GFA Co., Ltd. (8783) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥8.04B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.61M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 0.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.61
• Revenue Growth: -17.04%
• EPS Growth: 46.36%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 88
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Asset Management
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 37,281,120
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 637,200
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,606,993
• PEG Ratio: 0.02
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.32
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 44 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥210.00 ▼(-12.13% Downside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/14/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/14/26

The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, persistent losses, and negative operating/free cash flow, alongside high leverage). Technical indicators provide only partial support with short-term strength but a weaker long-term trend. Valuation cannot be assessed due to missing P/E and dividend yield data, keeping that factor neutral.

Positive Factors

Improving equity position

An improving equity ratio reflects a stronger capital base, providing a buffer against losses and improving solvency metrics. Over the next 2-6 months this stabilization can reduce immediate default risk, support creditor confidence and preserve financing optionality while the company addresses cash burn.

Exchange listing

A Tokyo Stock Exchange listing provides structural access to public capital markets and regulatory oversight, enhancing credibility. Over months this supports potential capital raises or equity transactions and gives the company formal channels to pursue strategic recapitalization if needed.

Asset management business model

As an asset management firm, the core model can generate recurring fee revenue tied to assets under management and client relationships. If asset levels stabilize, recurring fees and operating leverage can help rebuild sustainable margins and cash generation over a multi-month recovery horizon.

Negative Factors

Declining revenue

Sustained revenue decline erodes the company’s ability to cover fixed costs and realize operating leverage. Over 2-6 months, continued top-line deterioration will compress margins, limit reinvestment capacity, and make recovery dependent on either material revenue restoration or structural cost reductions.

Negative operating and free cash flow

Persistent negative operating and free cash flows indicate ongoing cash burn that restricts reinvestment and forces dependence on external financing. In the medium term this undermines liquidity, raises refinancing risk, and constrains the firm's ability to execute strategic improvements.

High leverage and negative ROE

High leverage combined with negative ROE heightens financial fragility: interest obligations limit margin recovery and magnify earnings volatility. Over months this reduces financial flexibility, elevates refinancing risks and complicates capital allocation decisions needed for a durable turnaround.

GFA Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

GFA Co., Ltd. provides various financial services in Japan. It offers financial advisory services, including financial arrangement; mergers and acquisitions (M&A) services in the areas of acquisitions, sales, mergers, joint ventures, strategic capital, business alliances, etc. for domestic and overseas companies; and invests in owning and developing of real estate properties. The company also raises working capital for various needs, as well as for real estate purchases; and provides consulting services. In addition, it engages in real estate rental; real estate buying, selling, and brokerage; real estate secured loans; real estate resale business; welfare support business; and META CAMELOT, a metaverse type nightclub. The company was formerly known as Ground Financial Advisory Co., Ltd. and changed its name to GFA Co., Ltd. in July 2012. GFA Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

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GFA Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall financials are weak: revenue declined year over year, profitability is negative (gross, net, EBIT/EBITDA margins), and both operating and free cash flow remain negative. The balance sheet shows some improvement in equity, but leverage is still high and ROE is negative.

Income Statement

The company has experienced declining revenues over the past year, with a notable drop in total revenue from 2024 to 2025. Both gross and net profit margins are negative, indicating poor profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, further highlighting operational inefficiencies.

Balance Sheet

While the equity ratio is improving due to increased stockholders' equity, the company's debt-to-equity ratio remains high, indicating leverage risk. The return on equity is negative due to consistent losses, but there is some improvement in the equity position, suggesting potential stabilization.

Cash Flow

The company continues to struggle with negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash flow issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio shows cash flow challenges in relation to net losses, and free cash flow is negative, reflecting ongoing cash management issues.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.86B	3.31B	4.17B	2.35B	1.20B	2.65B
Gross Profit	2.32B	1.69B	1.93B	957.83M	612.41M	34.16M
EBITDA	-1.48B	-3.32B	-2.02B	-2.03B	-1.09B	-1.38B
Net Income	-1.67B	-4.41B	-2.46B	-2.25B	-1.16B	-1.69B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	9.59B	8.43B	4.51B	5.68B	1.48B	1.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	357.75M	379.95M	554.35M	1.14B	424.46M	529.24M
Total Debt	3.41B	2.56B	3.49B	3.22B	831.36M	1.09B
Total Liabilities	5.65B	3.36B	4.33B	4.37B	1.03B	1.39B
Stockholders Equity	3.90B	5.03B	171.79M	1.31B	449.34M	63.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	0.00	-1.59B	-3.40B	-1.19B	-117.72M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	0.00	-1.47B	-3.31B	-965.21M	-167.47M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-3.43B	-625.09M	-895.79M	-235.96M	-205.92M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	5.94B	1.51B	4.83B	1.19B	178.25M

GFA Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 239.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8783, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 239 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 225.60, below the 50-day MA of 239.30, and below the 200-day MA of 285.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -7.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.74 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8783.

GFA Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8739	78 Outperform	¥60.18B	10.05	17.21%	4.27%	7.60%	7.20%
3772	69 Neutral	¥20.02B	169.87	―	1.85%	-40.77%	-91.81%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
2134	50 Neutral	¥16.43B	-12.65	―	―	-21.88%	17.12%
8518	46 Neutral	¥4.41B	-4.99	4.15%	―	-6.60%	―
8783	44 Neutral	¥8.04B	0.65	―	―	-17.04%	46.36%