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OPENLANE (KAR)
NYSE:KAR
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OPENLANE (KAR) AI Stock Analysis

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KAR

OPENLANE

(NYSE:KAR)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(9.97% Upside)
Kar Auction Services demonstrates strong financial recovery and positive earnings call sentiment, which are the most significant factors driving the score. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, though caution is advised due to overbought conditions. The high P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield are notable valuation concerns. Corporate events provide additional strategic support.
Positive Factors
Business Model and Strategy
OPENLANE’s dealer business is growing by offering a better, faster, higher value solution at a lower cost representing a highly scalable, competitively differentiated business model.
Financial Performance
Volume growth and expense control led to a 30.8% increase in Marketplace adjusted EBITDA to $30.9 million, driven by a 20.14% increase in Marketplace gross profit to $103.2 million.
Market Share Expansion
OPENLANE's year-over-year dealer volumes grew at nearly double the rate of the broader industry, indicating significant market share gains.
Negative Factors
Industry Outlook
The 2H implied EBITDA guidance was slightly softer than expected, reflecting a more cautious outlook on wholesale industry volumes.
Revenue Decline
Finance segment revenue decreased 4.67% to $106.2 million including a decrease of 13.35% in interest revenue.

OPENLANE (KAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

OPENLANE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOPENLANE, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a digital marketplace for used vehicles, which connects sellers and buyers in the United States, Canada, Continental Europe and the United Kingdom. The company operates through two segments, Marketplace and Finance. The Marketplace segment offers digital marketplace services for buying and selling used vehicles; and value-added ancillary services, including inbound and outbound transportation logistics, reconditioning, vehicle inspection and certification, titling, administrative, and collateral recovery services. Its digital marketplaces include OPENLANE platform, a mobile app enabled solutions that allows dealers to sell and source inventory. This segment sells its products and services through commercial fleet operators, financial institutions, rental car companies, new and used vehicle dealers, and vehicle manufacturers. The Finance segment offers floorplan financing, a short-term inventory-secured financing to independent vehicle dealers. It serves commercial customers, and franchise and independent dealer customers. The company was formerly known as KAR Auction Services, Inc. and changed its name to OPENLANE, Inc. in May 2023. OPENLANE, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Carmel, Indiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyOPENLANE generates revenue through several key streams, primarily by charging fees for its auction services where dealers bid on and purchase vehicles. The company earns a commission on each successful sale, which forms a significant portion of its income. Additionally, OPENLANE monetizes its platform by offering subscription services for dealerships that provide enhanced features and tools for inventory management and sales analytics. Partnerships with automotive manufacturers and finance companies also contribute to its revenue, as they may provide financing options or promotional incentives that drive more transactions through the platform.

OPENLANE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
OPENLANE's earnings call showcased a strong performance with robust growth in dealer-to-dealer volumes, increased profitability, and successful strategic initiatives. Despite challenges in the commercial vehicle segment and external uncertainties like tariffs and seasonality, the company's positive outlook and raised guidance indicate solid momentum.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Overall Growth and Profitability
OPENLANE reported a 9% increase in revenue, $87 million in adjusted EBITDA representing 21% growth, and strong cash flow generation. EBITDA margins expanded by 190 basis points to 18%.
Significant Dealer-to-Dealer Volume Growth
Dealer-to-dealer volumes increased by 21%, marking the third consecutive quarter of double-digit volume increases. Auction fee revenue grew by 24% and marketplace adjusted EBITDA increased by 36%.
Successful Strategic Investments
The growth was attributed to strategic investments in people, technology, and go-to-market approaches, reflecting increasing market recognition of the OPENLANE brand.
Raising 2025 Guidance
Based on strong performance, OPENLANE revised its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance from $290-$310 million to $310-$320 million and operating adjusted EPS from $0.90-$1.00 to $1.12-$1.17.
Finance Segment Performance
The Finance segment grew average managed receivables and increased adjusted EBITDA by 9% while maintaining a low loan loss rate of 1.5%.
Negative Updates
Decline in Commercial Vehicle Volumes
Commercial vehicle volumes were down 9% as expected, though there is anticipation of volume recovery beginning in 2026.
Tariff-Related Uncertainty
Concerns remain about potential headwinds from tariffs impacting total new vehicle retail sales in the second half of the year.
Q4 Seasonality and Uncertainty
The guidance for the second half reflects expectations of some deceleration in growth due to market uncertainties and Q4 seasonality.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, OPENLANE reported significant growth and profitability, with a 9% increase in revenue and a 21% rise in adjusted EBITDA, which amounted to $87 million. The company also saw a 24% increase in auction fee revenue and a 36% boost in marketplace adjusted EBITDA. In its Finance segment, OPENLANE grew average managed receivables, maintained a loan loss rate of 1.5%, and increased adjusted EBITDA by 9%. The gross merchandise value rose to $7.5 billion, driven by a 21% growth in dealer-to-dealer volumes and a 32% increase in dealer GMV. OPENLANE reported a 12% adjusted EBITDA margin for the Marketplace segment and sustained high cash flow conversion, achieving a consolidated adjusted free cash flow of $87 million for the quarter. Based on these strong results, the company raised its 2025 guidance, projecting adjusted EBITDA in the range of $310 million to $320 million and operating adjusted EPS between $1.12 and $1.17.

OPENLANE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kar Auction Services is showing signs of recovery with strong revenue growth and improved profitability metrics. The company's cash flow is robust, supporting operational needs and investment capabilities. However, the balance sheet reflects a need for cautious management of debt and equity to ensure long-term stability.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Kar Auction Services shows a positive trend in revenue growth with a 8.71% increase over the past year, indicating recovery. The gross profit margin is healthy at 46.54%, reflecting operational efficiency. Net profit margin improved to 6.14%, a significant turnaround from the previous year's loss. EBIT and EBITDA margins are at 10.19% and 21.06% respectively, showing improvement but still reflecting moderate operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.21, which is manageable but suggests reliance on debt financing. Return on equity (ROE) is 8.19%, indicating moderate profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is 39.03%, showing a relatively balanced capital structure. However, the decrease in stockholders' equity over time is a concern.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
The company displays strong cash flow management with a 30.73% increase in free cash flow year-over-year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.66 highlights robust cash generation from operations. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 2.18, showing effective conversion of earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.83B1.79B1.65B1.52B2.25B2.19B
Gross Profit787.20M832.20M777.50M685.10M951.70M902.90M
EBITDA386.40M274.90M110.80M258.00M237.40M325.60M
Net Income128.30M109.90M-154.10M28.60M66.50M500.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.004.62B4.73B5.12B7.42B6.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.00143.00M93.50M225.70M190.00M752.10M
Total Debt284.00M282.90M427.40M573.70M2.18B2.22B
Total Liabilities3.43B3.28B3.40B2.99B5.31B4.63B
Stockholders Equity1.37B1.34B1.94B2.13B2.10B2.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow265.10M238.40M183.40M-473.40M304.70M283.00M
Operating Cash Flow317.10M292.80M235.40M-412.50M413.20M384.40M
Investing Cash Flow-95.00M-70.90M-83.50M2.14B-1.22B-326.60M
Financing Cash Flow152.10M-173.90M-279.90M-1.61B210.40M194.80M

OPENLANE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.10
Price Trends
50DMA
25.64
Positive
100DMA
23.22
Positive
200DMA
21.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.01
Negative
RSI
69.34
Neutral
STOCH
87.63
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KAR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.51, above the 50-day MA of 25.64, and above the 200-day MA of 21.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.63 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KAR.

OPENLANE Risk Analysis

OPENLANE disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. OPENLANE reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

OPENLANE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$3.10B39.306.27%11.45%741.65%
71
Outperform
$804.94M21.338.37%0.68%67.41%
67
Neutral
$381.60M21.993.45%-0.21%
61
Neutral
$17.75B12.56-5.49%3.02%1.43%-14.12%
57
Neutral
$509.60M6.630.12%40.31%-204.86%
54
Neutral
$1.99B-14.18%30.08%21.11%
41
Neutral
$806.12M260.24%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KAR
OPENLANE
29.10
11.92
69.38%
CRMT
America's Car-Mart
46.71
-14.55
-23.75%
CARS
Cars
13.17
-4.33
-24.74%
UXIN
Uxin
3.71
2.18
142.48%
CANG
Cango
4.87
3.15
183.14%
ACVA
ACV Auctions
11.51
-6.94
-37.62%

OPENLANE Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
OPENLANE Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting on June 6, 2025
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 6, 2025, OPENLANE, Inc. held its annual stockholders meeting where several key decisions were made. The stockholders elected a director nominated by Ignition Parent LP to the board, alongside eight other directors, approved executive compensation, and ratified KPMG LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025, indicating a continued focus on strategic governance and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (KAR) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OPENLANE stock, see the KAR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
OPENLANE Expands Canadian Receivables Purchase Agreement
Positive
May 28, 2025

On May 23, 2025, OPENLANE, Inc., through its subsidiary Automotive Finance Canada Inc. (AFCI), amended its Canadian Receivables Purchase Agreement to increase the program limit from C$300 million to C$375 million. This amendment, involving major financial institutions like Computershare Trust Company of Canada and Royal Bank of Canada, signifies a strategic move by OPENLANE to enhance its financial capacity, potentially impacting its operations and market positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (KAR) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OPENLANE stock, see the KAR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025