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Kolibri Global Energy
(NASDAQ:KGEI)
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Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(27.55% Upside)
Action:N/A
Date:06/17/26
The score is driven primarily by decent underlying fundamentals (strong profitability and low leverage) tempered by recurring negative free cash flow and a weakening/volatile revenue trend. Technical signals are currently bearish and weigh on the rating, while valuation is reasonable and the latest earnings call was constructive on growth and balance-sheet actions but still carries cost and execution/commodity-risk considerations.
Positive Factors
Profitability & Margins
Sustained strong gross and operating margins and operating cash flow support earnings quality and resilience across commodity cycles. Durable margin structure enhances ability to fund capex, service debt and pursue buybacks or selective drilling even if prices fluctuate moderately.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow Pattern
Recurring negative free cash flow after capex reduces internal funding for growth and returns, increasing reliance on external financing or asset sales. Over multiple quarters this impairs balance-sheet optionality and raises sensitivity to sustained lower commodity prices or execution delays.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability & Margins
Sustained strong gross and operating margins and operating cash flow support earnings quality and resilience across commodity cycles. Durable margin structure enhances ability to fund capex, service debt and pursue buybacks or selective drilling even if prices fluctuate moderately.
Read all positive factors
Kolibri Global Energy (KGEI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$180.65M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)110.14K
Price to Earnings (P/E)13.2
Beta (1Y)0.24
Revenue Growth-1.02%
EPS Growth-32.82%
CountryUS
Employees8
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.39
Shares Outstanding35,630,863
10 Day Avg. Volume90,290
30 Day Avg. Volume110,142
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.65
Price to Book (P/B)0.69
Price to Sales (P/S)2.41
P/FCF Ratio-6.45
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.88
Revenue Forecast (FY)$88.00M
Kolibri Global Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Headquartered in Thousand Oaks, California, Kolibri Global Energy Inc. is a U.S.-based company founded in 2008. The firm actively participates in the entire lifecycle—from discovery and development to extraction and commercialization—of crude oil,...
How the Company Makes Money
KGEI primarily makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons (crude oil and natural gas). Revenue is generated when oil and natural gas volumes produced from its wells are sold to third-party purchasers at prevailing market prices (often bench...
Kolibri Global Energy Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a largely positive operational and financial picture: record production, revenue and adjusted EBITDA, meaningful production growth and an increased credit facility combined with active debt reduction and higher working interests in new wells. Offsetting items included a drop in net income driven by a $2.9M noncash unrealized loss, a 13% rise in operating expense per BOE driven by several one‑time/front‑loaded costs, and remaining unhedged production exposure. Management expects some OpEx normalization and continues to execute a growth plan (three-well program, share buybacks, additional debt paydowns) supported by stronger oil prices and hedging coverage.Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Production, Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA
First quarter 2026 delivered company-record results: average production 4,685 BOE/day, net revenue $19.6M (up 20% YoY from $16.4M), and adjusted EBITDA $14.8M (up 16% YoY from $12.8M).
Negative Updates
Net Income Decline Due to Large Noncash Unrealized Loss
Net income fell to $4.0M ($0.11 per basic share) from $5.8M ($0.16) in the prior-year quarter. The decrease was driven primarily by a $2.9M noncash mark-to-market unrealized loss on commodity contracts caused by the March oil-price increase.
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Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Quarterly Production, Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA
First quarter 2026 delivered company-record results: average production 4,685 BOE/day, net revenue $19.6M (up 20% YoY from $16.4M), and adjusted EBITDA $14.8M (up 16% YoY from $12.8M).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided toward continued production growth driven by its three‑well Clifton Mack program (drilling underway, wells expected online in Q3; ~20 days per well and ~3 months start‑to‑finish) while prioritizing capital allocation choices between drilling, buybacks and debt reduction; Q1 metrics underpinning that guidance included average production 4,685 BOE/d (up 15% YoY, vs 4,493 BOE/d in Q4‑2025), net revenue $19.6M (+20% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $14.8M (+16% YoY), net income $4.0M ($0.11/sh), operating expense $8.00/BOE (vs $7.07/BOE prior year), netback from operations $38.41/BOE (netback incl. contracts $37.72/BOE), average oil ~$70.31/bbl, a $2.9M non‑cash unrealized loss on commodity contracts, and a 35% 3‑year CAGR in production; balance sheet moves include credit capacity redetermined to $75M (from $65M), net debt $45M (down from $46M) with a $4M post‑quarter paydown and a planned additional $4M in May, working interest in the new wells increased to ~88% (from ~67%), hedges were in place by March 31 covering ~50% of projected production (more collars than swaps plus deferred puts), and management quantified that about every $5/bbl of price improvement adds roughly $2.8M to EBITDA (net of hedges).Kolibri Global Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2024 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 63.52M | 57.85M | 74.59M | 64.39M | 48.38M | 19.13M |
| Gross Profit | 37.04M | 31.00M | 34.40M | 29.69M | 25.07M | 8.42M |
| EBITDA | 39.66M | 41.64M | 43.34M | 40.01M | 25.30M | 75.50M |
| Net Income | 13.79M | 15.75M | 18.11M | 19.28M | 16.64M | 71.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 294.31M | 293.41M | 248.76M | 224.36M | 184.08M | 157.02M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.69M | 2.79M | 5.03M | 598.00K | 1.04M | 7.32M |
| Total Debt | 49.51M | 50.45M | 33.99M | 31.90M | 17.85M | 16.91M |
| Total Liabilities | 85.05M | 89.90M | 59.95M | 53.94M | 33.88M | 23.93M |
| Stockholders Equity | 209.25M | 203.50M | 188.81M | 170.41M | 150.20M | 133.09M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -14.49M | -21.62M | 7.64M | -14.53M | -15.05M | 5.61M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 40.37M | 42.12M | 38.89M | 38.65M | 22.04M | 6.30M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -58.96M | -56.15M | -36.21M | -49.87M | -29.24M | -2.88M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 16.40M | 12.49M | 1.04M | 10.79M | 922.00K | 2.98M |
Kolibri Global Energy Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
82 Outperform | C$245.41M | 9.23 | 33.26% | 8.04% | -9.76% | -21.70% | |
78 Outperform | C$332.19M | 9.56 | 25.87% | 8.44% | 27.04% | 39.61% | |
68 Neutral | C$85.44M | 3.22 | 18.65% | 2.08% | -21.51% | ― | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
60 Neutral | $180.65M | 13.16 | 6.79% | ― | -1.02% | -32.82% | |
56 Neutral | C$195.49M | -8.17 | -4.63% | ― | -11.05% | -1520.04% | |
42 Neutral | C$190.55M | -10.63 | -24.85% | ― | ― | -27.99% |
* Energy Sector Average
KGEI
Kolibri Global Energy
5.07
-1.01
-16.61%
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Kolibri Global Energy Corporate Events
Kolibri Global Energy Posts Higher Q1 2026 Revenue but Lower Profit Amid Hedging Losses
May 14, 2026
Kolibri Global Energy Inc. reported unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, showing total assets of $294.3 million, relatively flat versus year-end 2025, with property, plant and equipment r...
Kolibri Global Energy Secures Higher $75 Million Credit Line Ahead of Q1 2026 Results
May 11, 2026
Kolibri Global Energy Inc., a North American oil and gas producer with operating properties in the United States, concentrates on exploiting energy projects using its technical expertise and maintains a dual listing on the TSX and Nasdaq. The comp...
Kolibri Global Energy Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Stock Option Plan at May 4 AGM
May 5, 2026
At its annual general meeting held on May 4, 2026, in Marina del Rey, California, Kolibri Global Energy shareholders approved setting the board size at five directors and re‑elected all incumbent nominees with strong majorities, generally ab...
Kolibri Global Energy Lifts 2026 Outlook as It Accelerates Drilling in Oklahoma
Apr 13, 2026
Kolibri Global Energy Inc., a North American oil and gas producer with U.S. operations, is concentrating on expanding its hydrocarbon portfolio through technically driven project selection and development. Listed in Toronto and on Nasdaq, the comp...
Kolibri Global Energy Sets May 4, 2026 AGM and Files Form 6-K Meeting Materials
Apr 13, 2026
Kolibri Global Energy Inc., an oil and gas producer headquartered in Thousand Oaks, California, has called its 2026 annual general meeting of shareholders for May 4, 2026, at the Ritz-Carlton Marina del Rey. The company has filed a Form 6-K for Ap...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.