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Niigata Kotsu Co., Ltd.
(9017)
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Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,195.00
▲(1.62% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:08/17/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (profitability recovery, revenue growth, and generally positive cash generation) tempered by elevated leverage and uneven free-cash-flow conversion. Valuation is a clear positive with a low P/E and meaningful dividend yield. Technical indicators are mostly neutral, with only modest momentum and the price still below the 200-day average.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Profit Recovery
Steady multi-year revenue growth and a return to positive net income reflect structural recovery in core passenger demand and better fare/mix dynamics. That improves cash flow runway, supports reinvestment in services and fleet, and materially reduces through-cycle business risk versus loss-making years.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Although improving, the company's debt burden is still material relative to equity, constraining strategic flexibility. High leverage heightens interest-rate and demand risks, may force prioritization of debt service over growth, and reduces resilience to sustained ridership or revenue shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & Profit Recovery
Steady multi-year revenue growth and a return to positive net income reflect structural recovery in core passenger demand and better fare/mix dynamics. That improves cash flow runway, supports reinvestment in services and fleet, and materially reduces through-cycle business risk versus loss-making years.
Read all positive factors
Niigata Kotsu Co., Ltd. (9017) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥7.65B
Dividend Yield0.5%
Average Volume (3M)1.15K
Price to Earnings (P/E)6.1
Beta (1Y)0.09
Revenue Growth2.06%
EPS Growth11.44%
CountryJP
Employees1,174
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryGeneral Transportation
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)326.35
Shares Outstanding3,864,000
10 Day Avg. Volume1,530
30 Day Avg. Volume1,146
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.17
Price to Book (P/B)0.38
Price to Sales (P/S)0.38
P/FCF Ratio3.79
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Niigata Kotsu Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Niigata Kotsu Co., Ltd. primarily operates within Japan's passenger transport sector. The company's diverse activities also encompass air travel agency services, parking facility management, and various tourism solutions. Furthermore, its business...
How the Company Makes Money
Niigata Kotsu generates revenue primarily by providing passenger transportation services. Key earnings drivers typically include (1) fare revenue from scheduled bus routes (commuter, local, and intercity services where applicable), collected direc...
Niigata Kotsu Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 20.61B | 20.33B | 20.00B | 19.42B | 17.47B | 14.44B |
| Gross Profit | 6.96B | 6.76B | 6.09B | 5.61B | 4.99B | 3.28B |
| EBITDA | 3.57B | 3.50B | 3.36B | 3.13B | 2.98B | 1.60B |
| Net Income | 1.25B | 1.15B | 1.09B | 1.06B | 897.87M | -434.38M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 54.50B | 56.89B | 56.45B | 56.72B | 56.79B | 56.77B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.76B | 2.62B | 2.66B | 2.71B | 2.49B | 2.52B |
| Total Debt | 22.57B | 25.53B | 26.68B | 27.76B | 29.48B | 30.66B |
| Total Liabilities | 34.02B | 36.70B | 37.42B | 38.63B | 39.81B | 40.50B |
| Stockholders Equity | 20.48B | 20.19B | 19.03B | 18.09B | 16.99B | 16.27B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 2.03B | 1.56B | 2.06B | 1.32B | 1.00B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 2.81B | 2.57B | 2.88B | 2.68B | 2.14B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -899.84M | -1.19B | -849.79M | -1.45B | -1.21B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -1.95B | -1.43B | -1.82B | -1.25B | -855.22M |
Niigata Kotsu Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
2160.00
Price Trends
1988.80
Positive
1988.21
Positive
2045.63
Negative
Market Momentum
1.64
Positive
47.68
Neutral
17.12
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9017, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2160 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2003.05, above the 50-day MA of 1988.80, and above the 200-day MA of 2045.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.64 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.12 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9017.
Niigata Kotsu Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | ¥7.65B | 6.10 | ― | 0.47% | 2.06% | 11.44% | |
65 Neutral | ¥238.16B | 6.71 | 12.18% | 1.68% | 10.01% | 48.37% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
59 Neutral | ¥19.92B | 14.16 | ― | 0.81% | 4.75% | 17.17% | |
58 Neutral | ¥47.49B | 12.51 | ― | 2.58% | 5.94% | 10.57% | |
57 Neutral | ¥19.19B | 12.65 | ― | 1.28% | 18.12% | 2.46% | |
54 Neutral | ¥3.12B | 6.20 | ― | ― | 7.10% | 352.24% |
* Industrials Sector Average
JP:9017
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.