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Kosei Securities Co., Ltd. (JP:8617)
:8617
Japanese Market

Kosei Securities Co., Ltd. (8617) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8617

Kosei Securities Co., Ltd.

(8617)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
¥560.00
▲(23.08% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/27/26
The score is held down primarily by severe deterioration in profitability and cash flow, despite a comparatively strong, low-debt balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with strong momentum, but overbought signals raise near-term risk. Valuation provides limited support given negative earnings and a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong equity base
A 72.17% equity ratio indicates a durable capital structure that cushions operational losses and supports credibility with counterparties. Over a 2–6 month horizon this capital buffer preserves strategic optionality to invest or restructure without immediate solvency pressure.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue contraction
A 62.7% year-on-year revenue collapse signals loss of scale that erodes fixed-cost coverage, client reach, and pricing power. Revenue recovery typically takes months to quarters, and prolonged contraction undermines long-term margin recovery and strategic investments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong equity base
A 72.17% equity ratio indicates a durable capital structure that cushions operational losses and supports credibility with counterparties. Over a 2–6 month horizon this capital buffer preserves strategic optionality to invest or restructure without immediate solvency pressure.
Read all positive factors

Kosei Securities Co., Ltd. (8617) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Kosei Securities Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Kosei Securities Co., Ltd. engages in the brokerage, underwriting, and selling of securities in Japan. It handles stocks, bonds, mutual funds, futures/options, real estate investment trusts, and insurance. The company was founded in 1961 and i...
How the Company Makes Money
Kosei Securities generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from brokerage fees on securities transactions, which include commissions earned from buying and selling stocks and other financial instruments. Additionally, the company earns...

Kosei Securities Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial health is weak overall: revenues fell 62.69% and net margin is deeply negative (-83.51%) with negative EBIT/EBITDA, compounded by heavy cash burn (free cash flow -2,916M JPY). The main offset is a strong balance sheet with low leverage (equity ratio 72.17%, debt-to-equity 0.02), but profitability and cash generation remain severely impaired.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
25
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue600.00M558.00M1.50B433.00M443.00M1.11B
Gross Profit525.00M480.00M1.44B417.00M425.00M1.07B
EBITDA-410.00M-462.00M496.00M-442.00M-404.00M208.00M
Net Income-444.00M-466.00M377.00M-397.00M-212.00M162.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.53B21.78B24.61B21.05B20.41B22.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.07B5.45B9.22B8.49B7.39B8.20B
Total Debt474.00M353.00M268.00M359.00M515.00M615.00M
Total Liabilities11.94B6.06B7.67B5.71B4.49B5.84B
Stockholders Equity15.59B15.72B16.94B15.34B15.92B16.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-2.92B770.00M370.00M-1.10B345.00M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-2.91B831.00M383.00M-1.09B557.00M
Investing Cash Flow0.00769.00M-419.00M-160.00M205.00M-621.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-160.00M-47.00M-48.00M-123.00M-69.00M

Kosei Securities Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price455.00
Price Trends
50DMA
549.12
Negative
100DMA
510.11
Negative
200DMA
490.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-10.59
Positive
RSI
36.25
Neutral
STOCH
13.64
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8617, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 455 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 534.60, below the 50-day MA of 549.12, and below the 200-day MA of 490.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -10.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8617.

Kosei Securities Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥41.61B6.257.66%5.47%-1.80%-1.02%
74
Outperform
¥6.92B4.164.08%-10.65%-19.65%
71
Outperform
¥69.64B12.609.22%6.15%7.45%45.25%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
¥7.01B6.673.66%4.48%19.69%
64
Neutral
¥47.60B10.124.36%1.14%-16.88%
50
Neutral
¥4.78B12.651.12%-34.90%-1619.67%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8617
Kosei Securities Co., Ltd.
506.00
156.00
44.57%
JP:8613
Marusan Securities Co., Ltd.
1,047.00
334.32
46.91%
JP:8622
Mito Securities Co., Ltd.
707.00
292.20
70.44%
JP:7175
Imamura Securities Co.Ltd.
1,301.00
429.78
49.33%
JP:8700
Maruhachi Securities Co., Ltd.
1,756.00
372.22
26.90%
JP:8708
AIZAWA SECURITIES GROUP CO. LTD.
1,532.00
462.78
43.28%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 27, 2026