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Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. (JP:8746)
:8746
Japanese Market

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. (8746) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8746

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd.

(8746)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
¥337.00
▲(2.12% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/03/26
Overall score reflects improving fundamentals (earnings rebound and sharply lower leverage) offset by the biggest risk—negative operating/free cash flow despite profits—along with weak price momentum (below key moving averages, negative MACD). Valuation is not clearly supportive given the negative P/E and lack of dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet deleveraging
Material reduction of debt to near zero meaningfully lowers financial risk and interest burden. This durable improvement increases flexibility to fund operations or investments, improves resilience to shocks, and reduces refinancing and covenant risk over the coming quarters.
Earnings recovery & revenue growth
Return to profitability combined with multi-year revenue growth shows the business can restore operating performance and grow sales. Durable revenue expansion supports reinvestment, relationship stability with clients, and provides a platform to improve margins if cash conversion issues are addressed.
Improved returns on equity
Positive ROE signals the company is generating shareholder returns after prior losses. Sustained positive ROE supports internal capital formation, strengthens ability to self-fund growth, and indicates improving capital efficiency if maintained across cycles.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversion
Earnings not converting to cash is a structural red flag: persistent negative OCF/FCF reduces ability to fund capex, pay down liabilities, or return capital. Working-capital swings or noncash gains may mask true earnings quality and raise liquidity and execution risk over months.
Thin, volatile margins
Low and declining margins leave little cushion for cost inflation or pricing pressure, making profits fragile. Structural margin compression reduces reinvestment capacity and heightens sensitivity to revenue swings, impairing long-term margin sustainability and planning.
Historic leverage and earnings volatility
Although leverage is reduced, the prior pattern of high debt and multi-year losses shows the business has been cyclically vulnerable. Without durable cash conversion and margin recovery, similar stress could re-emerge in downturns, limiting long-term predictability and partner confidence.

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. (8746) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUnbanked,Inc. engages in the commodity trading business in Japan. It also involved in the purchase and sale of precious metals. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyDaiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. generates revenue through a variety of channels, primarily centered around its trading activities. The company earns money by facilitating the buying and selling of commodities on behalf of its clients, earning commissions and fees for these services. Additionally, Daiichi Commodities may engage in proprietary trading, where they trade commodities for their own account, seeking to profit from market fluctuations. The company's earnings are also influenced by its ability to manage risks effectively and leverage market trends. Key partnerships with financial institutions and other trading entities also play a role in amplifying its market reach and trading volume, contributing to its overall revenue streams.

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Recovery in earnings and a much stronger balance sheet (debt reduced to essentially none) support the score, but it is held back by weak cash conversion: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in 2024–2025 despite profitability, and margins in 2025 declined sharply versus 2024.
Income Statement
62
Positive
The company shows a clear earnings recovery: net income improved from sizable losses in 2021–2023 to solid profitability in 2024 and 2025, with 2025 revenue up 6.4% year over year. However, profitability quality is mixed—gross margin and net margin in 2025 (about 5.2% and 2.5%) fell sharply versus 2024, indicating weaker pricing/transaction economics or cost pressure. Operating profitability also swung from negative EBIT in 2024 to positive EBIT in 2025, but margins remain thin and somewhat volatile.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Balance sheet strength improved materially. Total debt fell from elevated levels in 2021–2023 (debt-to-equity near or above 1.0 in 2022–2023) to essentially no debt in 2025, reducing financial risk. Equity remains sizable and relatively stable across recent years, and returns on equity turned positive in 2024–2025. The key weakness is the history of high leverage and negative returns earlier in the period, highlighting that balance-sheet quality has improved, but the business has not been consistently stable through cycles.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash generation is the main weak spot. Operating cash flow was negative in 2024 and 2025, and free cash flow is also negative in both years, which is a concern given the return to accounting profitability. While 2023 had slightly positive operating and free cash flow, the recent two-year pattern suggests earnings are not consistently converting into cash, raising questions around working-capital swings and the durability of profitability.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.39B9.49B5.31B4.64B5.15B6.90B
Gross Profit618.87M495.11M448.62M440.34M525.96M829.93M
EBITDA351.95M314.72M-62.05M-303.15M-1.70B-1.15B
Net Income-1.17B236.75M390.93M-369.81M-1.71B-996.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.03B7.39B5.83B9.44B10.03B9.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.58B3.28B2.39B2.74B2.34B2.33B
Total Debt0.000.00259.80M5.21B5.59B4.27B
Total Liabilities7.54B1.64B256.65M4.79B5.06B4.26B
Stockholders Equity4.30B5.53B5.57B4.65B4.97B5.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-106.35M-1.01B11.67M-516.30M-2.21B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-72.39M-1.01B38.65M-511.77M-2.20B
Investing Cash Flow0.00960.86M489.85M362.40M-403.58M195.56M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-2.79M80.00M-25.00K1.37B-79.19M

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price330.00
Price Trends
50DMA
408.88
Negative
100DMA
381.33
Negative
200DMA
405.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-30.29
Negative
RSI
36.10
Neutral
STOCH
34.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8746, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 330 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 312.50, below the 50-day MA of 408.88, and below the 200-day MA of 405.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -30.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8746.

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥17.67B1.754.13%-9.87%4.37%
74
Outperform
¥7.02B4.164.08%-10.65%-19.65%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
¥6.93B6.673.66%4.48%19.69%
64
Neutral
¥45.61B10.124.36%1.14%-16.88%
50
Neutral
¥3.85B-0.7842.97%-335.79%
50
Neutral
¥5.01B12.651.12%-34.90%-1619.67%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8746
Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd.
310.00
-19.00
-5.78%
JP:7175
Imamura Securities Co.Ltd.
1,348.00
217.57
19.25%
JP:8617
Kosei Securities Co., Ltd.
559.00
126.04
29.11%
JP:8700
Maruhachi Securities Co., Ltd.
1,744.00
98.82
6.01%
JP:8708
AIZAWA SECURITIES GROUP CO. LTD.
1,515.00
-69.84
-4.41%
JP:8747
Yutaka Trusty Securities Co., Ltd.
3,265.00
1,647.12
101.81%

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Unbanked Inc. Posts Quarterly Loss Despite Higher Sales and Halts Dividends
Feb 13, 2026

Unbanked Inc. reported a strong increase in net sales to ¥7,852 million for the quarter ended December 2025, up 15.2% from a year earlier, but swung to an operating loss of ¥737 million and an ordinary loss of ¥773 million. Profit attributable to owners of parent deteriorated sharply to a loss of ¥2,438 million, driving basic earnings per share down to minus ¥217.44 and compressing the capital adequacy ratio to 11.7% despite a jump in total assets to ¥36,770 million.

The company’s net assets fell to ¥4,883 million from ¥5,752 million as of March 2025, reflecting the deep quarterly loss and weaker equity position. Unbanked Inc. also maintained its stance of not paying dividends for the current fiscal year to March 2026, signaling a continued focus on preserving capital amid profit pressure and a more leveraged balance sheet.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8746) stock is a Hold with a Yen519.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:8746 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 03, 2026