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Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. (JP:8746)
:8746
Japanese Market

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. (8746) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8746

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd.

(8746)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
¥517.00
▲(56.67% Upside)
The score is held back mainly by weak cash flow despite the return to profitability, raising concerns about earnings quality. Balance-sheet risk has improved substantially with debt reduced to near zero, and technicals show a strong uptrend, but overbought momentum indicators and limited valuation support keep the overall score moderate.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Improvement
Substantially lower debt materially reduces financial risk and interest burden, giving management flexibility to fund operations, absorb shocks, or selectively invest without relying on costly external financing. This improvement supports durable solvency and strategic optionality over months.
Return to Profitability
The multi-year earnings turnaround and positive revenue growth indicate the company has stabilized core operations and can generate recurring profits. Sustained profitability enables reinvestment, restores credibility with counterparties, and supports sustained operating improvements over the medium term.
Equity Base & ROE Recovery
A stable equity base and returning ROE reflect regained ability to generate shareholder returns from invested capital. This suggests the firm can leverage its capital for growth or buffers against volatility, improving long-term resilience and capacity to pursue strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Generation
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow despite accounting profits indicates poor cash conversion and working-capital pressure. Over months this constrains funding for capex, dividends or debt reduction and may force reliance on external financing, limiting strategic flexibility.
Thin and Falling Margins
Eroding gross and net margins signal weak pricing power or rising costs, leaving little buffer against inflation or revenue shocks. Over the medium term, thin margins hamper cash generation, reduce reinvestment capacity, and make earnings more vulnerable to adverse industry or macro shifts.
Earnings Quality & Past Leverage
The mix of accounting profits with poor cash conversion and a recent history of high leverage raises questions about earnings sustainability and operational consistency. Over several months this undermines confidence in reported profits and increases sensitivity to working-capital or funding shocks.

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. (8746) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUnbanked,Inc. engages in the commodity trading business in Japan. It also involved in the purchase and sale of precious metals. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyDaiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. generates revenue through a variety of channels, primarily centered around its trading activities. The company earns money by facilitating the buying and selling of commodities on behalf of its clients, earning commissions and fees for these services. Additionally, Daiichi Commodities may engage in proprietary trading, where they trade commodities for their own account, seeking to profit from market fluctuations. The company's earnings are also influenced by its ability to manage risks effectively and leverage market trends. Key partnerships with financial institutions and other trading entities also play a role in amplifying its market reach and trading volume, contributing to its overall revenue streams.

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Earnings have recovered and leverage has improved significantly (debt essentially eliminated), but recent cash generation is weak: operating cash flow and free cash flow were negative in both 2024 and 2025 despite positive net income, indicating poor cash conversion and lower-quality earnings.
Income Statement
62
Positive
The company shows a clear earnings recovery: net income improved from sizable losses in 2021–2023 to solid profitability in 2024 and 2025, with 2025 revenue up 6.4% year over year. However, profitability quality is mixed—gross margin and net margin in 2025 (about 5.2% and 2.5%) fell sharply versus 2024, indicating weaker pricing/transaction economics or cost pressure. Operating profitability also swung from negative EBIT in 2024 to positive EBIT in 2025, but margins remain thin and somewhat volatile.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Balance sheet strength improved materially. Total debt fell from elevated levels in 2021–2023 (debt-to-equity near or above 1.0 in 2022–2023) to essentially no debt in 2025, reducing financial risk. Equity remains sizable and relatively stable across recent years, and returns on equity turned positive in 2024–2025. The key weakness is the history of high leverage and negative returns earlier in the period, highlighting that balance-sheet quality has improved, but the business has not been consistently stable through cycles.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash generation is the main weak spot. Operating cash flow was negative in 2024 and 2025, and free cash flow is also negative in both years, which is a concern given the return to accounting profitability. While 2023 had slightly positive operating and free cash flow, the recent two-year pattern suggests earnings are not consistently converting into cash, raising questions around working-capital swings and the durability of profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.39B9.49B5.31B4.64B5.15B6.90B
Gross Profit618.87M495.11M448.62M440.34M525.96M829.93M
EBITDA351.95M314.72M-62.05M-303.15M-1.70B-1.15B
Net Income-1.17B236.75M390.93M-369.81M-1.71B-996.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.03B7.39B5.83B9.44B10.03B9.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.58B3.28B2.39B2.74B2.34B2.33B
Total Debt0.000.00259.80M5.21B5.59B4.27B
Total Liabilities7.54B1.64B256.65M4.79B5.06B4.26B
Stockholders Equity4.30B5.53B5.57B4.65B4.97B5.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-106.35M-1.01B11.67M-516.30M-2.21B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-72.39M-1.01B38.65M-511.77M-2.20B
Investing Cash Flow0.00960.86M489.85M362.40M-403.58M195.56M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-2.79M80.00M-25.00K1.37B-79.19M

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price330.00
Price Trends
50DMA
365.00
Positive
100DMA
426.21
Positive
200DMA
391.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
40.80
Positive
RSI
59.11
Neutral
STOCH
26.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8746, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 330 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 472.10, below the 50-day MA of 365.00, and below the 200-day MA of 391.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 40.80 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8746.

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
¥5.81B32.081.13%6.30%-43.53%
65
Neutral
¥7.12B11.253.66%4.48%19.69%
55
Neutral
¥6.44B-4.5942.97%-335.79%
50
Neutral
¥5.02B-63.321.12%-34.90%-1619.67%
47
Neutral
¥2.29B-13.9320.14%278.37%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8746
Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd.
486.00
199.00
69.34%
JP:7360
ONDECK Co., Ltd.
808.00
-169.00
-17.30%
JP:8617
Kosei Securities Co., Ltd.
536.00
113.91
26.99%
JP:8700
Maruhachi Securities Co., Ltd.
1,794.00
254.00
16.49%
JP:8742
Kobayashi Yoko Co., Ltd.
496.00
211.57
74.38%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 15, 2026