.41%-7.94%
54
Neutral
$128.27M-24.86%2.59%-48.02%
MEMEI
51
Neutral
$285.53M-11.90%6.84%-6.16%-59.41%
51
Neutral
$172.19M-40.61%-18.53%46.30%
50
Neutral
$284.16M-135.21%-41.76%5.56%
50
Neutral
$240.94M-112.75%28.16%74.88%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KOPN
Kopin
1.47
0.70
90.91%
LPTH
Lightpath Technologies
2.99
1.79
149.17%
MEI
Methode Electronics
8.19
-1.60
-16.34%
MVIS
Microvision
1.14
0.05
4.59%
NEON
Neonode
10.26
7.80
317.07%
MPTI
M-tron Industries Inc
46.64
10.74
29.92%

Kopin Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kopin CFO Rich Sneider Announces Retirement
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Kopin Corporation announced the upcoming retirement of its Chief Financial Officer, Rich Sneider, who has been with the company for 25 years. The company has initiated a search for his successor, considering both internal and external candidates. Sneider will continue in his current role until a replacement is found and will assist in the transition. This change marks a significant moment in Kopin’s ongoing evolution, as Sneider has been instrumental in transforming the company from a technology-focused entity to one that commercializes application-specific optical solutions across various industries.

The most recent analyst rating on (KOPN) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kopin stock, see the KOPN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.