GFA Co., Ltd. (8783) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥7.81B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.61M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 0.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.61
• Revenue Growth: -17.04%
• EPS Growth: 46.36%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 88
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Asset Management
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 37,281,120
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 637,200
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,606,993
• PEG Ratio: 0.02
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.32
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 44 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥210.00 ▼(-12.13% Downside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/14/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/14/26

The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, persistent losses, and negative operating/free cash flow, alongside high leverage). Technical indicators provide only partial support with short-term strength but a weaker long-term trend. Valuation cannot be assessed due to missing P/E and dividend yield data, keeping that factor neutral.

Positive Factors

Improving equity position

An improving equity ratio indicates the company has rebuilt some capital buffer, which is a durable improvement to the balance sheet. This stabilization reduces short-term refinancing pressure, supports ongoing operations through losses, and improves options for longer-term restructuring or capital raises.

Lean headcount implies operational flexibility

A small employee base suggests a lean cost structure which can provide durable operational flexibility. For an asset manager, lower fixed payroll supports quicker scaling of fee-generating activities, easier cost control in downturns, and potential margin upside if revenue stabilizes.

Listed on a major exchange (TSE)

Being listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange confers durable benefits: regulatory oversight, investor accessibility, and credibility with institutional clients. This structural positioning improves access to public capital and partnership opportunities over the medium term.

Negative Factors

Declining revenue and negative margins

Sustained revenue decline and persistently negative margins indicate the core business is not generating profitable fee income. This undermines long-term viability: lower scale reduces pricing power, makes fixed-cost absorption harder, and requires structural change to return to sustainable profitability.

Negative operating and free cash flow

Persistent negative operating and free cash flows signal the business burns cash and cannot self-fund operations or investments. Over months this necessitates external financing, constrains strategic options, and raises risk of dilution or distress if cash generation doesn't improve.

High leverage and negative return on equity

High leverage combined with negative ROE is a structural weakness: debt amplifies downside, increases fixed obligations, and reduces financial flexibility. Continued losses make deleveraging difficult, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth or withstand market stress over the medium term.

GFA Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

GFA Co., Ltd. provides various financial services in Japan. It offers financial advisory services, including financial arrangement; mergers and acquisitions (M&A) services in the areas of acquisitions, sales, mergers, joint ventures, strategic capital, business alliances, etc. for domestic and overseas companies; and invests in owning and developing of real estate properties. The company also raises working capital for various needs, as well as for real estate purchases; and provides consulting services. In addition, it engages in real estate rental; real estate buying, selling, and brokerage; real estate secured loans; real estate resale business; welfare support business; and META CAMELOT, a metaverse type nightclub. The company was formerly known as Ground Financial Advisory Co., Ltd. and changed its name to GFA Co., Ltd. in July 2012. GFA Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

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GFA Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall financials are weak: revenue declined year over year, profitability is negative (gross, net, EBIT/EBITDA margins), and both operating and free cash flow remain negative. The balance sheet shows some improvement in equity, but leverage is still high and ROE is negative.

Income Statement

The company has experienced declining revenues over the past year, with a notable drop in total revenue from 2024 to 2025. Both gross and net profit margins are negative, indicating poor profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, further highlighting operational inefficiencies.

Balance Sheet

While the equity ratio is improving due to increased stockholders' equity, the company's debt-to-equity ratio remains high, indicating leverage risk. The return on equity is negative due to consistent losses, but there is some improvement in the equity position, suggesting potential stabilization.

Cash Flow

The company continues to struggle with negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash flow issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio shows cash flow challenges in relation to net losses, and free cash flow is negative, reflecting ongoing cash management issues.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.86B	3.31B	4.17B	2.35B	1.20B	2.65B
Gross Profit	2.32B	1.69B	1.93B	957.83M	612.41M	34.16M
EBITDA	-1.48B	-3.32B	-2.02B	-2.03B	-1.09B	-1.38B
Net Income	-1.67B	-4.41B	-2.46B	-2.25B	-1.16B	-1.69B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	9.59B	8.43B	4.51B	5.68B	1.48B	1.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	357.75M	379.95M	554.35M	1.14B	424.46M	529.24M
Total Debt	3.41B	2.56B	3.49B	3.22B	831.36M	1.09B
Total Liabilities	5.65B	3.36B	4.33B	4.37B	1.03B	1.39B
Stockholders Equity	3.90B	5.03B	171.79M	1.31B	449.34M	63.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	0.00	-1.59B	-3.40B	-1.19B	-117.72M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	0.00	-1.47B	-3.31B	-965.21M	-167.47M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-3.43B	-625.09M	-895.79M	-235.96M	-205.92M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	5.94B	1.51B	4.83B	1.19B	178.25M

GFA Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 239.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8783, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 239 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 225.60, below the 50-day MA of 239.30, and below the 200-day MA of 285.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -7.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.74 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8783.

GFA Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8739	78 Outperform	¥58.61B	10.05	17.21%	4.27%	7.60%	7.20%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
3772	54 Neutral	¥19.54B	169.87	―	1.85%	-40.77%	-91.81%
8518	46 Neutral	¥4.13B	-4.99	4.15%	―	-6.60%	―
8783	44 Neutral	¥7.81B	0.65	―	―	-17.04%	46.36%
2134	42 Neutral	¥15.34B	-12.65	―	―	-21.88%	17.12%