tiprankstipranks
Saikaya Co., Ltd. (JP:8254)
:8254
Japanese Market

Saikaya Co., Ltd. (8254) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
0 Followers

Top Page

JP:8254

Saikaya Co., Ltd.

(8254)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Underperform 39 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
¥280.00
▼(-24.93% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/24/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial health (high leverage, negative free cash flow, and declining revenue) and very bearish technical momentum (price below all major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation provides limited offset because the negative P/E is not a reliable value signal and no dividend yield data is available.
Positive Factors
Recent margin improvement
A demonstrable rebound in net profit and EBIT margins signals improved cost control and operating efficiency. Sustained margin recovery can preserve profitability even with weaker top-line trends, supporting longer-term cash generation and the ability to fund operations or restructure.
Negative Factors
Extremely high leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio consistently above 10 indicates outsized financial risk and heavy interest obligations. Such leverage materially reduces financial flexibility, heightens refinancing and covenant risks, and can force asset sales or cutbacks, impairing long-term investment and resilience.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recent margin improvement
A demonstrable rebound in net profit and EBIT margins signals improved cost control and operating efficiency. Sustained margin recovery can preserve profitability even with weaker top-line trends, supporting longer-term cash generation and the ability to fund operations or restructure.
Read all positive factors

Saikaya Co., Ltd. (8254) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Saikaya Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Saikaya Department Store Co.,Ltd. operates department stores in Japan. It is also involved in the wholesale of watches, jewelry, and precious metal products; and provision of building management services. The company was founded in 1872 and is bas...
How the Company Makes Money
Saikaya primarily generates revenue from retail sales to consumers across its stores (i.e., merchandise sales). Its earnings are driven by the volume of customer purchases and the gross margin earned on goods sold, net of store operating costs (su...

Saikaya Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are weak overall: income statement shows declining revenue despite some recent margin improvement, the balance sheet indicates very high leverage (debt-to-equity consistently above 10) and low equity ratio, and cash flow trends include negative free cash flow and weak cash conversion.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownFeb 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.63B4.95B5.20B13.81B15.00B
Gross Profit2.05B2.29B3.12B2.82B3.01B
EBITDA537.30M445.66M378.40M194.00M-333.81M
Net Income110.25M72.70M9.74M-509.68M-846.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.00B11.81B12.24B12.15B11.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.43B1.65B1.78B1.56B861.79M
Total Debt8.65B8.66B8.66B8.67B6.72B
Total Liabilities11.20B11.19B11.66B11.57B10.81B
Stockholders Equity791.99M617.19M576.34M581.64M405.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-89.29M-48.88M295.89M-1.08B-481.11M
Operating Cash Flow410.25M259.71M367.11M-872.27M-452.30M
Investing Cash Flow-620.35M-390.97M-135.26M-952.85M-99.98M
Financing Cash Flow-5.31M-3.88M-3.87M2.45B732.30M

Saikaya Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price373.00
Price Trends
50DMA
380.56
Negative
100DMA
383.01
Negative
200DMA
421.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-24.15
Positive
RSI
20.05
Positive
STOCH
8.57
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8254, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 373 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 338.10, below the 50-day MA of 380.56, and below the 200-day MA of 421.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -24.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 20.05 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.57 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8254.

Saikaya Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥198.70B7.252.18%6.30%27.88%
63
Neutral
¥222.33B17.323.01%18.89%-34.43%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
46
Neutral
¥182.03B-65.241.77%30.67%
46
Neutral
¥33.37B-145.823.11%1.46%-436.55%
43
Neutral
¥178.66B100.031.44%1.48%-33.32%
39
Underperform
¥2.21B-66.85-6.41%51.66%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8254
Saikaya Co., Ltd.
297.00
-99.00
-25.00%
JP:3222
United Super Markets Holdings, Inc.
878.00
45.67
5.49%
JP:8217
Okuwa Co., Ltd.
823.00
-16.36
-1.95%
JP:8273
Izumi Co., Ltd.
1,035.00
-26.85
-2.53%
JP:8278
Fuji Co., Ltd.
2,061.00
-103.09
-4.76%
JP:9956
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.
3,700.00
1,306.02
54.55%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026