Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd (JP:9853)
:9853
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Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd
(9853)
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Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
¥942.00
▲(1.07% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/16/26
Score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (return to profitability, stronger free cash flow, and better leverage), but is held back by weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and a relatively high P/E despite supportive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue recovery & return to profit
A return to positive net income alongside 5.3% revenue growth signals a structural operational recovery. This improves odds of sustained cash generation and reinvestment capacity over the next 2–6 months as management can focus on stabilizing margins and scaling the store network.
Negative Factors
Thin, volatile net margins
Net margin of ~1.9% after multi-year losses shows profitability is fragile. Small margins leave earnings highly sensitive to wage, rent, and input cost swings; this constrains durable free cash flow and makes multi-quarter stability of profits uncertain.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue recovery & return to profit
A return to positive net income alongside 5.3% revenue growth signals a structural operational recovery. This improves odds of sustained cash generation and reinvestment capacity over the next 2–6 months as management can focus on stabilizing margins and scaling the store network.
Read all positive factors
Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd (9853) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥5.56B
Dividend Yield0.32%
Average Volume (3M)2.41K
Price to Earnings (P/E)34.8
Beta (1Y)0.07
Revenue Growth7.02%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryJP
Employees156
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.01
Shares Outstanding6,252,004
10 Day Avg. Volume2,380
30 Day Avg. Volume2,410
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.11
Price to Book (P/B)1.74
Price to Sales (P/S)0.67
P/FCF Ratio14.75
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd. engages in the coffee shop business in Japan. It also manufactures, processes, and sells food products; and manages franchise stores. The company operates coffee shops under the Tea room Renoir, Cafe Renoir, Miyama Coffee, C...
How the Company Makes Money
The company makes money mainly by selling food and beverages to customers at its café/restaurant locations. Revenue is generated per transaction from in-store orders (e.g., coffee and other drinks, light meals, desserts), with sales volume driven ...
Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 7.93B | 8.35B | 7.80B | 7.35B | 6.12B | 4.56B |
| Gross Profit | 6.41B | 6.75B | 6.30B | 5.94B | 5.13B | 3.94B |
| EBITDA | 290.20M | 407.17M | 218.34M | 155.55M | -78.14M | 598.42M |
| Net Income | -460.00K | 159.98M | -76.45M | -59.14M | -293.53M | 347.41M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.84B | 5.69B | 5.89B | 6.26B | 6.43B | 6.87B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.94B | 1.86B | 1.96B | 2.29B | 2.59B | 3.12B |
| Total Debt | 1.86B | 1.53B | 1.94B | 2.22B | 2.36B | 2.49B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.67B | 2.44B | 2.79B | 3.06B | 3.15B | 3.27B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.13B | 3.20B | 3.06B | 3.16B | 3.24B | 3.55B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 377.25M | 54.73M | -93.35M | -344.05M | 81.28M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 539.34M | 295.80M | 316.22M | -34.37M | 410.11M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -207.93M | -320.41M | -454.06M | -357.19M | 586.52M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -432.51M | -300.63M | -162.88M | -141.17M | 381.38M |
Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd Technical Analysis
Negative
932.00
Price Trends
922.71
Negative
933.23
Negative
927.87
Negative
Market Momentum
-3.98
Negative
45.97
Neutral
61.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9853, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 932 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 910.10, above the 50-day MA of 922.71, and above the 200-day MA of 927.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9853.
Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | ¥126.06B | 21.22 | ― | 2.09% | 6.94% | 8.74% | |
68 Neutral | ¥136.94B | 19.06 | ― | 1.88% | 21.61% | 11.23% | |
65 Neutral | ¥255.24B | 33.85 | 9.66% | 0.55% | 15.12% | 18.16% | |
63 Neutral | ¥116.55B | 28.53 | ― | 0.70% | 6.85% | 45.60% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | ¥57.68B | 23.72 | ― | 1.95% | 24.74% | 1.44% | |
58 Neutral | ¥5.56B | 34.78 | ― | 0.32% | 7.02% | ― |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.