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Microvision
(NASDAQ:MVIS)
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Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$0.40
▼(-57.58% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/02/26
MVIS scores low primarily due to very weak financial performance (minimal revenue scale, deeply negative margins, and sustained cash burn with rising leverage). Technicals also lean negative with the stock still below key moving averages and MACD negative. Partially offsetting these factors, the earnings call reflected improving operational traction and stronger gross-margin guidance, but execution and funding risks remain substantial, reinforced by the listing-compliance corporate event.
Positive Factors
Gross margin improvement & guidance
Sustained gross margin expansion to ~39% and a 35–40% FY guide indicates improved product mix, integration synergies and manufacturing cost control. Higher structural margins reduce required revenue to reach breakeven, lowering future cash burn per dollar of sales if volume scales as planned.
Negative Factors
Sustained high cash burn
Multi-year negative operating and free cash flow at this magnitude materially increases dependence on capital markets or debt to fund operations. Persistent burn depletes flexibility, raises dilution or refinancing risk, and constrains investments needed to scale manufacturing and commercial execution over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Gross margin improvement & guidance
Sustained gross margin expansion to ~39% and a 35–40% FY guide indicates improved product mix, integration synergies and manufacturing cost control. Higher structural margins reduce required revenue to reach breakeven, lowering future cash burn per dollar of sales if volume scales as planned.
Read all positive factors
Microvision (MVIS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$129.52M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)6.06M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.58
Revenue Growth-64.10%
EPS Growth31.45%
CountryUS
Employees185
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustryHardware, Equipment & Parts
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.31
Shares Outstanding344,645,970
10 Day Avg. Volume6,934,493
30 Day Avg. Volume6,059,553
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.10
Price to Book (P/B)4.07
Price to Sales (P/S)187.24
P/FCF Ratio-3.81
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.05
Enterprise Value/Revenue87.31
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit-6.53
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-1.79
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.2
Revenue Forecast (FY)$9.60M
Microvision Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
MicroVision, Inc. specializes in advanced sensing solutions, primarily developing lidar sensors crucial for automotive safety and the advancement of autonomous driving systems. These lidar units leverage a sophisticated laser beam scanning (LBS) t...
How the Company Makes Money
MicroVision primarily aims to generate revenue by selling lidar products and associated perception software to automotive customers, typically through development-to-production arrangements where a customer engages the company for evaluation, inte...
Microvision Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed meaningful operational progress: completed strategic acquisitions, rapid integration, an expanded product portfolio and demonstrable commercial activity that produced early revenue growth and a large improvement in gross margin (39% in Q1 vs 7% prior year). Management improved cash‑burn guidance and outlined product and commercial milestones (MOVIA S production launch, Tri‑Lidar demos, Avular drone collaboration) and a larger pipeline (~100+ prospects). However, near-term revenue is still small ($0.9M) and driven largely by acquired Luminar inventory (75% of Q1 sales), cash burn remains sizeable (~$16.6M in Q1 and ~ $60M guide for FY), and substantial execution risks remain (high-volume manufacturing decisions, automotive cost pressures, NRE conversion risks and potential future capital raises/dilution). Overall, progress is encouraging but financial scale and sustainability are not yet established.Positive Updates
Acquisitions and Rapid Integration
Closed Scantinel (Jan) and Luminar assets (Feb); integrated teams, product roadmaps and operations into one MicroVision organization; consolidated engineering and manufacturing functions (Orlando) and reported early synergy realization that improved annual cash burn guidance.
Negative Updates
Very Small Absolute Revenue Base
Despite 50% YoY growth, Q1 revenue remains only $0.9M; full-year guidance of $10M–$15M implies most revenue is expected in H2 and the company must materially scale sales to meet guidance.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Acquisitions and Rapid Integration
Closed Scantinel (Jan) and Luminar assets (Feb); integrated teams, product roadmaps and operations into one MicroVision organization; consolidated engineering and manufacturing functions (Orlando) and reported early synergy realization that improved annual cash burn guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
MicroVision reiterated full‑year 2026 revenue guidance of $10–$15 million (with most revenue expected in H2), raised gross‑margin guidance to 35–40% (from a prior “positive” target) after reporting Q1 revenue of $0.9 million (up $0.3M, 50% YoY) and Q1 gross margin of 39% (vs. 7% in Q1 2025); 75% of Q1 revenue was from Luminar‑acquired sensors. The company improved its cash‑burn guidance to approximately $60 million of cash used in operations plus CapEx for 2026 (previously $65–70M), after Q1 cash use of $16.6M (up $2.4M YoY), and ended Q1 with $46.1M in cash, cash equivalents and investment securities plus $42M available under its ATM; it also closed a $43M financing in February (partly used to repay $19.5M of prior notes) and retains flexibility to repay the new notes in cash or stock.Microvision Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
16
Very Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.55M | 1.21M | 4.70M | 7.26M | 664.00K | 2.50M |
| Gross Profit | -20.78M | -17.34M | -2.83M | 4.49M | 564.00K | 2.50M |
| EBITDA | -75.79M | -70.71M | -70.98M | -83.07M | -52.28M | -42.25M |
| Net Income | -91.50M | -94.98M | -96.92M | -82.84M | -53.09M | -43.20M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 110.20M | 103.12M | 121.16M | 129.63M | 115.00M | 130.22M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 46.12M | 74.83M | 74.70M | 73.78M | 82.71M | 115.37M |
| Total Debt | 53.42M | 36.77M | 51.64M | 15.04M | 15.70M | 6.27M |
| Total Liabilities | 70.66M | 47.57M | 72.39M | 33.83M | 25.25M | 17.47M |
| Stockholders Equity | 39.54M | 55.55M | 48.77M | 95.80M | 89.74M | 112.75M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -60.70M | -59.40M | -68.91M | -69.03M | -42.38M | -31.90M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -59.98M | -58.72M | -68.54M | -67.09M | -38.02M | -29.40M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -18.53M | -24.65M | 2.67M | 21.82M | -38.07M | -35.32M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 72.62M | 60.87M | 72.89M | 72.44M | 14.31M | 131.16M |
Microvision Technical Analysis
Neutral
0.95
Price Trends
0.52
Negative
0.60
Negative
0.82
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.05
Negative
45.82
Neutral
75.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MVIS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.36, above the 50-day MA of 0.52, and above the 200-day MA of 0.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MVIS.
Microvision Risk Analysis
Microvision disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Microvision reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Microvision Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
64 Neutral | $914.21M | -29.31 | -41.18% | ― | 86.66% | -97.48% | |
62 Neutral | $238.41M | 61.66 | 2.37% | 2.25% | 4.82% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
59 Neutral | $1.62B | 270.54 | 1.77% | ― | 7.51% | 93.82% | |
58 Neutral | $542.72M | -15.17 | -9.42% | 5.93% | -2.76% | 42.91% | |
48 Neutral | $722.68M | 448.28 | 4.31% | ― | -22.63% | ― | |
44 Neutral | $129.52M | -1.23 | -139.20% | ― | -64.10% | 31.45% |
* Technology Sector Average
MVIS
Microvision
0.38
-0.76
-67.11%
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16.61
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121.59
92.01
311.05%
Microvision Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
MicroVision Seeks Nasdaq Capital Market Transfer to Preserve Listing
Negative
Jun 12, 2026
On June 12, 2026, MicroVision applied to transfer its stock listing from the Nasdaq Global Market to the Nasdaq Capital Market to seek an additional 180 days to regain compliance with Nasdaq’s $1.00 minimum bid price requirement. The move is...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder MeetingsStock Split
MicroVision Seeks Shareholder Approval for Reverse Stock Split
Neutral
Jun 1, 2026
On June 1, 2026, MicroVision, Inc. said it has filed a preliminary proxy statement ahead of its 2026 virtual annual meeting, set for July 10, 2026, where shareholders will vote on proposals including an amendment allowing the board to execute a re...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.