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Jones Soda Co. (JSDA)
OTHER OTC:JSDA

Jones Soda (JSDA) AI Stock Analysis

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JSDA

Jones Soda

(OTC:JSDA)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$0.26
▲(0.77% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing losses, low margins, and negative/free cash flow—despite low leverage. Offsetting factors include a constructive technical setup (price above key moving averages with positive MACD) and improved operational trends/guidance from the latest earnings call, with liquidity-enhancing corporate actions providing modest additional support.
Positive Factors
Very low leverage / zero debt
A near-zero debt profile materially reduces bankruptcy and interest-rate risk, providing durable financial flexibility. This strengthens the company’s ability to endure continued cash burn, access incremental financing on better terms, and prioritize reinvestment or strategic initiatives over debt servicing.
Improving revenue and gross margins
Sustained top-line growth alongside a meaningful margin rebound indicates improving unit economics from lower trade spend and logistics gains. If maintained, higher gross margins and revenue diversification (HD9, DTC, fountain) support a genuine path to scalable profitability and more resilient cash generation.
Enhanced near-term liquidity via asset sale
Converting illiquid receivables into $1.4M cash materially extends the operating runway and reduces short-term funding pressure. This structural liquidity action, paired with access to capital markets and credit, lowers immediate solvency risk and buys time for operational improvements to take hold.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow, with FCF deterioration (~-512% TTM), is a structural weakness that forces reliance on external financing or equity dilution. Without sustained cash generation, investment, growth and solvency are constrained over the medium term.
Ongoing net losses and low gross margins
Despite revenue gains, persistently low and declining gross margins limit the firm’s ability to absorb SG&A and scale profitably. Combined with recurring net losses, this structural margin pressure undermines durable earnings power and makes long-term self-funding of growth unlikely without margin recovery.
Regulatory and distribution execution risks
Regulatory uncertainty around hemp/HD9 products threatens a growing product line and could force reformulation or delisting, reducing addressable market. Coupled with distribution execution issues (e.g., failed Southeast Costco test), these structural hurdles can materially slow national scaling and revenue predictability.

Jones Soda (JSDA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jones Soda Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJones Soda Co. is a beverage company known for its distinctive, flavored sodas and creative packaging. Founded in 1986 and headquartered in Seattle, Washington, Jones Soda operates in the non-alcoholic beverage sector, primarily focusing on craft sodas made with real cane sugar, unique flavors, and vibrant label designs often featuring consumer-submitted photographs. The company also offers a variety of other beverages, including energy drinks and cream sodas, catering to a diverse consumer base looking for innovative and flavorful options.
How the Company Makes MoneyJones Soda generates revenue primarily through the sale of its beverages, which are distributed through various channels, including grocery stores, convenience stores, and online retailers. The company's revenue model is driven by product sales, which encompass a range of flavored sodas and related beverages. Key revenue streams include direct sales to retailers, wholesale distribution, and online sales through its e-commerce platform. Additionally, Jones Soda has engaged in partnerships and collaborations with various brands and events, which help enhance its market presence and drive sales. The company's unique marketing strategies, including user-generated content and community engagement, also contribute to brand loyalty and repeat purchases, further bolstering its earnings.

Jones Soda Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 17, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive trajectory with significant improvements in revenue, operational efficiencies, and strategic partnerships, despite ongoing challenges such as regulatory uncertainties and regional market difficulties.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record D2C Channel Performance
Achieved record direct-to-consumer sales through the Bethesda partnership, highlighting the success of strategic partnerships and socially rooted marketing campaigns.
Significant Revenue Growth
Net revenue in the third quarter increased by 15% to $4.5 million compared to $3.9 million in the previous year, driven by growth in HD9, direct-to-consumer, and fountain products.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross profit increased by 76.7% to approximately $1.3 million, with gross margin as a percentage of net revenue rising significantly to 28.9% from 18.8% in the prior year.
Operational Efficiency Gains
Reduced selling, general, and administrative expenses by 20% and improved forecasting and inventory management, leading to lower freight and warehousing charges.
Strong Fourth Quarter Revenue Projection
Expected to generate more than $8 million in fourth-quarter revenue, underpinned by strategic partnerships and strong performance across various channels.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Reduction Yet Still Present
Net loss for the quarter was $1.4 million, an improvement from a net loss of $2.6 million in the previous year, but still signifies a financial loss.
Challenges with Regulatory Changes
Faced potential challenges with new hemp regulations affecting HD9 products, requiring close monitoring and potential activation of contingency plans.
Disappointment in Southeast Costco Test
The Southeast Costco test did not meet the required sell-through thresholds, highlighting challenges in gaining traction in new regional markets.
Paused S-1 Filing and Uplisting
The S-1 filing and uplisting plans were paused, partly due to increased NASDAQ capital raise requirements and a focus on completing the year strongly.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025 earnings call for Jones Soda, the company provided comprehensive guidance on its financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company achieved a 15% increase in net revenue, reaching $4.5 million, up from $3.9 million in the same period last year, primarily driven by growth in HD9, direct-to-consumer, and fountain products. They anticipate fourth-quarter gross sales to reach $8 million, supported by strong performance in their core soda category and successful collaborations such as those with Bethesda and the Fallout series. Gross profit improved by 76.7% to $1.3 million, with gross margins rising to 28.9% from 18.8% due to reduced trade spend and optimized logistics. Operating expenses decreased by 20% to $2.7 million, and the net loss narrowed to $1.4 million, a significant improvement from the $2.6 million loss in the prior year. The company projects continued top-line growth and enhanced profitability, supported by disciplined expansion strategies across their core, modern, and adult beverage categories. Additionally, the anticipated regulatory changes concerning hemp products are being closely monitored, with contingency plans prepared to address potential impacts on their product offerings.

Jones Soda Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM revenue growth is outweighed by persistent net losses, low gross margins, and consistently negative operating/free cash flow (worsening cash burn). The balance sheet is a relative positive due to very low/zero debt, but ongoing losses and cash burn raise funding/dilution risk.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Revenue has grown meaningfully in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (up ~175% vs. the prior period shown), but profitability remains weak. Gross margin is low (~20% in TTM) and has trended down from the high-20% range in 2021–2023, indicating limited pricing power and/or higher input costs. Losses are persistent across the period, and while net margin improved versus 2024 (less negative), the business is still operating at a sizable loss in TTM.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage is very low, with zero debt in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and modest debt levels historically, which reduces financial risk. Equity increased versus 2024, but returns remain deeply negative due to continued net losses, highlighting that the capital base is not generating profits. Overall, the balance sheet is a relative strength primarily because the company is not debt-burdened, but ongoing losses are a structural concern.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is the key weak point: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative across all periods provided, including TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Free cash flow deterioration in TTM (growth ~-512%) signals worsening cash burn, increasing reliance on external funding or balance sheet resources over time. While cash flow moves broadly in line with net losses, the lack of positive operating cash flow reduces financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.79M19.16M16.67M19.09M14.79M11.89M
Gross Profit3.37M4.08M4.86M5.14M4.40M2.68M
EBITDA-3.87M-9.80M-4.76M-5.58M-1.39M-2.68M
Net Income-4.22M-9.89M-4.85M-6.40M-1.81M-3.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.08M8.52M9.91M15.10M10.25M9.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments199.00K1.53M3.87M7.97M4.67M4.61M
Total Debt0.00490.00K357.00K612.00K2.78M2.20M
Total Liabilities8.73M6.37M2.36M3.33M5.63M4.67M
Stockholders Equity3.35M2.16M7.55M11.77M4.62M4.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.75M-5.92M-3.89M-5.99M-2.56M-1.75M
Operating Cash Flow-5.75M-5.89M-3.82M-5.96M-2.53M-1.53M
Investing Cash Flow1.01M-27.00K-73.00K100.00K-31.00K-214.00K
Financing Cash Flow1.67M3.67M-246.00K9.21M2.61M329.00K

Jones Soda Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.26
Price Trends
50DMA
0.26
Positive
100DMA
0.22
Positive
200DMA
0.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
50.38
Neutral
STOCH
34.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JSDA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.28, below the 50-day MA of 0.26, and above the 200-day MA of 0.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JSDA.

Jones Soda Risk Analysis

Jones Soda disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jones Soda reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Jones Soda Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$3.17B49.7924.02%23.12%16.20%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
54
Neutral
$34.83M-7.82-109.67%-15.47%44.50%
52
Neutral
$50.14M-15.97-167.45%17.48%0.77%
46
Neutral
$135.76M-7.87-23.12%6.17%41.09%
41
Neutral
$21.19M-0.23-93.69%104.04%53.39%
38
Underperform
$370.59M-1.56-180.66%3.37%46.17%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JSDA
Jones Soda
0.28
-0.03
-8.39%
BRFH
Barfresh Food Group
2.90
-0.46
-13.69%
BNKK
Bonk
3.69
-13.44
-78.46%
OTLY
Oatly Group
11.65
0.81
7.47%
ZVIA
Zevia PBC
1.79
-1.99
-52.65%
COCO
Vita Coco Company
57.56
20.16
53.90%

Jones Soda Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Jones Soda Sells Note, Enhances Liquidity with New Deal
Positive
Jan 23, 2026

On January 16, 2026, Jones Soda Co. agreed to sell a secured promissory note originally issued by MJ Reg Disrupters, LLC, assigning a remaining balance of $2 million on the note—previously due in installments through June 2028—to Two Shores Capital Corp. in exchange for a $1.4 million cash payment. As part of the transaction, Jones Soda also granted Two Shores Capital warrants to purchase 550,000 shares of its common stock at $0.40 per share, exercisable for three years, and stated that it plans to use the cash proceeds for general working capital, bolstering its liquidity and financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (JSDA) stock is a Hold with a $0.32 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jones Soda stock, see the JSDA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Jones Soda Expands Leadership Team with New Appointments
Positive
Dec 12, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Jones Soda Co. appointed Darcey Macken as Chief Operating Officer and Jerry Goldner as Senior Vice President, Partnerships, enhancing their leadership team with experienced executives. The company also increased its revolving credit facility from $5 million to $10 million to support anticipated sales growth, reflecting its strategic focus on expanding its market presence and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (JSDA) stock is a Hold with a $0.35 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jones Soda stock, see the JSDA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Jones Soda Amends Loan Agreement to Boost Flexibility
Positive
Dec 5, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Jones Soda Co.’s wholly-owned subsidiary amended its loan agreement with Two Shores Capital Corp., increasing the revolving loan cap to $10 million. This financial maneuver, including an amended and restated revolving credit note, reflects a strategic move to enhance the subsidiary’s financial flexibility and operational capacity.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 24, 2026