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Saikaya Co., Ltd. (JP:8254)
:8254
Japanese Market
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Saikaya Co., Ltd. (8254) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8254

Saikaya Co., Ltd.

(8254)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
¥353.00
▼(-5.36% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/31/26
The score is weighed down primarily by weak financial health—high leverage, negative free cash flow trends, and sustained revenue decline—despite some recent margin improvement. Technicals are a clear positive with the stock trading above major moving averages, but valuation (P/E 23.504) offers limited margin of safety given the underlying financial risks.
Positive Factors
Improving operating margins
Saikaya's recent improvement in EBIT and net profit margins indicates the company has tightened operations and improved cost control. Sustained margin expansion supports long-term profitability, increases cash available for reinvestment or deleveraging, and raises resilience versus cyclical revenue swings.
Negative Factors
Very high leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio consistently above 10 creates material structural risk: heavy interest obligations, limited ability to fund investment organically, and reduced flexibility in downturns. High leverage raises default risk and constrains strategic options over the coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving operating margins
Saikaya's recent improvement in EBIT and net profit margins indicates the company has tightened operations and improved cost control. Sustained margin expansion supports long-term profitability, increases cash available for reinvestment or deleveraging, and raises resilience versus cyclical revenue swings.
Read all positive factors

Saikaya Co., Ltd. (8254) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Saikaya Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Saikaya Department Store Co.,Ltd. operates department stores in Japan. It is involved in the wholesale of watches, jewelry, and precious metal products. The company also engages in trading business and apartment rentals and real estate related int...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Saikaya Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are pressured by steep multi-year revenue decline, very high leverage (debt-to-equity consistently above 10) and weak cash conversion with negative free cash flow in recent years. Improved EBIT and net profit margins are a positive, but debt burden and cash flow weakness materially raise risk.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownTTMAug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.64B4.63B4.95B5.20B13.81B15.00B
Gross Profit2.23B2.30B2.29B3.12B2.82B3.01B
EBITDA474.99M537.30M445.66M378.40M45.24M-333.81M
Net Income71.91M110.25M72.70M9.74M-509.68M-846.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.75B12.00B11.81B12.24B12.15B11.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.45B1.43B1.65B1.78B1.56B861.79M
Total Debt8.65B8.65B8.66B8.66B8.67B6.72B
Total Liabilities11.35B11.20B11.19B11.66B11.57B10.81B
Stockholders Equity1.40B791.99M617.19M576.34M581.64M405.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-89.29M-89.29M-48.88M295.89M-1.08B-481.11M
Operating Cash Flow410.25M410.25M259.71M367.11M-872.27M-452.30M
Investing Cash Flow-620.35M-620.35M-390.97M-135.26M-952.85M-99.98M
Financing Cash Flow-5.31M-5.31M-3.88M-3.87M2.45B732.30M

Saikaya Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price373.00
Price Trends
50DMA
283.24
Positive
100DMA
271.21
Positive
200DMA
331.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
30.18
Negative
RSI
63.60
Neutral
STOCH
71.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8254, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 373 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 310.95, above the 50-day MA of 283.24, and above the 200-day MA of 331.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 30.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8254.

Saikaya Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
¥215.02B12.192.95%3.84%46.02%
62
Neutral
¥190.66B10.442.18%8.15%21.40%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
¥32.72B-2,782.763.11%0.33%99.42%
54
Neutral
¥175.88B24.801.44%-0.40%45.73%
49
Neutral
¥3.09B30.650.97%-51.81%
49
Neutral
¥170.42B-32.051.77%15.30%-594.22%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8254
Saikaya Co., Ltd.
360.00
-118.00
-24.69%
JP:3222
United Super Markets Holdings, Inc.
812.00
-216.11
-21.02%
JP:8217
Okuwa Co., Ltd.
806.00
-158.83
-16.46%
JP:8273
Izumi Co., Ltd.
995.00
-92.78
-8.53%
JP:8278
Fuji Co., Ltd.
2,013.00
-46.58
-2.26%
JP:9956
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.
3,245.00
224.50
7.43%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2026