Okinawa Financial Group, Inc. (7350) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥128.27B
• Dividend Yield: 2.71%
• Average Volume (3M): 63.01K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 11.9
• Beta (1Y): 1.14
• Revenue Growth: 15.37%
• EPS Growth: 35.08%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 1,537
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Banks - Regional
• EPS (TTM): 140.46
• Shares Outstanding: 23,016,563
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 61,580
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 63,013
• PEG Ratio: 0.25
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.36
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.98
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.38
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 421.7
• Revenue Forecast (FY): ¥65.10B

• Rating: 78 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥6,350.00 ▲(33.26% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/06/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/06/26

The score is primarily driven by solid financial performance (strong profitability and improving margins, with improved 2025 cash generation) and supportive technical trend (price above major moving averages). The main offsets are cash-flow volatility history and signs of near-term technical overextension (RSI near 70 and high stochastic), while valuation remains reasonable with a moderate P/E and ~2.36% dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Strong profitability

Sustained margin expansion and near-100% gross margin indicate durable profitability and operating leverage in core banking and fee businesses. Combined with positive revenue growth, this supports long-term internal funding for lending, investment and shareholder returns without reliance on one-off items.

Improved cash generation

The jump to positive free cash flow and a strong operating-cash-to-net-income ratio signals improved cash conversion and quality of earnings. This enhances the group's ability to fund operations, meet regulatory requirements and maintain dividends or invest in growth without external financing.

Manageable leverage and rising ROE

Moderate leverage and improving return on equity point to better capital efficiency and a balanced risk posture. For a regional bank, this combination supports sustainable loan growth and resilience to credit cycles while keeping funding costs and solvency risk at manageable levels.

Negative Factors

Thin equity ratio

A low equity ratio indicates a thin capital cushion relative to assets, increasing vulnerability to credit losses or market shocks. Over the medium term this can constrain risk-taking and force capital-raising or dividend cuts if asset quality or macro conditions deteriorate.

Cash-flow volatility

Historic swings in operating cash flow undermine predictability of funding for dividends, loan growth and provisioning. Although 2025 shows improvement, persistent volatility raises execution risk for strategic plans and can force reactive balance-sheet moves in stress periods.

Regional concentration risk

Heavy exposure to the Okinawa economy and local demographics concentrates credit and deposit risk. Structural regional slowdowns or adverse demographic shifts can depress loan demand, increase nonperforming loans, and limit scale advantages versus national peers over the medium term.

Okinawa Financial Group, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Okinawa Financial Group,Inc. provides various financial services. The company offers banking, general leasing, credit card, securities, guarantee, agency, and debt management and collection services. It also provides financial and economic survey and research, business management consultation services, etc.; sales channel development support services; and computer related services. The company was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Naha, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Okinawa Financial Group generates revenue through various channels, primarily from interest income derived from loans and mortgages offered to retail and corporate clients. Additionally, the company earns fees from asset management services, investment advisory, and insurance products. The group also benefits from transaction fees for services such as foreign exchange and wire transfers. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and government entities enhance its service offerings and customer base, further contributing to its earnings. The stability of the regional economy and demographic trends in Okinawa also play a significant role in the company’s profitability.

Okinawa Financial Group, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong income statement trends (high gross margin, net margin improved to 14.2%, and revenue up 9.8% YoY) support the score. Balance sheet is solid with moderate leverage (D/E 0.65) and improving ROE (5.2%), but a low equity ratio (5.2%) adds risk. Cash flow improved with positive free cash flow in 2025 and strong OCF-to-net income (2.17), though prior volatility tempers confidence.

Income Statement

Okinawa Financial Group shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin above 95% over the years. The net profit margin improved significantly from 12.3% in 2024 to 14.2% in 2025, indicating enhanced efficiency. Revenue growth has been positive, with a notable increase of 9.8% from 2024 to 2025, showcasing a solid upward trajectory. However, EBIT margin slightly declined from 17.4% in 2024 to 15.3% in 2025, which may indicate rising operational costs.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a healthy equity position with an equity ratio of 5.2% in 2025, reflecting a stable asset base. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.65, indicating moderate leverage, which is manageable. Return on equity improved from 4.0% in 2024 to 5.2% in 2025, suggesting better utilization of equity. However, the relatively low equity ratio indicates potential vulnerability to financial fluctuations.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow turned positive in 2025, reaching ¥22.08 billion, a significant improvement from negative figures in previous years, indicating better cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.17, highlighting strong cash generation relative to earnings. However, the volatility in cash flows, with substantial negative operating cash flow in 2024, suggests potential risks in cash flow stability.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	57.53B	55.98B	50.97B	49.31B	46.71B	50.10B
Gross Profit	57.20B	53.62B	49.77B	48.89B	46.42B	50.10B
EBITDA	10.48B	14.13B	11.12B	10.56B	10.09B	9.48B
Net Income	8.80B	7.94B	6.26B	5.83B	5.01B	5.21B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.02T	2.98T	2.93T	2.88T	2.86T	2.67T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	0.00	349.39B	439.56B	510.74B	590.65B	455.12B
Total Debt	98.58B	99.84B	94.55B	161.03B	222.29B	161.75B
Total Liabilities	2.87T	2.83T	2.78T	2.72T	2.70T	2.51T
Stockholders Equity	156.96B	153.51B	156.92B	153.66B	159.39B	160.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	10.18B	-44.16B	-52.34B	183.86B	4.48B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	11.30B	-42.59B	-50.07B	188.08B	6.84B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-106.59B	-25.08B	-28.55B	-48.79B	-116.87B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-1.93B	-5.26B	-2.76B	-4.10B	364.54B

Okinawa Financial Group, Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 4765.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7350, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4765 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5730.50, below the 50-day MA of 5267.30, and above the 200-day MA of 3962.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 188.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7350.

Okinawa Financial Group, Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
7350	78 Outperform	¥128.27B	11.95	―	2.71%	15.37%	35.08%
7184	72 Outperform	¥173.33B	16.76	―	2.63%	23.55%	-21.15%
8393	72 Outperform	¥162.80B	13.56	―	2.29%	13.93%	54.44%
8399	69 Neutral	¥104.05B	11.42	―	2.46%	9.12%	43.43%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
8337	65 Neutral	¥145.38B	15.47	―	0.58%	15.03%	16.66%
8343	63 Neutral	¥100.38B	11.60	―	3.35%	15.96%	81.27%

Okinawa Financial Group, Inc. Corporate Events

Okinawa Financial Group Books Large Unrealized Bond Losses but Keeps Earnings Outlook

Okinawa Financial Group has disclosed unrealized losses of ¥8,349 million on held-to-maturity bonds at its core subsidiary, The Bank of Okinawa, as of December 31, 2025, reflecting a decline in the market value of these securities to ¥34,417 million against a book value of ¥42,767 million. The unrealized losses are significant relative to prior performance—equivalent to 79.6% of consolidated ordinary profit and 105.1% of net income attributable to owners of the parent for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025—yet the group is maintaining its previously announced earnings and dividend forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, signaling management’s view that the impact on near-term financial results and shareholder returns remains contained at this stage.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7350) stock is a Buy with a Yen5899.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Okinawa Financial Group, Inc. stock, see the JP:7350 Stock Forecast page.

Okinawa Financial Group Revises Earnings Forecast and Increases Dividends

Okinawa Financial Group, Inc. announced a revision of its earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, due to strong subsidiary performance and reduced costs. The company also increased its interim and year-end dividends, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns and community growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7350) stock is a Buy with a Yen4258.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Okinawa Financial Group, Inc. stock, see the JP:7350 Stock Forecast page.

Okinawa Financial Group Reports Strong First Half of 2025 Results

Okinawa Financial Group, Inc. reported a significant increase in its consolidated financial results for the first half of 2025, with ordinary income rising by 20.3% and profit attributable to owners increasing by 36.8% compared to the previous year. The company has revised its forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, projecting continued growth in ordinary income and profit, which indicates strong operational performance and positive market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7350) stock is a Buy with a Yen4258.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Okinawa Financial Group, Inc. stock, see the JP:7350 Stock Forecast page.