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Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. (JP:8746)
:8746
Japanese Market

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. (8746) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8746

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd.

(8746)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
¥360.00
▲(9.09% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak cash-flow conversion (negative operating and free cash flow in 2024–2025) and thin/volatile margins despite a return to profitability. Balance-sheet risk has improved meaningfully due to the reduction to essentially no debt, but technicals are only moderately supportive and valuation is hard to assess with a negative P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet strength
The company materially reduced total debt to essentially zero by 2025, substantially lowering financial risk. A stronger balance sheet increases resilience to shocks, preserves strategic optionality for investments or M&A, and supports operations without reliance on high leverage.
Top-line momentum
Sustained revenue growth, including a 6.4% year-over-year increase in 2025, signals expanding business activity and customer demand. Durable top-line momentum can enable scale benefits, support gradual margin recovery, and provide a base for longer-term earnings improvement if maintained.
Return to profitability
Net income swung from losses into solid profitability in 2024–2025 and operating profit turned positive in 2025. A sustained return to operating profitability strengthens reinvestment capacity, underpins cash generation potential if conversion improves, and supports credible long-term earnings prospects.
Negative Factors
Poor cash conversion
Operating and free cash flow were negative in 2024–2025 despite accounting profits, indicating weak cash conversion. This undermines the durability of reported earnings, may necessitate external financing for working capital or capex, and constrains the firm's ability to self-fund growth or returns.
Thin, volatile margins
Margins are narrow and deteriorated in 2025, with gross ~5.2% and net ~2.5%. Thin, volatile profitability leaves limited buffer against cost shocks or pricing pressure, reduces capacity to absorb downturns, and makes future earnings highly sensitive to modest revenue or expense swings.
Historical leverage & earnings quality
The company has a history of elevated leverage (debt/equity ~1.0 in 2022–2023) and mixed earnings quality. Past reliance on debt and recent volatility in cash conversion raise the risk that adverse cycles could re-emerge, pressuring liquidity and forcing trade-offs in capital allocation.

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. (8746) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUnbanked,Inc. engages in the commodity trading business in Japan. It also involved in the purchase and sale of precious metals. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyDaiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. generates revenue through a variety of channels, primarily centered around its trading activities. The company earns money by facilitating the buying and selling of commodities on behalf of its clients, earning commissions and fees for these services. Additionally, Daiichi Commodities may engage in proprietary trading, where they trade commodities for their own account, seeking to profit from market fluctuations. The company's earnings are also influenced by its ability to manage risks effectively and leverage market trends. Key partnerships with financial institutions and other trading entities also play a role in amplifying its market reach and trading volume, contributing to its overall revenue streams.

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. shows a mixed financial performance. The income statement reveals growth in revenue and a return to profitability, although operational margins need enhancement. The balance sheet is a strong point, showcasing a high equity ratio and no debt, signifying financial stability. However, the cash flow statement indicates challenges in cash generation, which could impact future operations if not addressed. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory but must focus on improving operational efficiency and cash flow generation.
Income Statement
The company has experienced a notable increase in total revenue from 2023 to the TTM period, with a revenue growth rate of 67.9%. The gross profit margin for the TTM is 4.7%, which is relatively low, indicating potential challenges in managing cost of goods sold. The net profit margin for the TTM stands at 19.1%, showing a significant improvement from previous losses. Despite this turnaround, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are still modest at 0.4% and 1.6% respectively, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with a high equity ratio of 92.0% in the TTM, reflecting financial stability. The absence of debt further strengthens the company's financial health. The return on equity (ROE) for the TTM is 3.1%, which, while positive, indicates potential for better returns on shareholder investments. Overall, the company maintains a robust balance sheet with minimal leverage risk.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement highlights some concerns, particularly with operating and free cash flows being zero in the TTM, pointing to no cash generation in these areas. The free cash flow to net income ratio is not calculable due to zero free cash flow, suggesting potential issues in converting earnings into cash. The historical negative free cash flows indicate a need for improvement in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.39B9.49B5.31B4.64B5.15B6.90B
Gross Profit618.87M495.11M448.62M440.34M525.96M829.93M
EBITDA351.95M314.72M-62.05M-303.15M-1.70B-1.15B
Net Income-1.17B236.75M390.93M-369.81M-1.71B-996.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.03B7.39B5.83B9.44B10.03B9.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.58B3.28B2.39B2.74B2.34B2.33B
Total Debt0.000.00259.80M5.21B5.59B4.27B
Total Liabilities7.54B1.64B256.65M4.79B5.06B4.26B
Stockholders Equity4.30B5.53B5.57B4.65B4.97B5.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-106.35M-1.01B11.67M-516.30M-2.21B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-72.39M-1.01B38.65M-511.77M-2.20B
Investing Cash Flow0.00960.86M489.85M362.40M-403.58M195.56M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-2.79M80.00M-25.00K1.37B-79.19M

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price330.00
Price Trends
50DMA
351.80
Positive
100DMA
442.09
Negative
200DMA
372.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
3.22
Negative
RSI
62.97
Neutral
STOCH
71.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8746, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 330 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 299.60, below the 50-day MA of 351.80, and below the 200-day MA of 372.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8746.

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
¥2.65B33.6920.14%278.37%
65
Neutral
¥6.81B12.963.66%4.48%19.69%
64
Neutral
¥5.67B31.291.13%6.30%-43.53%
54
Neutral
¥4.78B-3.5342.97%-335.79%
42
Neutral
¥4.49B-26.101.12%-34.90%-1619.67%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8746
Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd.
374.00
89.00
31.23%
JP:7360
ONDECK Co., Ltd.
924.00
-116.00
-11.15%
JP:8617
Kosei Securities Co., Ltd.
475.00
53.90
12.80%
JP:8700
Maruhachi Securities Co., Ltd.
1,706.00
191.09
12.61%
JP:8742
Kobayashi Yoko Co., Ltd.
476.00
188.62
65.63%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026