OPENLANE (KAR)
NYSE:KAR
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OPENLANE (KAR) AI Stock Analysis

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KAR

OPENLANE

(NYSE:KAR)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(10.41% Upside)
OPENLANE's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including increased revenue and EBITDA guidance. However, technical indicators point to bearish momentum, and the valuation appears high, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue and EBITDA growth indicate strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Market Position
The increase in dealer-to-dealer volumes suggests a strengthening market position, enhancing competitive advantage and brand preference.
Customer Base Expansion
Expanding the customer base with new dealers boosts market penetration and potential revenue streams, supporting sustainable growth.
Negative Factors
SG&A Expenses
Rising SG&A expenses could pressure margins and profitability if not managed, potentially impacting long-term financial performance.
Free Cash Flow Decline
A decline in free cash flow growth can limit reinvestment capabilities and financial flexibility, affecting future expansion and resilience.
Commercial Vehicle Volume Decline
Declining commercial vehicle volumes may signal challenges in specific market segments, potentially affecting revenue diversification.

OPENLANE (KAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

OPENLANE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOPENLANE (KAR) is a leading digital automotive marketplace that specializes in facilitating the buying and selling of used vehicles. Operating primarily in the automotive technology sector, OPENLANE provides innovative solutions that connect dealers and consumers, simplifying the vehicle transaction process. The company offers a range of services including vehicle auctions, inventory management, and online sales platforms, catering to both dealerships and individual sellers.
How the Company Makes MoneyOPENLANE generates revenue through several key streams, primarily by charging fees for its auction services where dealers bid on and purchase vehicles. The company earns a commission on each successful sale, which forms a significant portion of its income. Additionally, OPENLANE monetizes its platform by offering subscription services for dealerships that provide enhanced features and tools for inventory management and sales analytics. Partnerships with automotive manufacturers and finance companies also contribute to its revenue, as they may provide financing options or promotional incentives that drive more transactions through the platform.

OPENLANE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
OPENLANE demonstrated strong performance with significant growth in revenue, dealer-to-dealer volumes, and adjusted EBITDA, alongside strategic customer base expansion and technology advancements. However, challenges such as a decline in commercial vehicle volumes and increased SG&A expenses were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Profitability Growth
OPENLANE reported an 8% increase in revenue and a 17% growth in adjusted EBITDA, reaching $87 million. The adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 130 basis points to 17%.
Dealer-to-Dealer Volume Growth
Dealer-to-dealer volumes increased by 14% year-over-year, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.
Marketplace Segment Performance
The Marketplace segment reported a 20% increase in auction fee revenue and a 22% increase in adjusted EBITDA. Gross merchandise value processed was $7.3 billion, representing a 9% increase.
Finance Segment Growth
The Finance segment grew loan transaction units and average managed receivables, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 12% year-over-year.
Increase in 2025 Guidance
OPENLANE raised its full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $328 million to $333 million, up from the previous guidance of $310 million to $320 million.
Customer Base Expansion
OPENLANE expanded its customer base, enrolling thousands of new dealers and achieving record customer engagement with double-digit increases in unique buyer and seller activity.
Negative Updates
Commercial Vehicle Volume Decline
As expected, Q3 commercial volumes declined year-over-year, though the rate of decline was less than in Q2.
SG&A Increase
Consolidated SG&A for the quarter was $111 million, up 14% year-over-year, due to higher incentives related to 2025 performance and targeted investments.
Lower Free Cash Flow Conversion
Consolidated adjusted free cash flow for the quarter was $5 million, representing a conversion rate of 5%. The rolling 12-month conversion rate was 61%, lower than the expected 75%.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, OPENLANE, Inc. reported an 8% increase in consolidated revenue, reaching $498 million. The company achieved a 17% growth in adjusted EBITDA, amounting to $87 million, with a 130 basis point expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin to 17%. The Marketplace segment saw a 14% year-over-year increase in dealer-to-dealer volumes, a 20% rise in auction fee revenue, and a 22% growth in Marketplace adjusted EBITDA. The Finance segment experienced a 12% growth in adjusted EBITDA, fueled by an 11% increase in average managed receivables and maintained a loan loss rate of 1.6%. OPENLANE's gross merchandise value rose to $7.3 billion, and the company increased its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $328 million to $333 million. The company's strategy focuses on enhancing its digital marketplace, leveraging AI innovations, and expanding its customer base to drive long-term growth and profitability.

OPENLANE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
OPENLANE demonstrates strong financial performance with solid revenue growth and profitability metrics. The balance sheet reflects low leverage and effective equity utilization, though there is a slight decline in equity ratio. Cash flow generation presents challenges, with a notable decline in free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
OPENLANE shows a solid revenue growth rate of 2.66% TTM, indicating positive sales momentum. The gross profit margin of 39.91% TTM is healthy, though it has decreased from previous periods. The net profit margin of 8.82% TTM reflects improved profitability, supported by a strong EBIT margin of 8.94% TTM. However, the EBITDA margin has slightly decreased to 13.67% TTM, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05 TTM indicates low leverage, which is a positive sign of financial stability. The return on equity (ROE) of 12.27% TTM is strong, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 42.34% TTM suggests a balanced capital structure, though it has decreased from previous years, indicating a potential increase in liabilities relative to assets.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The free cash flow growth rate has declined by 18.10% TTM, which is a concern for cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.11 TTM and the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.82 TTM indicate that the company is generating sufficient cash relative to its net income, though there is room for improvement in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.93B1.79B1.65B1.53B1.45B1.33B
Gross Profit748.40M708.70M777.50M615.90M658.10M582.60M
EBITDA266.60M274.90M110.80M179.00M249.90M172.50M
Net Income170.50M109.90M-154.10M241.20M66.50M500.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.82B4.62B4.73B5.12B7.45B6.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments146.40M143.00M93.50M225.70M177.60M752.10M
Total Debt1.89B282.90M427.40M573.70M1.95B2.22B
Total Liabilities2.78B3.28B3.40B3.60B5.94B5.18B
Stockholders Equity2.04B1.34B1.33B1.52B1.51B1.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow244.00M238.40M183.40M-473.40M304.70M283.00M
Operating Cash Flow298.70M291.40M235.40M-412.50M413.20M384.40M
Investing Cash Flow-276.80M-70.90M-83.50M2.14B-1.22B-326.60M
Financing Cash Flow-29.10M-173.90M-279.90M-1.61B210.40M194.80M

OPENLANE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price25.36
Price Trends
50DMA
27.11
Negative
100DMA
26.94
Negative
200DMA
23.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.50
Negative
RSI
39.80
Neutral
STOCH
36.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KAR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.97, below the 50-day MA of 27.11, and above the 200-day MA of 23.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KAR.

OPENLANE Risk Analysis

OPENLANE disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. OPENLANE reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

OPENLANE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$643.33M17.056.11%0.20%-20.57%
66
Neutral
$2.73B28.716.99%12.29%347.02%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
$297.09M-31.61%348.38%-1822.72%
45
Neutral
$1.08B-16.33%23.40%8.46%
42
Neutral
$564.90M-13.84
41
Neutral
$118.39M-0.63-52.02%-81.31%87.13%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KAR
OPENLANE
25.36
5.70
28.99%
CARS
Cars
11.34
-6.97
-38.07%
UXIN
Uxin
2.78
-2.90
-51.06%
CANG
Cango
1.54
-2.60
-62.80%
ACVA
ACV Auctions
6.54
-14.83
-69.40%
VRM
Vroom, Inc.
19.33
-5.31
-21.55%

OPENLANE Corporate Events

OPENLANE Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 6, 2025

OPENLANE, Inc., a leading digital marketplace for used vehicles, connects automotive manufacturers, dealers, and other industry players to facilitate efficient and transparent transactions. In its third quarter of 2025, OPENLANE reported significant financial growth, with a 14% year-over-year increase in marketplace dealer volume and a 9% rise in Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) to approximately $7.3 billion. The company’s revenue reached $498 million, marking an 8% increase driven by a 20% growth in auction fee revenue, while income from continuing operations surged by 69% to $48 million.

OPENLANE’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

OPENLANE’s recent earnings call showcased a robust performance with notable growth in revenue, dealer-to-dealer volumes, and adjusted EBITDA. The company also highlighted strategic advancements in its customer base and technology. However, challenges such as a decline in commercial vehicle volumes and increased SG&A expenses were acknowledged.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
OPENLANE Completes Major Stock Repurchase
Positive
Oct 8, 2025

On October 8, 2025, OPENLANE, Inc. announced the completion of its repurchase of 53% of its Series A Convertible Preferred Stock. This was financed by amending its existing Credit Agreement with an additional $550 million in secured term loans. The financing was oversubscribed, allowing the company to secure favorable terms, which underscores the strong market demand and confidence in OPENLANE’s asset-light digital marketplace model. The move is part of OPENLANE’s strategy to enhance long-term shareholder value and positions the company for continued growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (KAR) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OPENLANE stock, see the KAR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
OPENLANE Announces Major Stock Repurchase Agreement
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

On September 9, 2025, OPENLANE, Inc. announced definitive agreements to repurchase 53% of its Series A Convertible Preferred Stock, initially issued in June 2020, for approximately $559 million. This strategic move will significantly reduce the preferred shares held by Apax Partners and Periphas Capital, enhancing OPENLANE’s market position and attractiveness to investors by leveraging its asset-light, digital operating model. The transactions are expected to close between September 30 and October 20, 2025, marking a pivotal step in OPENLANE’s growth and transformation journey.

The most recent analyst rating on (KAR) stock is a Buy with a $32.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OPENLANE stock, see the KAR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025