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NIPPON EXPRESS HOLDINGS,INC.
(9147)
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Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
¥5,226.00
▲(57.46% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/09/26
The score is driven primarily by middling financial performance: solid operating/free cash flow and modest revenue growth are offset by very thin net margins, low ROE, and elevated leverage. Technical indicators are mixed with slightly weak momentum, while valuation is the biggest drag due to the extremely high P/E despite a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Robust TTM operating cash flow (~¥196B) and free cash flow (~¥132B) provide durable internal funding for capex, network maintenance, dividends or debt reduction. The ~67% FCF-to-net-income conversion shows earnings translate to cash, supporting resilience and strategic optionality across cycles.
Negative Factors
Very thin net margins & low ROE
A TTM net margin near 0.7% and ROE around 2.2% limit retained earnings and shareholder returns. Persistently low net profitability reduces the firm’s ability to self-fund growth or build equity, leaves little buffer against demand shocks, and constrains long-term value creation for investors.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Robust TTM operating cash flow (~¥196B) and free cash flow (~¥132B) provide durable internal funding for capex, network maintenance, dividends or debt reduction. The ~67% FCF-to-net-income conversion shows earnings translate to cash, supporting resilience and strategic optionality across cycles.
Read all positive factors
NIPPON EXPRESS HOLDINGS,INC. (9147) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥1.28T
Dividend Yield1.89%
Average Volume (3M)920.58K
Price to Earnings (P/E)212.1
Beta (1Y)0.59
Revenue Growth-0.90%
EPS Growth-81.16%
CountryJP
Employees77,925
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryIntegrated Freight & Logistics
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)77.50
Shares Outstanding243,000,000
10 Day Avg. Volume749,370
30 Day Avg. Volume920,576
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-3.41
Price to Book (P/B)1.01
Price to Sales (P/S)0.32
P/FCF Ratio5.96
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)245.45
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥2.68T
NIPPON EXPRESS HOLDINGS,INC. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Nippon Express Holdings, Inc., and its affiliated entities, provide a comprehensive array of logistics services. The company's operations are segmented into Logistics, Security Transportation, Heavy Haulage & Construction, and Logistics Support. I...
How the Company Makes Money
NIPPON EXPRESS HOLDINGS generates revenue primarily by charging customers for logistics services across the supply chain. Key revenue streams include: (1) International freight forwarding and transport—fees and margins earned by arranging and mana...
NIPPON EXPRESS HOLDINGS,INC. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
61
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.66T | 2.57T | 2.58T | 2.24T | 2.62T | 2.35T |
| Gross Profit | 238.42B | 240.66B | 221.69B | 227.55B | 275.85B | 202.06B |
| EBITDA | 271.26B | 250.08B | 245.42B | 220.00B | 306.34B | 186.52B |
| Net Income | 18.37B | 2.69B | 31.73B | 37.05B | 108.32B | 72.07B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.36T | 2.41T | 2.30T | 2.11T | 2.08T | 1.62T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 223.46B | 283.39B | 251.34B | 315.08B | 276.68B | 193.09B |
| Total Debt | 870.11B | 878.83B | 795.93B | 734.38B | 631.66B | 380.32B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.50T | 1.57T | 1.42T | 1.29T | 1.30T | 961.26B |
| Stockholders Equity | 835.84B | 829.49B | 853.95B | 800.06B | 756.51B | 636.58B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 131.53B | 140.45B | 170.19B | 132.99B | 251.21B | -11.85B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 196.16B | 208.66B | 227.87B | 185.71B | 295.21B | 44.02B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 40.21B | -3.21B | -140.74B | -59.30B | 4.02B | 101.45B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -218.82B | -173.94B | -164.12B | -100.14B | -163.28B | -196.87B |
NIPPON EXPRESS HOLDINGS,INC. Technical Analysis
Positive
3319.00
Price Trends
5226.89
Negative
4629.90
Positive
4005.96
Positive
Market Momentum
-16.51
Positive
46.26
Neutral
20.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9147, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3319 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5355.50, below the 50-day MA of 5226.89, and below the 200-day MA of 4005.96, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -16.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9147.
NIPPON EXPRESS HOLDINGS,INC. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | ¥440.73B | 14.10 | 10.79% | 2.55% | 2.34% | 13.89% | |
66 Neutral | ¥569.63B | 13.17 | 14.67% | 2.81% | -3.94% | 16.95% | |
62 Neutral | ¥281.15B | 24.33 | ― | 1.28% | 6.67% | 10.45% | |
60 Neutral | ¥943.73B | 16.11 | 11.12% | 3.54% | 11.19% | 5.65% | |
59 Neutral | ¥375.30B | 19.40 | 8.75% | 2.50% | 5.27% | -5.87% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
51 Neutral | ¥1.28T | 212.14 | ― | 2.99% | -0.90% | -81.16% |
* General Sector Average
JP:9147
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NIPPON EXPRESS HOLDINGS,INC. Corporate Events
Nippon Express Revises Dividend Basis, Ties Payouts to Core Earnings
Aug 7, 2026
Nippon Express Holdings, Inc. announced a change to its dividend calculation standard, moving from a payout ratio based on profit attributable to owners of parent to a ratio based on adjusted profit that excludes gains and losses from real estate ...
Nippon Express Lifts 2026 Earnings Forecast on Logistics Recovery
Aug 7, 2026
Nippon Express Holdings, Inc. has raised its consolidated forecasts for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, reflecting improved expectations for its logistics business. The company now projects revenue of ¥2.75 trillion, operating profi...
Nippon Express lifts full-year outlook as interim profit surges
Aug 7, 2026
Nippon Express Holdings reported consolidated revenue of ¥1.36 trillion for the six months ended June 30, 2026, up 6.7% year on year, with operating profit jumping 56.7% to ¥44.8 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent surgin...
Nippon Express Advances Share Buyback, Acquires Over 5 Million Shares
Aug 5, 2026
Nippon Express Holdings has continued its share buyback program, acquiring 2,035,600 shares of common stock on the market between July 1 and July 31, 2026 for a total of about 11.0 billion yen. This transaction forms part of a broader authorizatio...
Nippon Express Accelerates Share Buyback Under ¥50 Billion Program
Jul 2, 2026
NIPPON EXPRESS HOLDINGS, INC., a leading Japanese logistics and freight forwarding group listed on the TSE Prime Market, provides a wide range of transport and supply chain services. Its operations underpin domestic and global trade flows for corp...
Nippon Express Launches Share Buyback, Acquires 1.3 Million Shares
Jun 2, 2026
Nippon Express Holdings, Inc. has acquired 1,295,400 shares of its own common stock between May 14 and May 31, 2026, at a total cost of about 6.35 billion yen. This transaction is part of a broader share buyback program authorized by the board tha...
Nippon Express to Buy Back Up to ¥50 Billion in Shares to Boost Capital Efficiency
May 13, 2026
Nippon Express Holdings has approved a treasury share buyback of up to 17 million shares, or 7% of its outstanding stock, with a ceiling of ¥50 billion, to be conducted via market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between May 14 and Novem...
Nippon Express Lifts 2026 Profit Outlook on Strong First-Quarter Earnings
May 13, 2026
Nippon Express Holdings reported consolidated first-quarter 2026 revenue of ¥652.3 billion, up 1.1% year on year, with operating profit jumping 32.3% to ¥15.0 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent surging to ¥4.6 billi...
Nippon Express Unveils ¥50 Billion Share Buyback to Boost Capital Efficiency
May 13, 2026
Nippon Express Holdings, Inc., a major logistics and transportation provider, is emphasizing higher capital efficiency under its NX Group Business Plan ~2028 Dynamic Growth 2.0, including a management target of achieving a return on equity of at l...
Nippon Express Lifts Profit, Confirms Dividend and Upgrades 2026 Outlook
May 13, 2026
Nippon Express Holdings reported consolidated first-quarter 2026 revenue of ¥652.3 billion, up 1.1% year on year, with operating profit rising 32.3% to ¥15.0 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent surging to ¥4.6 bi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.