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Kosei Securities Co., Ltd. (JP:8617)
:8617
Japanese Market
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Kosei Securities Co., Ltd. (8617) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8617

Kosei Securities Co., Ltd.

(8617)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
¥616.00
▲(35.38% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:04/26/26
The score is driven by a strong, low-leverage balance sheet, tempered by highly variable earnings and cash flow. Technicals are supportive with the stock trading above key moving averages and positive momentum, while valuation looks reasonable with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Very low leverage and a large equity base provide durable financial resilience, lowering solvency risk and preserving strategic optionality. This structural conservatism supports capital allocation flexibility, ability to withstand industry shocks, and room to fund investments or opportunistic M&A without straining liquidity.
Negative Factors
Earnings and Cash Flow Volatility
Large year-to-year swings in net income and operating cash flow make forecasting and capital allocation difficult. Structural volatility reduces investor predictability, complicates working capital planning, and can force reactive measures in down cycles that impair long-term growth or operational investments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Very low leverage and a large equity base provide durable financial resilience, lowering solvency risk and preserving strategic optionality. This structural conservatism supports capital allocation flexibility, ability to withstand industry shocks, and room to fund investments or opportunistic M&A without straining liquidity.
Read all positive factors

Kosei Securities Co., Ltd. (8617) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Kosei Securities Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Kosei Securities Co., Ltd. engages in the brokerage, underwriting, and selling of securities in Japan. It handles stocks, bonds, mutual funds, futures/options, real estate investment trusts, and insurance. The company was founded in 1961 and i...
How the Company Makes Money
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Kosei Securities Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet is a clear strength with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.02), supporting resilience. However, earnings and cash flow are volatile with deep loss and cash-burn years (e.g., FY2025, FY2022) offsetting profitable periods, reducing predictability.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue600.00M1.11B558.00M1.50B433.00M443.00M
Gross Profit525.00M937.00M480.00M1.44B417.00M425.00M
EBITDA-410.00M313.00M-462.00M496.00M-442.00M-404.00M
Net Income-444.00M210.00M-466.00M377.00M-397.00M-212.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.53B22.34B21.78B24.61B21.05B20.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.07B3.97B5.45B9.22B8.49B7.39B
Total Debt474.00M318.00M353.00M268.00M359.00M515.00M
Total Liabilities11.94B6.07B6.06B7.67B5.71B4.49B
Stockholders Equity15.59B16.26B15.72B16.94B15.34B15.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00237.00M-2.92B770.00M370.00M-1.10B
Operating Cash Flow0.00243.00M-2.91B831.00M383.00M-1.09B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-348.00M769.00M-419.00M-160.00M205.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-47.00M-160.00M-47.00M-48.00M-123.00M

Kosei Securities Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price455.00
Price Trends
50DMA
547.40
Positive
100DMA
515.44
Positive
200DMA
493.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.81
Negative
RSI
55.56
Neutral
STOCH
80.89
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8617, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 455 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 530.45, below the 50-day MA of 547.40, and below the 200-day MA of 493.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.81 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.89 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8617.

Kosei Securities Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
¥7.18B4.974.08%19.97%38.76%
76
Outperform
¥6.97B14.923.66%18.33%74.44%
75
Outperform
¥69.64B12.029.22%6.15%13.26%31.92%
70
Outperform
¥5.17B14.351.12%99.28%
68
Neutral
¥38.37B18.087.66%5.47%12.83%32.86%
68
Neutral
¥44.71B16.684.36%3.23%-11.76%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8617
Kosei Securities Co., Ltd.
547.00
149.00
37.44%
JP:8613
Marusan Securities Co., Ltd.
1,047.00
256.89
32.51%
JP:8622
Mito Securities Co., Ltd.
652.00
167.91
34.69%
JP:7175
Imamura Securities Co.Ltd.
1,350.00
343.20
34.09%
JP:8700
Maruhachi Securities Co., Ltd.
1,746.00
293.13
20.18%
JP:8708
AIZAWA SECURITIES GROUP CO. LTD.
1,439.00
260.10
22.06%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 26, 2026