Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd (9853) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥5.52B
• Dividend Yield: 0.66%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.67K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.08
• Revenue Growth: 6.11%
• EPS Growth: -29.27%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 156
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 69
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): 8.15
• Shares Outstanding: 6,252,004
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,970
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,670
• PEG Ratio: 1.80
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.80
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: ¥878.00
• Price Target Upside: -2.88% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 48 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥892.00 ▼(-1.33%Downside)

Ginza Renoir's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including consistent net losses and negative profitability metrics, despite revenue growth. Technical analysis suggests a neutral market stance, while the stock's valuation is poor due to a negative P/E ratio.

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd. is a Japan-based company primarily engaged in the operation of coffee shops and related businesses. The company is well-known for its chain of cafes under the 'Cafe Renoir' brand, which offers a cozy atmosphere and a wide selection of beverages and light meals. Ginza Renoir also operates other brands like 'Cafe Miyama' and 'Renoir Coffee', catering to different customer preferences and market segments.

How the Company Makes Money

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through its coffee shop operations. The company's primary earnings come from the sale of coffee, tea, soft drinks, and food items such as sandwiches, pastries, and other snacks offered at its cafes. Additionally, the company may earn income from leasing spaces within its cafes to other businesses or through partnerships with suppliers and distributors to offer exclusive products. Ginza Renoir's strategic locations in urban areas with high foot traffic further contribute to its revenue by attracting a steady stream of customers.

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Ginza Renoir shows revenue growth and improving cash flows, but consistent net losses and high operating expenses hinder profitability. The balance sheet is stable, yet enhanced operational efficiency is necessary for a turnaround.

Income Statement

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd has shown an improving trend in revenue over the years, with a notable revenue growth of 6.1% from 2024 to 2025. Despite this, the company has struggled with profitability, consistently recording net losses. The gross profit margin remains healthy at approximately 80.7% in 2025, but the net profit margin is negative due to high operating expenses and interest costs. The EBIT margin improved to 1.05% in 2025, indicating some operational efficiency gains, yet still insufficient for profitability.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet shows moderate financial stability with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63 in 2025, suggesting a balanced leverage level. The equity ratio improved to 51.9%, indicating a solid proportion of the company's assets are financed by shareholders. However, the consistent net losses have suppressed return on equity, which is currently negative. Overall, the company has a stable asset base but needs to enhance profitability to improve shareholder returns.

Cash Flow

Ginza Renoir has demonstrated improvements in free cash flow, turning from negative in 2024 to positive in 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting that operational cash generation is healthier than reported net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio also indicates effective cash conversion, yet the company needs to manage capital expenditures carefully to sustain free cash flow growth.

Breakdown	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	7.80B	7.35B	6.12B	4.56B	4.17B
Gross Profit	6.30B	5.94B	5.13B	3.94B	3.66B
EBITDA	218.34M	155.55M	-78.14M	598.42M	-2.12B
Net Income	-76.45M	-59.14M	-293.53M	347.41M	-2.37B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.89B	6.26B	6.43B	6.87B	6.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.96B	2.29B	2.59B	3.12B	1.74B
Total Debt	1.94B	2.22B	2.36B	2.49B	2.06B
Total Liabilities	2.79B	3.05B	3.15B	3.27B	2.78B
Stockholders Equity	3.06B	3.16B	3.24B	3.55B	3.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	54.73M	-93.35M	-344.05M	81.28M	-2.05B
Operating Cash Flow	295.80M	316.22M	-34.37M	410.11M	-1.73B
Investing Cash Flow	-320.41M	-454.06M	-357.19M	586.52M	-187.85M
Financing Cash Flow	-300.63M	-162.88M	-141.17M	381.38M	1.63B

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 904.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9853, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 904 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 898.20, above the 50-day MA of 899.86, and below the 200-day MA of 905.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9853.

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
3065	66 Neutral	¥5.13B	14.70		0.30%	-4.28%	―
Sector *	65 Neutral	€20.27B	8.58	7.83%	4.07%	0.45%	-40.36%
9973	54 Neutral	¥8.25B	―		―	23.33%	-62.04%
3067	49 Neutral	¥4.10B	351.80		―	-2.45%	-118.20%
9853	48 Neutral	¥5.52B	―		0.66%	6.11%	-29.27%
3557	45 Neutral	¥4.54B	87.52		―	5.82%	―
7918	45 Neutral	¥5.43B	23.54		―	2.31%	-107.45%