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Jones Soda Co. (JSDA)
OTHER OTC:JSDA

Jones Soda (JSDA) AI Stock Analysis

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JSDA

Jones Soda

(OTC:JSDA)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$0.26
▲(1.15% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/03/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses and negative cash flow), with technicals also soft. These are partially offset by a strong and improving operational trajectory highlighted on the earnings call (upbeat growth guidance, margin and cost improvements, and better liquidity). Valuation remains constrained by the lack of profitability.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth & Guidance
Record Q4 orders, IP partnerships and distribution gains underpin a multi-quarter growth trajectory. If management executes on expanded retail footprint and repeatable partnerships, elevated organic demand and guided >60% FY26 growth support durable scale benefits to margins and fixed-cost absorption.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Cash Generation
Despite narrowing cash burn, the company remains a recurring cash user with negative free cash flow, implying continued dependence on external funding, asset sales or credit. Sustained negative cash generation raises execution risk if revenue growth stalls or working capital needs spike.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth & Guidance
Record Q4 orders, IP partnerships and distribution gains underpin a multi-quarter growth trajectory. If management executes on expanded retail footprint and repeatable partnerships, elevated organic demand and guided >60% FY26 growth support durable scale benefits to margins and fixed-cost absorption.
Read all positive factors

Jones Soda (JSDA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jones Soda Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Jones Soda Co. is a beverage company known for its distinctive, flavored sodas and creative packaging. Founded in 1986 and headquartered in Seattle, Washington, Jones Soda operates in the non-alcoholic beverage sector, primarily focusing on craft ...
How the Company Makes Money
Jones Soda makes money primarily by selling its branded beverages to customers through wholesale distribution and direct sales. The core revenue stream is product sales of Jones Soda beverages (and any other beverage brands or products the company...

Jones Soda Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 31, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive operational and commercial turnaround: strong top-line growth (42% FY, 450% Q4), margin expansion, sharply reduced losses and healthier liquidity, driven by successful IP partnerships and operational discipline. Notable challenges remain — primarily a $1.2M HD9 inventory write-down and ongoing regulatory uncertainty for hemp-derived products, the need to reposition Spiked Jones, Q4 SG&A uptick tied to licensing/brokers, and manufacturing/scale constraints for specialty SKUs. On balance, the momentum (revenue, margins, cash, partnerships, and cost cuts) substantially outweighs the headwinds, though regulatory risks and execution on scale remain watch items.
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth (FY and Q4)
Full year 2025 revenue of $25.3M versus $17.8M prior year, a 42% increase. Fourth quarter 2025 revenue reached $11.7M (company record) versus $2.6M prior period, a 450% increase.
Negative Updates
HD9 Inventory Write-Down and Regulatory Uncertainty
A $1.2M one-time inventory write-down was recorded associated with the HD9 business due to federal legislative changes enacted in 2025. The HD9 line is not expected to be a material growth product in 2026 and regulatory timing/ enforcement remains uncertain through late 2026, creating material risk and complexity.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Revenue Growth (FY and Q4)
Full year 2025 revenue of $25.3M versus $17.8M prior year, a 42% increase. Fourth quarter 2025 revenue reached $11.7M (company record) versus $2.6M prior period, a 450% increase.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided first-quarter 2026 revenue to exceed $12.0 million (roughly +260% vs. prior-year Q1) and said full-year 2026 revenue growth should exceed 60% over 2025’s $25.3 million (implying >$40.5M); they highlighted Q4 2025 revenue of $11.7M (a 450% YoY increase) and adjusted gross margin of 32% (up from 27% FY and 10% in Q4 prior), noting a $1.2M one‑time HD9 inventory write‑down. Operational improvements include trade spend cut (≈20% to ≈10% FY; 33% to 10% in Q4), COGS improvement (Q4 COGS 71% → 54%), freight & warehousing down (17% → 16% FY), SG&A reduced 14% (20% excluding $0.7M higher broker/licensing costs) with $2.4M removed, and product/warehousing further cost‑reduction opportunities planned for 2026 (freight may rise with oil). Profitability and liquidity metrics cited: FY net loss $1.8M vs $9.9M prior (82% improvement), adjusted EBITDA loss $2.0M vs $7.2M prior (72% improvement) with Q4 adjusted EBITDA +$0.5M, cash $3.6M (vs $1.3M), a $10M line of credit (up from $5M) with $3M drawn, and sale of a $2M promissory note for $1.4M; management also said HD9 won’t be material in 2026 and Spiked Jones will be reformulated to 4–5% ABV for a targeted regional rollout.

Jones Soda Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth and sharply improved losses in 2025 are positives, and debt reduced to $0 lowers financial risk. However, profitability is still negative and operating/free cash flow remain consistently negative, implying ongoing funding needs and keeping the score below average.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Mar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.30M19.16M16.67M19.09M14.79M
Gross Profit6.76M4.08M4.86M5.14M4.40M
EBITDA-1.05M-9.80M-4.76M-5.58M-1.39M
Net Income-1.78M-9.89M-4.85M-6.40M-1.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.23M8.52M9.91M15.10M10.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.60M1.53M3.87M7.97M4.67M
Total Debt3.43M490.00K357.00K612.00K2.78M
Total Liabilities13.76M6.37M2.36M3.33M5.63M
Stockholders Equity1.47M2.16M7.55M11.77M4.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.72M-5.92M-3.89M-5.99M-2.56M
Operating Cash Flow-1.26M-5.89M-3.82M-5.96M-2.53M
Investing Cash Flow441.00K-27.00K-73.00K100.00K-31.00K
Financing Cash Flow2.50M3.67M-246.00K9.21M2.61M

Jones Soda Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.26
Price Trends
50DMA
0.28
Negative
100DMA
0.27
Negative
200DMA
0.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
44.91
Neutral
STOCH
17.86
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JSDA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.27, below the 50-day MA of 0.28, and above the 200-day MA of 0.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.86 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JSDA.

Jones Soda Risk Analysis

Jones Soda disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jones Soda reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Jones Soda Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$2.91B42.3023.19%23.12%16.20%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
52
Neutral
$46.31M-15.32-151.77%17.48%0.77%
52
Neutral
$384.38M-2.13-241.39%3.37%46.17%
50
Neutral
$30.76M-18.58-67.43%-15.47%44.50%
46
Neutral
$87.87M-15.19-19.06%6.17%41.09%
42
Neutral
$19.47M-0.16-93.69%104.04%53.39%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JSDA
Jones Soda
0.26
0.07
37.04%
BRFH
Barfresh Food Group
2.90
0.55
23.40%
BNKK
Bonk
2.67
-13.32
-83.30%
OTLY
Oatly Group
12.31
3.36
37.54%
ZVIA
Zevia PBC
1.17
-1.07
-47.77%
COCO
Vita Coco Company
51.00
20.09
65.00%

Jones Soda Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Jones Soda Revises CFO Stock Options to Time-Based Vesting
Positive
Apr 2, 2026
Jones Soda Co. has revised the terms of previously granted stock options awarded to Chief Financial Officer Brian Meadows, originally issued on September 9, 2025, to purchase 750,000 shares under its 2022 Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan. Effective M...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Jones Soda Sells Note, Enhances Liquidity with New Deal
Positive
Jan 23, 2026
On January 16, 2026, Jones Soda Co. agreed to sell a secured promissory note originally issued by MJ Reg Disrupters, LLC, assigning a remaining balance of $2 million on the note—previously due in installments through June 2028—to Two S...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 03, 2026