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Tobu Railway Co Ltd (JP:9001)
:9001
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Tobu Railway Co (9001) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9001

Tobu Railway Co

(9001)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,958.00
▲(10.04% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/02/26
The score is driven primarily by improving profitability but constrained by weak free-cash-flow quality and a still debt-heavy balance sheet. Technical indicators add near-term pressure, while the low P/E and dividend yield provide valuation support.
Positive Factors
Diversified business model
Tobu's integrated mix of transport, station-area retail, real estate development and leisure creates recurring, cross-supporting cash flows. Station-centric property and retail monetize ridership long-term, lowering single-segment risk and enabling revenue resilience through commuter and non-commuter cycles.
Negative Factors
Weak free cash flow quality
Negative and volatile free cash flow despite profitable results restricts internal funding for capex, debt paydown, and dividends. Persistent FCF weakness signals higher investment or working-capital needs and reduces the firm's ability to convert accounting profits into durable liquidity.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified business model
Tobu's integrated mix of transport, station-area retail, real estate development and leisure creates recurring, cross-supporting cash flows. Station-centric property and retail monetize ridership long-term, lowering single-segment risk and enabling revenue resilience through commuter and non-commuter cycles.
Read all positive factors

Tobu Railway Co (9001) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tobu Railway Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tobu Railway Co., Ltd. operates a private rail system in the Kanto region. The company offer services, such as sightseeing; operates amusement parks and tourism business. It also manages the Courtyard by Marriott, Tokyo Ginza hotel, and the Tobu H...
How the Company Makes Money
Tobu Railway generates earnings through multiple, mutually reinforcing business segments. (1) Railway/transportation: The core revenue stream is passenger fare income from commuting, regional, and limited-express services on its rail network; addi...

Tobu Railway Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (score 74) reflects a strong recovery from the 2021 loss and improved margins, but balance-sheet leverage remains elevated (score 62, debt-to-equity ~1.28x). Cash flow is the key weakness (score 45) with inconsistent and recently negative free cash flow (2025–2026), reducing financial flexibility despite higher profits.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue630.16B655.43B631.46B635.96B614.75B506.02B
Gross Profit196.62B202.19B180.44B177.31B156.04B119.56B
EBITDA126.02B127.08B128.16B127.19B110.43B80.69B
Net Income50.43B55.62B51.33B48.16B29.18B13.45B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.75T1.86T1.76T1.71T1.75T1.73T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.78B44.37B35.11B31.45B69.25B46.07B
Total Debt792.93B788.99B782.87B752.45B798.41B811.74B
Total Liabilities1.18T1.24T1.20T1.17T1.27T1.27T
Stockholders Equity559.30B615.61B554.51B535.69B474.75B452.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-1.94B-20.81B8.76B43.85B12.87B
Operating Cash Flow0.00106.64B90.07B91.69B101.11B66.85B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-82.72B-86.78B-61.63B-52.71B-30.96B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-14.65B321.00M-67.92B-25.29B-35.01B

Tobu Railway Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2688.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2870.65
Positive
100DMA
2824.13
Positive
200DMA
2691.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-12.23
Negative
RSI
54.75
Neutral
STOCH
66.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9001, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2688 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2829.93, below the 50-day MA of 2870.65, and below the 200-day MA of 2691.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -12.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9001.

Tobu Railway Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
¥544.56B25.0513.92%1.50%4.11%-30.52%
62
Neutral
¥1.25T11.2611.29%3.00%8.07%15.81%
62
Neutral
¥314.19B13.491.61%1.51%14.84%
60
Neutral
¥4.17T35.967.85%1.69%6.83%10.68%
58
Neutral
¥600.43B15.208.51%2.96%-0.94%-26.46%
57
Neutral
¥553.91B17.499.94%2.49%3.80%11.82%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9001
Tobu Railway Co
2,883.50
353.90
13.99%
JP:9020
East Japan Railway Company
3,788.00
769.94
25.51%
JP:9009
Keisei Electric Railway Co
1,113.50
-397.61
-26.31%
JP:9007
Odakyu Electric Railway Co
1,719.00
205.21
13.56%
JP:9021
West Japan Railway Company
2,756.50
-254.86
-8.46%
JP:9044
Nankai Electric Railway Co., Ltd.
2,956.00
825.88
38.77%

Tobu Railway Co Corporate Events

Tobu Railway Lifts Year-End Dividend Forecast on Stronger Earnings
Apr 30, 2026
Tobu Railway Co., Ltd. has revised its dividend policy for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, raising its planned year-end ordinary dividend from ¥35.00 to ¥37.50 per share. Combined with the previously paid interim dividend of ¥...
Tobu Railway Lifts Earnings and Dividends as Balance Sheet Strengthens
Apr 30, 2026
Tobu Railway reported consolidated operating revenue of ¥655.4 billion for the year ended March 31, 2026, up 3.8% year on year, while operating and ordinary profit declined modestly, but profit attributable to owners of the parent rose 8.4% t...
Tobu Railway Reshapes Top Management to Drive Medium-Term Plan
Mar 25, 2026
Tobu Railway has announced changes to its representative directors as part of efforts to accelerate its medium-term business plan for 2024–2027 and advance its long-term management vision of evolving communities along its railway lines. Chai...
Tobu Railway Funds Additional Share Purchases for Board Compensation Trust
Feb 4, 2026
Tobu Railway’s board authorized a fresh trust contribution to its existing board benefit trust, allowing the trustee to buy up to 162,200 common shares worth ¥452 million between February 13 and 27, 2026 for stock-based pay to eligible ...
Tobu Railway Lifts Year-End Dividend Forecast on Strengthening Earnings
Feb 4, 2026
Tobu Railway raised its March 31, 2026 year-end dividend forecast to ¥35.00 per share, citing stronger-than-expected earnings momentum from strategic initiatives under its long-term vision; the higher payout lifts the annual dividend outlook ...
Tobu Railway nudges FY2026 guidance higher on retail and hotel strength
Feb 4, 2026
The company raised its fiscal 2026 guidance after third-quarter trends showed stronger department store and hotel demand, now projecting ¥653 billion in revenue, ¥70 billion in operating profit, and ¥52 billion in net income—m...
Tobu Railway Balances Revenue Growth With Margin Pressure
Feb 4, 2026
Consolidated revenue for the nine months to 31 December 2025 rose 3.8% to ¥475.9 billion as tourism-linked transport demand lifted top-line growth, yet operating profit slipped 3.9% to ¥58.2 billion and ordinary profit fell 4.8% amid hig...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 02, 2026