Niigata Kotsu Co., Ltd. (9017) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥8.04B
• Dividend Yield: 0.48%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.15K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 7.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.15
• Revenue Growth: 3.15%
• EPS Growth: 4.75%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 1,239
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Railroads
• EPS (TTM): 107.54
• Shares Outstanding: 3,864,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,530
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,146
• PEG Ratio: 3.40
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.42
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.40
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.11
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥2,303.00 ▲(10.19% Upside)

Niigata Kotsu Co., Ltd. scores well due to its strong financial performance and attractive valuation. These factors are partially offset by neutral technical signals. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events means these aspects have no impact on the score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates a strong market position and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial stability.

Cash Flow Generation

Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing the company to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt effectively.

Profitability

High profitability margins reflect efficient cost management and pricing power, contributing to sustainable earnings over the long term.

Negative Factors

Free Cash Flow Growth

Negative free cash flow growth may limit the company's ability to fund new projects or reduce debt, potentially impacting future financial health.

Debt Levels

While currently balanced, maintaining moderate debt levels is crucial to avoid financial strain and ensure long-term operational flexibility.

Equity Ratio

A relatively low equity ratio may indicate limited buffer against financial downturns, necessitating careful capital management to sustain growth.

Niigata Kotsu Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Niigata Kotsu Co., Ltd. (9017) is a prominent transportation company based in Niigata, Japan. It primarily operates in the public transportation sector, offering bus and taxi services across the Niigata Prefecture. The company is also involved in the logistics and tourism industries, providing chartered bus services and transportation solutions for various events and activities, making it a key player in the regional transportation landscape.

How the Company Makes Money

Niigata Kotsu generates revenue primarily through its core transportation services, including fare collections from bus and taxi operations. The company benefits from a steady stream of income from public transportation subsidies and contracts with local governments. Additional revenue is derived from charter services for events, tourism-related transportation, and logistics solutions. Partnerships with local businesses and tourism agencies enhance its service offerings, contributing to overall earnings through increased passenger volume and service diversification.

Niigata Kotsu Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Niigata Kotsu Co., Ltd. demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, healthy profit margins, and solid cash flow generation. The balance sheet shows a stable capital structure with moderate leverage. The company is well-positioned financially, but monitoring free cash flow trends will be important for future assessments.

Income Statement

Niigata Kotsu Co., Ltd. has shown consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase of around 3% from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin remains robust at 32%, and the company has improved its net profit margin to approximately 5.4% in 2025. The EBIT margin also shows a healthy trend at around 9.9%. These figures indicate strong profitability and efficient cost management.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.4, indicating a balanced leverage position. The return on equity (ROE) is healthy at 5.7%, reflecting efficient use of equity. The equity ratio stands at 33.7%, suggesting a stable capital structure with a good proportion of equity to assets.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.4, indicating robust cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is also positive at 1.43, further affirming strong cash flow dynamics. However, free cash flow growth rate was negative from 2024 to 2025, which could be a concern if it continues.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	20.20B	20.00B	19.42B	17.47B	14.44B	13.63B
Gross Profit	6.50B	6.41B	5.96B	5.29B	3.55B	2.70B
EBITDA	3.34B	3.36B	3.07B	2.86B	1.57B	1.03B
Net Income	1.12B	1.09B	1.06B	897.87M	-434.38M	-972.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	55.87B	56.42B	56.67B	56.79B	56.69B	57.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.55B	2.66B	2.71B	2.49B	2.52B	2.44B
Total Debt	25.65B	26.68B	27.76B	29.48B	30.66B	31.53B
Total Liabilities	36.65B	37.39B	38.58B	39.80B	40.42B	40.82B
Stockholders Equity	19.22B	19.03B	18.09B	16.99B	16.27B	16.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	1.56B	2.06B	1.32B	1.00B	-2.46B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	2.57B	2.88B	2.68B	2.14B	509.02M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-1.19B	-849.79M	-1.45B	-1.21B	-3.12B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-1.43B	-1.82B	-1.25B	-855.22M	3.29B

Niigata Kotsu Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 2090.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9017, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2090 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2092.10, below the 50-day MA of 2092.28, and above the 200-day MA of 2088.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9017.

Niigata Kotsu Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
9017	72 Outperform	¥8.04B	7.10	―	0.48%	3.15%	4.75%
9049	71 Outperform	¥14.47B	8.01	―	0.28%	1.75%	-8.92%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
9033	63 Neutral	¥18.28B	10.82	―	1.32%	1.70%	1841.47%
9081	62 Neutral	¥42.95B	13.64	―	2.49%	2.36%	-40.95%
9046	59 Neutral	¥19.88B	15.75	―	0.81%	1.24%	19.78%
9012	54 Neutral	¥3.10B	9.51	―	―	9.04%	―