Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. (9306) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥14.11B
• Dividend Yield: 3.04%
• Average Volume (3M): 7.78K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.57
• Revenue Growth: 4.45%
• EPS Growth: 29.58%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 729
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): 57.57
• Shares Outstanding: 7,864,990
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 4,530
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 7,780
• PEG Ratio: 0.84
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.42
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.39
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.91
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 80 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥2,414.00 ▲(30.70% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 10/23/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 10/23/25

Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. receives a strong overall stock score driven by its robust financial performance, positive technical indicators, and attractive valuation. The company's ability to maintain growth and financial health, combined with its appealing valuation metrics, positions it well for potential investors. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data did not impact the score.

Positive Factors

Free cash flow turnaround

A large swing from negative to materially positive free cash flow and a 2.2 operating-cash-flow-to-net-income ratio indicate high cash conversion quality. Durable cash generation supports debt reduction, selective capex, and reinvestment without needing external funding, strengthening medium-term financial flexibility.

Solid balance sheet and moderate leverage

A majority-equity-funded balance sheet and modest leverage provide resilience through economic cycles and give management capacity to fund growth or absorb shocks. This structural strength underpins long-term investment capability and lowers refinancing risk relative to highly leveraged peers.

Consistent profitability with healthy EBITDA margin

Sustained positive margins and a relatively strong 12% EBITDA margin for integrated logistics reflect an ability to earn returns on operations. Stable profitability provides ongoing internal funding for maintenance and incremental growth, supporting a durable operating platform in a competitive industry.

Negative Factors

Low return on equity

A sub-6% ROE implies that the company generates modest returns on shareholder capital versus many peers. Over the medium term this can constrain total shareholder returns unless management improves asset utilization, pricing, or shifts capital to higher-return initiatives.

Thin margins and cost control volatility

Relatively slim gross and net margins combined with historical margin variability point to sensitivity to input costs and pricing pressures. For logistics firms, persistent cost inflation or contract mix shifts can erode profitability absent durable cost controls or pricing power, raising earnings risk.

Modest top-line growth

Single-digit revenue growth limits the ability to spread fixed costs and achieve meaningful scale benefits in logistics. Without faster structural revenue expansion or higher-margin service mix, medium-term profitability and improvements to returns on capital may remain constrained.

Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. (9306) is a prominent logistics and transportation company based in Japan, specializing in providing comprehensive supply chain solutions. The company operates across various sectors, including freight forwarding, warehousing, and distribution services. Toyo Logistics is known for its advanced logistics technologies, which enhance operational efficiency and customer satisfaction, making it a key player in Japan's logistics industry.

How the Company Makes Money

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Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. demonstrates solid financial performance with steady revenue growth, strong profitability, and excellent cash flow management. However, there is room for improvement in cost control and shareholder returns.

Income Statement

Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. has demonstrated steady revenue growth over the years, with a current year growth rate of 4.7%. The company maintains strong profitability metrics, with a gross profit margin of 7.5% and a net profit margin of 5.1% for the recent year. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 4.3% and 12.0%, respectively. While the revenue and margins are commendable, slight fluctuations in net income and gross profit margins over the years suggest some volatility in cost control.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. reflects a stable financial position with an equity ratio of 54.8%, indicating strong equity financing. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.57, showing moderate leverage. However, the company's ROE is at 5.6%, which, while positive, suggests room for improvement in terms of delivering higher returns on equity.

Cash Flow

The company showcases strong cash flow management with a significant improvement in free cash flow from negative to positive over the last year. The free cash flow growth rate is substantial at 175.4%, indicating effective capital expenditure control and improved operational efficiencies. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.2, demonstrating strong cash generation abilities relative to net earnings.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	29.41B	29.19B	27.88B	28.17B	28.37B	27.66B
Gross Profit	2.29B	2.19B	2.03B	2.13B	2.22B	1.89B
EBITDA	3.79B	3.50B	3.19B	3.25B	3.43B	3.12B
Net Income	1.70B	1.50B	1.37B	1.35B	1.44B	1.19B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	50.54B	48.59B	47.53B	45.83B	43.25B	42.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	7.21B	6.35B	6.56B	8.33B	7.67B	6.44B
Total Debt	17.21B	15.09B	16.08B	16.18B	14.27B	14.73B
Total Liabilities	23.61B	21.94B	22.34B	22.59B	21.07B	21.74B
Stockholders Equity	26.93B	26.65B	25.20B	23.24B	22.17B	21.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	1.03B	-1.37B	-748.95M	1.90B	1.87B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	3.24B	1.81B	2.65B	2.83B	3.08B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-2.01B	-3.08B	-3.36B	-816.68M	-1.14B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-1.44B	-508.71M	1.37B	-783.14M	237.15M

Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 1847.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9306, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1847 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2067.30, below the 50-day MA of 2047.76, and above the 200-day MA of 1831.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 19.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9306.

Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
9306	80 Outperform	¥14.11B	8.60	―	3.04%	4.45%	29.58%
9034	77 Outperform	¥15.91B	11.63	―	3.37%	3.18%	-23.51%
9051	76 Outperform	¥7.41B	25.66	―	1.05%	2.07%	-29.13%
9351	73 Outperform	¥15.56B	7.26	―	3.85%	4.96%	38.47%
9311	71 Outperform	¥13.03B	1.66	―	1.68%	-0.59%	75.89%
9355	68 Neutral	¥5.87B	5.71	―	1.44%	3.99%	151.49%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%