Oita Bank (8392) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥146.01B
• Dividend Yield: 2.26%
• Average Volume (3M): 42.13K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.0
• Beta (1Y): 1.07
• Revenue Growth: 9.34%
• EPS Growth: 20.61%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 1,715
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Banks - Regional
• EPS (TTM): 202.12
• Shares Outstanding: 15,693,634
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 54,970
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 42,133
• PEG Ratio: 0.41
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.26
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.71
• P/FCF Ratio: 1.24
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥10,922.00 ▲(56.48% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 03/06/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 03/06/26

The score is driven primarily by steady but not outstanding financial performance, with leverage and modest ROE/profitability constraining the rating despite strong gross margin and improving free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend (price above major moving averages and positive MACD). Valuation is reasonable with a low P/E and a moderate dividend yield.

Positive Factors

High gross margin

A gross margin above 91% indicates durable efficiency in core banking operations, reflecting stable interest spreads and low direct costs. Over months this supports the bank's ability to absorb credit volatility and fund operating needs, underpinning sustainable core profitability.

Strong free cash flow

Near-par free cash flow relative to net income and strong FCF growth provide lasting flexibility for dividends, loan book reinvestment, and buffer for provisions. Reliable cash generation improves capital management and resilience across economic cycles.

Stable regional franchise

A focused regional franchise serving households, small businesses and local governments creates sticky deposit relationships and predictable lending demand. This localized market position supports steady net interest income and fee streams over the medium term.

Negative Factors

High leverage

Elevated debt-to-equity increases sensitivity to interest-rate moves and reduces capital flexibility. Over months this heightens refinancing and funding risks, constraining balance sheet management and limiting the bank’s ability to expand lending or absorb credit shocks without raising capital.

Weak operating cash conversion

Low conversion of accounting earnings into operating cash suggests timing mismatches, provisioning or working-capital pressures. Persistently weak OCF relative to income can impair liquidity planning, restrict reinvestment capacity and make capital returns more reliant on non-operating cash.

Modest profitability/ROE

Low ROE and weakening operating margins indicate limited ability to generate shareholder returns and reinvest in growth. Over the medium term this can cap strategic flexibility, reduce competitive reinvestment, and challenge the bank’s ability to improve capital returns absent structural efficiency gains.

Oita Bank Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The Oita Bank, Ltd. provides various banking products and services to individual and corporate clients primarily in Oita Prefecture, Japan. It operates through Banking and Lease segments. The company engages in accepting deposits; providing loans; discounting bills; and buying and selling marketable securities and other financial instruments. It also offers leasing and credit card, financial instruments handling, and foreign exchange services. As of September 30, 2021, it operated through 93 branches and 33 money exchange offices. The Oita Bank, Ltd. was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Oita, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Oita Bank generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from interest income on loans and investments. The bank offers various loan products, including personal loans, residential mortgages, and business loans, which typically carry interest rates that contribute to its earnings. Additionally, Oita Bank earns fees from account maintenance, transaction services, and financial advisory services. Investment income from securities and other financial instruments also forms a significant part of its revenue. Furthermore, the bank may engage in partnerships with local businesses and government entities, enhancing its service offerings and broadening its customer base, thereby contributing to its overall financial performance.

Oita Bank Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement is solid (revenue up 1.76% and very strong gross margin >91%), but profitability is modest (net margin ~9.98%) and EBIT/EBITDA margins have weakened. Balance sheet risk is elevated with higher leverage (debt-to-equity 3.11) and modest ROE (3.62%). Cash flow is mixed: weak operating cash conversion (OCF/NI 0.16) but strong free cash flow relative to earnings (FCF/NI 0.97) and strong FCF growth.

Income Statement

Oita Bank has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a 1.76% increase in the latest year. The gross profit margin remains strong at over 91%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 9.98%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to previous years, reflecting potential challenges in operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The bank's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 3.11, indicating a higher reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if interest rates rise. Return on equity is modest at 3.62%, showing limited returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure, but the high leverage remains a concern.

Cash Flow

Oita Bank's cash flow performance is mixed. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.16, indicating potential issues in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.97, showing effective cash management. The free cash flow growth rate is notably high, reflecting positive cash generation trends.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	70.54B	75.68B	70.46B	68.67B	53.54B	55.41B
Gross Profit	70.54B	69.49B	66.17B	66.72B	53.05B	54.87B
EBITDA	7.70B	12.72B	10.46B	8.96B	8.62B	8.20B
Net Income	7.40B	7.55B	6.54B	5.41B	5.38B	3.62B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.51T	4.51T	4.55T	4.32T	4.31T	3.81T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	0.00	781.09B	872.90B	725.87B	942.67B	512.69B
Total Debt	580.30B	648.98B	402.20B	388.76B	430.65B	248.95B
Total Liabilities	4.30T	4.30T	4.34T	4.14T	4.11T	3.61T
Stockholders Equity	214.59B	208.49B	217.81B	187.45B	198.00B	202.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	43.54B	12.17B	-98.87B	468.91B	339.46B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	45.06B	13.54B	-95.94B	470.28B	341.52B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	29.69B	15.39B	-120.08B	-34.18B	-165.66B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-53.39B	77.83B	-1.26B	-1.19B	-1.26B

Oita Bank Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 6980.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8392, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6980 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9649.50, below the 50-day MA of 8512.60, and above the 200-day MA of 5734.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 282.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8392.

Oita Bank Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
7350	78 Outperform	¥118.88B	8.48	―	2.71%	15.37%	35.08%
8392	72 Outperform	¥146.01B	8.04	3.68%	2.26%	9.34%	20.61%
8393	72 Outperform	¥153.59B	7.55	―	2.29%	13.93%	54.44%
7322	71 Outperform	¥159.25B	7.21	―	2.96%	14.85%	21.17%
8399	69 Neutral	¥99.73B	6.66	―	2.46%	9.12%	43.43%
8395	68 Neutral	¥80.14B	7.94	―	2.29%	7.97%	20.44%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%

Oita Bank Corporate Events

Oita Bank Lifts Earnings and Dividends on Strong Nine-Month Results

Oita Bank reported strong consolidated results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with ordinary income rising 18.1% year on year to ¥69.47 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent up 10.1% to ¥7.49 billion, lifting basic earnings per share to ¥493.23. The bank’s total assets increased to ¥4.56 trillion, equity improved and its equity-to-asset ratio rose to 5.2%, reflecting a stronger balance sheet and a sharp swing in comprehensive income.

The lender maintained its full-year forecast, targeting double-digit growth in ordinary income, ordinary profit and net profit, and projecting earnings of ¥606.13 per share for the year to March 2026. Oita Bank also confirmed a significant dividend increase, planning total annual dividends of ¥170 per share versus ¥110 a year earlier, underscoring confidence in earnings sustainability and enhancing returns to shareholders amid its expanded consolidation scope.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8392) stock is a Buy with a Yen10489.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oita Bank stock, see the JP:8392 Stock Forecast page.

Oita Bank Books ¥4.35 Billion Unrealized Loss on Bonds, Keeps Earnings Outlook Intact

Oita Bank has disclosed that unrealized losses on its held-to-maturity debt securities totaled ¥4,350 million as of December 31, 2025, equivalent to 39.2% of its consolidated ordinary profit and 57.6% of profit attributable to owners of parent for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025. While the book value of the relevant securities stood at ¥42,188 million against a market value of ¥37,837 million, the bank stated that these unrealized losses will not affect its earnings or dividend forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, suggesting that its capital management and profit outlook remain intact despite mark-to-market pressure on its bond portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8392) stock is a Buy with a Yen8975.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oita Bank stock, see the JP:8392 Stock Forecast page.

Oita Bank Sharpens Governance With Larger Cut to Cross-Shareholdings

The Oita Bank has revised its target for reducing cross-shareholdings, deciding at a January 26, 2026 board meeting to increase the planned cut in book value from about ¥3.7 billion to approximately ¥5.3 billion, or around 40%, from the level as of March 31, 2023 by the end of fiscal 2026. The move is positioned as a governance and capital-efficiency measure under the bank’s Basic Policy on Cross-Shareholdings, reflecting a stricter review of the necessity of each holding; while the bank plans to unwind more of these mutual shareholdings, it emphasizes that it will maintain dialogue with business partners to preserve and strengthen long-standing relationships of trust even as the financial ties are reduced.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8392) stock is a Buy with a Yen8975.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oita Bank stock, see the JP:8392 Stock Forecast page.

Oita Bank Announces 5-for-1 Stock Split and Launch of Shareholder Benefit Program

The Oita Bank’s board has approved a 5-for-1 stock split of its common shares, effective April 1, 2026, aimed at lowering the minimum investment amount, improving share liquidity and widening its investor base. In conjunction with the split, the bank will amend its Articles of Incorporation to increase the total number of authorized shares from 30 million to 150 million, while keeping total share capital unchanged and maintaining its previously announced full-year dividend per pre-split share. Starting in fiscal 2027, the bank will also launch a shareholder benefit program for investors holding at least 1,000 shares for a year or more, offering gift items linked to Oita Prefecture or the bank, a move designed to encourage long-term shareholding and further align its capital market strategy with regional promotion and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8392) stock is a Buy with a Yen8975.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oita Bank stock, see the JP:8392 Stock Forecast page.