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Saikaya Co., Ltd. (JP:8254)
:8254
Japanese Market
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Saikaya Co., Ltd. (8254) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8254

Saikaya Co., Ltd.

(8254)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
¥271.00
▼(-27.35% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/20/26
The score is primarily held down by weak financial health—very high leverage, negative free cash flow, and a multi-year revenue decline—despite some improvement in margins. Technicals are neutral with a modest short-term rebound but a longer-term downtrend. Valuation is also a headwind with a ~28 P/E and no dividend yield data to offset risk.
Positive Factors
Margin recovery
Improving net profit and EBIT margins point to better cost control and operational efficiency. If sustained, higher margins can partially offset lower sales, improve earnings resilience, and free up limited internal resources for targeted reinvestment or deleveraging over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Very high leverage
Extremely high leverage creates ongoing interest and refinancing pressure, limiting strategic flexibility. With heavy debt relative to equity, the company is more exposed to revenue shocks and has less capacity to invest or absorb margin volatility without raising costly external capital or asset disposals.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Margin recovery
Improving net profit and EBIT margins point to better cost control and operational efficiency. If sustained, higher margins can partially offset lower sales, improve earnings resilience, and free up limited internal resources for targeted reinvestment or deleveraging over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Saikaya Co., Ltd. (8254) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Saikaya Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Saikaya Department Store Co.,Ltd. operates department stores in Japan. It is involved in the wholesale of watches, jewelry, and precious metal products. The company also engages in trading business and apartment rentals and real estate related int...
How the Company Makes Money
Saikaya primarily generates revenue from retail sales to consumers across its stores (i.e., merchandise sales). Its earnings are driven by the volume of customer purchases and the gross margin earned on goods sold, net of store operating costs (su...

Saikaya Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is weak overall: revenue has declined materially over multiple years, leverage is very high (debt-to-equity consistently above 10), and free cash flow has been negative, despite some recent improvement in profit margins and operational efficiency.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownAug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.63B4.95B5.20B13.81B15.00B
Gross Profit2.05B2.29B3.12B2.82B3.01B
EBITDA537.30M445.66M378.40M194.00M-333.81M
Net Income110.25M72.70M9.74M-509.68M-846.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.00B11.81B12.24B12.15B11.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.43B1.65B1.78B1.56B861.79M
Total Debt8.65B8.66B8.66B8.67B6.72B
Total Liabilities11.20B11.19B11.66B11.57B10.81B
Stockholders Equity791.99M617.19M576.34M581.64M405.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-89.29M-48.88M295.89M-1.08B-481.11M
Operating Cash Flow410.25M259.71M367.11M-872.27M-452.30M
Investing Cash Flow-620.35M-390.97M-135.26M-952.85M-99.98M
Financing Cash Flow-5.31M-3.88M-3.87M2.45B732.30M

Saikaya Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price373.00
Price Trends
50DMA
246.44
Positive
100DMA
293.03
Negative
200DMA
358.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
3.81
Negative
RSI
56.43
Neutral
STOCH
39.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8254, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 373 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 268.95, above the 50-day MA of 246.44, and above the 200-day MA of 358.57, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.81 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8254.

Saikaya Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥206.43B12.083.01%8.62%43.05%
66
Neutral
¥209.17B12.452.18%8.15%21.40%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
¥165.86B-49.141.77%18.80%-479.11%
57
Neutral
¥172.33B21.071.44%0.66%114.22%
53
Neutral
¥30.94B-2,631.033.11%0.33%99.42%
43
Neutral
¥2.31B31.40-0.51%-64.82%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8254
Saikaya Co., Ltd.
276.00
-154.00
-35.81%
JP:3222
United Super Markets Holdings, Inc.
800.00
-98.24
-10.94%
JP:8217
Okuwa Co., Ltd.
763.00
-163.90
-17.68%
JP:8273
Izumi Co., Ltd.
961.00
-127.43
-11.71%
JP:8278
Fuji Co., Ltd.
1,988.00
21.10
1.07%
JP:9956
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.
3,895.00
1,475.66
60.99%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 20, 2026