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T&D Holdings Inc (JP:8795)
:8795

T&D Holdings (8795) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8795

T&D Holdings

(8795)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
¥4,098.00
▼(-2.75% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:10/11/25
T&D Holdings' overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with strong balance sheet metrics but significant cash flow concerns. Technical indicators suggest a neutral to bearish outlook, while the valuation is reasonable with a fair P/E ratio and a decent dividend yield. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
A conservative balance sheet with low leverage, a healthy equity ratio and improving ROE provides durable financial resilience. This structural strength supports regulatory capital, preserves underwriting capacity in stress, and maintains strategic optionality for investments or acquisitions.
Strong operating margins
Maintained high gross profit and improving EBIT/EBITDA margins point to core underwriting and operating efficiency gains. Durable margin improvement reduces reliance on volatile investment income and supports sustainable cash generation from core insurance operations over the medium term.
Scale in Japanese life market
As a Japan-focused life insurance holding with large operations and distribution scale, the group benefits from policyholder diversification and established distribution. Scale supports steady premium flows and underwriting breadth, reinforcing a competitive domestic franchise over time.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline
A severe reported revenue decline materially reduces top-line scale and may reflect shrinking premiums or investment income shortfalls. Persistent revenue weakness erodes economies of scale, strains reserve funding and limits resources available for product investment and distribution expansion.
Negative operating and free cash flow
Consistent negative operating and free cash flows create structural liquidity risks for an insurer that must meet long-dated liabilities. Weak cash generation increases reliance on investment returns or capital injections, constraining dividend policy and limiting capacity to absorb underwriting shocks.
Low, volatile net margins
Low and volatile net margins coupled with inconsistent revenue point to earnings unpredictability and operational inefficiencies. For life insurers this complicates reserve setting, pricing discipline and long-term capital planning, reducing confidence in sustainable underwriting returns.

T&D Holdings (8795) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

T&D Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionT&D Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides life insurance products and services primarily in Japan. It offers comprehensive coverage, including death benefit and medical/nursing care products through in-house sales representatives for household customers; term life insurance, disability insurance, etc. through in-house sales representatives and agents for small and medium enterprises; and savings and protection type products through financial institutions and insurance shops for independent insurance agent market, as well as pet and family insurance. The company also provides policy holder confirmation services; insurance agency services; survey and research services for health and medical care; investment management, advisory, and trust services; and leasing and credit guarantee services. In addition, it offers life insurance policy clerical services, including drafting, amendment, custody and distribution of documents, and delivery of securities; and computer software and system services. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyT&D Holdings makes money mainly through its life insurance businesses. Key revenue and earnings drivers include: (1) Insurance premiums: customers pay premiums for life insurance policies and related coverage, forming the core inflow to the operating insurance subsidiaries. (2) Investment income: the group invests the insurance float (premium reserves and other funds held to meet future policy obligations) in financial assets; returns such as interest, dividends, and realized/unrealized gains contribute to profitability and help support policy benefits. (3) Fees and other insurance-related income: the group may earn policy-related fees and charges associated with underwriting and policy administration; specific fee categories and magnitudes are not available here (null). (4) Underwriting and risk management results: profitability is influenced by the spread between premiums collected and claims/benefits paid, operating expenses, and changes in actuarial reserves. In addition, the holding-company structure typically allows earnings to be upstreamed from subsidiaries (e.g., via dividends) and allocated across the group; specific intercompany arrangements are not available here (null). Information on significant external partnerships contributing to earnings is not available here (null).

T&D Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
T&D Holdings shows a mixed financial performance. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage and a healthy equity ratio, but income statement challenges include inconsistent revenue growth and low net profit margins. Cash flow issues are significant, with negative operating and free cash flows indicating potential liquidity risks.
Income Statement
65
Positive
T&D Holdings has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has maintained a high gross profit margin, indicating strong revenue generation relative to cost. However, the net profit margin has been relatively low and volatile, reflecting challenges in controlling expenses or other operational inefficiencies. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a notable decline in the most recent year, which could be a concern for future profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved over time, suggesting some operational improvements.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet of T&D Holdings is relatively strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio indicating conservative leverage and financial stability. The return on equity has shown improvement, suggesting better utilization of shareholder funds, although it remains moderate. The equity ratio is healthy, reflecting a solid capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow performance has been a weak point for T&D Holdings. The company has experienced negative operating and free cash flows in recent years, which could indicate liquidity challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that the company is generating cash relative to its net income, but the overall negative cash flow trend is concerning. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has been inconsistent, further highlighting cash flow management issues.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.02T2.89T2.80T2.51T2.18T2.13T
Gross Profit2.19T2.07T1.98T1.59T1.33T1.32T
EBITDA169.20B192.98B157.54B-81.06B44.82B159.02B
Net Income115.92B126.41B98.78B-132.15B14.18B108.51B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.34T16.62T17.21T16.77T17.81T17.88T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.89T778.68B1.14T1.14T890.67B1.02T
Total Debt221.99B186.34B21.52B184.82B231.28B211.86B
Total Liabilities15.72T15.31T15.80T15.78T16.42T16.32T
Stockholders Equity1.62T1.30T1.40T987.17B1.38T1.49T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-379.46B247.25B-329.92B-404.87B489.40B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-359.87B262.75B-307.63B-396.88B500.49B
Investing Cash Flow0.0094.27B-180.25B665.96B283.20B-261.46B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-87.34B-79.23B-106.58B-57.75B-72.13B

T&D Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4214.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3920.72
Negative
100DMA
3691.04
Positive
200DMA
3600.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-60.48
Positive
RSI
42.83
Neutral
STOCH
30.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8795, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4214 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3899.40, above the 50-day MA of 3920.72, and above the 200-day MA of 3600.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -60.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:8795.

T&D Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥2.01T3.0120.02%2.63%23.96%179.16%
72
Outperform
¥1.69T17.602.44%-21.38%58.05%
69
Neutral
¥52.97B19.366.16%1.10%13.99%85.66%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
¥169.28B22.1520.22%19.40%
67
Neutral
¥5.15T7.3610.61%3.26%-8.02%5.21%
61
Neutral
¥1.60T10.627.91%2.74%-1.96%10.32%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8795
T&D Holdings
3,735.00
625.39
20.11%
JP:8750
Dai-ichi Life Holdings
1,400.00
290.64
26.20%
JP:8473
SBI Holdings
3,046.00
984.50
47.76%
JP:7326
SBI Insurance Group Co., Ltd.
2,134.00
1,014.43
90.61%
JP:7157
Lifenet Insurance Company
2,107.00
398.00
23.29%
JP:7181
JAPAN POST INSURANCE Co., Ltd.
4,709.00
1,693.03
56.14%

T&D Holdings Corporate Events

T&D Holdings Lifts Revenue and Dividend Outlook on Strong Premium Growth
Mar 17, 2026

T&D Holdings has raised its consolidated ordinary revenue forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, to ¥3.42 trillion, up 13.6% from its previous projection, driven by stronger-than-expected income from insurance premiums, particularly higher sales of single-premium products. While revenue expectations and earnings per share have been revised upward, forecasts for ordinary profit, profit attributable to owners of parent and Group adjusted profit remain unchanged, signaling improved top-line momentum without altering the company’s underlying earnings outlook.

The insurer also lifted its dividend forecast, revising the planned year-end payout to ¥68 per share and the full-year dividend to ¥130, reflecting a new policy to return roughly 60% of the five-year average Group adjusted profit to shareholders. Combined with the completed share buyback, the higher dividend underscores a stronger shareholder return stance and will be submitted for approval at the June 2026 ordinary general meeting of shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8795) stock is a Hold with a Yen4001.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on T&D Holdings stock, see the JP:8795 Stock Forecast page.

T&D Holdings Completes ¥100 Billion Share Buyback Program
Mar 10, 2026

T&D Holdings, Inc., the core company of the T&D Insurance Group, has completed a share buyback program authorized under its Articles of Incorporation and the Companies Act of Japan. The company repurchased 1,812,900 common shares for approximately ¥7.05 billion between March 1 and March 9, 2026, through open-market transactions using a discretionary trading method.

This latest tranche concludes the treasury share acquisition plan approved by the board on March 31, 2025, which allowed for up to 50 million shares or ¥100 billion. In total, T&D acquired 27,980,400 shares for about ¥100 billion, signaling an active capital management strategy that can bolster earnings per share and shareholder returns, and may support its valuation in the Japanese insurance sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8795) stock is a Hold with a Yen3934.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on T&D Holdings stock, see the JP:8795 Stock Forecast page.

T&D Holdings Nears Limit of ¥100 Billion Share Buyback Authorization
Mar 2, 2026

T&D Holdings has continued its share buyback program, acquiring 2,425,300 shares of common stock for approximately 9.82 billion yen between February 1 and February 28, 2026, via open-market repurchases using a discretionary trading method. This latest tranche brings total repurchases under the current board authorization to 26,167,500 shares and about 92.95 billion yen, signaling an ongoing effort to return capital to shareholders and potentially bolster earnings per share and capital efficiency.

The buyback is being executed under a board resolution approved in March 2025 that permits repurchases of up to 50 million shares, or 9.79% of outstanding stock excluding treasury shares, and up to 100 billion yen through March 31, 2026. By nearing the upper limit of the authorized amount, T&D Holdings underscores its commitment to shareholder returns and balance sheet optimization, which may strengthen its valuation and competitive standing within Japan’s insurance industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8795) stock is a Hold with a Yen4340.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on T&D Holdings stock, see the JP:8795 Stock Forecast page.

T&D Holdings Reshapes Board Leadership to Strengthen Governance
Feb 27, 2026

T&D Holdings, Inc. has approved a governance-driven change to its leadership structure, separating the roles of supervision and execution as it enters a new Long-Term Vision from fiscal 2026. The company will transfer the position of Chairman of the Board from the Representative Director and President to a non-representative Director and Chairman, effective April 1, 2026.

Under the reshuffle, Hirohisa Uehara will become Director and Chairman, moving from his current role as Representative Director and Chairman. President Masahiko Moriyama will remain Representative Director and President as T&D Holdings seeks to strengthen its corporate governance in line with Japan’s Corporate Governance Code and bolster long-term corporate value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8795) stock is a Hold with a Yen4111.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on T&D Holdings stock, see the JP:8795 Stock Forecast page.

T&D Holdings Posts Modest Profit, Raises Dividend and Expands Group Scope
Feb 13, 2026

T&D Holdings reported consolidated ordinary revenues of ¥2.61 trillion for the nine months to 31 December 2025, up 3%, with ordinary profit roughly flat at ¥180.3 billion and profit attributable to owners down 9.8% to ¥108.7 billion, while total assets and equity ratio improved. Despite lower nine-month profit and earnings per share, the group lifted interim and projected full-year dividends to ¥62 and ¥124 per share, maintained its earnings forecast for FY2025, highlighted growth in group adjusted profit, and expanded its consolidation scope by adding Viridium Group and other entities, underscoring an ongoing push to enhance shareholder returns and scale.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8795) stock is a Hold with a Yen4307.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on T&D Holdings stock, see the JP:8795 Stock Forecast page.

T&D Holdings Continues Large-Scale Share Buyback Program in January 2026
Feb 2, 2026

T&D Holdings has continued its share buyback program, acquiring 1,480,600 shares of common stock on the open market between January 1 and January 31, 2026, at a total cost of approximately 5.6 billion yen under the discretionary trading method. This brings cumulative repurchases under the current board authorization, which allows for up to 50 million shares or 100 billion yen in buybacks through March 31, 2026, to 23,742,200 shares totaling about 83.1 billion yen, signaling an ongoing capital return initiative that may support shareholder value and optimize the company’s capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8795) stock is a Hold with a Yen3917.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on T&D Holdings stock, see the JP:8795 Stock Forecast page.

T&D Holdings Reports Large Unrealized Bond Losses but Keeps Earnings Outlook Unchanged
Jan 29, 2026

T&D Holdings has disclosed that unrealized losses on its assessed securities, primarily held-to-maturity and policy-reserve-matching bonds, totaled ¥1,603.8 billion as of December 31, 2025, far exceeding its most recent full-year consolidated ordinary profit and profit attributable to owners of the parent. Despite this large mark-to-market loss, the company is maintaining its earnings and dividend forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, emphasizing that these bonds are held against insurance liabilities whose economic value declines as interest rates rise, thereby offsetting the impact and leaving the group’s financial soundness and capital position essentially unaffected in the near term.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8795) stock is a Hold with a Yen3835.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on T&D Holdings stock, see the JP:8795 Stock Forecast page.

T&D Holdings Advances Large-Scale Share Buyback, Reaches ¥77.5 Billion in Repurchases
Jan 5, 2026

T&D Holdings has disclosed that it repurchased 731,200 of its own common shares on the open market between December 1 and December 31, 2025, at a total cost of about ¥2.56 billion, under a board-approved share buyback program. This transaction forms part of a larger authorization decided in March 2025 to buy back up to 50 million shares or ¥100 billion by March 31, 2026, under which the company had cumulatively acquired 22,261,600 shares for approximately ¥77.5 billion as of the end of December, signaling continued execution of its capital management strategy and a focus on shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8795) stock is a Hold with a Yen3775.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on T&D Holdings stock, see the JP:8795 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 11, 2025