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Tokai Corp. (JP:9729)
:9729
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Tokai (9729) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9729

Tokai

(9729)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,527.00
▲(4.59% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/14/26
The score is supported primarily by strong financial strength (especially low leverage) and reasonable valuation with a solid dividend yield. It is held back by weak technicals, with the stock trading below key moving averages and negative momentum indicators despite oversold readings.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
Very low debt (debt-to-equity ~2–4%) and substantial equity provide durable financial flexibility. This long-term conservative positioning supports capital spending, dividends and downside protection during cyclical weakness without needing frequent external financing, enhancing resilience.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent free cash flow
Periodic FCF swings weaken predictability of internal funding for growth and distributions. Variability driven by working-capital or investment timing raises planning risk, may force opportunistic financing in weak years and constrains smooth capital allocation over multi-quarter horizons.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
Very low debt (debt-to-equity ~2–4%) and substantial equity provide durable financial flexibility. This long-term conservative positioning supports capital spending, dividends and downside protection during cyclical weakness without needing frequent external financing, enhancing resilience.
Read all positive factors

Tokai (9729) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tokai Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tokai (9729) is a Japanese company primarily engaged in the manufacturing and distribution of high-quality ceramics and glass products. Operating in various sectors, including construction materials, household goods, and industrial applications, T...
How the Company Makes Money
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Tokai Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet with very low leverage supports resilience (Balance Sheet Score: 86). Income statement quality is solid with steady revenue growth and healthy profitability, though earnings have shown some volatility (Income Statement Score: 73). Cash generation is positive but inconsistent, with free-cash-flow swings tempering confidence in consistency (Cash Flow Score: 64).
Income Statement
73
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue153.51B159.66B149.54B138.22B130.18B123.48B
Gross Profit36.31B38.78B35.44B33.64B31.92B30.98B
EBITDA13.60B14.52B13.30B12.76B11.86B12.21B
Net Income4.36B6.07B4.73B5.81B6.11B5.81B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets114.05B114.69B113.95B114.93B110.78B105.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.22B26.48B26.89B31.69B37.01B36.16B
Total Debt2.05B3.22B2.65B2.35B2.87B3.40B
Total Liabilities27.58B30.26B28.10B28.14B28.56B28.38B
Stockholders Equity85.79B83.72B85.19B86.18B81.66B77.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.008.16B5.99B-372.00M2.94B6.49B
Operating Cash Flow0.0011.44B10.10B8.04B8.59B10.13B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-4.23B-11.41B-10.21B-6.24B-6.74B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-7.83B-5.20B-3.20B-2.43B-2.90B

Tokai Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2416.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2559.32
Negative
100DMA
2531.60
Negative
200DMA
2363.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-54.14
Positive
RSI
42.51
Neutral
STOCH
42.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9729, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2416 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2597.80, below the 50-day MA of 2559.32, and above the 200-day MA of 2363.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -54.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9729.

Tokai Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥107.82B9.512.85%1.06%-7.68%
65
Neutral
¥1.15T8.843.37%6.51%30.56%
64
Neutral
¥78.86B13.252.51%6.77%33.83%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
¥36.28B9.563.90%53.30%35.91%
51
Neutral
¥392.48B17.813.62%16.26%-52.33%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9729
Tokai
2,438.00
404.76
19.91%
JP:5834
SBI Leasing Services Co.,Ltd.
2,278.00
531.24
30.41%
JP:8424
Fuyo General Lease Co., Ltd.
4,333.00
636.19
17.21%
JP:8439
Tokyo Century Corporation
2,346.50
844.89
56.27%
JP:9699
NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
3,885.00
96.68
2.55%
JP:372A
Rent Corporation
5,350.00
-990.00
-15.62%

Tokai Corporate Events

Tokai Raises Dividend Payout Target and Adopts Progressive Dividend Policy
May 12, 2026
Tokai has revised its dividend policy to boost capital efficiency and enhance shareholder returns, following strong results for the year ended March 31, 2026 and a completed share buyback and retirement in November 2025. The company has raised its...
Tokai Corp. Outlines FY3/26 Results and FY3/27 Outlook
May 12, 2026
Tokai Corp. reported its financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, highlighting consolidated trends in net sales, operating profit, financial position, cash flows and capital investments. The company also provided an outlook for...
Tokai lifts earnings and dividends as profits rise despite softer balance sheet metrics
May 12, 2026
Tokai Corp. reported consolidated net sales of ¥159.7 billion for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, up 6.8% year on year, with operating profit rising 14.5% to ¥9.38 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent jumping 28.3% t...
Tokai Corp. Lifts Full-Year Earnings Forecast on Strong Rental and Healthcare Demand
Apr 6, 2026
Tokai Corp. has raised its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, citing stronger-than-expected performance across several core operations. The company now expects net sales of ¥159.6 billion, up 1.1% from it...
Tokai Reshapes Executive Lineup to Sharpen Focus on Linen and Elderly Care Operations
Feb 24, 2026
Tokai Corp. has announced a slate of management changes effective April 1, 2026, including the appointment of Daisuke Matsui as a new corporate officer overseeing the Bedding Linen Supply Business Division, with responsibility for sales in the Ea...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026