Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. (9306) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥14.21B
• Dividend Yield: 3.04%
• Average Volume (3M): 7.78K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 10.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.58
• Revenue Growth: 4.45%
• EPS Growth: 29.58%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 729
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): 57.57
• Shares Outstanding: 7,864,990
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 4,530
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 7,780
• PEG Ratio: 0.84
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.42
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.39
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.91
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 80 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥2,432.00 ▲(31.67% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 10/23/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 10/23/25

Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. receives a strong overall stock score driven by its robust financial performance, positive technical indicators, and attractive valuation. The company's ability to maintain growth and financial health, combined with its appealing valuation metrics, positions it well for potential investors. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data did not impact the score.

Positive Factors

Cash generation

A large swing to positive free cash flow and a 175.4% FCF growth rate show durable improvement in cash conversion. A 2.2 operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates cash generation well above accounting profits, supporting reinvestment, debt service and shareholder returns over the medium term.

Balance sheet strength

A solid equity ratio above 50% and moderate leverage (D/E 0.57) provide financial flexibility and resilience to cyclical shocks common in logistics. This capital structure supports investment in network capacity and reduces refinancing risk, preserving strategic optionality for 2–6 months and beyond.

Steady revenue & margins

Consistent revenue growth and positive profitability metrics (EBITDA 12%, net margin 5.1%) indicate a viable operating model in integrated logistics. Margins are sufficient to cover fixed costs and fund modest expansion, supporting sustained operations and gradual margin improvement if cost control holds.

Negative Factors

Low ROE

A 5.6% return on equity points to modest profitability relative to the capital base and may reflect capital intensity or low pricing power. Persistently low ROE can constrain shareholder value creation and limit the company’s ability to attract capital without operational improvements or better capital allocation.

Modest, volatile margins

Thin gross and net margins and historical fluctuations in cost control reduce operating leverage and make profitability sensitive to fuel, labor, or freight-cycle swings. Sustained margin pressure would limit free cash flow durability and constrain reinvestment or dividend growth over the medium term.

Room to improve shareholder returns

Management has identified the need to improve cost discipline and shareholder returns. Without clearer capital-allocation actions (higher payouts or buybacks) or structural cost reductions, investor returns may remain muted and competitive positioning could lag peers in efficiency over the coming quarters.

Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. (9306) is a prominent logistics and transportation company based in Japan, specializing in providing comprehensive supply chain solutions. The company operates across various sectors, including freight forwarding, warehousing, and distribution services. Toyo Logistics is known for its advanced logistics technologies, which enhance operational efficiency and customer satisfaction, making it a key player in Japan's logistics industry.

How the Company Makes Money

Toyo Logistics generates revenue primarily through its logistics services, which encompass freight forwarding, warehousing, and transportation management. The company earns money by charging clients for the storage and handling of goods, transportation of freight, and logistics consulting. Key revenue streams include long-term contracts with large manufacturers and retailers, which provide stable income, as well as spot market transactions for ad-hoc shipping needs. Significant partnerships with major shipping lines and local carriers also enhance their service offerings and ensure competitive pricing, contributing to overall profitability.

Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. demonstrates solid financial performance with steady revenue growth, strong profitability, and excellent cash flow management. However, there is room for improvement in cost control and shareholder returns.

Income Statement

Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. has demonstrated steady revenue growth over the years, with a current year growth rate of 4.7%. The company maintains strong profitability metrics, with a gross profit margin of 7.5% and a net profit margin of 5.1% for the recent year. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 4.3% and 12.0%, respectively. While the revenue and margins are commendable, slight fluctuations in net income and gross profit margins over the years suggest some volatility in cost control.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. reflects a stable financial position with an equity ratio of 54.8%, indicating strong equity financing. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.57, showing moderate leverage. However, the company's ROE is at 5.6%, which, while positive, suggests room for improvement in terms of delivering higher returns on equity.

Cash Flow

The company showcases strong cash flow management with a significant improvement in free cash flow from negative to positive over the last year. The free cash flow growth rate is substantial at 175.4%, indicating effective capital expenditure control and improved operational efficiencies. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.2, demonstrating strong cash generation abilities relative to net earnings.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	29.41B	29.19B	27.88B	28.17B	28.37B	27.66B
Gross Profit	2.29B	2.19B	2.03B	2.13B	2.22B	1.89B
EBITDA	3.79B	3.50B	3.19B	3.25B	3.43B	3.12B
Net Income	1.70B	1.50B	1.37B	1.35B	1.44B	1.19B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	50.54B	48.59B	47.53B	45.83B	43.25B	42.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	7.21B	6.35B	6.56B	8.33B	7.67B	6.44B
Total Debt	17.21B	15.09B	16.08B	16.18B	14.27B	14.73B
Total Liabilities	23.61B	21.94B	22.34B	22.59B	21.07B	21.74B
Stockholders Equity	26.93B	26.65B	25.20B	23.24B	22.17B	21.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	1.03B	-1.37B	-748.95M	1.90B	1.87B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	3.24B	1.81B	2.65B	2.83B	3.08B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-2.01B	-3.08B	-3.36B	-816.68M	-1.14B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-1.44B	-508.71M	1.37B	-783.14M	237.15M

Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 1847.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9306, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1847 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2038.15, below the 50-day MA of 2026.74, and above the 200-day MA of 1804.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 18.81 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.95 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9306.

Toyo Logistics Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
9306	80 Outperform	¥14.21B	10.20	―	3.04%	4.45%	29.58%
9034	77 Outperform	¥17.19B	12.52	―	3.37%	3.18%	-23.51%
9051	76 Outperform	¥7.61B	22.88	―	1.05%	2.07%	-29.13%
9351	73 Outperform	¥15.88B	10.56	―	3.85%	4.96%	38.47%
9311	71 Outperform	¥13.26B	8.18	―	1.68%	-0.59%	75.89%
9355	68 Neutral	¥5.93B	7.96	―	1.44%	3.99%	151.49%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%