Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited (8425) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥399.80B
• Dividend Yield: 3.65%
• Average Volume (3M): 368.45K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.8
• Beta (1Y): 0.77
• Revenue Growth: 21.22%
• EPS Growth: -2.77%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 2,176
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Financial - Credit Services
• EPS (TTM): 49.37
• Shares Outstanding: 282,666,300
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 322,060
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 368,446
• PEG Ratio: 1.03
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.74
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.41
• P/FCF Ratio: -0.71
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥1,595.00 ▲(12.88% Upside)

The stock's overall score is driven by strong valuation metrics and positive technical indicators. Financial performance is solid but impacted by high leverage and negative cash flows. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits further insights.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth Trend

Sustained top-line expansion (over 21% reported) reflects durable demand for leasing and asset finance services across corporate and public sectors. Strong revenue momentum supports scale advantages, recurring lease income, and the ability to invest in portfolio growth over the next several quarters.

Return on Equity / Operational Efficiency

ROE near 11% indicates effective deployment of equity into profitable leasing and financing activities. This level of profitability suggests underwriting and asset-utilization strengths that can sustain shareholder returns and internal reinvestment even with a smaller equity base.

Stable Margins and Operational Performance

Consistent gross and operating margins point to disciplined pricing, cost control, and predictable servicing economics in the leasing business. Margin stability underpins durable cash generation potential and resilience to moderate cyclical swings in asset demand.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

Very high leverage amplifies balance-sheet risk, raising sensitivity to interest rate rises and asset-quality shocks. Low equity buffer limits flexibility for absorbing losses or funding growth internally, increasing reliance on external funding and heightening solvency concerns in stress scenarios.

Negative Operating and Free Cash Flows

Operations currently consume cash rather than generate it, indicating that accounting profits are not translating into self-sustaining liquidity. Persistent negative OCF/FCF constrains reinvestment, dividend capacity, and deleveraging, forcing dependence on capital markets or parent funding.

Reliance on Financing Activities for Liquidity

Material reliance on financing inflows to meet cash needs is a structural vulnerability: a tighter funding environment or higher borrowing costs would pressure liquidity, increase funding expense, and could force curtailed origination or asset sales, impacting medium‑term growth and margins.

Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited provides general leasing services in Japan and internationally. It operates through three segments: Leasing and Installment Sales, Finance, and Other. The company offers finance, operating, real estate, and auto leasing services; installment sales services; maintenance services for vehicle fleets; payment outsourcing services; and accounts receivable securitization services, as well as purchases notes receivables. It also provides sales promotion support services; support services for introduction of environmental and energy equipment; support services for subscription business; support services for entry into international markets; and cross border financing services, as well as engages in buying and selling pre-owned property and equipment; and the solar power business. The company was formerly known as IBJ Leasing Company, Limited and changed its name to Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited in October 2019. Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Mizuho Leasing generates revenue primarily through the leasing of equipment and real estate, charging clients fees for the use of these assets over a specified term. The company earns interest income from financing arrangements and loans provided to customers. Key revenue streams include operating leases, capital leases, and structured financing solutions. Additionally, Mizuho Leasing benefits from asset management services and advisory roles in various financial transactions. Strategic partnerships with manufacturers and industry players enhance its product offerings and market reach, further contributing to its earnings. The company's focus on diversified leasing portfolios allows for stable cash flows and risk mitigation.

Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mizuho Leasing Company shows solid revenue growth and operational efficiency with stable profit margins. However, high leverage and negative cash flows pose financial risks, despite strong ROE indicating efficient equity use.

Income Statement

Mizuho Leasing Company has shown consistent revenue growth with a notable increase of 6% from the previous year. The company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of approximately 12.4% for the latest year, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin remains relatively steady at about 6.0%, suggesting limited improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, reflecting good operational performance.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio, exceeding 8.3, which is typical for the industry but indicates significant leverage. The return on equity is robust at around 11%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profit. However, the equity ratio stands at approximately 9.8%, highlighting potential financial risk due to high leverage.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement reveals a challenging situation with negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash outflows are exceeding inflows. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, which could constrain future growth or investment opportunities. However, financing activities have provided significant cash inflows, supporting liquidity needs.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	786.72B	695.42B	656.13B	529.70B	554.81B	497.85B
Gross Profit	89.47B	86.34B	73.62B	61.37B	54.53B	51.35B
EBITDA	70.51B	70.22B	57.96B	48.97B	35.10B	41.76B
Net Income	47.54B	42.04B	35.22B	28.40B	14.90B	21.77B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.89T	3.90T	3.36T	2.95T	2.75T	2.60T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	545.83B	507.77B	420.38B	356.70B	265.19B	242.01B
Total Debt	3.30T	3.30T	2.86T	2.56T	2.39T	2.26T
Total Liabilities	3.49T	3.50T	3.03T	2.68T	2.52T	2.39T
Stockholders Equity	383.19B	382.88B	308.90B	262.76B	219.44B	200.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-322.20B	-399.94B	-195.78B	-119.63B	-70.83B	-200.01B
Operating Cash Flow	-315.58B	-393.32B	-192.21B	-117.82B	-68.50B	-196.82B
Investing Cash Flow	-53.18B	-53.18B	-51.97B	-17.11B	-27.71B	-53.16B
Financing Cash Flow	457.13B	457.13B	266.52B	143.52B	99.81B	248.21B

Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 1413.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8425, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1413 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1445.85, above the 50-day MA of 1405.56, and above the 200-day MA of 1214.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 6.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:8425.

Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8425	72 Outperform	¥399.80B	8.76	―	3.65%	21.22%	-2.77%
8593	72 Outperform	¥1.94T	11.94	8.92%	3.20%	3.42%	22.06%
8566	70 Outperform	¥184.64B	13.54	―	3.30%	7.36%	-3.80%
8572	69 Neutral	¥801.01B	14.86	7.91%	3.48%	6.65%	-4.35%
8253	68 Neutral	$648.78B	9.55	9.13%	2.79%	20.96%	22.58%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
8570	66 Neutral	$364.00B	22.30	3.05%	3.04%	10.31%	-40.64%

Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited Corporate Events

Mizuho Leasing Secures Control of Japan Infrastructure Fund via Successful Tender Offer

Mizuho Leasing, through its wholly owned subsidiary ML Power Co., Ltd. and investment vehicle MM Power LLC, has successfully completed a tender offer for units of Japan Infrastructure Fund Investment Corporation, a listed infrastructure fund on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The offer, conducted between November 7, 2025 and January 22, 2026 at ¥67,000 per unit, resulted in the purchase of 293,927 investment units, exceeding the minimum acceptance condition of 263,532 units. As a result, Japan Infrastructure Fund Investment Corporation is scheduled to become a consolidated and specified subsidiary of Mizuho Leasing on January 29, 2026, marking a significant expansion of the group’s presence in infrastructure asset management and potentially strengthening its position in Japan’s infrastructure investment market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8425) stock is a Hold with a Yen1514.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited stock, see the JP:8425 Stock Forecast page.

Mizuho Leasing Unit Raises Price and Extends Tender Offer for Japan Infrastructure Fund

MM Power LLC, a wholly owned vehicle of Mizuho Leasing’s subsidiary ML Power, has amended the terms of its ongoing tender offer for investment units of Japan Infrastructure Fund Investment Corporation to improve the chances of a successful acquisition. The tender offer’s minimum acceptance threshold has been lowered from 66.67% to 60.00% of outstanding units, the offer price has been raised from JPY 65,000 to JPY 67,000 per unit, and the offer period has been extended to January 22, 2026, with the tender offeror indicating that no further changes are planned. In parallel, Mizuho Leasing plans to acquire a 49.0% stake in Japan Infrastructure Fund Advisors Co., Ltd. from Marubeni, Mizuho Bank and Mizuho Trust & Banking, consolidating control over both the fund and its advisor and reinforcing its strategic position in Japan’s infrastructure fund market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8425) stock is a Buy with a Yen1425.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited stock, see the JP:8425 Stock Forecast page.

Mizuho Leasing Subsidiary to Acquire and Transfer ¥100 Billion Tokyo Logistics Hub as Short-Term Investment

Mizuho Leasing’s wholly owned real estate subsidiary, ML Estate Company, Limited, has decided to acquire and then transfer the large-scale Tokyo C-NX logistics facility in Koto-ku, Tokyo, for approximately ¥100 billion as a short-term asset investment. Tokyo C-NX, acquired from Nippon Express Co., Ltd. and to be transferred to JUL Special Purpose Company, is positioned as an advanced logistics hub serving as a gateway between Japan and global markets, suggesting Mizuho Leasing is actively using high-quality logistics real estate transactions to optimize its asset base and reinforce its role in structuring securitized, logistics-focused investments for institutional and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8425) stock is a Buy with a Yen1425.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited stock, see the JP:8425 Stock Forecast page.

Mizuho Leasing Extends Tender Offer and Adjusts Timetable for Japan Infrastructure Fund Deal

MM Power LLC, a wholly owned vehicle of Mizuho Leasing via ML Power, has extended the tender offer period for investment units of Japan Infrastructure Fund Investment Corporation to 7 January 2026, bringing the total offer period to 38 business days to give unitholders more time to decide whether to tender. Alongside this, Mizuho Leasing has adjusted the expected settlement timetable: the planned acquisition of a 49% stake in Japan Infrastructure Fund Advisors Co., Ltd. from Marubeni, Mizuho Bank and Mizuho Trust & Banking is now scheduled for 15 January 2026, while the anticipated completion window for post-tender squeeze-out procedures to fully corporatize the fund and make MM Power the sole unitholder has been shifted to between mid- and late March 2026, with the target’s board maintaining its recommendation that unitholders tender into the offer.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8425) stock is a Buy with a Yen1425.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited stock, see the JP:8425 Stock Forecast page.

Mizuho Leasing Issues JPY 30 Billion in Unsecured Bonds

Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited announced the issuance of its 32nd and 33rd Unsecured Straight Corporate Bonds, totaling JPY 30 billion. The bonds, which are offered publicly in Japan, are set to mature in five and seven years, respectively, with interest rates of 1.812% and 2.140% per annum. This move is likely to strengthen Mizuho Leasing’s financial positioning by raising capital without collateral, potentially enhancing its market competitiveness and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8425) stock is a Buy with a Yen1425.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited stock, see the JP:8425 Stock Forecast page.

Mizuho Leasing Announces Strategic Acquisition and Business Alliance

Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited has announced a strategic move involving its wholly-owned subsidiary, MM Power LLC, which will commence a tender offer to acquire investment units of Japan Infrastructure Fund Investment Corporation. Additionally, Mizuho Leasing plans to acquire shares in Japan Infrastructure Fund Advisors Co., Ltd. and enter into a business alliance with Marubeni Corporation. This move is aimed at consolidating its position in the infrastructure fund market, potentially impacting stakeholders by streamlining operations and enhancing its asset management capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8425) stock is a Buy with a Yen1425.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited stock, see the JP:8425 Stock Forecast page.

Mizuho Leasing Revises Earnings and Increases Dividend Forecast

Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited has revised its full-year consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, due to strong first-half performance driven by special factors and strategic shareholding sales. The company has also announced an increase in its interim and annual dividend forecasts, reflecting its policy of returning profits to shareholders in line with earnings growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8425) stock is a Buy with a Yen1425.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited stock, see the JP:8425 Stock Forecast page.

Mizuho Leasing Reports Increased Sales and Strategic Adjustments

Mizuho Leasing Co., Ltd. reported a significant increase in net sales by 44.3% for the six months ending September 30, 2025, compared to the previous year. However, the company experienced a slight decline in operating profit by 3.0%. The company revised its dividend forecast, indicating an increase, and announced changes in its scope of consolidation with the inclusion of ML ITAD Solution Co., Ltd. and exclusion of Purple Sunbird Leasing Limited. These developments reflect strategic adjustments that could impact the company’s market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8425) stock is a Buy with a Yen1425.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited stock, see the JP:8425 Stock Forecast page.