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Nextdoor Holdings (KIND)
NYSE:KIND
US Market

Nextdoor Holdings (KIND) AI Stock Analysis

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KI

Nextdoor Holdings

(NYSE:KIND)

46Neutral
Nextdoor Holdings shows potential with revenue and user growth, but faces significant profitability challenges. The strong balance sheet provides a cushion, yet cash flow issues highlight the need for operational improvements. The stock's bearish technical indicators and negative valuation metrics weigh on its attractiveness. Despite positive milestones in the earnings call, short-term headwinds remain a concern, keeping the overall score moderate.
Positive Factors
Advertising Performance
KIND's advertising initiatives led to a 17% year-over-year revenue growth, supported by ad product improvements like search history retargeting and click optimization.
Financial Performance
KIND's top-line strength and expense discipline contributed to a $6 million EBITDA beat.
Negative Factors
Product Development
Product-related progress is not expected to show meaningful signs until mid-2025.

Nextdoor Holdings (KIND) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Nextdoor Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNextdoor Holdings, Inc. operates as the neighborhood network that connects neighbors, businesses, and public services in the United States and internationally. It enables small and mid-sized businesses, large brands, public agencies, and nonprofits to receive information, give and get help, and build connections. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyNextdoor's revenue model primarily revolves around advertising. The company generates income by offering local businesses and national advertisers targeted advertising opportunities on its platform. Through its hyper-local focus, Nextdoor provides advertisers with the ability to reach specific neighborhoods and engage with users in a more personalized and community-centric manner. Additionally, Nextdoor partners with public agencies and organizations to facilitate community engagement and communication, contributing to its revenue streams.

Nextdoor Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nextdoor Holdings demonstrates revenue growth but faces profitability challenges with negative net profit margins and operating losses. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage, but cash flow remains negative, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Nextdoor Holdings shows a consistent increase in revenue over the years, with a positive revenue growth rate in recent years. However, the company has been operating at a loss, as evidenced by the negative net profit margin and EBIT margin. The gross profit margin remains healthy, indicating efficient direct cost management, but the overall profitability is hampered by high operating costs.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a high equity ratio, suggesting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low, indicating low leverage and risk. However, the company has not been able to generate positive returns on equity due to persistent losses, highlighting a need for enhanced profitability to improve shareholder value.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Nextdoor Holdings has improved its free cash flow over the last year, though it remains negative. The cash flow from operations is also negative, indicating challenges in generating cash from core operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains unfavorable, showing the need for better operational cash management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
247.28M218.31M212.76M192.20M123.28M
Gross Profit
205.43M176.70M173.78M163.38M101.70M
EBIT
-121.64M-172.28M-144.20M-94.81M-76.65M
EBITDA
-121.64M-166.51M-138.55M-90.63M-73.59M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-98.06M-147.76M-137.92M-95.33M-75.23M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
426.98M531.10M583.30M715.81M136.98M
Total Assets
513.95M654.56M699.56M840.09M217.75M
Total Debt
40.75M66.59M61.60M68.73M39.60M
Net Debt
-4.80M6.35M6.36M-453.08M-44.04M
Total Liabilities
60.47M96.01M88.49M95.10M515.60M
Stockholders Equity
453.49M558.56M611.07M744.99M-297.86M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-20.61M-59.54M-63.66M-60.11M-46.63M
Operating Cash Flow
-20.20M-59.27M-60.50M-51.27M-41.60M
Investing Cash Flow
86.43M66.49M-342.45M-149.52M36.79M
Financing Cash Flow
-81.03M8.92M-64.35M637.58M6.37M

Nextdoor Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1.65
Negative
100DMA
2.09
Negative
200DMA
2.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
45.09
Neutral
STOCH
66.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KIND, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.48, below the 50-day MA of 1.65, and below the 200-day MA of 2.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for KIND.

Nextdoor Holdings Risk Analysis

Nextdoor Holdings disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nextdoor Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nextdoor Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.56B23.709.18%4.46%26.71%-23.67%
80
Outperform
$965.74M30.2529.75%73.72%
76
Outperform
$2.27B18.3917.79%5.61%37.61%
65
Neutral
$818.57M20.786.07%2.48%103.37%
59
Neutral
$13.78B7.66-2.74%3.86%2.20%-37.62%
57
Neutral
$570.92M-5.28%-7.89%-192.35%
46
Neutral
$575.13M-19.38%13.27%34.93%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KIND
Nextdoor Holdings
1.50
-0.70
-31.82%
YELP
Yelp
35.03
-5.45
-13.46%
EVER
EverQuote
26.34
4.98
23.31%
OPRA
Opera
17.40
4.33
33.13%
GETY
Getty Images Holdings
1.96
-2.06
-51.24%
TTGT
TechTarget, Inc.
8.17
-16.30
-66.61%

Nextdoor Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 27, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -39.76%|
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Nextdoor demonstrated strong financial performance in Q4 2024, achieving positive adjusted EBITDA and operating cash flow for the first time, alongside significant revenue and user growth. However, the company anticipates short-term challenges in revenue growth and ad impressions due to strategic shifts towards launching NEXT. The long-term outlook remains positive as the company focuses on delivering a transformed user experience.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Adjusted EBITDA and Operating Cash Flow
For the first time, Nextdoor achieved positive adjusted EBITDA and operating cash flow, an important milestone, with Q4 adjusted EBITDA at $3 million and operating cash flow at $11 million.
Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 17% year-over-year to $65 million in Q4, driven by self-serve advertisers and improved revenue retention.
User Growth
Weekly active users increased by 10% year-over-year, reaching 45.9 million, with significant growth among users aged 18 to 34.
Strategic Product Development with NEXT
The launch of NEXT is on track for mid-2025, focusing on richer local content, timely local alerts, and community-powered recommendations.
Strong Balance Sheet
Ended the year with $427 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, and no debt.
Negative Updates
Short-term Impact on Revenue Growth
Expected revenue growth to be approximately flat in the first half of 2025 due to reductions in ad impression supply and reduced spending from large advertisers shifting budgets towards programmatic ad buying.
Temporary Decline in Ad Impressions
Ad impressions expected to decline in the near term due to strategic testing and the transition to the NEXT initiative.
Shift in Large Advertisers' Spending
Observed reduced spending among certain large advertisers, partly due to a shift towards programmatic ad buying.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Nextdoor provided detailed guidance for its fiscal year 2025. The company reported a 10% year-over-year increase in weekly active users, totaling 45.9 million, and a 17% rise in revenue, reaching $65 million for Q4 2024. Notably, Nextdoor achieved positive adjusted EBITDA and operating cash flow for the first time. For Q1 2025, the company anticipates revenue of approximately $53 million and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $13 million, due to strategic decisions to prioritize long-term growth over short-term gains. These decisions include the rollout of the reimagined user experience, NEXT, expected to launch by mid-2025, which may temporarily impact ad impressions and user engagement metrics. Nextdoor's focus on organic user growth, improved ad server performance, and new partnerships is aimed at reinforcing its role as a key local resource, despite anticipated short-term challenges.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.