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Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd. (JP:9012)
:9012
Japanese Market
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Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd. (9012) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9012

Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd.

(9012)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,155.00
▲(6.26% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/19/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—improving profitability and steady revenue growth, offset by negative free cash flow and a volatile track record—while technical signals remain weak. Valuation is a key positive due to the low P/E, but there is no dividend yield data to add support.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth & improving profitability
Sustained mid-single-digit revenue growth and a material profitability recovery in 2026 indicate the core rail and ancillary businesses are regaining margin traction. This durability supports earnings stability, better operating leverage, and provides a foundation for continued reinvestment across the network over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative free cash flow
Consistent negative free cash flow erodes liquidity and forces reliance on external financing or asset adjustments to fund capex and operations. Over a multi-quarter horizon this constrains reinvestment in infrastructure, raises refinancing risk, and limits the firm's flexibility to absorb shocks or pursue growth initiatives without raising cost of capital.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth & improving profitability
Sustained mid-single-digit revenue growth and a material profitability recovery in 2026 indicate the core rail and ancillary businesses are regaining margin traction. This durability supports earnings stability, better operating leverage, and provides a foundation for continued reinvestment across the network over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd. (9012) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd. (9012) is a Japanese railway company that operates primarily in the Saitama Prefecture, specializing in local and regional rail transport services. The company provides passenger transportation through its train services...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by operating its railway business, generating fare revenue from passenger transportation along its rail lines. It also earns revenue from freight transportation services carried on its railway network. In addition...

Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Recent revenue growth and improved profitability into 2026 support the score, but it is held back by a volatile multi-year history (including deep losses in 2023), moderate-to-elevated leverage, and persistently negative free cash flow in 2024–2026.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
36
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.31B5.64B5.28B4.91B4.69B4.35B
Gross Profit1.56B1.86B1.57B1.34B987.42M981.00M
EBITDA418.79M740.82M396.38M414.55M-5.73B217.55M
Net Income110.80M383.26M115.59M92.57M-5.05B-47.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.42B17.69B16.90B16.45B16.95B23.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments892.82M790.99M1.08B981.76M810.76M749.34M
Total Debt5.55B5.40B5.58B5.63B5.52B5.48B
Total Liabilities11.35B12.17B11.90B11.52B11.94B13.67B
Stockholders Equity5.08B5.52B5.00B4.92B5.02B10.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-471.56M-116.08M-704.72M-787.62M-1.69B
Operating Cash Flow0.00310.65M538.27M34.28M333.38M-724.16M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-477.89M-406.07M19.96M-299.67M-754.97M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-119.53M-36.22M116.76M27.71M959.98M

Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2028.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2145.14
Negative
100DMA
2129.12
Negative
200DMA
2087.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-12.10
Positive
RSI
42.08
Neutral
STOCH
11.06
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9012, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2028 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2161.00, below the 50-day MA of 2145.14, and below the 200-day MA of 2087.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -12.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.06 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9012.

Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥14.49B8.510.26%2.92%5.59%
64
Neutral
¥7.49B6.680.47%1.67%5.71%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
¥42.82B11.082.17%4.27%33.45%
54
Neutral
¥3.13B8.286.85%231.61%
54
Neutral
¥19.39B13.170.81%5.49%29.14%
50
Neutral
¥18.46B16.201.33%11.16%-16.05%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9012
Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd.
2,106.00
56.00
2.73%
JP:9017
Niigata Kotsu Co., Ltd.
1,951.00
-80.85
-3.98%
JP:9033
Hiroshima Electric Railway Co., Ltd.
607.00
11.55
1.94%
JP:9046
Kobe Electric Railway Co., Ltd.
2,402.00
177.83
8.00%
JP:9049
Keifuku Electric Railroad Co., Ltd.
7,290.00
607.07
9.08%
JP:9052
Sanyo Electric Railway Co., Ltd.
1,909.00
-62.77
-3.18%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 19, 2026