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Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. (JP:8613)
:8613

Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. (8613) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8613

Marusan Securities Co., Ltd.

(8613)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,235.00
▲(21.67% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:10/30/25
Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. has a solid financial foundation with strong revenue growth and profitability. The stock's valuation is attractive, supported by a high dividend yield. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to potential bearish momentum. Improving cash flow management is crucial for sustaining long-term growth.
Positive Factors
Top-line and EPS Momentum
Sustained revenue growth (11% most recent) alongside a large EPS uplift indicates expanding core brokerage activity and improving operational leverage. This combination supports durable earning power and provides headroom to reinvest or return capital over the next several quarters.
Conservative Balance Sheet
A high equity ratio and low debt-to-equity demonstrate conservative leverage and strong solvency. That financial flexibility reduces refinancing and liquidity risk in downturns, enabling the firm to sustain client services and opportunistic investments without stressing cash flows.
Healthy Profitability and Margins
Consistently strong gross margins and improving net margins reflect structural cost control and pricing strength in brokerage services. Healthy EBIT/EBITDA margins support internal cash generation potential and resilience to competitive pressure over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Flow Generation
Recent negative free cash flow, driven by high capex and weak operating cash flow, limits the firm's ability to self-fund growth or dividends without drawing on reserves. Persistent cash deficits would constrain strategic flexibility and raise reliance on external funding.
Total Assets Volatility
Fluctuating total assets and a recent decline suggest balance sheet instability tied to market exposures or working capital swings. This variability can increase earnings volatility and complicate capital planning for a securities firm operating with market-sensitive inventories.
Historical Revenue Volatility
A prior revenue decline across 2021–2023 highlights susceptibility to cyclical trading volumes or client activity. Such structural revenue variability can pressure margins and forecasting, requiring conservative planning to maintain profitability through market cycles.

Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. (8613) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarusan Securities Co., Ltd. trades in securities and derivatives in Japan. It is involved in the brokerage, and financial instruments exchange market activities. The company also engages in the underwriting and sale of securities; handling sale, solicitation, and private placement of securities; the provision of safe deposit services; and acceptance of payments of public and corporate bonds. In addition, it is involved in the agency business of payment of proceeds, redemptions and partial cancellations of investment trust beneficiary certificates; proxy activities for securities; stock office operations; lending money with custody securities as collateral; and trading of certificates of deposit and Yen-denominated bank underwriting, as well as the provision of brokerage and agency services. Further, the company engages in the buying and selling of gold bullion; storage business; and custody, lending, and borrowing of securities and other operations. Additionally, it is involved in the life insurance solicitation and non-life insurance agency businesses. Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarusan Securities generates revenue through several key streams including commissions from brokerage services for both retail and institutional clients, fees from asset management services, and advisory fees for providing financial planning assistance. The company also earns income from proprietary trading, where it buys and sells securities to capitalize on market opportunities. Additionally, Marusan Securities may form partnerships with other financial institutions to expand its service offerings, which can lead to increased revenue through joint ventures or referral agreements. The firm's performance is influenced by market conditions, trading volumes, and the overall demand for financial services in Japan.

Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and profitability, supported by a robust balance sheet with low leverage. However, cash flow management poses challenges, particularly in maintaining positive free cash flow.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company has shown consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase in revenue from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin remains strong, and the net profit margin has improved, reflecting effective cost management. However, there was a decline in revenue from 2021 to 2023, indicating some volatility. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, supporting profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a high equity ratio, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, showcasing a conservative leverage strategy. However, the total assets have fluctuated, with a decrease from 2024 to 2025. The return on equity has improved, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow performance is mixed, with negative free cash flow in the latest period due to high capital expenditures and negative operating cash flow. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating challenges in generating cash surplus. However, the company has had periods of strong operating cash flow, providing some positive outlook.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.85B18.61B14.93B18.67B19.18B
Gross Profit19.61B18.55B14.87B18.60B19.07B
EBITDA5.32B4.15B901.00M3.72B4.09B
Net Income3.79B2.92B778.00M2.83B4.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets73.36B84.08B67.60B90.89B99.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.50B36.42B33.97B29.68B32.96B
Total Debt2.02B3.14B3.01B4.16B3.83B
Total Liabilities24.35B31.55B21.52B43.75B52.99B
Stockholders Equity49.01B52.52B46.09B47.13B46.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.10B6.99B10.64B-1.14B-3.23B
Operating Cash Flow-160.00M7.56B10.99B-371.00M-2.74B
Investing Cash Flow509.00M-734.00M-4.60B-911.00M1.57B
Financing Cash Flow-5.05B-1.89B-1.56B-2.05B-1.43B

Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1015.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1059.14
Positive
100DMA
1005.86
Positive
200DMA
947.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
11.54
Positive
RSI
66.99
Neutral
STOCH
67.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8613, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1015 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1086.70, below the 50-day MA of 1059.14, and above the 200-day MA of 947.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 11.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 66.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8613.

Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥92.66B10.065.75%10.85%30.77%
80
Outperform
¥220.33B14.354.01%-2.39%-4.54%
71
Outperform
¥74.36B14.269.22%6.15%7.45%45.25%
69
Neutral
¥245.75B18.8014.00%5.13%3.27%-1.81%
68
Neutral
¥56.22B14.474.86%6.40%41.18%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
43
Neutral
¥188.60B21.40-3.97%4.16%14.69%-114.36%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8613
Marusan Securities Co., Ltd.
1,118.00
192.19
20.76%
JP:8698
Monex Group
747.00
-18.51
-2.42%
JP:8628
Matsui Securities Co
956.00
197.67
26.07%
JP:8609
Okasan Securities Group Inc.
997.00
376.34
60.64%
JP:8614
Toyo Securities Co., Ltd.
801.00
264.91
49.42%
JP:8707
IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc.
3,945.00
1,594.95
67.87%

Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Marusan Securities Posts Higher Nine-Month Profits and Raises Dividend Outlook
Jan 29, 2026

Marusan Securities reported higher non-consolidated results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with operating revenue rising to ¥15,555 million and ordinary profit reaching ¥3,947 million, both reflecting year-on-year growth. Net assets increased to ¥49,352 million, total assets expanded to ¥99,442 million, and the equity ratio improved to 49.5%, while basic earnings per share rose to ¥54.90, underscoring strengthened financial stability. The company plans a total annual dividend of ¥60.00 per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, up from the prior year’s level, signaling a continued focus on shareholder returns in line with its improving earnings and capital position.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8613) stock is a Hold with a Yen1135.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:8613 Stock Forecast page.

Marusan Securities Posts Double-Digit Profit Growth in Nine-Month Preliminary Results
Jan 20, 2026

Marusan Securities reported preliminary financial results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, showing solid year-on-year growth across key metrics. Operating revenue rose 8.4% to ¥15,555 million, operating profit increased 19.0% to ¥3,425 million, ordinary profit climbed 16.7% to ¥3,947 million, and profit surged 24.0% to ¥3,634 million, lifting earnings per share to ¥54.90 and book value per share to ¥742.75. The performance indicates improved profitability and operational efficiency compared with the same period a year earlier, suggesting a stronger earnings base ahead of the full fiscal year and reinforcing the company’s position in Japan’s securities industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8613) stock is a Hold with a Yen1161.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:8613 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025