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Tobu Railway Co
(9001)
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Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,958.00
▲(10.04% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/02/26
The score is driven primarily by improving profitability but constrained by weak free-cash-flow quality and a still debt-heavy balance sheet. Technical indicators add near-term pressure, while the low P/E and dividend yield provide valuation support.
Positive Factors
Diversified business model
Tobu's integrated mix of transport, station-area retail, real estate development and leisure creates recurring, cross-supporting cash flows. Station-centric property and retail monetize ridership long-term, lowering single-segment risk and enabling revenue resilience through commuter and non-commuter cycles.
Negative Factors
Weak free cash flow quality
Negative and volatile free cash flow despite profitable results restricts internal funding for capex, debt paydown, and dividends. Persistent FCF weakness signals higher investment or working-capital needs and reduces the firm's ability to convert accounting profits into durable liquidity.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified business model
Tobu's integrated mix of transport, station-area retail, real estate development and leisure creates recurring, cross-supporting cash flows. Station-centric property and retail monetize ridership long-term, lowering single-segment risk and enabling revenue resilience through commuter and non-commuter cycles.
Read all positive factors
Tobu Railway Co (9001) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥583.22B
Dividend Yield2.49%
Average Volume (3M)523.65K
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.6
Beta (1Y)0.45
Revenue Growth3.80%
EPS Growth11.76%
CountryJP
Employees18,148
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryRailroads
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)283.34
Shares Outstanding197,266,820
10 Day Avg. Volume528,550
30 Day Avg. Volume523,646
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.85
Price to Book (P/B)0.91
Price to Sales (P/S)0.85
P/FCF Ratio-289.31
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)282.53
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥674.34B
Tobu Railway Co Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Established in 1896 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, Tobu Railway Co., Ltd. manages an extensive private rail network throughout the Kanto region. Beyond its core transportation business, the company has diversified into several sectors, includi...
How the Company Makes Money
Tobu Railway generates earnings through multiple, mutually reinforcing business segments. (1) Railway/transportation: The core revenue stream is passenger fare income from commuting, regional, and limited-express services on its rail network; addi...
Tobu Railway Co Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 655.43B | 631.46B | 635.96B | 614.75B | 506.02B |
| Gross Profit | 202.19B | 180.44B | 177.31B | 156.04B | 119.56B |
| EBITDA | 142.97B | 135.72B | 126.80B | 104.55B | 85.68B |
| Net Income | 55.62B | 51.33B | 48.16B | 29.18B | 13.45B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 1.86T | 1.76T | 1.71T | 1.75T | 1.73T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 44.37B | 35.11B | 31.45B | 69.25B | 46.07B |
| Total Debt | 788.99B | 782.87B | 752.45B | 798.41B | 811.74B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.24T | 1.20T | 1.17T | 1.27T | 1.27T |
| Stockholders Equity | 615.61B | 554.51B | 535.69B | 474.75B | 452.57B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -1.94B | -20.81B | 8.76B | 43.85B | 12.87B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 106.64B | 90.07B | 91.69B | 101.11B | 66.85B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -82.72B | -86.78B | -61.63B | -52.71B | -30.96B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -14.65B | 321.00M | -67.92B | -25.29B | -35.01B |
Tobu Railway Co Technical Analysis
Positive
2688.00
Price Trends
2853.46
Positive
2883.15
Positive
2747.75
Positive
Market Momentum
30.47
Negative
65.34
Neutral
84.94
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9001, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2688 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2908.68, below the 50-day MA of 2853.46, and below the 200-day MA of 2747.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 30.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.94 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9001.
Tobu Railway Co Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
62 Neutral | ¥641.29B | 12.62 | 13.92% | 1.50% | 4.11% | -30.52% | |
62 Neutral | ¥1.36T | 10.72 | 11.29% | 3.00% | 8.07% | 15.55% | |
62 Neutral | ¥317.49B | 12.95 | ― | 1.61% | 1.51% | 14.49% | |
60 Neutral | ¥4.02T | 16.45 | 7.85% | 1.69% | 6.83% | 10.66% | |
58 Neutral | ¥614.38B | 15.99 | 8.51% | 2.96% | -0.94% | -26.46% | |
57 Neutral | ¥583.22B | 10.63 | 9.94% | 2.49% | 3.80% | 11.76% |
* Industrials Sector Average
JP:9001
Tobu Railway Co
2,997.00
557.71
22.86%
JP:9020
East Japan Railway Company
3,580.00
476.07
15.34%
JP:9009
Keisei Electric Railway Co
1,257.00
10.73
0.86%
JP:9007
Odakyu Electric Railway Co
1,719.50
156.21
9.99%
JP:9021
West Japan Railway Company
2,973.50
-157.39
-5.03%
JP:9044
Nankai Electric Railway Co., Ltd.
2,951.50
795.33
36.89%
Tobu Railway Co Corporate Events
Tobu Railway Lifts Year-End Dividend Forecast on Stronger Earnings
Apr 30, 2026
Tobu Railway Co., Ltd. has revised its dividend policy for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, raising its planned year-end ordinary dividend from ¥35.00 to ¥37.50 per share. Combined with the previously paid interim dividend of ¥...
Tobu Railway Lifts Earnings and Dividends as Balance Sheet Strengthens
Apr 30, 2026
Tobu Railway reported consolidated operating revenue of ¥655.4 billion for the year ended March 31, 2026, up 3.8% year on year, while operating and ordinary profit declined modestly, but profit attributable to owners of the parent rose 8.4% t...
Tobu Railway Reshapes Top Management to Drive Medium-Term Plan
Mar 25, 2026
Tobu Railway has announced changes to its representative directors as part of efforts to accelerate its medium-term business plan for 2024–2027 and advance its long-term management vision of evolving communities along its railway lines. Chai...
Tobu Railway Funds Additional Share Purchases for Board Compensation Trust
Feb 4, 2026
Tobu Railway’s board authorized a fresh trust contribution to its existing board benefit trust, allowing the trustee to buy up to 162,200 common shares worth ¥452 million between February 13 and 27, 2026 for stock-based pay to eligible ...
Tobu Railway Lifts Year-End Dividend Forecast on Strengthening Earnings
Feb 4, 2026
Tobu Railway raised its March 31, 2026 year-end dividend forecast to ¥35.00 per share, citing stronger-than-expected earnings momentum from strategic initiatives under its long-term vision; the higher payout lifts the annual dividend outlook ...
Tobu Railway nudges FY2026 guidance higher on retail and hotel strength
Feb 4, 2026
The company raised its fiscal 2026 guidance after third-quarter trends showed stronger department store and hotel demand, now projecting ¥653 billion in revenue, ¥70 billion in operating profit, and ¥52 billion in net income—m...
Tobu Railway Balances Revenue Growth With Margin Pressure
Feb 4, 2026
Consolidated revenue for the nine months to 31 December 2025 rose 3.8% to ¥475.9 billion as tourism-linked transport demand lifted top-line growth, yet operating profit slipped 3.9% to ¥58.2 billion and ordinary profit fell 4.8% amid hig...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.